Updated on 29 October 2024

’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï •ñ  The Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction (CCEP) Reports

āV

 

 

 

 

’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïu—\‘ªŽÀŒ± WGv‚ÌÝ’u (2022”N5ŒŽ16“ú) PDF

”öŒ`—Ç•F (2019). ’nkŠˆ“®“x‚É‚æ‚é’ZŠúE’†Šú‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÆŒ‹‰Ê, ’nk—\’mŒ¤‹†‚ÌŒ»ó‚Æ¡Œã‚Ì“W–], ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï50Žü”N‹L”OŠé‰æŒöŠJƒVƒ“ƒ|ƒWƒEƒ€, “Œ‹ž‘åŠw•“cæ’[’mƒrƒ‹•“cƒz[ƒ‹, “Œ‹ž“s•¶‹ž‹æ, 2019”N3ŒŽ16“ú, ƒ|ƒXƒ^[µ‘Ò”­•\. ¨

 

 

ƒ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñ

2024”NM7.6”\“o”¼“‡’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‰ðÍ@(ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F) 

Analysis of Aftershock Activity of the 2024 Noto Peninsula M7.6 Earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ112Šª (6-4), pp.232-239.

i‘æ243‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2024”N5ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

’nŠkŠˆ“®‚Ì—\‘ªŽÀŒ±i2j\ “à—¤’nk‚Ì’ZŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª‚Æ•]‰¿i2019–2024.01.08j (”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Y)

Experiments in Prediction of Crustal Activity (2)-Short-term Probability Prediction and Evaluation of Inland Earthquakes (2019 – 2024.01.08)

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ112Šª (10-4), pp.491-495.

i‘æ243‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2024”N5ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

2024”NM7.6”\“o”¼“‡’nk‘OŒã‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì‹t‰ðÍ (”öŒ`—Ç•FŒFàV‹M—Y)

Inversion Analysis of Seismic Activity Before and After the 2024 Noto Peninsula

M7.6 Earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ112Šª (11-12), pp.697-705.

i‘æ242‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2024”N2ŒŽ29“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

’nkƒf[ƒ^‚ÌŒ‡‘ª—¦‚ðl—¶‚µ‚½ƒgƒJƒ‰—ñ“‡‚¨‚æ‚Ñ’¹“‡‹ßŠC‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚̉ðÍ (”öŒ`—Ç•F)@

Analysis of seismic activity in near the Tokara Islands and the Torishima Island taking missing rates of earthquakes into account

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (10-4), pp.497-504.

i‘æ241‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”­’nk‚ÌŒo‰ß‚Æ‘å’nk‘OŒã‚̈Ù튈“®‚̉ðŽß (ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F) (µ‘Òu‰‰)@

Interpretation of the course of the Noto Peninsula earthquake swarm and some anomalous activities before and after major earthquakes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (11-12), pp.559-568.

‘æ241‰ñ d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs(09) |’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’†Šú—\‘ª‚ÌŒŸØv‚ÌŒŸ“¢

i‘æ241‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

Œn““I‚ÈŒ‡‘ª‚𔺂¤’nkƒJƒ^ƒƒO‚©‚çŽÀÛ‚ÌŠˆ“®—¦•Ï‰»‚Ì„’èF M6.5 ”\“o”¼“‡’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä  (”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Y)@

Estimation of actual activity rate changes from earthquake catalogs, with systematic missing measurements: Aftershock activity of the M6.5 Noto Peninsula Earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (6-2), pp.292-298.

i‘æ240‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N8ŒŽ31“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

’nŠkŠˆ“®‚Ì—\‘ªŽÀŒ±(1)@| “à—¤’nk‚Ì’ZŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª‚Æ•]‰¿‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä@(”öŒ`—Ç•F) 

Experiments in Prediction of Crustal Activity (1) - Short-term Probability Prediction and Evaluation of Inland Earthquakes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2024”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ111Šª (10-6), pp.584-588.

i‘æ238‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N2ŒŽ28“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

’nŠkŠˆ“®‚Ì—\‘ª(2)@Å‹ß‚Ì”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ“I“Á’¥‚Æ2023”N5ŒŽ5“úM6.5’nk‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä@(ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F)  ¨

Prediction of crustal activity: (2) Space-time features of the Noto Peninsula swarm activity and the May 5, 2023 Earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ110Šª (10-6), pp.443-450.

i‘æ239‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N5ŒŽ31“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

2023”N2ŒŽ6“ú‚É”­¶‚µ‚½ƒgƒ‹ƒR’†•”’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä (”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Y)

Aftershock activity of the 6th February 2023 Central Turkey earthquakes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ110Šª (10-3), pp.426-431.

i‘æ238‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N2ŒŽ28“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

lH’m”\‚É‚æ‚é•¡”ŠÏ‘ª“_‚ð—p‚¢‚½’nkE‘ª’nƒCƒxƒ“ƒgŒŸ’mŽè–@ŠJ”­@(–î–ìŒb—C)

Development of seismic and geodetic event detection methods using multiple observation stations by artificial intelligence

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ110Šª (11-2), pp.453-454.

i‘æ238‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2023”N2ŒŽ28“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚©‚猩‚¦‚é”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’nˆæ“I•Ï‰»@(‘±•ñ2)  (ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@

Regional features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model for earthquake swarm activity in Noto Peninsula - Continuation Report 2

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ109Šª (7-2), pp.321-325.

i‘æ237‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2022”N11ŒŽ25“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

”wŒi’nkŠˆ“®“x‚ð—p‚¢‚½“à—¤’nk‚Ì’·Šú—\‘ª‚ÆŒŸØ•]‰¿, d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu“à—¤’nk‚Ì’·Šú—\‘ªv‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (”öŒ`—Ç•F)iµ‘Òu‰‰j

Prediction and validation of long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the hierarchical space–time ETAS and space–time Poisson process models

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2023”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ109Šª (12-9), pp.591-598.

i‘æ237‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2022”N11ŒŽ25“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚©‚猩‚¦‚é”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’nˆæ“I•Ï‰» (‘±•ñ)  (ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@

Regional features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model for earthquake swarm activity in Noto Peninsula

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2022”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ108Šª (7-3), pp.310-313.

i‘æ235‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒnƒCƒuƒŠƒbƒh‰ï‹c), 2021”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

ŠK‘w“IŽž‹óŠÔ ETAS ƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚È‚Ç‚É‚æ‚é’ZE’†E’·Šú‚Ì’nkŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÆŒŸØ•]‰¿i”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Prediction and validation of short- medium- and long-term earthquake probabilities using a hierarchical space-time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) models, etc.

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2022”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ107Šª (12-8), pp.547-555.

‘æ233‰ñ d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs(08) |ŽŽs‚©‚çŽÀŽ{‚ւ̈Ús|v‚ÌŒŸ“¢

i‘æ233‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2021”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚©‚猩‚¦‚é”\“o”¼“‡ŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’nˆæ“I•Ï‰»  (ŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@

Changing features revealed from the non-stationary ETAS model in regional earthquake swarm activity of the Noto Peninsula

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2022”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ107Šª (7-4), pp.292-296.

i‘æ233‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2021”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

’·–ìEŠò•ŒE•ŸˆäŒ§‹«•t‹ß‚ÌŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*)@

Earthquake activity near the border of Nagano, Gifu and Fukui prefectures

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2021”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ106Šª (7-2), pp.332-336.

i‘æ230‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, (ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2021”N2ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

‘æ229‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs07|’nkŠˆ“®—\‘ª‚ÌŒŸØ|v‚ÌŒŸ“¢@

ŠK‘w“IŽž‹óŠÔETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ÉŠî‚­’ZŠúE’†ŠúE’·Šú—\‘ª‚¨‚æ‚Ñ”wŒi—¦—\‘ª |Ž©“®—\‘ª‚ÌŠJ”­‚ÉŒü‚¯‚Ä| (”öŒ`—Ç•F) iµ‘Òu‰‰j

Short-, medium-, long-term and background-rate forecasts based on a hierarchical space-time ETAS model: Towards the development of automated forecasts

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2021”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ105Šª (12-10), pp.493-499.

i‘æ229‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c (ƒIƒ“ƒ‰ƒCƒ“‰ï‹c), 2020”N11ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïj

 

‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)

ƒŠƒAƒ‹ƒ^ƒCƒ€’ZŠú—\‘ª‚ÌŽÀŽ{‚Æ•]‰¿‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Summary of gTrials of experimental earthquake forecasts #06: Implementation and evaluation of real-time short-term forecastsh

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª (12-6), pp.352-355.

i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)

‘½—l‚È—\‘ª•ûŽ®‚É‘ÎŽ¯•Êƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚·‚é‘Ok‚Æ‚»‚Ì—\‘ª«”\•]‰¿i–쑺rˆê¥”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Foreshock discrimination models for various prediction schemes and evaluation of their predictive performance

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª (12-8), pp.361-366.

i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)

“ú–{‚É‚¨‚¯‚é—]kŠˆ“®‚̃ŠƒAƒ‹ƒ^ƒCƒ€Šm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’Gj

Real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª (12-9), pp.367-368.

i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)

ŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì”ñ’èíETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚錟o‚Æ‘ª’nŠwƒf[ƒ^‚ÉŠî‚­—\‘ª‰Â”\«‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y¥”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Detection of swarm activities by nonstationary ETAS model and their predictability based on geodetic data

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª (12-12), pp.378-384.

i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

‘æ225‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs06v‚ÌŒŸ“¢ (ŠT—v)

ŠK‘w“IŽž‹óŠÔETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é’ZŠúE’†Šú—\‘ªi”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Short- and medium-term forecasts using hierarchical spatiotemporal ETAS model

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2020”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ103Šª (12-13), pp.385-387.

i‘æ225‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

Žñ“sŒ—’¼‰º‚ÌŽOŽŸŒ³’nkŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ÆÚ×—\‘ªi”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒjNˆê, ’߉ªO, •½“c’¼j

High resolution space-time model forecasting 3D seismicity beneath Kanto Region

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2019”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ102Šª (4-5), pp.123-129.

i‘æ222‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2019”N2ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

–kŠC“¹’_U“Œ•”’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚Ì“Á’¥‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª O)@

Characteristics of aftershock activity of the Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2019”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ101Šª (2-7), pp.73-77.

i‘æ221‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2018”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2018”N‘åã–k•”‹y‚Ñ’_U’n•û‚Ì’nk‚ɑ΂·‚郊ƒAƒŠƒ^ƒCƒ€—]kŠm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, Ž¬Œ©Ÿ•F, Bogdan Enescu, àVè ˆè, ‡Œ´ˆêK)@

Real-time aftershock forecasting for the 2018 Northern Osaka and Iburi earthquakes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2019”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ101Šª (8-18), pp.407-410.

i‘æ221‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2018”N11ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

‘æ218‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èuŒF–{’nk‚ÅŒ©‚¦‚Ä‚«‚½‰Û‘èv‚ÌŒŸ“¢

“_‰ß’öƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚éŒF–{’nk‘OŒã‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚̉ðÍiŒFàV‹M—Y*, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª Ojiµ‘Òu‰‰j

Measuring seismicity diversity before and after the Kumamoto earthquake by point process models

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ100Šª (12-6), pp.397-404.

i‘æ218‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2018”N2ŒŽ23“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

‘æ218‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èuŒF–{’nk‚ÅŒ©‚¦‚Ä‚«‚½‰Û‘èv‚ÌŒŸ“¢

BPTƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚Ì‹¤’ʂ̂΂ç‚‚«ƒpƒ‰ƒ[ƒ^‚Ì„’è‚ƃxƒCƒYŒ^—\‘ªi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•F*j

Inference of a common aperiodicity parameter and Bayesian forecast in the BPT model

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ100Šª (11-2), pp.350-355.

i‘æ218‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2018”N2ŒŽ23“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

‘æ217‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs 04v‚ÌŒŸ“¢

ƒ}ƒOƒjƒ`ƒ…[ƒh‚ÆŽž‹óŠÔî•ñ‚ÉŠî‚­‘OkŠm—¦•]‰¿ƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚ÌŽ¯•Ê«”\i–쑺rˆê*, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fjiµ‘Òu‰‰j

Foreshock Discrimination Model Based on Magnitudes and Spatio-temporal Information and its Predictive Performance

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ99Šª (12-9), pp.446-451.

i‘æ217‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2017”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

‘æ217‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu—\‘ªŽÀŒ±‚ÌŽŽs 04v‚ÌŒŸ“¢

ŽŸ‚Ì’nk‚̃}ƒOƒjƒ`ƒ…[ƒh—\‘ª‚Æ•]‰¿i”öŒ`—Ç•Fj(µ‘Òu‰‰)

Magnitude forecasts of the next earthquake and evaluation

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2018”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ99Šª (12-10), pp.452-455.

i‘æ217‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2017”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2016”NŒF–{’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ªOj

Aftershock analysis of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ98Šª (10-3), pp.386-391.

i‘æ215‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2017”N5ŒŽ19“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

ÅV‚ÌŠˆ’f‘wƒJƒ^ƒƒO‚ÉŠî‚­BPT—\‘ªi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj@

BPT model forecast based on the recent paleoearthquake catalog

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ98Šª (11-5), pp.443-448.

i‘æ215‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2017”N5ŒŽ19“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

“ú–{—ñ“‡“à—¤•”‚Ì펞’nkŠˆ“®“x‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi”öŒ`—Ç•F)@

On consecutive seismicity rate in Japanese inland

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ97Šª (1-3), pp.9-12.

i‘æ213‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N11ŒŽ11“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2016”N’¹ŽæŒ§’†•”‚Ì’nk (M6.6) ‘OŒã‚ÌŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi”öŒ`—Ç•FC’߉ªOC‹ß]’GC–쑺rˆêCŒF‘ò‹M—YC‡Œ´ˆêKj

Seismic activity before and after the 2016 Central Tottori Prefecture earthquake@

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2017”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ97Šª (9-7), pp.368-374.

i‘æ213‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N11ŒŽ11“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu•½¬28”Ni2016”NjŒF–{’nkv

2016”NŒF–{’nk‚ð‚ß‚®‚é’nkŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚Ñ—]kŠˆ“®‚ÉŠÖ‚·‚éŠm—¦—\‘ª–â‘èi”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‹ß]’G, ŒFàV‹M—Y, –쑺rˆê, ’߉ª O, ‡Œ´ˆêKjiµ‘Òu‰‰j

Seismicity anomalies before and after the 2016 M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes, probability evaluations of the M7.3 earthquake, and aftershock forecasts

i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2016”N4ŒŽ1“úŽOdŒ§“ì“Œ‰«‚Ì’nkiM6.1j‚É‘±‚­ŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì“Œv‰ðÍiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰Á“¡ˆ¤‘¾˜Y, ’߉ª Oj

Statistical analysis of the swarm activity induced by the 2016 April earthquake of M6.1 at the southeast off the coast of the Mie Prefecture

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (8-5), pp.304-310.

i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2016”NŒF–{’nk‘O‚Ì‹ãB’nˆæ‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚Ñ—]kŠˆ“®‚Ì“Œv“Iƒ‚ƒjƒ^ƒŠƒ“ƒOiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª Oj

Statistical monitoring of seismicity in Kyushu District before the occurrence of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes of M6.5 and M7.3

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-21), pp.642-651.

i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2016”NŒF–{’nkiM7.3j‚Ì‘OkŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Foreshock forecast probabilities of the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-22), pp.652-657.

i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

ŒF–{ M7.3 ’nk‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÌŽŽŽZi”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Provisional calculations of the probability forecast of the Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-23), pp.658-661.

i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2016”NŒF–{’nk‚Ì—]k‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ’߉ª O, ‡Œ´ˆêKj

Probability aftershock forecasting of the M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes of 2016

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2016”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ96Šª (12-24), pp.662-667.

i‘æ211‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2016”N5ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é’nkŠˆ“®ˆÙí‚̃‚ƒjƒ^ƒŠƒ“ƒO

Monitoring seismicity anomalies by statistical models

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2015”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ94Šª (12-08), pp.412-423.

i‘æ207‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2015”N5ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨@¨

ˆÉ“¤“Œ•”‚ÌŒQ”­’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì„ˆÚ‚Ì’ZŠú—\‘ª‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, –Ø‘ºˆê—m, ‘O“cŒ›“ñ, ¬—Ѻ•vj

Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2015”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ94Šª (5-1), pp.136-144.

i‘æ206‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2015”N2ŒŽ16“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

펞’nkŠˆ“® E—]k E—U”­’nk‚Ì—\‘ª”\—Í‚Æ•]‰¿

Evaluating predictive ability of background seismicity, aftershocks and induced earthquakes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2015”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ93Šª (12-7), pp.415-426.

‘æ204‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu’nk¥’nŠk•Ï“®—\‘ª”\—Í‚ÌŒ»ó•]‰¿v

i‘æ204‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2014”N8ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

ETASƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é—]k‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, •½“cËl, ‡Œ´ˆêKj

Probability aftershock forecasting by the ETAS model

¢’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ92Šª (11-2), pp.386-389.

i‘æ202‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2014”N2ŒŽ17“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

–{k’¼Œã‚Ì—]k‚̃ŠƒAƒ‹ƒ^ƒCƒ€Šm—¦—\‘ªi‹ß]’G, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, •½“cËl, ‡Œ´ˆêKj

Real-time prediction of the probability of aftershocks after the main shock

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (3-2), pp.66-71.

i‘æ200‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚̃AƒEƒ^[ƒ‰ƒCƒYŽü•Ó‚Å‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi2011.3.112013.10.26j

The aftershock activity of M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake in and around outer-rise region (2011.3.112013.10.26)

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (3-3), pp.72-76.

i‘æ201‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2013”N4ŒŽ13“ú’W˜H“‡‚Ì’nk(M6.3)‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®i2011.4.132013.11.8j

Aftershock activity of the 13 April 2013 earthquake of M6.3 in Awaji Island (2011.4.132013.11.8)

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (8-3), pp.267-268.

i‘æ201‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N11ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

‘å’nk‚ÌŠm—¦—\‘ª‚Æ“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹

Probablistic forecasts of large earthquakes using statistical models

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2014”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ91Šª (12-6), pp.387-395.

‘æ200‰ñ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ïd“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu’nk‚Ì’ZŠú—\‘ª‚ÌŒ»ó‚Æ•]‰¿v

i‘æ200‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

i‘SƒXƒ‰ƒCƒhF’ZŠú—\‘ª‚Æ“Œvƒ‚ƒfƒ‹ ¨ j

 

Žž‹óŠÔ”ñ’èí BPTƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚æ‚é–k“ú–{‘¾•½—m‰«’¾‚Ýž‚ݑт̬ŒJ‚è•Ô‚µ’nki1993.7.15 - 2011.3.10j‚̉ðÍ—á(2)|“Á‚ÉŽå—v’nk‚Ì‘O‚ÆŒã‚̕ω»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä|i–쑺rˆê, “à“c’¼Šó, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and statistical analysis of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate from July 15, 1993 till March 10, 2011, on emphasis of before and after major earthquakes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (2-3), pp.54-57.

i‘æ199‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N5ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

Žž‹óŠÔ”ñ’èí BPTƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚Æ–k“ú–{‘¾•½—m‰«’¾‚Ýž‚ݑт̬ŒJ‚è•Ô‚µ’nki1993.7.15 - 2011.3.10j‚̉ðÍ—á(1)i–쑺rˆê, “à“c’¼Šó, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and analysis of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate from July 15, 1993 till March 11, 2011

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (2-2), pp.49-53.

i‘æ198‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N2ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®i2011.3.11 - 2013.2.2j

Aftershock activity of the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (2011.3.11 – 2013.2.2)

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (3-2), pp.104-108.

i‘æ198‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N2ŒŽ18“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2013”N4ŒŽ13“ú’W˜H“‡•t‹ß‚Ì’nkiM6.3j‚Ü‚Å‚ÉŽŠ‚镺ŒÉŒ§“ì•”’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚Ȃǂ̈Ùí•Ï‰»‚‚¢‚Ä

Long-term aftershock activity of the 1995 Kobe earthquake of M7.3 until the 13 April 2013 earthquake of M6.3 near Awaji Island

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ90Šª (8-3), pp.352-355.

i‘æ199‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2013”N5ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2004”NM9.1ƒXƒ}ƒgƒ‰’nk‚Éæs‚µ‚½’nk”­¶—¦‚̕ω»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Seismicity anomaly that preceded the 2004 Sumatra earthquake M9.1

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ89Šª (12-11), pp.432-440.

i‘æ197‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2012”N11ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

1995”N•ºŒÉŒ§“ì•”’nk‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä—U”­‚³‚ꂽ’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì‘k‹y“I—\‘ª‚ƉðÍ

Retrospective analysis of the long-term prediction of seismic activities that are induced by the 1995 Kobe earthquake of M7.3

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2013”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ89Šª (8-2), pp.278-281.

i‘æ196‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2012”N8ŒŽ29“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä—U”­‚³‚ꂽ“ú–{—ñ“‡‚Ì’†’·ŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ•ª•z

Long- and intermediate space-time forecast in Japanese Islands induced by the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ88Šª (1-6), pp.35-39.

i‘æ195‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2012”N5ŒŽ30“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚É‚æ‚Á‚Ä—U”­‚³‚ꂽ’nˆæ‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì’·ŠúŠm—¦—\‘ª

Long-term probability forecast of the regional seismicity that was induced by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ88Šª (3-2), pp.92-99.

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®

Tohoku earthquake aftershock activity

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ88Šª (3-3), pp.100-103.

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚Ƽ–{•t‹ß‚Ì—U”­’nkŠˆ“®

Tohoku earthquake aftershock activity and triggered activity near Matsumoto

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2012”N3ŒŽ, ‘æ87Šª (12-13), pp.546-553.

i‘æ192‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2011”N8ŒŽ22“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨ ¨

 

‘Ok‚ÌŠm—¦—\•ñ‚ÌŽÀŽ{‚Æ•]‰¿F “Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ü‚Å‚Ì15”NŠÔ ¨

Operational probability foreshock forecasts up until Tohoku-Oki earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N11ŒŽ, ‘æ86Šª(3-18), pp.123-125.

i‘æ191‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2011”N6ŒŽ13“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì—]k‚ƘA½’nki”öŒ`—Ç•F, ŒFàV‹M—Yj¨

Tohoku earthquake: aftershock activity and triggered activities in the eastern Honshu area

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N11ŒŽ, ‘æ86Šª (3-19), pp.126-133.

i‘æ191‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2011”N6ŒŽ13“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

“Œ–k’n•û‘¾•½—m‰«’nk‚Ì‘OkŠˆ“®‚ÆLˆæ“Iɸ‰»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä ¨

Preshock activity and quiescence for long-term seismic activity in and around Japan

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N11ŒŽ, ‘æ86Šª (3-20), pp.134-141.

i‘æ191‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2011”N6ŒŽ13“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

i‘æ190‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2011”N4ŒŽ26“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨ ¨

 

‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï d“_ŒŸ“¢‰Û‘èu’nkŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄvŠT—v

Summary of intensive discussion subject for gSeismic activityh

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ85Šª (12-1), pp.429-432.

i‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N8ŒŽ20“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

‘Ok‚ÌŠm—¦—\•ñ‚ÌŽÀŽ{

Operational Probability Forecast of Foreshocks

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ85Šª (12-4), pp.440-444.

i‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N8ŒŽ20“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

Œx•ñŒ^’nk—\‘ª‚Ì«”\•]‰¿–@‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi¯Œš‘q, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Evaluation of warning forecasts by a gambling score

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2011”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ85Šª (12-7), pp.451-452.

i‘æ187‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N8ŒŽ20“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

2008”NŠâŽè‹{é“à—¤’nk‘O‚Ì’f‘w“ì•”Žü•Ó‚Ì’nŠk•Ï“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

Aseismic slip scenario for transient crustal deformations around the southern fault before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ84Šª (3-5), pp.93-97.

i‘æ185‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N2ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

Šˆ’f‘w‚Ì‚¸‚êî•ñ‚ð—˜—p‚µ‚½BPT‰ß’ö‚ÌŽ–‘O•ª•z‚É‚æ‚éƒxƒCƒYŒ^—\‘ª‚ɂ‚¢‚Äi–쑺rˆê, ”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

A Bayesian predictor based on prior distributions of BPT model with slip rates

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ84Šª (11-11), pp.231-236.

i‘æ185‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2010”N2ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

‚‚’l‚Æ‚d‚s‚`‚rƒ‚ƒfƒ‹‚É‚à‚Ƃ­“ú–{—ñ“‡‚Ì•W€“I’nk”­¶—\‘ª

Earthquake forecast in Japanese Islands based on location-dependent b-values and space-time ETAS model

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ83Šª (1-2), pp.5-8.

i‘æ183‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj¨

 

2009”N 8ŒŽx‰Í˜p‚Ì’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ÆɪŒ§’†¼•”’nˆæ‚Ì’nkŠˆ“® ¨

Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay and its aftershock activity

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2010”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ83Šª (6-4), pp.231-236.

i‘æ183‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N8ŒŽ21“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

“Œ–k’n•û“Œ•û‰«‚Ì’nk‚Ì[‚³‚Ì“Œv“I•â³–@‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

A correction method of routinely determined hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2009”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ82Šª (3-3), pp.91-93.

i‘æ182‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N5ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

2008”NŠâŽèE‹{é“à—¤’nk‘O‚Ì“Œ–k’n•û‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚ÄiŒFàV‹M—Y, ”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰““cWŽŸj

Seismicity changes in northern Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2009”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ82Šª (3-5), pp.96-105.

i‘æ182‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2009”N5ŒŽ15“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹žj

 

2006”N瓇—ñ“‡‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ•Ï‰»‚ƃXƒgƒŒƒX•Ï‰» |ƒAƒEƒ^[ƒ‰ƒCƒY’nk‚Ì‘O‹ì‚·‚ׂè‚̉”\«|i”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰““cWŽŸj

On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip preceding the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2008”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ80Šª (12-5), pp.562-567.

i‘æ177‰ñ ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‹c, 2008”N5ŒŽ19“ú, ’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï, ‹ã’i‘æ“ñ‡“¯’¡ŽÉ, “Œ‹ž, µ‘Òu‰‰j

 

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï40”N‚Ì‚ ‚ä‚Ýv‚PD’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï\¬‹@ŠÖ‚ÌŠˆ“®i10”N‚ðU‚è•Ô‚Á‚Äj¨

(4). ‘åŠw‹¤“¯—˜—p‹@ŠÖ–@l î•ñ¥ƒVƒXƒeƒ€Œ¤‹†‹@\ “Œv”—Œ¤‹†Š pp.85-88.i”öŒ`—Ç•Fj

 

2007”N’†‰z‰«’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚ÑŽü•Ó•”‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Æ’nŠk•Ï“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around the source, and the normal feature of the aftershock activity

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2008”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ79Šª (7-3), pp.345-352.

 

Å‹ß30”N‚Ì‘å’nk”­¶‚ÆŽw’è’nˆæ‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Occurrence of the large earthquakes during 1978`2007 compared with the selected seismicity zones by the Coordinating Committee of Earthquake Prediction

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2008”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ79Šª (12-1), pp.623-625.

 

瓇—ñ“‡‰«‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔƒpƒ^ƒ“‚ƃXƒgƒŒƒX•Ï‰»i”öŒ`—Ç•F, ‰““cWŽŸj

Anomalies of seismicity in space and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2007”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ78Šª (2-3), pp.60-66.

 

”\“o”¼“‡Žü•Ó‚Ì’nkŠˆ“®‚Æ’nŠk•Ï“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Anomalies of seismicity and crustal movement in and around the Noto Peninsula before the 2007 earthquake of M6.9

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2007”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ78Šª (7-11), pp.399-404.

 

’nkŠˆ“®ˆÙí‚Æ’nŠk•Ï“®ˆÙí2004”N’†‰z’nk‚Æ2005”N•Ÿ‰ªŒ§¼•û‰«‚Ì’nk‚Ì‘O‚Ì’†Šú“I•Ï‰»‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Anomalies of seismic activities and geodetic trends preceding the 2004 Chuetsu Earthquake of M6.8 and the 2005 Western Fukuoka-Ken-Oki Earthquake of M7.0

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2007”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ77Šª (11-4), pp.452-459.

 

—]kŠˆ“®‚ÌŽž‹óŠÔ“IˆÙí‚ƃXƒgƒŒƒX•Ï‰»‚Ì‹óŠÔ•ª•z

Anomalies of aftershock activities in space and time measured by the Omori-Utsu formula and stress changes

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N8ŒŽ, ‘æ76Šª (11-1), pp.590-597.

 

2005”N8ŒŽ16“ú‚Ì‹{錧‰«’nkiM7.2j‚ÌŽü•Ó•”‚ÌŠˆ“®‚Æ—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Seismic activities in and around Tohoku District, northern Japan, prior to the 16th August 2005 interplate earthquake of M7.2 off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, and the aftershock activity of the M7.2 earthquake

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ75Šª (3-6), pp.129-131.

 

‹ß”N‚ÌŒ°’˜‚È’nk‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Aftershock activities of recent conspicuous earthquakes in and near Japan

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ75Šª (11-4), pp.593-597.

 

Šˆ“®ˆæ‚É‚¨‚¯‚錰’˜‚È—]kŠˆ“®‚Æ‚»‚ê‚Ü‚Å‚Ì펞’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì—lŽ®‚Æ‚Ì”äŠr‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

On conspicuous aftershock activity relative to the background seismicity in the active regions

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2006”N2ŒŽ, ‘æ75Šª (11-5), pp.598-601.

 

2003”N\Ÿ‰«’nkiM8.0j‚Æ2004”N‹ú˜H‰«‚Ì’nkiM7.1j‚Ì—]kŠˆ“®‚¨‚æ‚Ñ–kŠC“¹“Œ•”‚Ì“à—¤’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì“Á’¥‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Anomalies in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0 and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the eastern Hokkaido inland

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2005”N9ŒŽ, ‘æ74Šª (2-6), pp.83-88.

 

2005”N•Ÿ‰ªŒ§¼•û‰«‚Ì’nkiM7.0j‘O‚Ì‹ãB’n•û‹y‚Ñ•t‹ß‚É‚¨‚¯‚é’†Šú“I‚È’nkŠˆ“®‚Ì“Á’¥‚ɂ‚¢‚Ä

Seismicity changes in and around Kyushu District before the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 in the western offshore of Fukuoka Prefecture

u’nk—\’m˜A—‰ï‰ï•ñv2005