Updated on 12 December 2011

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Prediction and Knowledge Discovery Research Center

Statistical Seismology Research Group

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妏娵巐妏宍: Top Page

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arrow30-003 PresentationsPage (12 December 2011)  UP !

arrow30-003     Anouncement of the 23rd Statistical Seismological Seminar (12 December 2011) Our Seminar乭 Page (16 November 2011)  UP !

 BD14996_

12-13 July 2011ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting (2)" (Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba City, Japan). (6 July 2011)

 [JGR downloaded, Best 16 per month]
Dr. Andrea Llenos (
our group member, U.S. Geological Survey) & Dr. Jeffrey J. McGuire (our group member, WHOI, U.S.A.) (published 17 June) became one of the most frequently viewed paper (60 download monthly at 5 July) in JGR Solid Earth. (American Geophysical Union (AGU): JGR Solid Earth Most Popular Articles in the Last 30 Days: 乬Detecting aseismic strain transients from seismicity data (5 July 2011)

[JGR downloaded, Best 11 per month]
The recent paper by our student Shunichi Nomura et al. (
published 30 April) became one of the most frequently viewed paper (48 download monthly at 3 June) in JGR Solid Earth. (American Geophysical Union (AGU): JGR Solid Earth Most Popular Articles in the Last 30 Days: 乬Bayesian forecasting of recurrent earthquakes and predictive performance for a small sample size (3 June 2011)
Incidentally, the 2nd best downloaded paper discuss the ETAS model乫s performance for short-term forecasting. (AGU: JGR Solid Earth Most Popular Articles in the Last 30 Days: 乬A retrospective comparative forecast test on the 1992 Landers sequence (3 June 2011)

Asahi Newspaper has introduced our application to a probability earthquake forecast contest in Japan. (Asahi Newspaper 乬aspara club乭) (Japanese)  (18 January 2011)

[Top50 citation of Tectonophysics 2005-2010 ]
The paper by Prof. Ogata and Dr. Zhuang (
Space-time ETAS models and an improved extension, Tectonophysics, Vol. 413, Issue 1-2, Pages 13-23.) has been one of the 乬Top-50 most cited articles乭 published in Tectonophysics 2005-2010. (29 November 2010)

[Published in Nature ]
The paper by Prof. Shinji Toda (
our group member, Visiting Prof. of the ISM) et al. (2010) on the mechanism for the spatial aftershock distribution is published in Nature. (18 November 2010)

[JGR download, 668 times per week]
The recent paper by our student Takao Kumazawa et al. (
published 30 October) became one of the most frequently viewed paper (668 download weekly at 11 November) in JGR Solid Earth. (American Geophysical Union (AGU):JGR Solid Earth Most Popular: Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Mw = 6.9 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake)  Most Popular Journal Articles / Top 4 Weekly Downloads (Across all Journals). (15 November 2010)

The next 7th International Workshop on Statistical seismology (Statsei7) (Thera (Santrini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011). (10 November 2010)

Column by the leader was published in newspaper of Kanagawa Shinbun on 8 November 2010. (Japanese)  (The Graduate University for Advanced Studies [SOKANDAI] Institutional Repository)

Dr. Zhuang is contributing to the CORSSA project. (22 September 2010)

Prof. Ogata visited Department of Geophysics, Peking University from 12th September to 11th October, 2010 as a Visiting Professor of School of Earth and Space Science.

Dr. Zhuang visited Department of Geophysics, Peking University from 12th September to 11th October, 2010 as a Visiting Professor of School of Earth and Space Science.

Prof. Ogata is organizing a special topic meeting for the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction. (August 2010)

The Etas model is under discussion in the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Project Plan Version 3 (UCERF3). (August 2010)

We are working under Earthquake Forecast System based on Seismology of Japan (EFSSJ), Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). (July2010)

Prof. Ogata has organized a special topic neeting for the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction. (June 2010)

International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Seminar Room 3 (D312A), The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 31 May 2010).

Prof. Ogata presents Keynote lecture (IL-SONG lecture) at The Spring Korean Statistical Society Annual Meeting (31 May 2010) .

Column about Prof. Ogata introduced in the morning newspaper of Asahi Shimbun on 9 February 2010. (Japanese)