Updated on 9 May 2024

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛 曬崘  The Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction (CCEP) Reports

嵟怴

242夞丂抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍 (僴僀僽儕僢僪夛媍), 2024229抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

2024M7.6擻搊敿搰抧恔慜屻偺抧恔妶摦偺媡夝愅 (旜宍椙旻孎郪婱梇(彽懸島墘)

Inverse analysis of the seismic activity before and after the 2024 M7.6 Noto Peninsula earthquake 

 

 

 

 

 

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛乽梊應幚尡 WG乿偺愝抲 (2022516)丂仺 PDF

旜宍椙旻 (2019). 抧恔妶摦搙偵傛傞抁婜丒拞婜偺妋棪梊應偲寢壥, 抧恔梊抦尋媶偺尰忬偲崱屻偺揥朷, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛50廃擭婰擮婇夋岞奐僔儞億僕僂儉, 搶嫗戝妛晲揷愭抂抦價儖晲揷儂乕儖, 搶嫗搒暥嫗嬫, 2019316, 億僗僞乕彽懸敪昞.

 

 

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬

抧恔僨乕僞偺寚應棪傪峫椂偟偨僩僇儔楍搰偍傛傃捁搰嬤奀偺抧恔妶摦偺夝愅 (旜宍椙旻)

Analysis of seismic activity in near the Tokara Islands and the Torishima Island taking missing rates of earthquakes into account

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20243, 111 (10-4), pp.497-504.

乮戞241 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (Web夛媍), 20231130, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

擻搊敿搰孮敪抧恔偺宱夁偲戝抧恔慜屻偺堎忢妶摦偺夝庍 (孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻) (彽懸島墘)

Interpretation of the course of the Noto Peninsula earthquake swarm and some anomalous activities before and after major earthquakes

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20243, 111 (11-12), pp.559-568.

241 廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴(09) 亅抧恔妶摦偺拞婜梊應偺専徹乿偺専摙

乮戞241 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (Web夛媍), 20231130, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

宯摑揑側寚應傪敽偆抧恔僇僞儘僌偐傜幚嵺偺妶摦棪曄壔偺悇掕丗 M6.5 擻搊敿搰抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偵偮偄偰  (旜宍椙旻, 孎郪婱梇)

Estimation of actual activity rate changes from earthquake catalogs, with systematic missing measurements: Aftershock activity of the M6.5 Noto Peninsula Earthquake

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20243, 111 (6-2), pp.292-298.

乮戞240 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (Web夛媍), 2023831, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

抧妅妶摦偺梊應幚尡(1)丂亅 撪棨抧恔偺抁婜妋棪梊應偲昡壙偵偮偄偰丂(旜宍椙旻) 

Experiments in Prediction of Crustal Activity (1) - Short-term Probability Prediction and Evaluation of Inland Earthquakes

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20243, 111 (10-6), pp.584-588.

乮戞238 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (僴僀僽儕僢僪夛媍), 2023228, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

抧妅妶摦偺梊應(2)嵟嬤偺擻搊敿搰孮敪抧恔妶摦偺帪嬻娫揑摿挜偲202355M6.5抧恔偵偮偄偰丂(孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻)  

Prediction of crustal activity: (2) Space-time features of the Noto Peninsula swarm activity and the May 5, 2023 Earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20239, 110 (10-6), pp.443-450.

乮戞239 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (僴僀僽儕僢僪夛媍), 2023531, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

202326偵敪惗偟偨僩儖僐拞晹抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偵偮偄偰 (旜宍椙旻, 孎郪婱梇)

Aftershock activity of the 6th February 2023 Central Turkey earthquakes

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20239, 110 (10-3), pp.426-431.

乮戞238 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (僴僀僽儕僢僪夛媍), 2023228, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

恖岺抦擻偵傛傞暋悢娤應揰傪梡偄偨抧恔丒應抧僀儀儞僩専抦庤朄奐敪丂(栴栰宐桟)

Development of seismic and geodetic event detection methods using multiple observation stations by artificial intelligence

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20239, 110 (11-2), pp.453-454.

乮戞238 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (僴僀僽儕僢僪夛媍), 2023228, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

旕掕忢ETAS儌僨儖偐傜尒偊傞擻搊敿搰孮敪抧恔妶摦偺抧堟揑曄壔丂(懕曬2)  (孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻*)

Regional features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model for earthquake swarm activity in Noto Peninsula - Continuation Report 2

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20233, 109 (7-2), pp.321-325.

乮戞237 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (僴僀僽儕僢僪夛媍), 20221125, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

攚宨抧恔妶摦搙傪梡偄偨撪棨抧恔偺挿婜梊應偲専徹昡壙, 廳揰専摙壽戣乽撪棨抧恔偺挿婜梊應乿偺専摙 (旜宍椙旻)乮彽懸島墘乯

Prediction and validation of long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the hierarchical space–time ETAS and space–time Poisson process models

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20233, 109 (12-9), pp.591-598.

乮戞237 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (僴僀僽儕僢僪夛媍), 20221125, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

旕掕忢ETAS儌僨儖偐傜尒偊傞擻搊敿搰孮敪抧恔妶摦偺抧堟揑曄壔 (懕曬)  (孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻*)

Regional features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model for earthquake swarm activity in Noto Peninsula

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20229, 108 (7-3), pp.310-313.

乮戞235 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (Web夛媍), 20211126, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

奒憌揑帪嬻娫 ETAS 儌僨儖側偳偵傛傞抁丒拞丒挿婜偺抧恔妋棪梊應偲専徹昡壙乮旜宍椙旻乯

Prediction and validation of short- medium- and long-term earthquake probabilities using a hierarchical space-time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) models, etc.

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20223, 107 (12-8), pp.547-555.

233 廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴(08) 亅帋峴偐傜幚巤傊偺堏峴亅乿偺専摙

乮戞233 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (Web夛媍), 20211126, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

旕掕忢ETAS儌僨儖偐傜尒偊傞擻搊敿搰孮敪抧恔妶摦偺抧堟揑曄壔  (孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻*)

Changing features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model in regional earthquake swarm activity of the Noto Peninsula

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20223, 107 (7-4), pp.292-296.

乮戞233 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (Web夛媍), 20211126, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

挿栰丒婒晫丒暉堜導嫬晅嬤偺孮敪抧恔妶摦偵偮偄偰乮孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻*)

Earthquake activity near the border of Nagano, Gifu and Fukui prefectures

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20219, 106 (7-2), pp.332-336.

乮戞230 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, (Web夛媍), 2021226, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

229夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴07亅抧恔妶摦梊應偺専徹亅乿偺専摙丂

奒憌揑帪嬻娫ETAS儌僨儖偵婎偯偔抁婜丒拞婜丒挿婜梊應偍傛傃攚宨棪梊應 亅帺摦梊應偺奐敪偵岦偗偰亅 (旜宍椙旻) 乮彽懸島墘乯

Short-, medium-, long-term and background-rate forecasts based on a hierarchical space-time ETAS model: Towards the development of automated forecasts

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20213, 105 (12-10), pp.493-499.

乮戞229 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍 (Web夛媍), 20201126, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛

 

225夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴06乿偺専摙 (奣梫)

儕傾儖僞僀儉抁婜梊應偺幚巤偲昡壙偵偮偄偰乮旜宍椙旻乯

Summary of 乬Trials of experimental earthquake forecasts #06: Implementation and evaluation of real-time short-term forecasts乭

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20203, 103 (12-6), pp.352-355.

乮戞225 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20191122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

225夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴06乿偺専摙 (奣梫)

懡條側梊應曽幃偵懳幆暿儌僨儖偡傞慜恔偲偦偺梊應惈擻昡壙乮栰懞弐堦鰧`椙旻乯

Foreshock discrimination models for various prediction schemes and evaluation of their predictive performance

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20203, 103 (12-8), pp.361-366.

225 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20191122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

225夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴06乿偺専摙 (奣梫)

擔杮偵偍偗傞梋恔妶摦偺儕傾儖僞僀儉妋棪梊應乮嬤峕悞岹乯

Real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20203, 103 (12-9), pp.367-368.

乮戞225 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20191122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

225夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴06乿偺専摙 (奣梫)

孮敪抧恔妶摦偺旕掕忢ETAS儌僨儖偵傛傞専弌偲應抧妛僨乕僞偵婎偯偔梊應壜擻惈偵偮偄偰乮孎郪婱梇鰧`椙旻乯

Detection of swarm activities by nonstationary ETAS model and their predictability based on geodetic data

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20203, 103 (12-12), pp.378-384.

225 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20191122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

225夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴06乿偺専摙 (奣梫)

奒憌揑帪嬻娫ETAS儌僨儖偵傛傞抁婜丒拞婜梊應乮旜宍椙旻乯

Short- and medium-term forecasts using hierarchical spatiotemporal ETAS model

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20203, 103 (12-13), pp.385-387.

乮戞225 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20191122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

庱搒寳捈壓偺嶰師尦抧恔妶摦偺帪嬻娫摑寁儌僨儖偲徻嵶梊應旜宍椙旻, 宩峃堦, 掃壀峅, 暯揷捈乯

High resolution space-time model forecasting 3D seismicity beneath Kanto Region

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20199, 102 (4-5), pp.123-129.

乮戞222 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2019222, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

杒奀摴抇怳搶晹抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偺摿挜偵偮偄偰孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻, 掃壀 峅)

Characteristics of aftershock activity of the Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20193, 101 (2-7), pp.73-77.

乮戞221 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20181130, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2018擭戝嶃杒晹媦傃抇怳抧曽偺抧恔偵懳偡傞儕傾儕僞僀儉梋恔妋棪梊應嬤峕悞岹, 旜宍椙旻, 幀尒彑旻, Bogdan Enescu, 郪嶈 , 崌尨堦岾)

Real-time aftershock forecasting for the 2018 Northern Osaka and Iburi earthquakes

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20193, 101 (8-18), pp.407-410.

乮戞221 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20181130, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

218夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽孎杮抧恔偱尒偊偰偒偨壽戣乿偺専摙

揰夁掱儌僨儖偵傛傞孎杮抧恔慜屻偺抧恔妶摦偺夝愅孎郪婱梇*, 旜宍椙旻, 掃壀 峅乯乮彽懸島墘乯

Measuring seismicity diversity before and after the Kumamoto earthquake by point process models

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20189, 100 (12-6), pp.397-404.

乮戞218 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2018223, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

218夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽孎杮抧恔偱尒偊偰偒偨壽戣乿偺専摙

BPT儌僨儖偺嫟捠偺偽傜偮偒僷儔儊乕僞偺悇掕偲儀僀僘宆梊應栰懞弐堦, 旜宍椙旻*

Inference of a common aperiodicity parameter and Bayesian forecast in the BPT model

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20189, 100 (11-2), pp.350-355.

乮戞218 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2018223, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

217夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴 04乿偺専摙

儅僌僯僠儏乕僪偲帪嬻娫忣曬偵婎偯偔慜恔妋棪昡壙儌僨儖偺幆暿惈擻栰懞弐堦*, 旜宍椙旻乯乮彽懸島墘乯

Foreshock Discrimination Model Based on Magnitudes and Spatio-temporal Information and its Predictive Performance

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20183, 99 (12-9), pp.446-451.

乮戞217 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20171122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

217夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽梊應幚尡偺帋峴 04乿偺専摙

師偺抧恔偺儅僌僯僠儏乕僪梊應偲昡壙旜宍椙旻乯(彽懸島墘)

Magnitude forecasts of the next earthquake and evaluation

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20183, 99 (12-10), pp.452-455.

乮戞217 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20171122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2016擭孎杮抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偵偮偄偰孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻,掃壀峅乯

Aftershock analysis of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20179, 98 (10-3), pp.386-391.

乮戞215 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2017519, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

嵟怴偺妶抐憌僇僞儘僌偵婎偯偔BPT梊應栰懞弐堦, 旜宍椙旻乯丂

BPT model forecast based on the recent paleoearthquake catalog

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20179, 98 (11-5), pp.443-448.

乮戞215 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2017519, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

擔杮楍搰撪棨晹偺忢帪抧恔妶摦搙偵偮偄偰旜宍椙旻)

On consecutive seismicity rate in Japanese inland

抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20173, 97 (1-3), pp.9-12.

乮戞213 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20161111, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2016擭捁庢導拞晹偺抧恔 (M6.6) 慜屻偺妶摦偵偮偄偰乮旜宍椙旻丆掃壀峅丆嬤峕悞岹丆栰懞弐堦丆孎戲婱梇丆崌尨堦岾乯

Seismic activity before and after the 2016 Central Tottori Prefecture earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20173, 97 (9-7), pp.368-374.

213 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20161111, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

廳揰専摙壽戣乽暯惉28擭乮2016擭乯孎杮抧恔乿

2016擭孎杮抧恔傪傔偖傞抧恔妶摦偍傛傃梋恔妶摦偵娭偡傞妋棪梊應栤戣乮旜宍椙旻, 嬤峕悞岹, 孎郪婱梇, 栰懞弐堦, 掃壀 , 崌尨堦岾乯乮彽懸島墘乯

Seismicity anomalies before and after the 2016 M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes, probability evaluations of the M7.3 earthquake, and aftershock forecasts

乮戞211 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2016518, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

201641擔嶰廳導撿搶壂偺抧恔乮M6.1乯偵懕偔孮敪抧恔妶摦偺摑寁夝愅孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻, 壛摗垽懢榊, 掃壀 峅乯

Statistical analysis of the swarm activity induced by the 2016 April earthquake of M6.1 at the southeast off the coast of the Mie Prefecture

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20169, 96 (8-5), pp.304-310. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou96/8_5.pdf

乮戞211 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2016518, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2016擭孎杮抧恔慜偺嬨廈抧堟偺抧恔妶摦偍傛傃梋恔妶摦偺摑寁揑儌僯僞儕儞僌孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻, 掃壀 峅乯

Statistical monitoring of seismicity in Kyushu District before the occurrence of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes of M6.5 and M7.3

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20169, 96 (12-21), pp.642-651. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou96/12_21.pdf

乮戞211 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2016518, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2016擭孎杮抧恔乮M7.3乯偺慜恔妋棪梊應偵偮偄偰栰懞弐堦, 旜宍椙旻乯

Foreshock forecast probabilities of the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20169, 96 (12-22), pp.652-657. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou96/12_22.pdf

乮戞211 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2016518, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

孎杮 M7.3 抧恔偺妋棪梊應偺帋嶼旜宍椙旻乯

Provisional calculations of the probability forecast of the Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20169, 96 (12-23), pp.658-661. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou96/12_23.pdf

乮戞211 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2016518, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2016擭孎杮抧恔偺梋恔偺妋棪梊應嬤峕悞岹, 旜宍椙旻, 掃壀 , 崌尨堦岾乯

Probability aftershock forecasting of the M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes of 2016

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20169, 96 (12-24), pp.662-667. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou96/12_24.pdf

乮戞211 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2016518, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

摑寁儌僨儖偵傛傞抧恔妶摦堎忢偺儌僯僞儕儞僌

Monitoring seismicity anomalies by statistical models

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20159, 94 (12-8), pp.412-423. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou94/12_08.pdf

207 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2015522, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

埳摛搶晹偺孮敪抧恔妶摦偺悇堏偺抁婜梊應偵偮偄偰乮孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻, 栘懞堦梞, 慜揷寷擇, 彫椦徍晇乯

Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20159, 94 (5-1), pp.136-144. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou94/05_01.pdf

206 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2015216, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

忢帪抧恔妶摦 丒梋恔 丒桿敪抧恔偺梊應擻椡偲昡壙

Evaluating predictive ability of background seismicity, aftershocks and induced earthquakes

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20153, 93(12-7), pp.415-426. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou93/12_07.pdf

204 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽抧恔n妅曄摦梊應擻椡偺尰忬昡壙乿

乮戞204 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2014822, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

ETAS儌僨儖偵傛傞梋恔偺妋棪梊應乮嬤峕悞岹, 旜宍椙旻, 暯揷徦恖, 崌尨堦岾乯

Probability aftershock forecasting by the ETAS model

n恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20149, 92(11-2), pp.386-389. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou92/11_02.pdf

 乮戞202 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2014217, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

杮恔捈屻偺梋恔偺儕傾儖僞僀儉妋棪梊應乮嬤峕悞岹, 旜宍椙旻, 暯揷徦恖, 崌尨堦岾乯

Real-time prediction of the probability of aftershocks after the main shock

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20143, 91(3-2), pp.66-71. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou91/03_02.pdf

200 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2013821, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偺傾僂僞乕儔僀僘廃曈偱偺梋恔妶摦偵偮偄偰乮2011.3.112013.10.26

The aftershock activity of M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake in and around outer-rise region (2011.3.112013.10.26)

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20143, 91(3-3), pp.72-76. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou91/03_03.pdf

201 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20131122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

2013413擔扺楬搰偺抧恔(M6.3)偺梋恔妶摦乮2011.4.132013.11.8

Aftershock activity of the 13 April 2013 earthquake of M6.3 in Awaji Island (2011.4.132013.11.8)

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20143, 91(8-3), pp.267-268. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou91/08_03.pdf

201 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20131122, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

戝抧恔偺妋棪梊應偲摑寁儌僨儖

Probablistic forecasts of large earthquakes using statistical models

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20143, 91(12-6), pp.387-395. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou91/12_06.pdf

200夞抧恔梊抦楢棈夛廳揰専摙壽戣乽抧恔偺抁婜梊應偺尰忬偲昡壙乿

200 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2013821, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

乮慡僗儔僀僪丗抁婜梊應偲摑寁儌僨儖

 

帪嬻娫旕掕忢 BPT儌僨儖偵傛傞杒擔杮懢暯梞壂捑傒崬傒懷偺彫孞傝曉偟抧恔乮1993.7.15 - 2011.3.10乯偺夝愅椺(2)亅摿偵庡梫抧恔偺慜偲屻偺曄壔偵偮偄偰亅乮栰懞弐堦, 撪揷捈婓, 旜宍椙旻乯

Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and statistical analysis of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate from July 15, 1993 till March 10, 2011, on emphasis of before and after major earthquakes

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20139, 90(2-3), pp.54-57. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou90/02_03.pdf

199 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2013530, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

帪嬻娫旕掕忢 BPT儌僨儖偲杒擔杮懢暯梞壂捑傒崬傒懷偺彫孞傝曉偟抧恔乮1993.7.15 - 2011.3.10乯偺夝愅椺(1)乮栰懞弐堦, 撪揷捈婓, 旜宍椙旻乯

Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and analysis of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate from July 15, 1993 till March 11, 2011

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20139, 90(2-2), pp.49-53. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou90/02_02.pdf

198 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2013218, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偺梋恔妶摦乮2011.3.11 - 2013.2.2

Aftershock activity of the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (2011.3.11 – 2013.2.2)

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20139, 90(3-2), pp.104-108. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou90/03_02.pdf

198 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2013218, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

2013413擔扺楬搰晅嬤偺抧恔乮M6.3乯傑偱偵帄傞暫屔導撿晹抧恔偺梋恔妶摦側偳偺堎忢曄壔偮偄偰

Long-term aftershock activity of the 1995 Kobe earthquake of M7.3 until the 13 April 2013 earthquake of M6.3 near Awaji Island

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20139, 90(8-3), pp.352-355. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou90/08_03.pdf

199 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2013530, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

2004M9.1僗儅僩儔抧恔偵愭峴偟偨抧恔敪惗棪偺曄壔偵偮偄偰

Seismicity anomaly that preceded the 2004 Sumatra earthquake M9.1

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20133, 89(12-11), pp.432-440. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou89/12_11.pdf

197 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 20121121, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

1995擭暫屔導撿晹抧恔偵傛偭偰桿敪偝傟偨抧恔妶摦偺慿媦揑梊應偲夝愅

Retrospective analysis of the long-term prediction of seismic activities that are induced by the 1995 Kobe earthquake of M7.3

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20133, 89(8-2), pp.278-281. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou89/08_02.pdf

196 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2012829, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偵傛偭偰桿敪偝傟偨擔杮楍搰偺拞挿婜妋棪梊應偺帪嬻娫暘晍

Long- and intermediate space-time forecast in Japanese Islands induced by the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20129, 88(1-6), pp.35-39. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou88/01_06.pdf

195 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2012530, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偵傛偭偰桿敪偝傟偨抧堟偺抧恔妶摦偺挿婜妋棪梊應

Long-term probability forecast of the regional seismicity that was induced by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20129, 88(3-2), pp.92-99. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou88/03_02.pdf

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偺梋恔妶摦

Tohoku earthquake aftershock activity

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20129, 88(3-3), pp.100-103. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou88/03_03.pdf

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偲徏杮晅嬤偺桿敪抧恔妶摦

Tohoku earthquake aftershock activity and triggered activity near Matsumoto

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20123, 87(12-13), pp.546-553. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou87/12_13.pdf

192 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2011822, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

慜恔偺妋棪梊曬偺幚巤偲昡壙丗 搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔傑偱偺15擭娫

Operational probability foreshock forecasts up until Tohoku-Oki earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿201111, 86(3-18), pp.123-125. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou86/03_18.pdf

191 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2011613, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偺梋恔偲楢嵔抧恔乮旜宍椙旻, 孎郪婱梇乯

Tohoku earthquake: aftershock activity and triggered activities in the eastern Honshu area

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿201111, 86(3-19), pp.126-133. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou86/03_19.pdf

191 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2011613, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偺慜恔妶摦偲峀堟揑惷壐壔偵偮偄偰

Preshock activity and quiescence for long-term seismic activity in and around Japan

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿201111, 86(3-20), pp.134-141. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou86/03_20.pdf

191 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2011613, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

190 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2011426, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

187 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛 廳揰専摙壽戣乽抧恔妶摦偵偮偄偰乿奣梫

Summary of intensive discussion subject for 乬Seismic activity乭

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20112, 85(12-1), pp.429-432. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou85/12_01.pdf

187 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2010820, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

慜恔偺妋棪梊曬偺幚巤

Operational Probability Forecast of Foreshocks

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20112, 85(12-4), pp.440-444. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou85/12_04.pdf

187 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2010820, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

寈曬宆抧恔梊應偺惈擻昡壙朄偵偮偄偰乮彲寶憅, 旜宍椙旻乯

Evaluation of warning forecasts by a gambling score

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20112, 85(12-7), pp.451-452. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou85/12_07.pdf

187 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2010820, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

2008擭娾庤媨忛撪棨抧恔慜偺抐憌撿晹廃曈偺抧妅曄摦偵偮偄偰乮孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻乯

Aseismic slip scenario for transient crustal deformations around the southern fault before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20108, 84(3-5), pp.93-97. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou84/03_05.pdf

185 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2010215, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

妶抐憌偺偢傟忣曬傪棙梡偟偨BPT夁掱偺帠慜暘晍偵傛傞儀僀僘宆梊應偵偮偄偰乮栰懞弐堦, 旜宍椙旻乯

A Bayesian predictor based on prior distributions of BPT model with slip rates

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20108, 84(11-11), pp.231-236. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou84/11_11.pdf

185 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2010215, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

倐抣偲俤俿俙俽儌僨儖偵傕偲偯偔擔杮楍搰偺昗弨揑抧恔敪惗梊應

Earthquake forecast in Japanese Islands based on location-dependent b-values and space-time ETAS model

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20102, 83(1-2), pp.5-8. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou83/01_02.pdf

183 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2009821, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

2009 8寧弜壨榩偺抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偲惷壀導拞惣晹抧堟偺抧恔妶摦

Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay and its aftershock activity

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20102, 83(6-4), pp.231-236. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou83/06_04.pdf

183 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2009821, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗

 

搶杒抧曽搶曽壂偺抧恔偺怺偝偺摑寁揑曗惓朄偵偮偄偰

A correction method of routinely determined hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20098, 82(3-3), pp.91-93. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou82/03_03.pdf

乮戞182 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2009515, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2008擭娾庤丒媨忛撪棨抧恔慜偺搶杒抧曽偺抧恔妶摦偵偮偄偰乮孎郪婱梇, 旜宍椙旻, 墦揷怶師乯

Seismicity changes in northern Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20098, 82(3-5), pp.96-105. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou82/03_05.pdf

乮戞182 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2009515, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗乯

 

2006擭愮搰楍搰壂抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偺帪嬻娫曄壔偲僗僩儗僗曄壔 亅傾僂僞乕儔僀僘抧恔偺慜嬱偡傋傝偺壜擻惈乮旜宍椙旻, 墦揷怶師乯

On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip preceding the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20088, 80(12-5), pp.562-567. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou80/12_05.pdf

177 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛媍, 2008519, 抧恔梊抦楢棈夛, 嬨抜戞擇崌摨挕幧, 搶嫗, 彽懸島墘

 

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛40擭偺偁備傒乿侾丏抧恔梊抦楢棈夛峔惉婡娭偺妶摦乮10擭傪怳傝曉偭偰乯

(4). 戝妛嫟摨棙梡婡娭朄恖 忣曬V僗僥儉尋媶婡峔 摑寁悢棟尋媶強 pp.85-88.乮旜宍椙旻乯

 

2007擭拞墇壂抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偍傛傃廃曈晹偺抧恔妶摦偲抧妅曄摦偵偮偄偰

On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around the source, and the normal feature of the aftershock activity

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20082, 79(7-3), pp.345-352. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou79/07_03.pdf

 

嵟嬤30擭偺戝抧恔敪惗偲巜掕抧堟偵偮偄偰

Occurrence of the large earthquakes during 19782007 compared with the selected seismicity zones by the Coordinating Committee of Earthquake Prediction

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20082, 79(12-1), pp.623-625. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou79/12_01.pdf

 

愮搰楍搰壂偺抧恔妶摦偺帪嬻娫僷僞儞偲僗僩儗僗曄壔乮旜宍椙旻, 墦揷怶師乯

Anomalies of seismicity in space and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20078, 78(2-3), pp.60-66. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou78/02_03.pdf

 

擻搊敿搰廃曈偺抧恔妶摦偲抧妅曄摦偵偮偄偰

Anomalies of seismicity and crustal movement in and around the Noto Peninsula before the 2007 earthquake of M6.9

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20078, 78(7-11), pp.399-404. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou78/07_11.pdf

 

抧恔妶摦堎忢偲抧妅曄摦堎忢2004擭拞墇抧恔偲2005擭暉壀導惣曽壂偺抧恔偺慜偺拞婜揑曄壔偵偮偄偰

Anomalies of seismic activities and geodetic trends preceding the 2004 Chuetsu Earthquake of M6.8 and the 2005 Western Fukuoka-Ken-Oki Earthquake of M7.0

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20072, 77(11-4), pp.452-459. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou77/11-4.pdf

 

梋恔妶摦偺帪嬻娫揑堎忢偲僗僩儗僗曄壔偺嬻娫暘晍

Anomalies of aftershock activities in space and time measured by the Omori-Utsu formula and stress changes

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20068, 76(11-1), pp.590-597. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou77/11-1.pdf

 

2005816擔偺媨忛導壂抧恔乮M7.2乯偺廃曈晹偺妶摦偲梋恔妶摦偵偮偄偰

Seismic activities in and around Tohoku District, northern Japan, prior to the 16th August 2005 interplate earthquake of M7.2 off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, and the aftershock activity of the M7.2 earthquake

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20062, 75(3-6), pp.129-131. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou75/03_06.pdf

 

嬤擭偺尠挊側抧恔偺梋恔妶摦偵偮偄偰

Aftershock activities of recent conspicuous earthquakes in and near Japan

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20062, 75(11-4), pp.593-597. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou75/11_04.pdf

 

妶摦堟偵偍偗傞尠挊側梋恔妶摦偲偦傟傑偱偺忢帪抧恔妶摦偺條幃偲偺斾妑偵偮偄偰

On conspicuous aftershock activity relative to the background seismicity in the active regions

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20062, 75(11-5), pp.598-601. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou75/11_05.pdf

 

2003擭廫彑壂抧恔乮M8.0乯偲2004擭孃楬壂偺抧恔乮M7.1乯偺梋恔妶摦偍傛傃杒奀摴搶晹偺撪棨抧恔妶摦偺摿挜偵偮偄偰

Anomalies in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0 and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the eastern Hokkaido inland

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20059, 74(2-6), pp.83-88. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou74/02-06.pdf

 

2005擭暉壀導惣曽壂偺抧恔乮M7.0乯慜偺嬨廈抧曽媦傃晅嬤偵偍偗傞拞婜揑側抧恔妶摦偺摿挜偵偮偄偰

Seismicity changes in and around Kyushu District before the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 in the western offshore of Fukuoka Prefecture

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20059, 74(10-18), pp.523-528. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou74/10-18.pdf

 

暉壀導惣曽壂偺梋恔妶摦偵偮偄偰丗 嵟戝梋恔 (M5.8) 埲慜偵曬崘偝傟偨憡懳揑惷壐壔偲梋恔堟傪僗僩儗僗僔儍僪僂偵偡傞傛偆側慜嬱偡傋傝偺僔僫儕僆

Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) in the aftershocks of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Kyushu, and possible scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20059, 74(10-19), pp.529-535. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou74/10-19.pdf

 

2004擭怴妰導拞墇抧恔(M6.8)偺梋恔妶摦偺摿挜偲抧恔慜偺廃曈晹偵偍偗傞抧恔妶摦偺摿挜偵偮偄偰

On an anomalous aftershock activity of the 2004 Niigata-ken-Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8, and intermediate-term seismicity anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20053, 73(7-4), pp.327-331. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou73/07_04.pdf

 

2004擭婭埳敿搰撿搶壂偺抧恔乮M7.4乯偺梋恔妶摦偺摿挜偲杮恔偺攋夡抐憌儌僨儖偲偺娭學偵偮偄偰

On the aftershock activity of the 2004 earthquake of M7.4 at the southeast off the coast of the Kii Peninsula, and constraints on the fault-rupture models by the mechanisms and space-time pattern of the aftershocks

乽抧恔梊抦楢棈夛夛曬乿20053, 73(8-7), pp.495-498. http://cais.gsi.go.jp/YOCHIREN/report/kaihou73/08_07.pdf