Updated on 29
October 2024
’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï •ñ The
Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction (CCEP) Reports
ƒÅV„
’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïu—\‘ªŽÀŒ± WGv‚ÌÝ’u (2022”N5ŒŽ16“ú)@¨ PDF
”öŒ`—Ç•F (2019).
’nkŠˆ“®“x‚É‚æ‚é’ZŠúE’†Šú‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÆŒ‹‰Ê, ’nk—\’mŒ¤‹†‚ÌŒ»ó‚Æ¡Œã‚Ì“W–], ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï50Žü”N‹L”OŠé‰æŒöŠJƒVƒ“ƒ|ƒWƒEƒ€, “Œ‹ž‘åŠw•“cæ’[’mƒrƒ‹•“cƒz[ƒ‹, “Œ‹ž“s•¶‹ž‹æ, 2019”N3ŒŽ16“ú, ƒ|ƒXƒ^[µ‘Ò”•\. ¨
2024”NM7.6”\“o”¼“‡’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‰ðÍ@(ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F)
Analysis of Aftershock
Activity of the 2024 Noto Peninsula M7.6 Earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ112Šª (6-4), pp.232-239.
i‘æ243‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2024”N5ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
’nŠkŠˆ“®‚Ì—\‘ªŽÀŒ±i2j\ “à—¤’nk‚Ì’ZŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª‚Æ•]‰¿i2019–2024.01.08j (”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Y)
Experiments in Prediction of Crustal Activity (2)-Short-term
Probability Prediction and Evaluation of Inland Earthquakes (2019 – 2024.01.08)
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ112Šª (10-4), pp.491-495.
i‘æ243‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2024”N5ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
2024”NM7.6”\“o”¼“‡’nk‘OŒã‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì‹t‰ðÍ (”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Y)
Inversion Analysis of Seismic Activity Before
and After the 2024 Noto Peninsula
M7.6 Earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ112Šª (11-12), pp.697-705.
i‘æ242‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2024”N2ŒŽ29“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
’nkƒf[ƒ^‚ÌŒ‡‘ª—¦‚ðl—¶‚µ‚½ƒgƒJƒ‰—ñ“‡‚¨‚æ‚Ñ’¹“‡‹ßŠC‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚̉ðÍ (”öŒ`—Ç•F)@
Analysis of seismic activity in near
the Tokara Islands and the Torishima Island taking
missing rates of earthquakes into account
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (10-4),
pp.497-504.
i‘æ241‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”’nk‚ÌŒo‰ß‚Æ‘å’nk‘OŒã‚̈Ù튈“®‚̉ðŽß
(ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F) (µ‘Òu‰‰)@
Interpretation of the course of the
Noto Peninsula earthquake swarm and some anomalous activities before and after
major earthquakes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (11-12), pp.559-568.
‘æ241‰ñ d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs(09)
|’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’†Šú—\‘ª‚ÌŒŸØv‚ÌŒŸ“¢
i‘æ241‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
Œn““I‚ÈŒ‡‘ª‚𔺂¤’nkƒJƒ^ƒƒO‚©‚çŽÀÛ‚ÌŠˆ“®—¦•Ï‰»‚Ì„’èF M6.5 ”\“o”¼“‡’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä (”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Y)@
Estimation of actual activity rate changes
from earthquake catalogs, with systematic missing measurements: Aftershock
activity of the M6.5 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (6-2), pp.292-298.
i‘æ240‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N8ŒŽ31“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
’nŠkŠˆ“®‚Ì—\‘ªŽÀŒ±(1)@| “à—¤’nk‚Ì’ZŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª‚Æ•]‰¿‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä@(”öŒ`—Ç•F)
Experiments in Prediction of Crustal Activity (1) - Short-term
Probability Prediction and Evaluation of Inland Earthquakes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (10-6), pp.584-588.
i‘æ238‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N2ŒŽ28“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
’nŠkŠˆ“®‚Ì—\‘ª(2)@Å‹ß‚Ì”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ“I“Á’¥‚Æ2023”N5ŒŽ5“úM6.5’nk‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä@(ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F) ¨
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ110Šª (10-6), pp.443-450.
i‘æ239‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N5ŒŽ31“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
2023”N2ŒŽ6“ú‚É”¶‚µ‚½ƒgƒ‹ƒR’†•”’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä (”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Y)
Aftershock activity of
the 6th February 2023 Central Turkey earthquakes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ110Šª (10-3), pp.426-431.
i‘æ238‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N2ŒŽ28“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
lH’m”\‚É‚æ‚é•¡”ŠÏ‘ª“_‚ð—p‚¢‚½’nkE‘ª’nƒCƒxƒ“ƒgŒŸ’mŽè–@ŠJ”@(–î–ìŒb—C)
Development
of seismic and geodetic event detection methods using multiple observation
stations by artificial intelligence
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ110Šª (11-2), pp.453-454.
i‘æ238‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N2ŒŽ28“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚©‚猩‚¦‚é”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’nˆæ“I•Ï‰»@(‘±•ñ2) (ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@
Regional features
revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model for earthquake swarm activity in
Noto Peninsula - Continuation Report 2
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ109Šª (7-2), pp.321-325.
i‘æ237‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2022”N11ŒŽ25“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
”wŒi’nkŠˆ“®“x‚ð—p‚¢‚½“à—¤’nk‚Ì’·Šú—\‘ª‚ÆŒŸØ•]‰¿, d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu“à—¤’nk‚Ì’·Šú—\‘ªv‚ÌŒŸ“¢
(”öŒ`—Ç•F)iµ‘Òu‰‰j
Prediction and
validation of long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the
hierarchical space–time ETAS and space–time Poisson process models
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ109Šª (12-9), pp.591-598.
i‘æ237‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2022”N11ŒŽ25“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚©‚猩‚¦‚é”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’nˆæ“I•Ï‰» (‘±•ñ) (ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@
Regional features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model for
earthquake swarm activity in Noto Peninsula
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2022”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ108Šª (7-3), pp.310-313.
i‘æ235‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2021”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
ŠK‘w“IŽž‹óŠÔ ETAS ƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚È‚Ç‚É‚æ‚é’ZE’†E’·Šú‚Ì’nkŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÆŒŸØ•]‰¿i”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Prediction and validation
of short- medium- and long-term earthquake probabilities using a hierarchical
space-time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) models, etc.
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2022”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ107Šª (12-8), pp.547-555.
‘æ233‰ñ d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs(08) |ŽŽs‚©‚çŽÀŽ{‚ւ̈Ús|v‚ÌŒŸ“¢
i‘æ233‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2021”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚©‚猩‚¦‚é”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’nˆæ“I•Ï‰» (ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@
Changing features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model in
regional earthquake swarm activity of the Noto Peninsula
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2022”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ107Šª (7-4), pp.292-296.
i‘æ233‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2021”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
’·–ìEŠò•ŒE•ŸˆäŒ§‹«•t‹ß‚ÌŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@
Earthquake
activity near the border of Nagano, Gifu and Fukui prefectures
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2021”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ106Šª
(7-2),
pp.332-336.
i‘æ230‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2021”N2ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
‘æ229‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs07|’nkŠˆ“®—\‘ª‚ÌŒŸØ|v‚ÌŒŸ“¢@
ŠK‘w“IŽž‹óŠÔETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ÉŠî‚Â’ZŠúE’†ŠúE’·Šú—\‘ª‚¨‚æ‚Ñ”wŒi—¦—\‘ª |Ž©“®—\‘ª‚ÌŠJ”‚ÉŒü‚¯‚Ä|
(”öŒ`—Ç•F) iµ‘Òu‰‰j
Short-, medium-, long-term and
background-rate forecasts based on a hierarchical space-time ETAS model:
Towards the development of automated forecasts
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2021”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ105Šª (12-10),
pp.493-499.
i‘æ229‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c
(ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2020”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj
‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)
ƒŠƒAƒ‹ƒ^ƒCƒ€’ZŠú—\‘ª‚ÌŽÀŽ{‚Æ•]‰¿‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Summary of gTrials of experimental
earthquake forecasts #06: Implementation and evaluation of real-time short-term
forecastsh
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª
(12-6),
pp.352-355.
i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)
‘½—l‚È—\‘ª•ûŽ®‚É‘ÎŽ¯•Êƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚·‚é‘Ok‚Æ‚»‚Ì—\‘ª«”\•]‰¿i–쑺rˆê¥”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Foreshock
discrimination models for various prediction schemes and evaluation of their
predictive performance
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª
(12-8),
pp.361-366.
i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)
“ú–{‚É‚¨‚¯‚é—]kŠˆ“®‚̃ŠƒAƒ‹ƒ^ƒCƒ€Šm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’Gj
Real-time aftershock
forecasting in Japan
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª (12-9),
pp.367-368.
i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)
ŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚錟o‚Æ‘ª’nŠwƒf[ƒ^‚ÉŠî‚—\‘ª‰Â”\«‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y¥”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Detection of
swarm activities by nonstationary ETAS model and their predictability based on
geodetic data
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª
(12-12),
pp.378-384.
i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)
ŠK‘w“IŽž‹óŠÔETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é’ZŠúE’†Šú—\‘ªi”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Short- and
medium-term forecasts using hierarchical spatiotemporal ETAS model
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª
(12-13),
pp.385-387.
i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
Žñ“sŒ—’¼‰º‚ÌŽOŽŸŒ³’nkŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ÆÚ×—\‘ªi”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒjNˆê, ’߉ªO, •½“c’¼j
High resolution space-time model
forecasting 3D seismicity beneath Kanto Region
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2019”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ102Šª (4-5), pp.123-129.
i‘æ222‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2019”N2ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
–kŠC“¹’_U“Œ•”’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚Ì“Á’¥‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª O)@
Characteristics
of aftershock activity of the Hokkaido Eastern Iburi
Earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2019”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ101Šª (2-7), pp.73-77.
i‘æ221‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2018”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2018”N‘åã–k•”‹y‚Ñ’_U’n•û‚Ì’nk‚ɑ΂·‚郊ƒAƒŠƒ^ƒCƒ€—]kŠm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, Ž¬Œ©Ÿ•F, Bogdan Enescu,
àVè ˆè, ‡Œ´ˆêK)@
Real-time aftershock forecasting for
the 2018 Northern Osaka and Iburi earthquakes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2019”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ101Šª (8-18),
pp.407-410.
i‘æ221‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2018”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
‘æ218‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èuŒF–{’nk‚ÅŒ©‚¦‚Ä‚«‚½‰Û‘èv‚ÌŒŸ“¢
“_‰ß’öƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚éŒF–{’nk‘OŒã‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚̉ðÍiŒFàV‹M—Y*, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª Ojiµ‘Òu‰‰j
Measuring seismicity diversity before and after
the Kumamoto earthquake by point process models
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ100Šª (12-6),
pp.397-404.
i‘æ218‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2018”N2ŒŽ23“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
‘æ218‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èuŒF–{’nk‚ÅŒ©‚¦‚Ä‚«‚½‰Û‘èv‚ÌŒŸ“¢
BPTƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚Ì‹¤’ʂ̂΂ç‚‚«ƒpƒ‰ƒ[ƒ^‚Ì„’è‚ƃxƒCƒYŒ^—\‘ªi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*j
Inference of a common aperiodicity parameter
and Bayesian forecast in the BPT model
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ100Šª (11-2),
pp.350-355.
i‘æ218‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2018”N2ŒŽ23“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
‘æ217‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs 04v‚ÌŒŸ“¢
ƒ}ƒOƒjƒ`ƒ…[ƒh‚ÆŽž‹óŠÔî•ñ‚ÉŠî‚‘OkŠm—¦•]‰¿ƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ÌŽ¯•Ê«”\i–쑺rˆê*, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fjiµ‘Òu‰‰j
Foreshock Discrimination Model Based on
Magnitudes and Spatio-temporal Information and its
Predictive Performance
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ99Šª (12-9), pp.446-451.
i‘æ217‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2017”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
‘æ217‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs 04v‚ÌŒŸ“¢
ŽŸ‚Ì’nk‚̃}ƒOƒjƒ`ƒ…[ƒh—\‘ª‚Æ•]‰¿i”öŒ`—Ç•Fj(µ‘Òu‰‰)
Magnitude
forecasts of the next earthquake and evaluation
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ99Šª (12-10), pp.452-455.
i‘æ217‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2017”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2016”NŒF–{’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ªOj
Aftershock analysis of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ98Šª (10-3), pp.386-391.
i‘æ215‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2017”N5ŒŽ19“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
ÅV‚ÌŠˆ’f‘wƒJƒ^ƒƒO‚ÉŠî‚ÂBPT—\‘ªi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj@
BPT model forecast based on the recent paleoearthquake catalog
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ98Šª (11-5), pp.443-448.
i‘æ215‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2017”N5ŒŽ19“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
“ú–{—ñ“‡“à—¤•”‚Ì펞’nkŠˆ“®“x‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi”öŒ`—Ç•F)@
On consecutive
seismicity rate in Japanese inland
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ97Šª (1-3),
pp.9-12.
i‘æ213‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2016”N11ŒŽ11“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2016”N’¹ŽæŒ§’†•”‚Ì’nk (M6.6) ‘OŒã‚ÌŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi”öŒ`—Ç•FC’߉ªOC‹ß]’GC–쑺rˆêCŒF‘ò‹M—YC‡Œ´ˆêKj
Seismic activity
before and after the 2016 Central Tottori Prefecture earthquake@
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ97Šª (9-7), pp.368-374.
i‘æ213‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N11ŒŽ11“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu•½¬28”Ni2016”NjŒF–{’nkv
2016”NŒF–{’nk‚ð‚ß‚®‚é’nkŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚Ñ—]kŠˆ“®‚ÉŠÖ‚·‚éŠm—¦—\‘ª–â‘èi”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‹ß]’G, ŒFàV‹M—Y, –쑺rˆê, ’߉ª O, ‡Œ´ˆêKjiµ‘Òu‰‰j
Seismicity anomalies before
and after the 2016 M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes, probability evaluations
of the M7.3 earthquake, and aftershock forecasts
i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2016”N4ŒŽ1“úŽOdŒ§“ì“Œ‰«‚Ì’nkiM6.1j‚É‘±‚ŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì“Œv‰ðÍiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰Á“¡ˆ¤‘¾˜Y, ’߉ª Oj
Statistical analysis
of the swarm activity induced by the 2016 April earthquake of M6.1 at the
southeast off the coast of the Mie Prefecture
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (8-5), pp.304-310.
i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2016”NŒF–{’nk‘O‚Ì‹ãB’nˆæ‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚Ñ—]kŠˆ“®‚Ì“Œv“Iƒ‚ƒjƒ^ƒŠƒ“ƒOiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª Oj
Statistical
monitoring of seismicity in Kyushu District before the occurrence of the 2016
Kumamoto earthquakes of M6.5 and M7.3
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-21),
pp.642-651.
i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2016”NŒF–{’nkiM7.3j‚Ì‘OkŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Foreshock forecast
probabilities of the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-22),
pp.652-657.
i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
ŒF–{
M7.3 ’nk‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÌŽŽŽZi”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Provisional
calculations of the probability forecast of the Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-23),
pp.658-661.
i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2016”NŒF–{’nk‚Ì—]k‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª O, ‡Œ´ˆêKj
Probability
aftershock forecasting of the M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes of 2016
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-24), pp.662-667.
i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é’nkŠˆ“®ˆÙí‚̃‚ƒjƒ^ƒŠƒ“ƒO
Monitoring
seismicity anomalies by statistical models
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2015”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ94Šª (12-08),
pp.412-423.
i‘æ207‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2015”N5ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨@¨
ˆÉ“¤“Œ•”‚ÌŒQ”’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì„ˆÚ‚Ì’ZŠú—\‘ª‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, –Ø‘ºˆê—m, ‘O“cŒ›“ñ, ¬—Ѻ•vj
Predicting changing
rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2015”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ94Šª (5-1),
pp.136-144.
i‘æ206‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2015”N2ŒŽ16“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
펞’nkŠˆ“® E—]k E—U”’nk‚Ì—\‘ª”\—Í‚Æ•]‰¿
Evaluating predictive ability of background
seismicity, aftershocks and induced earthquakes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2015”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ93Šª (12-7),
pp.415-426.
‘æ204‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu’nk¥’nŠk•Ï“®—\‘ª”\—Í‚ÌŒ»ó•]‰¿v
i‘æ204‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2014”N8ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
ETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é—]k‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, •½“cËl, ‡Œ´ˆêKj
Probability aftershock forecasting by the ETAS
model
¢’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ92Šª (11-2), pp.386-389.
i‘æ202‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2014”N2ŒŽ17“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
–{k’¼Œã‚Ì—]k‚̃ŠƒAƒ‹ƒ^ƒCƒ€Šm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, •½“cËl, ‡Œ´ˆêKj
Real-time prediction of the probability of
aftershocks after the main shock
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (3-2),
pp.66-71.
i‘æ200‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚̃AƒEƒ^[ƒ‰ƒCƒYŽü•Ó‚Å‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi2011.3.11–2013.10.26j
The aftershock activity
of M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake in and around outer-rise region (2011.3.11–2013.10.26)
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (3-3),
pp.72-76.
i‘æ201‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2013”N4ŒŽ13“ú’W˜H“‡‚Ì’nk(M6.3)‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®i2011.4.13–2013.11.8j
Aftershock activity of the 13 April 2013
earthquake of M6.3 in Awaji Island (2011.4.13–2013.11.8)
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (8-3),
pp.267-268.
i‘æ201‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
‘å’nk‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ª‚Æ“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹
Probablistic forecasts of large earthquakes using
statistical models
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (12-6),
pp.387-395.
‘æ200‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu’nk‚Ì’ZŠú—\‘ª‚ÌŒ»ó‚Æ•]‰¿v
i‘æ200‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
i‘SƒXƒ‰ƒCƒhF’ZŠú—\‘ª‚Æ“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹ ¨
j
Žž‹óŠÔ”ñ’èí BPTƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é–k“ú–{‘¾•½—m‰«’¾‚Ýž‚ݑт̬ŒJ‚è•Ô‚µ’nki1993.7.15 - 2011.3.10j‚̉ðÍ—á(2)|“Á‚ÉŽå—v’nk‚Ì‘O‚ÆŒã‚̕ω»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä|i–쑺rˆê, “à“c’¼Šó, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and
statistical analysis of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the
subducting Pacific Plate from July 15, 1993 till March 10, 2011, on emphasis of
before and after major earthquakes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (2-3),
pp.54-57.
i‘æ199‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2013”N5ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
Žž‹óŠÔ”ñ’èí BPTƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚Æ–k“ú–{‘¾•½—m‰«’¾‚Ýž‚ݑт̬ŒJ‚è•Ô‚µ’nki1993.7.15 - 2011.3.10j‚̉ðÍ—á(1)i–쑺rˆê, “à“c’¼Šó, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and analysis
of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate
from July 15, 1993 till March 11, 2011
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (2-2),
pp.49-53.
i‘æ198‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2013”N2ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®i2011.3.11 - 2013.2.2j
Aftershock activity of the Tohoku-Oki
earthquake (2011.3.11 – 2013.2.2)
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (3-2),
pp.104-108.
i‘æ198‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2013”N2ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2013”N4ŒŽ13“ú’W˜H“‡•t‹ß‚Ì’nkiM6.3j‚Ü‚Å‚ÉŽŠ‚镺ŒÉŒ§“ì•”’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚Ȃǂ̈Ùí•Ï‰»‚‚¢‚Ä
Long-term aftershock activity of the 1995 Kobe
earthquake of M7.3 until the 13 April 2013 earthquake of M6.3 near Awaji Island
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (8-3),
pp.352-355.
i‘æ199‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2013”N5ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2004”NM9.1ƒXƒ}ƒgƒ‰’nk‚Éæs‚µ‚½’nk”¶—¦‚̕ω»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Seismicity anomaly that preceded the 2004
Sumatra earthquake M9.1
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ89Šª (12-11),
pp.432-440.
i‘æ197‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2012”N11ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
1995”N•ºŒÉŒ§“ì•”’nk‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä—U”‚³‚ꂽ’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì‘k‹y“I—\‘ª‚ƉðÍ
Retrospective analysis of the long-term
prediction of seismic activities that are induced by the 1995 Kobe earthquake
of M7.3
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ89Šª (8-2),
pp.278-281.
i‘æ196‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2012”N8ŒŽ29“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä—U”‚³‚ꂽ“ú–{—ñ“‡‚Ì’†’·ŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ•ª•z
Long- and intermediate space-time forecast in
Japanese Islands induced by the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ88Šª (1-6),
pp.35-39.
i‘æ195‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2012”N5ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä—U”‚³‚ꂽ’nˆæ‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’·ŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª
Long-term probability forecast of the regional
seismicity that was induced by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ88Šª (3-2),
pp.92-99.
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®
Tohoku earthquake aftershock activity
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ88Šª (3-3),
pp.100-103.
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚Ƽ–{•t‹ß‚Ì—U”’nkŠˆ“®
Tohoku earthquake aftershock activity and triggered
activity near Matsumoto
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ87Šª (12-13), pp.546-553.
i‘æ192‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2011”N8ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨ ¨
‘Ok‚ÌŠm—¦—\•ñ‚ÌŽÀŽ{‚Æ•]‰¿F “Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ü‚Å‚Ì15”NŠÔ ¨
Operational probability foreshock forecasts up
until Tohoku-Oki earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N11ŒŽ, ‘æ86Šª(3-18), pp.123-125.
i‘æ191‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2011”N6ŒŽ13“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]k‚ƘA½’nki”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Yj¨
Tohoku earthquake: aftershock activity and
triggered activities in the eastern Honshu area
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N11ŒŽ, ‘æ86Šª (3-19), pp.126-133.
i‘æ191‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2011”N6ŒŽ13“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì‘OkŠˆ“®‚ÆLˆæ“Iɸ‰»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä ¨
Preshock activity and quiescence for long-term seismic
activity in and around Japan
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N11ŒŽ, ‘æ86Šª (3-20),
pp.134-141.
i‘æ191‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2011”N6ŒŽ13“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
i‘æ190‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2011”N4ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï,
‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨ ¨
‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu’nkŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄvŠT—v
Summary of intensive discussion subject for
gSeismic activityh
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ85Šª (12-1),
pp.429-432.
i‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N8ŒŽ20“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
‘Ok‚ÌŠm—¦—\•ñ‚ÌŽÀŽ{
Operational Probability Forecast of Foreshocks
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ85Šª (12-4), pp.440-444.
i‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N8ŒŽ20“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
Œx•ñŒ^’nk—\‘ª‚Ì«”\•]‰¿–@‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi¯Œš‘q, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Evaluation of warning forecasts by a gambling
score
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ85Šª (12-7),
pp.451-452.
i‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N8ŒŽ20“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
2008”NŠâŽè‹{é“à—¤’nk‘O‚Ì’f‘w“ì•”Žü•Ó‚Ì’nŠk•Ï“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
Aseismic slip scenario for transient crustal
deformations around the southern fault before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland
earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ84Šª (3-5),
pp.93-97.
i‘æ185‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N2ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
Šˆ’f‘w‚Ì‚¸‚êî•ñ‚ð—˜—p‚µ‚½BPT‰ß’ö‚ÌŽ–‘O•ª•z‚É‚æ‚éƒxƒCƒYŒ^—\‘ª‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
A Bayesian predictor based on prior
distributions of BPT model with slip rates
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ84Šª (11-11), pp.231-236.
i‘æ185‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N2ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
‚‚’l‚Æ‚d‚s‚`‚rƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚à‚Ƃ“ú–{—ñ“‡‚Ì•W€“I’nk”¶—\‘ª
Earthquake forecast in Japanese Islands based
on location-dependent b-values and space-time ETAS model
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ83Šª (1-2),
pp.5-8.
i‘æ183‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨
2009”N 8ŒŽx‰Í˜p‚Ì’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ÆɪŒ§’†¼•”’nˆæ‚Ì’nkŠˆ“® ¨
Seismicity changes in the central and western
district of
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ83Šª (6-4), pp.231-236.
i‘æ183‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
“Œ–k’n•û“Œ•û‰«‚Ì’nk‚Ì[‚³‚Ì“Œv“I•â³–@‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
A correction method of routinely determined
hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2009”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ82Šª (3-3),
pp.91-93.
i‘æ182‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N5ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
2008”NŠâŽèE‹{é“à—¤’nk‘O‚Ì“Œ–k’n•û‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰““cWŽŸj
Seismicity changes in northern Tohoku District
before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2009”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ82Šª (3-5),
pp.96-105.
i‘æ182‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N5ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj
2006”N瓇—ñ“‡‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ•Ï‰»‚ƃXƒgƒŒƒX•Ï‰» |ƒAƒEƒ^[ƒ‰ƒCƒY’nk‚Ì‘O‹ì‚·‚ׂè‚̉”\«|i”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰““cWŽŸj
On- and off-fault aftershocks of the
2006
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2008”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ80Šª (12-5), pp.562-567.
i‘æ177‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c,
2008”N5ŒŽ19“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹ž, µ‘Òu‰‰j
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï40”N‚Ì‚ ‚ä‚Ýv‚PD’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï\¬‹@ŠÖ‚ÌŠˆ“®i10”N‚ðU‚è•Ô‚Á‚Äj¨
(4). ‘åŠw‹¤“¯—˜—p‹@ŠÖ–@l î•ñ¥ƒVƒXƒeƒ€Œ¤‹†‹@\ “Œv”—Œ¤‹†Š pp.85-88.i”öŒ`—Ç•Fj
2007”N’†‰z‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚ÑŽü•Ó•”‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Æ’nŠk•Ï“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around the source, and the normal feature of the aftershock activity
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2008”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ79Šª (7-3), pp.345-352.
Å‹ß30”N‚Ì‘å’nk”¶‚ÆŽw’è’nˆæ‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Occurrence of the large earthquakes
during 1978`2007 compared with the selected
seismicity zones by the Coordinating Committee of Earthquake Prediction
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2008”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ79Šª (12-1), pp.623-625.
瓇—ñ“‡‰«‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔƒpƒ^ƒ“‚ƃXƒgƒŒƒX•Ï‰»i”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰““cWŽŸj
Anomalies of seismicity in space and
time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2007”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ78Šª (2-3), pp.60-66.
”\“o”¼“‡Žü•Ó‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Æ’nŠk•Ï“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Anomalies of seismicity and crustal
movement in and around the
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2007”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ78Šª (7-11), pp.399-404.
’nkŠˆ“®ˆÙí‚Æ’nŠk•Ï“®ˆÙí2004”N’†‰z’nk‚Æ2005”N•Ÿ‰ªŒ§¼•û‰«‚Ì’nk‚Ì‘O‚Ì’†Šú“I•Ï‰»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Anomalies of seismic activities and
geodetic trends preceding the 2004 Chuetsu Earthquake of M6.8 and the 2005
Western Fukuoka-Ken-Oki Earthquake of M7.0
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2007”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ77Šª (11-4), pp.452-459.
—]kŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ“IˆÙí‚ƃXƒgƒŒƒX•Ï‰»‚Ì‹óŠÔ•ª•z
Anomalies of aftershock activities
in space and time measured by the Omori-Utsu formula and stress changes
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ76Šª (11-1), pp.590-597.
2005”N8ŒŽ16“ú‚Ì‹{錧‰«’nkiM7.2j‚ÌŽü•Ó•”‚ÌŠˆ“®‚Æ—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Seismic activities in and around
Tohoku District, northern Japan, prior to the 16th August 2005 interplate earthquake of M7.2 off the coast of Miyagi
Prefecture, and the aftershock activity of the M7.2 earthquake
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ75Šª (3-6), pp.129-131.
‹ß”N‚ÌŒ°’˜‚È’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Aftershock activities of recent
conspicuous earthquakes in and near
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ75Šª (11-4), pp.593-597.
Šˆ“®ˆæ‚É‚¨‚¯‚錰’˜‚È—]kŠˆ“®‚Æ‚»‚ê‚Ü‚Å‚Ì펞’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì—lŽ®‚Æ‚Ì”äŠr‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
On conspicuous aftershock activity
relative to the background seismicity in the active regions
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ75Šª (11-5), pp.598-601.
2003”N\Ÿ‰«’nkiM8.0j‚Æ2004”N‹ú˜H‰«‚Ì’nkiM7.1j‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚Ñ–kŠC“¹“Œ•”‚Ì“à—¤’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì“Á’¥‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Anomalies in the aftershock
sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0
and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the
eastern
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2005”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ74Šª (2-6),
pp.83-88.
2005”N•Ÿ‰ªŒ§¼•û‰«‚Ì’nkiM7.0j‘O‚Ì‹ãB’n•û‹y‚Ñ•t‹ß‚É‚¨‚¯‚é’†Šú“I‚È’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì“Á’¥‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä
Seismicity changes in and around
Kyushu District before the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 in the western offshore of
u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2005