



Published
PapersF Updated on 27 February 2018 ϊ{κ April 2017  March 2018 NEW! Shcherbakov,
R., Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Constraining the magnitude of the
largest event in a foreshock – mainshock – aftershock sequence, Geophysical Journal International,
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T., Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Aftershock analysis of the 2016
Kumamoto earthquakes (in Japanese), Report
of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Vol.98,
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S. and Ogata, Y. (2017). BPT model forecast based on the recent
paleoearthquake catalog (in Japanese), Report
of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Vol.98,
pp.443448, September 2017. Kumazawa,
T., Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Measuring seismicity diversity and anomalies
by point process models: Case studies before and after the 2016 Kumamoto
Earthquakes in Kyushu, Japan, Earth,
Planets and Space, Vol.69, Article169,
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C., Zhuang, J., Wu, Z. and Bi, J. (2017). Application and comparison of two
shortterm probabilistic forecasting models for the 2017 Jiuzhaigou, Sichuan,
Ms7.0 earthquake (in Chinese), Chinese
Journal of Geophysics, Vol.60, No.10, pp.41324144,
doi:10.6038/cjg20171038, October 2017. Yang,
H., Liu, Y., Wei, M., Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2017). Induced earthquakes in
the development of unconventional energy resources, SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, Vol.60, No.9, pp.16321644,
doi:10.1007/s1143001790630, September 2017. Wang,
T., Zhuang, J., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Hidden Markov modelling of
sparse time series from nonvolcanic tremor observations, Journal of the Royal Statistical
Society:Series C(Applied Statistics), Vol.66, Issue4, pp.691715,
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Y., Zhuang, J., Hirata, N. and Zhou, S. (2017). Heterogeneity of direct
aftershock productivity of the main shock rupture, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Vol.122, Issue7,
pp.52885305, doi:10.1002/2017JB014064, July 2017. Wang,
D., Kawakatsu H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X.
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earthquakes using backprojection and Pwave amplitude, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.44, Issue11, pp.54475456,
doi:10.1002/2017GL073801, June 2017. Opris,
A., Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Triggering and decay
characteristics of dynamically activated seismicity in Southwest Japan, Geophysical Journal International,
Vol.212, Issue2, pp.10101021, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggx456, February
2018. Ogata,
Y. (2017). Forecasting of a Large Earthquake: An Outlook of the Research, Seismological Research Letters,
Vol.88, No.4, pp.11171126, doi:10.1785/0220170006, July/August 2017. Ogata,
Y. (2017). Statistics of Earthquake Activity: Models and Methods for
Earthquake Predictability Studies, Annual
Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Vol.45, pp.497527,
doi:10.1146/annurevearth063016015918. (Volume publication date June 2017) April 2016  March 2017 Zhuang,
J., Ogata, Y. and Wang, T. (2017). Data completeness of the Kumamoto
earthquake sequence in the JMA catalog and its influence on the estimation of
the ETAS parameters, Earth, Planets and
Space, Vol.69, Article36, doi:10.1186/s4062301706146, February 2017.
(Open Access) Zhuang,
J., Wang, D. and Matsu'ura, M. (2016). Features of earthquake source process
simulated by VereJones' branching crack model, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol.106, No.4,
pp.18321839, doi:10.1785/0120150337, August 2016. Luo, J.
and Zhuang, J. (2016). Three regimes of the distribution of the largest event
in the critical ETAS model, Bulletin of
the Seismological Society of America, Vol.106, Issue3, pp.13641369,
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Y., Zhou, S. and Zhuang, J. (2016). Numerical tests on catalogbased methods
to estimate magnitude of completeness (in Chinese with English abstract), Chinese Journal of Geophysics, Vol.59,
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and Zhuang, J. (2016). Multiple Linear Regression Analyses on the
Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area,
and Surface Displacement. In Rock Anisotropy, Fracture and Earthquake Assessment, edited by Y.G. Li.,
pp.219237, ISBN13: 9783110432527, February 2016. Zakharova,
O., Hainzl, S., Lange, D. and Enescu, B. (2017). Spatial Variations of
Aftershock Parameters and their Relation to Geodetic Slip Models for the 2010
Mw8.8 Maule and the 2011 Mw9.0 Tohokuoki Earthquakes, Pure and Applied Geophysics, Vol.174, Issue1, pp.77102,
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B., Shimojo, K., Opris, A, and Yagi, Y. (2016). Remote triggering of
seismicity at Japanese volcanoes following the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake,
Earth, Planets and Space, Vol.68,
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A., Yagi, Y. and Enescu, B. (2016). etas_solve: A robust program to estimate
the ETAS model parameters, Seismological
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September 2016. (Open Access) Yagi,
Y., Okuwaki, R., Enescu, B., Kasahara, A., Miyakawa, A. and OtsuboAM.
(2016). Rupture process of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in relation to the
thermal structure around Aso volcano, Earth,
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July 2016. (Open Access) Tormann,
T., Wiemer, S., Enescu, B. and Woessner, J. (2016). Normalized rupture
potential for small and large earthquakes along the Pacific Plate off Japan, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.43,
pp.74687477, doi:10.1002/2016GL069309, July 2016. (Open Access) Reverso,
T., Marsan, D., Helmstetter, A. and Enescu, B. (2016). Background seismicity
in Boso Peninsula, Japan: Longterm acceleration, and relationship with slow
slip events, Geophysical Research
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T., Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2017). Testing the Coulomb stress
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Seismic activity before and after the 2016 Central Tottori Prefecture
earthquake (in Japanese), Report of the
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T., Ogata, Y., Kato, A. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical analysis of the
swarm activity induced by the 2016 April earthquake of M6.1 at the southeast
off the coast of the Mie Prefecture (in Japanese), Report of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction,
Vol.96, pp.304310, September 2016. Kumazawa,
T., Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical monitoring of seismicity
in Kyushu District before the occurrence of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes of
M6.5 and M7.3 (in Japanese), Report of
the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Vol.96, pp.642651,
September 2016. Nomura,
S. and Ogata, Y. (2016). Foreshock forecast probabilities of the M7.3
Kumamoto earthquake of 2016 (in Japanese), Report of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction,
Vol.96, pp.652657, September 2016. Ogata,
Y. (2016). Provisional calculations of the probability forecast of the
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of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Vol.96,
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T., Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Aihara, K. (2016). Probability aftershock
forecasting of the M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes of 2016 (in Japanese), Report of the Coordinating Committee for
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Evaluation Methods of Earthquake Forecasts (in Japanese with English
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