日本語

		Risk Analysis Research Center (RARC) Statistical Seismology Research Project
Ogata’s English Page I S M	Poster etc.： Updated on 18 October 2021 日本語 Modified estimation and forecasting of the hierarchical space-time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) model for earthquake catalogs in a wide area possessing long- and short-term incompleteness (Yosihiko Ogata and Koichi Katsura) Toward urgent forecasting of aftershock hazard: Simultaneous estimation of b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter’s law of the magnitude frequency and changing detection rates of aftershocks immediately after the mainshock (Yosihiko Ogata and Koichi Katsura) Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) with likely scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area （Yosihiko Ogata） The correlation between the phase of the moon and the occurrences of microearthquakes in the Tamba region through point-process modeling （Takaki Iwata）