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Presentations：
Updated on
9 March 2026
9-11
February 2026 2026 ISI-ISM-ISSAS Joint
Conference, Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J. (2026).
Residual analysis in point process and state space modelling, 2026
ISI-ISM-ISSAS Joint Conference, 2nd Conference Room(3F), Humanities and
Social Science Building, Academia Sinica, Taipei,
Taiwan, 9 February 2026. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.
(2026). Extending Widely-Applicable Information Criterion: Posterior
covariance and its applications, ISI-ISM-ISSAS Joint Conference, 2nd
Conference Room(3F), Humanities
and Social Science Building, Academia Sinica,
Taipei, Taiwan, 11 February 2026. (Oral)
NEW!
15-19 December 2025 2025 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zaccagnino, D.*, Spassiani, I., Shcherbakov,
R., Zhuang, J. and Petrillo, G. (2025). Integrating Physical, Statistical,
and AI-Enhanced Methods in Seismic Hazard: Toward Real-Time Forecasting of
Natural and Induced Earthquakes I, 2025 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention
Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. & Online, 15 December 2025. (Poster) Zaccagnino, D.*, Spassiani, I., Shcherbakov,
R., Zhuang, J. and Petrillo, G. (2025). Integrating Physical, Statistical, and AI-Enhanced Methods in Seismic
Hazard: Toward Real-Time Forecasting of Natural and Induced Earthquakes Ⅱ, 2025 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. &
Online, 16 December 2025. (Oral) Zaccagnino, D.*, Spassiani, I., Shcherbakov,
R., Zhuang, J. and Petrillo, G. (2025). Integrating Physical, Statistical,
and AI-Enhanced Methods in Seismic Hazard: Toward Real-Time Forecasting of
Natural and Induced Earthquakes Ⅲ, 2025 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention
Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. & Online, 16 December 2025. (Oral) Ding, C.*, Peng, Z., Zhuang, J. and Si, X., (2025). Statistical
Properties of Early Aftershocks Following Moderate-size Earthquakes in the
Central and Eastern United States, 2025 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial
Convention Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. & Online, 16 December 2025.
(Poster) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Minson, S.E.*,
Wu, S., Au, S.-K., Cochran, E.S., Yano, K., Parker, G.A., Baltay, A., Milner,
K., Morgan, P. and Henze., C. (2025). Case Study of Area-Based Earthquake
Ground Motion Hazards in the San Francisco Bay Area, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial
Convention Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. & Online, 16 December 2025.
(Oral) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka
/ Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of Geophysics,
Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Bantidi,
T*., Nanjo, K., Ishibe, T., Enescu, B., Nishimura,
T. and Besa, A-M. (2025). Retrospective Forecasting of Volcanic Eruptions
Based on b-value Time Series Analysis: A Step Towards a Near Real-Time
'Volcano Traffic Light Alert System (VTLAS)', 2025 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial
Convention Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. & Online, 17 December 2025.
(Poster) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior
Associate Professor of Tokyo University of Science / Visiting Junior
Associate Prof. of ISM） Tsai, V.C.*, Aso, N., Hirth, G. and Lee, J. (2025). Seismogenesis
from the Finite Elastic Deformation of Geometric Asperities, 2025 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. &
Online, 16
December 2025. (Poster) Arakawa, H.* and Aso, N. (2025). Spatiotemporal Distribution of
Volcanic Earthquakes off Izu Oshima, 2025 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial
Convention Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. & Online, 18
December 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Niu, Yuanyuan （Project
Assistant Professor of ISM） Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2025). Spatio-temporal
background seismicity modeled using Gaussian processes, 2025 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, LA, U.S.A. &
Online, 15 December 2025. (Poster)
3-14
November 2025
Mathematics
of Risk – 2025, University
of Melbourne, Creswick Campus, Creswick, Victoria, Australia. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J. (2025).
A General Framework for Residual Analysis Mathematics of Risk – 2025,
University of Melbourne, Creswick Campus, Creswick, Victoria, Australia, 13
November 2025. (Oral)
4-6
November 2025 12th
ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop, Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.
(2025). Earthquake predictability and probability forecast, 12th ACES(APEC
Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop, International
Conference Hall, Humanities and Social Science Building, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, 6 November 2025. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2025). An extension of the non-stationary ETAS model to the
space-time modeling, 12th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation)
International Workshop, International Conference Hall, Humanities and Social
Science Building, Academia Sinica,
Taipei, Taiwan, 5 November 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.
(2025). Online testing of the IPFx method for the
strong motion network in Taiwan, 12th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake
Simulation) International Workshop, International Conference Hall, Humanities
and Social Science Building, Academia Sinica,
Taipei, Taiwan, 6 November 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior
Associate Professor of Tokyo University of Science / Visiting Junior
Associate Prof. of ISM） Aso, N. (2025). Earthquake Interaction During Swarms Through a Modified
ETAS Model, 12th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation)
International Workshop, International Conference Hall, Humanities and Social
Science Building, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan,
5 November 2025. (Invited Talk)
20-22 October 2025 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka
Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*, Pei, W., Zhou, S. (2025). Stochastic determination of
arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform, 2025 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 20 October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.*,
Yamada, M., Wu, S., Tamaribuchi, K. and Iba, Y. (2025). Site selection for
earthquake early warning using Bayesian sensitivity analysis, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October
2025. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.*,
Yamada, M., Wu, S., Tamaribuchi, K. and Iba, Y. (2025). Site selection for
earthquake early warning using Bayesian sensitivity analysis, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October
2025. (Oral) Yamada, M.*, Wu,
S., Yano, K., Tamaribuchi, K., Noguchi, K., Hayashimoto,
N. and Tsuruoka, H. (2025). Advanced Earthquake Early Warning using ETAS
Model, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 22 October 2025. (Oral) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Prof. of ISM） Kato, A.*, Yakiwara, H., Hirano, S., Nakao,
S. and Sakai, S. (2025). Tracking the 2025 Tokara Islands earthquake swarm: Spatio-temporal evolution, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Tsuruoka, Hiroshi （Associate
Prof. of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Tsuruoka, H.
(2025). Development of real-time waveform monitoring system using WIN system,
2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 20 October 2025. (Poster) Uematsu, H.,
Uchida, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Takeda, H. (2025). Construction of Knowledge
Graphs on Earthquakes and Active Faults and Verification of Their
Interoperability, 2025 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka
city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Oral) Yamada, M.*, Wu,
S., Yano, K., Tamaribuchi, K., Noguchi, K., Hayashimoto,
N. and Tsuruoka, H. (2025). Advanced Earthquake Early Warning using ETAS
Model, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 22 October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Inoue, N., Yagi,
Y., Okuwaki, R., Yamaguchi, R., Enescu, B., Tadapansawut, T. (2025). Estimation of a Source Process
Generating the Peculiar Teleseismic P-waves of the
2025 Myanmar Earthquake, 2025 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center,
Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Bagot, L.*,
Enescu, B., Brenguier, F., Paris, N., Higueret, Q., Ohmi, S.,
Miyazawa, M. and Takeda, T. (2025). Estimation of long-term crustal seismic
velocity variations in the Nagano region, Japan, using seismic
interferometry, 2025 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 20 October 2025. (Poster) Bantidi,
T.M.*, Nanjo, K, Ishibe, T., Nishimura, T., Enescu,
B. and Besa, A.M. (2025). Analysis of Precursory Seismicity and Transient
Changes in b-Value for Near-Real-Time Volcanic Eruption Forecasting, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October
2025. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2025). A simplified anisotropic spatial kernel in the
space-time ETAS model, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October
2025. (Poster) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka
/ Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Takahashi, N.*,
Imai, K., Chikasada, N., Kasai, T., Nonomura, A., Nanjo, K.Z., Yamamoto, Y., Ooi, M. and
Kasai, D. (2025). Real-time tsunami and strong motion damage prediction under
complex disaster and crustal activity monitoring in Kagawa prefecture, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Yamamoto, Y.*,
Yada, S., Nanjo, K.Z. and Takahashi, N. (2025). Spatial distribution of
shallow very-low-frequency earthquakes and normal earthquakes off Muroto detected by DONET2 seismic stations, 2025 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center,
Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.*, Wu,
S., Yano, K., Tamaribuchi, K., Noguchi, K., Hayashimoto,
N. and Tsuruoka, H. (2025). Advanced Earthquake Early Warning using ETAS
Model, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka
Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 22 October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Mitsui, Y.*, Kikuchi,Y. and Kano, M. (2025). Months-long slow slip
events in the shallow region of the Suruga Trough, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October
2025. (Oral) Okada, N.*,
Mitsui, Y. and Kato, A. (2025). Spatiotemporal Evolution of the 2014–2016
Long-term Slow Slip Event in the Kii Channel: Slow
Slip Propagation and LFE Activation, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October
2025. (Oral) Watanabe, Y.*
and Mitsui, Y. (2025). Investigation of a frictional heterogeneity model
explaining the adjacent occurrence of tremor and repeating earthquakes, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Ishibe,
T.*, Nishiyama, A. and Harada, T. (2025). Extraction of felt reports from “Chikusai-Nikki” to reconstruct the seismicity pre-post
the 1854 Tokai-Nankai earthquakes, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Harada, T.* and Ishibe, T. (2025). Active foreshocks of large/great earthquakes
in the southern Kuril Trench, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Sagae, K.*, Kano, M., Yabe、S. and
Uchide, T. (2025). Comprehensive detection of
shallow tectonic tremors using the DONET ocean-bottom seismic network in the
Nankai Trough, Japan, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025.
(Poster) Hori, T.*, Nakata, R., Iinuma, T., Hiyoshi,
Y., Hyodo, M., Kano, M. and Sato, D. (2025). Prototype System for Forecasting of Plate Boundary
Slip Behavior Based on Sequential Data Assimilation in the Nankai Trough,
2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior Associate Professor of Tokyo
University of Science / Visiting Junior Associate Prof. of ISM） Aso, N.*, Ikura, M. and Kusakabe, S. (2025). Development of a 3D
Beachball Model for Intuitive Understanding of Fault Parameters, 2025 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center,
Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Poster) Mizushiri, K.*, Yamashita, M. and Aso, N. (2025). Campaign Observation of the
2025 Northern Yamaguchi Earthquake Swarm and Regional Crustal Structure, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Poster) Yamashita, M.* and Aso, N. (2025). First-Motion Mechanism of Deep
Low-Frequency Earthquakes in Eastern Shimane, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 20 October 2025. (Poster) Kuroiwa, H. * and Aso, N. (2025). Seismicity of Various Earthquakes at
Mt. Aso, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka
Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Poster) Kamae, K.* and Aso, N. (2025). Evaluation of Building Response Directly
above a Surface Rupture, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025.
(Poster) Tanaka, T.* and Aso, N. (2025). Surface Seismic Intensity Estimated
Using Borehole Records, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025.
(Poster) Arakawa, H.* and Aso, N. (2025). Spatiotemporal Distribution of
Earthquakes near Izu Oshima in 2023, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 22 October
2025. (Oral) Shimomura, K.* and Aso, N. (2025). Depth-Dependent Swarm-like Behavior
of Low-Frequency Earthquakes, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 22 October 2025.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Prof. of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2025). Prospective Probabilistic Forecasting of Multiple
Anomalies, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka
Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2025). Preliminary Consideration of ETAS Parameter Variations
in Aftershock Activity, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025.
(Poster) Dr.
Niu, Yuanyuan （Project
Assistant Professor of ISM） Niu, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Petrillo, G. (2025). Gaussian process modeling
of time-dependent background seismicity, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, 20
October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T. (2025). Repeating Earthquake Detection Offshore El
Salvador in the Middle America Subduction Zone: Implications for Plate
Interface Slip Behavior, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 22 October 2025.
(Oral) Nishimura, T.*, Miyazawa, M., Nishikawa, T., Nagaoka, A., Miyamachi R., Ohta, Y., Takahashi, H. and Ohzono, M.
(2025). Episodic transient deformation observed around the Abu volcano group,
Yamaguchi Prefecture, 2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October
2025. (Poster) Imanishi, K.*, Amezawa, Y., Miyazawa, M.,
Nishikawa, T., Nishimura, T., Nagaoka, A., Miyamachi,
R. and Ohmi, S. (2025). Determination of Focal
Mechanisms of a Deep Earthquake Swarm in Northern Yamaguchi Prefecture, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Poster) Amezawa, Y.*, Yabe, S., Sawaki, Y., Imanishi, K.,
Miyazawa, M., Nishikawa, T., Nishimura, T., Nagaoka, A., Miyamachi,
R. and Ohmi, S. (2025). Northern Yamaguchi
Earthquake Swarm: Complicated Hypocenter Migration and Driving Mechanisms,
2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Okada, T.*, Yabe, S., Miyazawa, M., Nishikawa, T., Nishimura, T.,
Nagaoka, A., Miyamachi, R., Ohmi,
S., Matsumoto, S. and Takagi, R. (2025). Crustal deep seismic swarm in 2025
and seismic velocity structure in northern Yamaguchi Prefecture, SW Japan,
2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Ito, Yu.*, Nishikawa, T., Ito, Yo. and Ohyanagi, S. (2025). Seismicity Characteristics across
Three Depth-Dependent Slip Regimes in the Japan Trench Subduction Zone, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 22 October 2025. (Oral) Yoshimura, R.* and Nishikawa, T. (2025). Detection of earthquake swarms
and investigation of their relationship with slow earthquakes in the Hyuga-nada Region, Japan, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Koyama, K.* and Nishikawa, T. (2025). Global investigation of foreshock
acceleration prior to large earthquakes, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city,
Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Takeda, N.* and Nishikawa, T. (2025). Slow Slip Event Detection and
Associated Seismic Activation in the Hikurangi Subduction Zone, New Zealand,
2025 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention
Center, Fukuoka city, Japan, 22 October 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Ueda, Taku （Contract researcher
of National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience
(NIED / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Ueda, T.*, Kubo, H. and Shiomi, K. (2025). Comparison of b-value
estimation methods for real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan, 2025 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center,
Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Poster) Kubo, H.*, Sawazaki, K, Miyamoto, T., Shiomi,
K., Ueda, T. and Yamaya, L. (2025). Comparison of Aftershock Seismic Hazard
Forecasting Methods Using Earthquake Catalog and Ground Motion Data, 2025
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center,
Fukuoka city, Japan, 20 October 2025. (Oral) Oikawa, G.* and Ueda, T. (2025). Focal mechanism estimation of
earthquake swarm in Northern part of the Yamaguchi prefecture, 2025 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center,
Fukuoka city, Japan, 21 October 2025. (Oral) Zhang,
Yiqun （Ph.D.
Student of Jilin University College of Instrumentation and Electrical
Engineering, China / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhang, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Zhu, K. (2025). Incorporating Non-Seismicity Precursors into
Earthquake Probabilistic Forecasting Model, 2025 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Fukuoka Convention Center, Fukuoka city, 20
October 2025. (Poster)
7-11
September 2025 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting 2025, Hybrid Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama Campas, Suita-shi,
Osaka, Japan. Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.*,
Sasaki, M., Kawachi, Y., Yamada, T., Kosuga, Y. and Fujisawa, A. (2025).
Universality of intermittencies by trapped coherent vortices in a linear
magnetized plasma device, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2025, Hybrid
Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama Campas,
Suita-shi, Osaka, 10 September 2025. (Oral) Takabatake, T.,
Yagishita, S. and Yano, K.* (2025). A penalized
likelihood framework for state estimation in Dynamic Mode Decomposition,
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2025, Hybrid Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama Campas, Suita-shi,
Osaka, 9 September 2025. (Oral) Takabatake, T.*
and Yano, K. (2025). 確率密度関数間のダイヴァージェンスから誘導されるスペクトル・ダイヴァージェンスとその応用, Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting 2025, Hybrid Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama Campas, Suita-shi,
Osaka, 9 September 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Matsumori, Y. (2025). Claim
Reserving Using Dynamic Factor Models, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting
2025, Hybrid Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama
Campas, Suita-shi, Osaka, 10 September 2025. (Oral)
Imai, T.* and Nomura, S. (2025). Estimation of the Upper Limit of
Japanese Lifespans Using Extreme Value Theory with Generalized Additive
Model, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2025, Hybrid Meeting, Kansai
University, Senriyama Campas, Suita-shi, Osaka, 10 September 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Sagae, K.*, Kano, M., Yabe, S. and Uchide, T.
(2025). Machine Learning-Based Detection and Localization of Tectonic Tremors
in the Japan Trench, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2025, Hybrid Meeting,
Kansai University, Senriyama Campas, Suita-shi, Osaka, 10 September 2025. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Prof. of ISM）
Ogata, Y.
(2025). Future Prospects for Probabilistic Earthquake Prediction: A
Multi-Parameter Forecasting Approach, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting
2025, Hybrid Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama
Campas, Suita-shi, Osaka, 10 September 2025.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2025). Analysis of unusual seismicity by point process models
and convergence of aftershocks, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2025,
Hybrid Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama
Campas, Suita-shi, Osaka, 10 September 2025. (Oral)
Dr.
Shen, Xun （Associate
Professor of Graduate School of Engineering, Tokyo University of Agriculture
and Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM）
Shen, X.*, Nakagami, Y., Liu, X., Matono, A. and Kim, K-S. (2025). Forecasting Scholarly Influence
in Academic Networks Based on the Virtual-Geography Hawkes Process, Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting 2025, Hybrid Meeting, Kansai University, Senriyama Campas, Suita-shi,
Osaka, 10 September 2025. (Oral)
8-10 July
2025 The 3rd Joint Conference
on Statistics and Data Science in China (2025 JCSDS), Taixu Holiday Hotel,
Hangzhou, China. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.
(2025). On the Development of the ETAS Model in Seismicity Modeling: Achievements
and Challenges, The 3rd Joint Conference on Statistics and Data Science in
China (2025 JCSDS), Taixu Holiday Hotel, Hangzhou,
Chaina, 13 July 2025. (Invited Talk)
Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Wu, S. (2025). Application of
machine learning for earthquake early warning and aftershock prediction, The
3rd Joint Conference on Statistics and Data Science in China (2025 JCSDS), Taixu Holiday Hotel, Hangzhou, Chaina, 13 July 2025.
(Invited Talk) Dr.
Niu, Yuanyuan （Project
Assistant Professor of ISM） Niu, Y. (2025). Bayesian inference of spatiotemporal Hawkes processes
with Gaussian-process Priors, The 3rd Joint Conference on Statistics and Data
Science in China (2025 JCSDS), Taixu Holiday Hotel, Hangzhou, Chaina, 13 July 2025. (Invited Talk) Petrillo, G.
(2025). Investigating aseismic drivers of swarm-like seismicity through
nonstationary ETAS modeling: Insights from the 4-year Mt. Pollino sequence,
The 3rd Joint Conference on Statistics and Data Science in China (2025
JCSDS), Taixu Holiday Hotel,
Hangzhou, Chaina, 13 July 2025. (Invited Talk)
8-10 July
2025 International Symposium on Earthquake
Forecasting to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of the 1975 Haicheng M7.3
Earthquake, Liaoning Province, Northeast China ― International wisdom and
joint action for earthquake forecasting, Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.
(2025). Quantifying Earthquake Predictability and Advancing Earthquake
Forecasting, International Symposium on Earthquake Forecasting to Commemorate
the 50th Anniversary of the 1975 Haicheng M7.3
Earthquake, Liaoning Province, Northeast China -International wisdom and
joint action for earthquake forecasting, Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel,
Shenyang, China, 10 July 2025. (Invited Poster) Peng, Z.*, Ding,
C., Si, X. and Zhuang, J. (2025). Deciphering Early Aftershock Behaviors at Interplate and Intraplate Regions from High-Frequency
Waveforms and Machine-Leaming Methods, International Symposium on Earthquake
Forecasting to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of the 1975 Haicheng M7.3 Earthquake, Liaoning Province, Northeast
China -International wisdom and joint action for earthquake forecasting,
Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel, Shenyang, China, 9 July 2025. (Invited) Wang, R.*,
Zhang, Y., Shi, H., Miao, M., Zhuang, J., Chang, Y., Jiang, C., Meng, L., Li,
D., Liu, L., Su, Y., Zhang, Z. and Han, P. (2025). b-Value and Background
Seismicity Rate Based Earthquake Forecasting in Yunnan, China, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecasting to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of
the 1975 Haicheng M7.3 Earthquake, Liaoning
Province, Northeast China -International wisdom and joint action for
earthquake forecasting, Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel, Shenyang, China, 9
July 2025. (Oral) Chen, H.*, Wang,
R., Zhuang, J., Huang, Q., Hattori, K. and Han, P.* (2025). Earthquake
Modeling Incorporating Physical Observations, International Symposium on
Earthquake Forecasting to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of the 1975 Haicheng M7.3 Earthquake, Liaoning Province, Northeast
China -International wisdom and joint action for earthquake forecasting,
Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel, Shenyang, China, 10 July 2025. (Poster) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2025). Mixture of the Rate-and-State Seismicity and ETAS
Models and Its Application to Real Earthquake Sequences, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecasting to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of
the 1975 Haicheng M7.3 Earthquake, Liaoning
Province, Northeast China -International wisdom and joint action for
earthquake forecasting, Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel, Shenyang, China, 10
July 2025. (Oral) Zhan,
Chengxiang （Ph.D. Student of China University of
Geosciences (Beijing), China / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhan, C.*,
Zhuang, J. and Wu, S. (2025). Flexible Seismicity Modeling With Modulated
Neural Renewal Processes, International Symposium on Earthquake Forecasting
to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of the 1975 Haicheng
M7.3 Earthquake, Liaoning Province, Northeast China -International wisdom and
joint action for earthquake forecasting, Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel,
Shenyang, China, 9 July 2025. (Oral)
Zhang,
Yiqun （Ph.D.
Student of Jilin University College of Instrumentation and Electrical
Engineering, China / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhang, Y.*, Zhuang, J., Han, P. and Zhu, K. (2025). Incorporating
Non—Seismic Precursors into Earthquake Probabilistic Forecasting Model, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecasting to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of
the 1975 Haicheng M7.3 Earthquake, Liaoning
Province, Northeast China -International wisdom and joint action for
earthquake forecasting, Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel, Shenyang, China, 10
July 2025. (Poster) Petrillo, G.*, Lippielo, E., DalZilio, L. and Godano, C. (2025). Stalking
Impending Mainshocks with Sawtooth Ground Motion Envelopes, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecasting to Commemorate the 50th Anniversary of
the 1975 Haicheng M7.3 Earthquake, Liaoning
Province, Northeast China -International wisdom and joint action for
earthquake forecasting, Renaissance Shenyang West Hotel, Shenyang, China, 10
July 2025. (Oral)
25-30 May
2025 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2025 , Hybrid(In-person and online), Japan Geoscience
Union(JpGU), MAKUHARI MESSE,
Chiba City, Japan. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2025). Information-theory-based quantification of earthquake predictability
and the predictive capacity of the ETAS model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 30 May 2025. (Oral) Han, P.*, Wang, R., Miao, M., Zhao, C., Lu, R., Lei, H., Yao, M.,
Zhuang, J., Huang, Q., Hattori, K. (2025). Stress-informed ETAS model and its
application to reservoir earthquakes, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2025.
(Invited) Wang, R.*, Zhang, Y., Han, P., Shi, H., Miao, M., Zhuang, J., Chang,
Y., Jiang, C., Meng, L., Li, D., Liu, L., Su, Y. and Zhang, Z. (2025).
Earthquake forecasting based on b value and background seismicity rate in
Yunnan Province, China, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2025. (Oral) Li, W.*, Hattori, K., Yoshino, C. and Zhuang,
J. (2025). Integrating Seismo-Magnetic
Anomalies and the ETAS Model for Earthquake Precursors: A Case Study in the
Kanto Region, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.*, Yamada,
M., Wu, S. and Tamaribuchi, K. (2025). Site selection based on Bayesian
sensitivity for earthquake early warning, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2025. (Oral) Yano, K.*, Kano,
M., Hori, T. and Ariyoshi, K. (2025). On the recurrence of slow slip events
using the Brownian Passage Time distribution: Four case studies in Japan,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 28 May 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Kubo, H.*, Wu, S., Kano, M., Katoh,
S., Oana, A., Okazaki, T., Okada, N., Kame, N., Kodera, Y., Sato, D., Shiina,
T., Shimojo, K., Tamaribuchi, K., Naoi, M.,
Nishiyama, R., Hirahara, K., Miyamoto, T. and Yamada, M. (2025). Pioneering
the Use of Large Language Models in Earthquake Research, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025 Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Morita, K.* and
Enescu, B. (2025). Changes in b-values before and after the 2024 Noto
Peninsula Earthquake, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2025 Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28
May 2025. (Poster) Yamaguchi, R.*,
Yagi, Y., Okuwaki, R. and Enescu, B. (2025). The
complex rupture process of the 2021 MW 8.5 South Sandwich
Islands earthquake, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2025 Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2025.
(Oral) Poveda Brossard,
V.*, Enescu, B., Takagi, R. and Nishida, K. (2025). Locating ocean microseism
sources using seismic observations in the Caribbean region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025 Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2025. (Poster) Ishiyama, R.*,
Enescu, B., Fukuyama, E., Yamashita, F. and Okubo, K. (2025). Analysis of
acoustic emissions and stress evolution in large-scale laboratory experiments
to reveal the foreshock occurrence mechanism, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025 Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 30 May 2025. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2025). The non-stationary space-time ETAS model, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28
May 2025. (Poster) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka
/ Visiting Prof. of ISM） Nanjo, K.*, Kumazawa, T., Izutsu, J., Hori, T., Nagao, T. and Oike, K. (2025). Characteristics of seismicity before and
after the 2023 M7.7 and M7.5 Turkey earthquakes, revealed by integrating
physics-based and statistical approaches, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2025. (Poster) Nanjo, K.*,
Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2025).
Time-dependent activity of low-frequency earthquakes and ordinary earthquakes
in the eastern side of the Izu Peninsula, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2025. (Oral) Nanjo, K.*,
Sakai, S., Akiyama, T., Kageshima, M., Noda, Y. and
Watanabe, A. (2025). Research on crustal activities of the Southern Alps in
the northern Shizuoka Prefecture: A preliminary report, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2025.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Yano, S.*, Ide, S. and Nomura, S. (2025). Anomaly Detection Using a
Probabilistic Model Describing Spatiotemporal Patterns of Tectonic Tremors:
Application to Western Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate Prof.
of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.*,
Chen, Da-Y. and Chang, Yu-H. (2025). Online testing of the IPFx method for the strong motion network in Taiwan,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 29 May 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Mitsui, Y.*, Arai, R. and Watanabe, S. (2025). High-resolution
estimation of the Boso Slow Slip Events in 2011, 2013-2014, 2018, and 2024
based on inflection point analysis of high-rate GNSS data, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 30 May 2025.
(Poster) Okada, N.*
Mitsui, Y. and Kato, A. (2025). Slip distribution estimation of the 2014-2016
long-term slow slip event in the Kii Channel using
multiple GNSS positioning solutions: Examination of error reduction methods,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2025. (Poster) Watanabe, Y.*
and Mitsui, Y. (2025). Investigation of the Physical Mechanism of Adjacent
Slow and Repeating Earthquakes Using a Wavy Frictional Heterogeneity Model,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 30 May 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kano, M.*, Hirahara, K., Kame, N. and Okazaki, T. (2025). Automatic
Generation of Earthquake Cycle Simulation and Data Assimilation Codes Using
Large Language Models, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI
MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior Associate Professor of Tokyo
University of Science / Visiting Junior
Associate Prof. of ISM） Aso, N. (2025). B-Value Estimator Using Recurrent Neural Network, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26
May 2025. (Oral) Arakawa, H.* and Aso, N. (2025). Linear Structure Observed in Shallow
Volcanic Swarms near Izu Oshima, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2025. (Oral) Fukushige, T.* and Aso, N. (2025). ScS Travel Times of Deep Earthquakes and Plate Subduction, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28
May 2025. (Poster) Hamana, M.* and Aso, N. (2025). Tectonics and Seafloor Topography around
Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba
City, Japan, 29 May 2025. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y.
(2025). Earthquake Prediction and Diagnostic Analysis Using the Hierarchical
Space-Time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) Model, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28
May 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2025). Aftershock activity in the southern part
off the coast of Hyuga-nada, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Niu, Yuanyuan （Project
Assistant Professor of ISM） Niu, Y*. and
Zhuang, J. (2024). Gaussian Process Model for Spatio-temporal
Background Seismicity Rates, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26
May 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Ishibe, T.*
and Nishiyama, A. (2025). Felt reports extracted from a historical diary “Chikusai Nikki” and its characteristics, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2025.
(Poster) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Koyama, K.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2025). Global
investigation of foreshock acceleration prior to large earthquakes, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 27
May 2025. (Oral) Dr.
Ueda, Taku （Contract researcher
of National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience
(NIED) / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Ueda, T.*, Socquet, A., Métois,
M., Okazaki, T. and Nishimura, T. (2025). Strain rate field estimation in
Southeastern Europe for evaluation of relationship with seismicity, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28
May 2025. (Poster) Zhan,
Chengxiang （Ph.D. Student of China University of Geosciences
(Beijing), China / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhan, C.*, Gao,
S., Zhang, Y., Li, J. and Meng, Q. (2025). ETAS-Inspired Spatio-Temporal
Convolutional (STC) Model for Next-Day Earthquake Forecasting, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28
May 2025. (Poster) Zhang,
Yiqun （Ph.D.
Student of Jilin University College of Instrumentation and Electrical
Engineering, China / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhang, Y.*,
Zhuang, J., Zhu, K., and Han, P. (2025). Incorporating Non-Seismic Precursors
into EarthquakeProbabilistic Forecasting Model,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2025. (Oral)
27 April -
2 May 2025 European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly
2025, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria & Online. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.
(2025). Quantifying Earthquake Predictability and Advancing Forecasting
Models, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2025, Austria Center
Vienna, Austria & Online, 29
April 2025. (Oral). Zhuang, J.
(2025). Evaluating Earthquake Forecast with Likelihood-Based Marginal and
Conditional Scores, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2025,
Austria Center Vienna, Austria Center Vienna, Austria & Online, 2 May 2025. (Oral) Spassiani,
I.*, Petrillo, G. and Zhuang, J. (2025). Distribution related to all samples
and extreme events in any seismic cluster generated by the Epidemic Type
Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General
Assembly 2025, Austria Center Vienna, Austria Center Vienna, Austria & Online, 30 April 2025. (Poster). Gentili, S.*, Brondi, P., Rossi, G., Sugan, M., Petrillo, G., Zhuang, J.
and Campanella, S. (2025). Fluid diffusion and seismic clusters
identification： results on the seismicity of Molise
(southern Italy) in 2018, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly
2025, Austria Center Vienna, Austria Center Vienna, Austria & Online, 2 May 2025. (Poster) Dr.
Niu, Yuanyuan （Project
Assistant Professor of ISM） Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2025). Non-stationary GP-ETAS model, European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2025, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna,
Austria & Online, 30 April 2025. (Poster)
1-6 March 2025 International Conference for Coupling of
Earth's Spheres (ICES): Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2025). Improving earthquake forecasts: from the viewpoint of earthquake
predictability quantification, International Conference for Coupling of
Earth's Spheres (ICES): Prediction, Early warning, and Nowcasting of Nature
Hazards, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 3
March 2025. (Oral)
9-13 December 2024 2024
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Lippiello, E.*, Marzocchi, W., Petrillo, G.,
Rosso, A. and Zhuang, J. (2024). When and
Where Will the Next Big Quake Strike? Insights from Physical Modeling, 2024
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington
Convention Center, Washington, D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 11 December 2024. (Poster) Gentili, S.*, Chiappetta, G.D., Petrillo, G.,
Brondi, P. and Zhuang, J. (2024). A
challenging application of NESTORE Machine Learning Algorithm to Japan
seismicity, 2024 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter
E. Washington Convention Center, Washington, D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 12
December 2024. (Poster) Wu, J.*, Gao, X., Zhuang, J., Yao, D., Wei, M. and Song, J. (2024).
Multiple Aftershock Mechanisms of 2014 Kangding
Doublet, Eastern Tibet based on AI Technique, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington, D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 13 December 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Minson, S.E.*,
Wu, S., Au, S-K., Cochran, E.S., Yano, K., Parker, G.A. and Baltay, A.
(2024). From One Point to Many: Looking at Seismic Hazard Over an Area, 2024
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington
Convention Center, Washington, D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 9-13 December 2024.
(Poster) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Prof. of ISM）
Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Kurashimo, E., Emoto,
K., Matsumoto, S. and Peng, Z. (2024). A long-persisting seismic swarm and the subsequent nucleation of the
2024 M7.6 Noto earthquake, 2024 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.
& Online, 9 December 2024. (Oral) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka
/ Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Nanjo, K.* and
Hori, T. (2024). Frequency-magnitude distributions of earthquakes imply
likelihood and unlikelihood of megaquake recurrence in Japan, 2024 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington
Convention Center, Washington, D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 12 December 2024.
(Oral) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate Prof.
of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.*, Xiao, Y., Hayashimoto, N. and
Noguchi, K. (2024). Performance of the Earthquake Early Warning System for
the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, 2024 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,
D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 9 December 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Ootate,
M.*, Ohta, Y. and Mitsui, Y. (2024). Viscoelastic Relaxation and Afterslip Contribution to Postseismic
Crustal Deformation After the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake: Verification
Using Very Dense GNSS Observations, 2024 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,
D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 12 December 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T.*, Kostoglodov, V. and
Nishimura, T. (2024). Earthquake Swarm Detection in the Middle America
Subduction Zone: Implications for the Relationship between Seismicity and
Slow Slip Events, 2024 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington, D.C., U.S.A. &
Online, 12 December 2024. (Oral)) Ito, Yu.*,
Nishikawa, T., Ito, Yo. and Ohyanagi,
S. (2024). Quantification of Fast- Earthquake Activation Following Tectonic
Tremors in the Iwate-Oki Region of the Japan Trench, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington, D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 12 December 2024. (Oral) Koyama, K.*,
Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Global Investigation of Foreshock
Acceleration Prior to Large Earthquakes, 2024 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,
D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 12 December 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Niu, Yuanyuan （Project
Researcher of ISM） Niu, Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2024). Comparison of Priors in Objective
Bayesian Inversion for Geophysical Data Analysis, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington, D.C., U.S.A. & Online, 10 December 2024. (Poster)
25
November 2024 Scientific
Seminars by renowned international experts – INGV 25th Anniversary, INGV
Rome, Italy & Online. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Professor of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2024). Development of ETAS models: before its birth to
today, Scientific Seminars by renowned international experts –INGV 25th
Anniversary, INGV Rome, Italy & Online, 25 November 2024. (Online Oral)
21-23 October 2024 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE
Niigata Convention Center, Niigata city, Japan. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2024). Quantification of earthquake Predictability and
detailing of entropy-based scores for evaluating earthquake forecast, 2024
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city,
Japan, 23 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.*, Kano,
M., Takabatake, T., Tanaka, Y. and Ohta, Y. (2024).
Spatio-temporal characteristics in GNSS time series
based on robust spectral analysis, 2024
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city,
Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Kubo, H.*, Wu,
S., Kano, M., Katoh, S., Oana, A., Okazaki, T., Okada, N., Kame, N., Kodera,
Y., Sato, D., Shimojo, K., Tamaribuchi, K., Naoi,
M., Nishiyama, R., Hirahara, K., Miyamoto, T. and Yamada, M. (2024).
Hackathon on Large Language Models and Earthquake Researches, 2024 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Prof. of ISM） Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Kurashimo, E., Sakai,
S., Emoto, K. and Matsumoto, S. (2024). A long-persisting seismic swarm and the subsequent nucleation of the 2024
M7.6 Noto earthquake, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T.* and Iio, Y. (2024). Estimated
spatial stress pattern in the aftershock area of the 2016 Central Tottori
earthquake, 2024
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka Nanjo, K.Z.*,
Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2024). Analysis of
seismicity and crustal movement on the eastern side of Izu Peninsula, 2024
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Nanjo, K.Z.*, Kumazawa, T., Izutsu, J., Hori, T., Nagao, T. and Oike, K. (2024). Seismicity before and after the February
6, 2023 M7.8 and M7.5 earthquakes in Turkey, 2024 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Yano, S.*, Ide, S. and Nomura, S. (2024). A Hawkes Process Model for
Tectonic Tremors Considering Spatial Interactions and Long-Term Periodicity,
2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata
city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.* and
Nakano, M. (2024). Source mechanism analysis of the tsunami near Torishima on October 9, 2023, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Mitsui, Y.*,
Utagawa, Y. and Miyamoto, A. (2024). Expansion rate of aftershock zones and
b-value for magnitude 7-class earthquakes around Japan: characteristics of interplate earthquakes, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Kikuchi, Y.*,
Mitsui, Y. and Kano, M. (2024). Detection of intermediate-term slow slip
events and estimation of slip distribution in the shallow region of Suruga
Trough, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22
October 2024. (Oral) Arai, R.* and
Mitsui, Y. (2024). Detection of inflection points in high-rate GNSS data:
Numerical experiments and a case study of slow slip events, 2024 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Professor of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2024). Inverse analysis of non-uniform seismic data by ETAS
model, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE,
Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2024). Nonstationary ETAS model: How it works for external
forcing, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22
October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Peng, Hong （Project
Researcher of ISM） Peng, H.*, Yamada, M. and Wu, S. (2024). Constructing new empirical
envelope function and GMPE for estimating the seismic intensity in
combination with IPF method, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 23 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Ishibe,
T.*, Ogawa, Y., Saijo, Y., Furumura, M. and Matsu'ura,
R.S. (2024). Trial of machine learning-based hypocenter estimation using
seismic intensity data – Toward the application to historical earthquakes, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T. (2024). Statistical Seismological Study on the Activity
of Earthquakes and Slow Earthquakes in Subduction Zones, 2024 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21
October 2024. (Invited) Nishikawa, T.*, Kostoglodov, V. and
Nishimura, T. (2024). Earthquake Swarm Detection along the Middle America
Trench: Implications for the Relationship between Seismicity and Slow Slip
Events, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE,
Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Fukushima, Y.* and Nishikawa, T. (2024). On the probability of an
M7-class earthquake in Hyuganada region to trigger
an M8 or larger earthquake, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Yoshimura, R.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Detection of
earthquake swarms off the Boso Peninsula and investigation of the association
with small slow slip events, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Koyama, K.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Global
investigation of foreshock acceleration prior to large earthquakes, 2024 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city,
Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Sagae, K.*, Kano, M., Yabe、S. and
Uchide, T. (2024). Machine learning-based tectonic tremor
location in the Japan Trench, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Okazaki, T.*, Hirahara, K., Ito, T., Kano, M. and Ueda, N. (2024).
Physics-Informed Deep Learning for Forward and Inverse Modeling of Inplane Crustal Deformation, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October
2024. (Oral) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior Associate Professor of Tokyo
University of Science / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Aso, N. (2024). True b-value Estimation Using Recurrent Neural Network,
2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata
city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Kato, K.* and Aso, N. (2024). Modeling Subdaily
Occurrence of Slow Slip Events in Western Shikoku, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October
2024. (Poster) Fujisawa, H.* and Aso, N. (2024). Existing Probability of Triple
Junctions Based on Plate Motion Angles, 2024 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October
2024. (Poster) Hamana, M.* and Aso, N. (2024). Tectonics and Island Shape of Izu and Bonin
Islands, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE,
Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Arakawa, H.* and Aso, N. (2024). Shallow Volcanic Swarms near Izu
Oshima in 2023, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Shimomura, K.* and Aso, N. (2024). Swarm-ness Analysis of Low-Frequency
Earthquakes in Western Shikoku Using Modified ETAS Model, 2024 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21
October 2024. (Poster) Ishikawa, D.* and Aso, N. (2024). Magnitude Dependency of ETAS
Parameters, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Fukushige, T.* and Aso, N. (2024). ScS Travel Times in
Japan, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE,
Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Ikura, M.* and Aso, N. (2024). Crafting Rotatable Beach Balls of Focal
Mechanism Solution, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Niu, Yuanyuan （Project
Researcher of ISM） Niu, Y.*(SOKENDAI, Ph.D. Student) and Zhuang, J. (2024). Bayesian non-parametric
inference for the ETAS model, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE, Niigata city, Japan, 22 October 2024. (Oral) Zhang,
Yiqun （Ph.D.
Student of Jilin University College of Instrumentation and Electrical
Engineering, China / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhang, Y.*, Zhu,
K., Marchetti, D. and Zhuang, J. (2024). Are There One or More Geophysical
Coupling Mechanisms before Earthquakes? The Case Study of Lushan (China)
2013, 2024 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE,
Niigata city, Japan, 21 October 2024. (Poster)
23-24
September 2024 科学研究費・基盤研究（A)
「大規模複雑データの理論と方法論の革新的展開」主催 シンポジウム「あたらしい統計科学」, Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2024). Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasting: How to Live Better Between
Complete Randomness and Complete Predictability, 科学研究費・基盤研究（A) 「大規模複雑データの理論と方法論の革新的展開」主催 シンポジウム「あたらしい統計科学」, Shiinoki Cultural Complex, Kanazawa-City, Ishikawa
prefecture, Japan, 23 September 2024. (Invited) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.* and
Sei, T. (2024). 最小情報従属モデルの地震カタログへの適用, 科学研究費・基盤研究（A) 「大規模複雑データの理論と方法論の革新的展開」主催 シンポジウム「あたらしい統計科学」, Shiinoki Cultural Complex, Kanazawa-City, Ishikawa
prefecture, Japan, 23 September 2024. (Invited) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2024). 点過程モデルを用いた異常地震活動の研究：M7.6能登半島地震に至る群発地震活動の時空間変動と異常活動の解釈について, 科学研究費・基盤研究（A) 「大規模複雑データの理論と方法論の革新的展開」主催 シンポジウム「あたらしい統計科学」, Shiinoki Cultural Complex, Kanazawa-City, Ishikawa
prefecture, Japan, 23 September 2024. (Invited)
22-27
September 2024 39th
General Assembly (GA) of the European Seismological Commission (ESC2024), Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Gentili, S.*, Chiappetta, G.D., Petrillo, G., Brondi, P., Zhuang, J. and
Di Giovambattista, R. (2024). NESTORE Machine Learning Algorithm
applied to forecast Strong Subsequent Earthquakes in Japan, 39th General
Assembly (GA) of the European Seismological Commission (ESC2024), Corfu
Holiday Palace Hotel, Corfu, Greece, 26 September 2024. (Oral) Gentili, S.*, Brondi, P., Sugan, M., Rossi, G., Petrillo, G., Zhuang, J.
and Campanella, S. (2024). Cluster identification and fluid
migration: the case of the 2018 Molise (Italy) sequence, 39th General
Assembly (GA) of the European Seismological Commission (ESC2024), Corfu
Holiday Palace Hotel, Corfu, Greece, 26 September 2024. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2024). Estimation of background stress changes based on the
rate- and state-friction seismicity model and the space-time ETAS model, 39th
General Assembly(GA) of the European Seismological Commission (ESC2024),
Corfu Holiday Palace Hotel, Corfu, Greece, 26 September 2024. (Poster)
8-11
September 2024 2024
SCEC(Statewide California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton
Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2024). Quantification of earthquake Predictability and detailing of
entropy-based scores for evaluating earthquake forecast, 2024 SCEC Annual
Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 8 September
2024. (Poster)
1-5
September 2024 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting 2024, Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Okudo, M.*
and Yano, K. (2024). Matching prior pairs connecting MAP estimators and
posterior means, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2024, Hybrid/Tokyo
University of Science, Kagurazaka Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 2 September 2024. (Oral) Sei, T.* and
Yano, K. (2024). Density-ratio estimation of minimum information dependence
models, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2024, Hybrid/Tokyo University of
Science, Kagurazaka Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 4 September 2024. (Oral) Sasaki, M.*, Kodahara, T., Yano, K., Okuno, A. and Miwakeichi,
F. (2024). Dynamical analysis and reduction method of large scale degrees of
freedom in plasma turbulence, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2024,
Hybrid/Tokyo University of Science, Kagurazaka
Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 2 September
2024. (Organized Session) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Professor of ISM）
Ogata, Y.
(2024). Inverse analysis of aftershock activities by non-stationary ETAS
models based on inhomogeneous seismic catalogs immediately following major
earthquakes, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2024, Hybrid/Tokyo University
of Science, Kagurazaka Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 4 September 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2024). Statistical Characteristics of Seismic Activity Before
and After the 2024 M7.6 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting 2024, Hybrid/Tokyo University of Science, Kagurazaka
Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 4 September
2024. (Oral)
26-31 May
2024 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2024 , Hybrid(In-person and online), Japan Geoscience
Union(JpGU), MAKUHARI MESSE,
Chiba City, Japan. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2024). The ETAS model can explain both foreshock and the Båth
Law, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.*,
Takahashi, A. and Kano, M. (2024). Objective clustering of GNSS velocities based
on parallel translation and Euler-vector estimation for the identification of
crustal blocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE,
Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2024. (Poster) Yano, K.*, Kano,
M., Takabatake, T., Tanaka, Y. and Ohta Y. (2024).
Noise characteristics in GNSS time series based on robust spectral analysis:
(1) Description of robust spectral estimation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Wu, S.*, Otake, Y., Mizutani, D.,
Liu, C., Asano, K., Sato, N., Saito, T., Baba, H., Fukunaga, Y., Higo, Y.,
Kamura, A., Kodama, S., Metoki, M., Nakamura, T.,
Nakazato, Y., Shioi, A., Takenobu,
M., Tsukioka, K. and Yoshikawa, R. (2024). Preliminary investigation of the
application of large language models to geotechnical problems, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2024. (Oral) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Prof. of ISM）
Kato, A. (2024). Implications of fault-valve behavior illuminated by
early aftershock evolutions, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2024. (Invited) Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Kurashimo, Eiji. and
Sakai, S. (2024). Foreshock sequence prior to the 2024 M7.6 Noto-Hanto earthquake, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2024. (Oral) Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Kurashimo, Eiji. and
Sakai, S. (2024). The long-lasting earthquake swarm leading up to the 2024
M7.6 Noto-Hanto earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2024. (Oral) Dr. Tsuruoka, Hiroshi
（Associate Professor of Earthquake Research
Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Associate Prof.
of ISM） Kano, Y., Murotani, S., Satake, K. and Tsuruoka,
H. (2024). ERI Archive of Printed Station and Network Bulletins, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28
May 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） An, L.*, Enescu,
B., Peng, Z. and González-Huizar, H. (2024). Dynamically triggered seismicity
in Japan following the 2024 Mw7.5 Noto earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba
City, Japan, 26 May 2024. (Oral) Ishiyama, R.*,
Enescu, B., Fukuyama, E., Yamashita, F. and Okubo, K. (2024). Development of
a Modified Matched Filter Technique for Foreshock Detection in Large-Scale
Laboratory Rock Friction Experiments, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 27
May 2024. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2024). The background stress in the aftershock area of the
2000 Tottori Western earthquake estimated from stress rotation, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 30
May 2024. (Poster) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka
/ Visiting Prof. of ISM） Nanjo, K.* and
Hori, T. (2024). Space and time changes in stress state and b-value off the
coast of Tohoku and Hokkaido districts, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba
City, Japan, 26 May 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.* and
Xiao, Y. (2024). Performance of the Earthquake Early Warning System for the
2024 Noto Earthquake, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 27
May 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate Prof.
of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Mitsui, Y. (2024).
Comparison of b-positive estimation with traditional method: A case study of
aftershocks from magnitude-7 class earthquakes around the Japanese
archipelago, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2024.
(Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2024). Trends in Seismic Activity in the Noto
Peninsula and Interpretation of Anomalous Activities in the Pre-M7.6 Period,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Peng, Hong （Project
Researcher of ISM） Peng, H*., Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2024). Constructing envelope
functions of seismic intensity for the evaluation of EEW in Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 27
May 2024. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y.
(2024). Inverse analysis of aftershock activities by non-stationary ETAS
models based on inhomogeneous seismic catalogs immediately following major
earthquakes, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2024.
(Oral) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Ishibe,
T.*, Terakawa, T., Hashima,
A., Mochizuki, M. and Matsu'ura, R.S. (2024).
Validating the Method of Estimating Rake Angles Using Regional Stress Field
with the Wallace-Bott Hypothesis for Focal Mechanism Solutions, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 27
May 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Yoshimura, R.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2024). Development of
an earthquake swarm detection method using the ETAS model and AIC and its
application to the offshore of the Boso Peninsula, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant Prof.
of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kano, M.*，Yano, K., Tanaka, Y., Takabatake, T. and Ohta,
Y. (2024). Noise characteristics in GNSS time series based on robust spectral
analysis: (2) application to GEONET F5 solution, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2024.
(Poster) Kano, M.*，Tanaka, Y., Sato, D., Iinuma, T. and Hori, T. (2024). Data Assimilation
for Fault Slip Monitoring and Short-Term Prediction of Spatio-Temporal
Evolution of Slips: Application to the 2010 Long-Term SSE in the Bungo
Channel, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE,
Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2024. (Poster) Dr.
Ueda, Taku （JSPS
Research Fellowship for Young Scientists of Disaster Prevention Research
Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Ueda, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2024). Spatial correlation of the rate of
the shear strain energy density change and the number of declustered
crustal earthquakes in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2024. (Oral) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior Associate Professor of Tokyo
University of Science / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Aso, N.*, Aso, M., Shelly, D.R. and Ide, S. (2024). Insights into the
Mechanics of the Lower Crust from Focal Mechanisms of Low-Frequency
Earthquakes on the San Andreas Fault, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2024. (Poster) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y*. and
Zhuang, J. (2024). Bayesian non-parametric inference for the ETAS model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2024. (Oral)
16-20
March 2024 13th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology(StatSei13), Southern University of Science and Technology(SUSTech),
Prof. Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2024). Explaining both foreshock and the Båth Law using the ETAS model, 13th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei13), Southern University of Science
and Technology(SUSTech), Convention Center,
Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Oral) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Zhang, H. (2024). Statistical modeling of 3D Seismicity and
its correlation with fault slips along Major Faults in California, 13th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei13), Southern University of Science and Technology(SUSTech), Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March
2024. (Invited) Petrillo, G.*
and Zhuang, J. (2024). Magnitude correlation in earthquake triggering:
Artifact or reality?, 13th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei13), Southern
University of Science and Technology(SUSTech),
Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March 2024. (Invited) Xiong, Z.* and
Zhuang, J. (2024). A study of changes in global background and clustering
seismicity over the last two decades, 13th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei13), Southern
University of Science and Technology(SUSTech),
Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2024). Recent progress in ETAS models of heterogeneous
seismic activity, 13th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei13), Southern University of Science and
Technology(SUSTech), Convention Center, Shenzhen,
China, 17 March 2024. (Invited) Hainzl,
S.*, Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2024). Aftershock
forecasts based on incomplete records of early aftershocks: Example of the
2023 SE Türkiye earthquake sequence, 13th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology(StatSei13), Southern University of Science and Technology(SUSTech), Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March
2024. (Invited) Dr.
Ueda, Taku （JSPS
Research Fellowship for Young Scientists of Disaster Prevention Research
Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Ueda, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2024). Spatial correlation of the shear
strain energy change and the number of declustered
crustal earthquakes in Japan, 13th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei13), Southern University of Science and Technology(SUSTech), Convention Center, Shenzhen, China, 17 March
2024. (Oral) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y. (2024).
Bayesian nonparametric inference for the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence
(ETAS) model, 13th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei13), Southern University of Science
and Technology(SUSTech), Convention Center,
Shenzhen, China, 17-20 March 2024. (Oral)
1-15 December 2023 2023 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A & Online. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2023). Statistical Seismology Expanded: Observation,
Modeling, Testing, and Forecasting I-IV (Poster and Oral sessions), 2023 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A. & Online, 14-15 December 2023. (Primary Convener) Zhuang, J.* and Xiong, Z. (2023). Changes of global background and
clustering seismicity during past twenty years, 2023 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. &
Online, 14 December 2023. (Poster) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Minson, S.E.*,
Wu, S., Yano, K., Cochran, E.S., Parker, G.A. and Baltay, A. (2023). Towards
Estimating Seismic Hazard Across an Area, 2023 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. & Online, 14 December 2023. (Oral) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Prof. of ISM）
Kato, A.*, Shiomi, K., Yamamoto, Y. and Nakagawa, S. (2023). Space-time
evolution of the aftershocks following the 2023 Earthquake Sequence in
Southern Turkiye, 2023 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. & Online,
14 December 2023. (Poster) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.*, Tamaribuchi, K., Wu, S. and Chen, D.Y. (2023). IPFx: extended integrated particle filter method for
earthquake early warning and application to the international networks, 2023
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A. & Online, 12 December 2023. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Hainzl, S.*, Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2023).
Aftershock forecasts based on incomplete earthquake catalogs: ETASI model
application to the 2023 SE Türkiye earthquake sequence, 2023 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. &
Online, 14 December 2023. (Poster) Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Petrillo, G.*
and Zhuang, J. (2023). Unveiling the Enigma of Earthquake Triggering:
Debunking Magnitude Correlation Debates, 2023 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. & Online,
15 December 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Peng, Hong （Project
Researcher of ISM） Peng, H.*, Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2023). Constructing an empirical
envelope function of seismic waveforms for the evaluation of EEW in Japan,
2023 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A. & Online, 12 December 2023. (Poster) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T. (2023). Comparison of statistical seismicity models of
low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) and its implications for the mechanisms
governing LFE activity, 2023 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. & Online, 12 December
2023. (Invited)
15
November 2023 Applied
Statistics Symposium 2023, Online. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2023). Time series analysis using state space models,
Applied Statistics Symposium 2023, Online, 15 November 2023. (Invited
tutorial lecture)
31 October – 2 November 2023 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Pacifico
Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Xiong, Z. (2023). Detection of changes in global
background and clustering seismicity, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023.
(Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.*,
Takahashi, A. and Kano, M. (2023). Identifying crustal brocks using objective
clustering of GNSS velocities via parallel translation and Euler vector, 2023
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Wu, S. (2023).
Potential pathway to understanding earthquakes using a data-driven approach:
learning from other informatics applications, 2023 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2
November 2023. (Invited Lecture) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Prof. of ISM） Kato, A. (2023). Immediate aftershocks following the 2023 M6.5
earthquake in the Noto Peninsula, central Japan: Implication of fault valve
model, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico
Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 31 October 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Poveda Brossard,
V.*, Nishida, K. and Enescu, B. (2023). Ocean microseisms recorded by Cuban
seismic stations: time variations and spectral features, 2023 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan,
31 October 2023. (Poster) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2023). Estimation of the temporal change of background
stress based on the rate- and state-friction seismicity model, 2023
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama,
Yokohama city, Japan, 1 November 2023.
(Poster) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka Nanjo, K.Z.*,
Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2023). Analysis of
seismic activity off the coast of Ito, Shizuoka, 2023 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2
November 2023. (Oral) Nanjo, K.Z.*,
Yamamoto, Y., Ariyoshi, K., Horikawa, H., Yada, S. and Takahashi, N. (2023).
A study of earthquake detection capacity of DONET, 2023 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 1
November 2023. (Poster) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.
(2023). To what extent are multiple earthquakes separable?, 2023 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city,
Japan, 1 November 2023. (Oral) Morinaga, M.*
and Yamada, M. (2023). Application of an Earthquake Early Warning with the
PLUM Method to the 2023 Türkiye-Syria Earthquake, 2023 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 1
November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Mitsui, Y.
(2023). Estimation of the spatial distribution of the "internal friction
coefficient" in the crust beneath the Japanese Islands, 2023 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama
city, Japan, 1 November 2023. (Oral) Arai, R.* and
Mitsui, Y. (2023). Numerical experiment on template matching and relative
strength index based on noise analysis of high-rate GNSS data, 2023 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama
city, Japan, 31 October 2023. (Oral) Kikuchi, Y.*,
Mitsui, Y. and Kano, M. (2023). Attempt to comprehensive detecting
intermediate-term slow slip events in the shallow part of the Suruga Trough,
2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama,
Yokohama city, Japan, 31 October 2023. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2023). Space-time changes of the Noto Peninsula Earthquake by
the Point Process Models, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Petrillo, G.*
and Zhuang, J. (2023). No Evidence of Magnitude Dependence in Earthquake
Triggering, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico
Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 1 November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Peng, Hong （Project
Researcher of ISM） Peng, H.*, Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2023). Constructing an empirical envelope
function of seismic waveforms for the evaluation of EEW in Japan, 2023 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama
city, Japan, 1 November 2023. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y.* and Kumazawa, T. (2023).
Estimation of actual activity rate changes based on seismic catalogs with
systematic missing measurements, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023.
(Oral) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Ishibe,
T.*, Ogawa, Y., Tanaka, H., Kiuchi, R., Takahama,
T., Sakamoto, K., Saijo, Y., Furumura, M. and Matsu'ura,
R.S. (2023). Machine learning-based hypocenter determination using seismic
intensity data, 2023 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan,
2 November 2023. (Oral) Matsu'ura,
R.S.* and Ishibe, T. (2023). The present status of
the seismicity off the southeast coast of Hokkaido, where the relative
quiescence started more than a decade ago, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico
Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T. (2023). Comparison of statistical seismicity models of
low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs): Its implications for the mechanisms of the
LFE activity, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Yoshimura, R.*, Nishikawa, T. and Nishimura, T. (2023). A preliminary
attempt to develop an earthquake swarm detection method using the ETAS model
and AIC, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico
Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Tanaka, Y.* and Kano, M. (2023). Trial application of
machine-learning-based phase detection to slow slip event signal in GNSS
displacement time series, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Fukushima, R.*, Kano, M. and Hirahara, K. (2023). Physics-Informed
Neural Networks for monitoring slow slip events in a spring-slider system,
2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama,
Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Sagae, K.*, Kano, M. and Uchide, T. (2023).
ETN Detector by Convolution Neural Network Using All S-net Stations, 2023
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama,
Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Ueda, Taku （JSPS
Research Fellowship for Young Scientists of Disaster Prevention Research
Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Ueda, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2023). Shear strain energy change
estimated by the current crustal deformation in Japan and spatial correlation
with the crustal seismicity, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior Associate Professor of Tokyo
University of Science / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Shibata, R.* and Aso, N. (2023). The characteristic of the rupture
propagation of the crustal earthquakes in Japan, 2023 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 31
October 2023. (Poster) Li,
Yongbo （Graduate
Student of Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, China / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Li, Y.*, Zhuang,
J. and Chen, S. (2023). A hypocentral version of
the spherical space-time ETAS model, 2023 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Yokohama city, Japan, 2 November 2023.
(Oral)
3-7
September 2023 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Hybrid Meeting. Kyoto University,
Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2023). Filtering of renewal Hawkes processes and related statistical
inference, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida
Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6 September 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.* and
Takahata, T. (2023). On divergences between spectral densities: a new aspect
from divergences between probability densities, Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 5
September 2023. (Oral) Okudo, M.*
and Yano, K. (2023). 非線形回帰および⼀般化線形モデルへのベイズ拡張推定量の応⽤,
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus,
Kyoto City, Japan, 7 September 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Minami, M.*,
Kawasaki, Y., Kawasaki, T., Matsui, T., Hashimoto, R., Wu, S. and Hirose, K.
(2023). パネルディスカッション： 学会・⼤学・官庁における多様性の現状と多様性推進の今後の取り組み, Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6
September 2023. (Organized Session) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Tanikawa, S.*, Nomura, S. and Sano, S. (2023). Statistical analysis of car accidents by
prefecture during the COVID-19 pandemic, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting
2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6 September 2023.
(Organized Session) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Mitsui, Y.
(2023). Stress Conditions beneath the Japanese Archipelago Probed by
Background and Aftershock Seismicity, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting
2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6 September 2023.
(Organized Session) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2023). Statistical Characteristics of Spatiotemporal
Transitions of Noto Peninsula Earthquake Swarms, Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting 2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 4
September 2023. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM
/ Project
Researcher of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2023). 直下型⼤地震の確率予測について, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023,
Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6 September 2023. (Oral)
Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2023). Development of a statistical
seismicity model incorporating slow-earthquake activity: Application to the
Hikurangi subduction zone, New Zealand, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting
2023, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6 September 2023. (Organized
Session) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Kano, M.*, Yano, K., Tanaka, Y., Nakagawa, R. and Fukushima, R. (2023).
Innovations in geodetic data analysis to realize a data-assimilation-based
fault slip monitoring system, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023, Kyoto
University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6 September 2023. (Organized
Session) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y.* and
Zhuang, J. (2023). A Bayesian non-parametric method of estimating the
background intensity of ETAS model, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2023,
Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 6 September 2023. (Oral)
7-10 June
2023 10th International
Workshop on Applied Probability (IWAP2023), Porto Palace Hotel,
Thessaloniki, Greece. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2023). On extending the ETAS model, 10th International Workshop on Applied
Probability (IWAP2023), Porto Palace Hotel, Thessaloniki, Greece, 8 June
2023. (Invited Lecture) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y. (2023).
Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay Tessellation in Bayesian
geophysical inversion, 10th International Workshop on Applied Probability
(IWAP2023), Porto Palace Hotel, Thessaloniki, Greece, 9 June 2023. (Oral)
24-25 May
2023 7th
International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process: Observation,
Validation, Modeling, Forecasting (IWEP7), Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2023). Evaluating earthquake forecasting models with likelihood based
marginal and conditional scores, 7th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process: Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting (IWEP7),
Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2023. (Invited Lecture)
25 May
2023 ISTerre seminar, Institut des
Sciences de la Terre(ISTerre), Grenoble, France. Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Petrillo, G. (2023).
Including stress relaxation in point-process model for seismic occurrence, ISTerre seminar, Institut des
Sciences de la Terre(ISTerre), Grenoble, France, 25
May 2023. (Seminar)
21-26 May
2023 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2023 , Hybrid(In-person and online), Japan Geoscience
Union(JpGU), MAKUHARI MESSE,
Chiba City, Japan. Prof.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2023). Evaluating earthquake forecasting models with likelihood based
marginal and conditional scores, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.* and
Sei, T. (2023). Minimum information dependence modeling for analyzing the dependence
in mixed-domain data: Application to the analysis of the dependence between
source depths and focal mechanisms, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023,
Hybrid, 22 May 2023. (Online Poster) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Prof. of ISM）
Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Fujita, K., Ichimura, T. and Nagao, H. (2023).
A comprehensive earthquake catalog for the 2020 seismic swarm in the central
Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba
City, Japan, 25 May 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Furuya, K. and Matsumoto, T. (2023). Investigation of a possible relationship
between crustal heat flow and aftershock parameters of inland sequences
occurred in Japan after the year 2000, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2023. (Oral) An, L.*,
Grigoli, F. and Enescu, B. (2023). Off-shore Fault Geometry Revealed from
Earthquake Locations Using Inland Seismic Stations: The Case of the 2022
Adriatic Sea Earthquake Sequence, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2023. (Oral) Ishiyama, R.*,
Enescu, B., Fukuyama, E. and Yamashita, F. (2023). Matched filter detection
of foreshocks in a large-scale friction experiment, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2023, Hybrid, 22 May 2023. (Online Poster Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2023). Modification of an approach to estimating a spatial
stress pattern to improve spatial resolution, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2023, Hybrid, 25 May 2023. (Online Poster) Prof.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka
/ Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Nanjo, K.
(2023). A demonstration experiment to evaluate online seismicity, using the
Hierarchical Space-Time ETAS (HIST-ETAS) model: A preliminary report, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, 25 May 2023. (Online Poster) Nanjo, K.*,
Izutsu, J., Kamogawa, M., Hori, T. and Oike, K. (2023). Spatial variability of the response of
the Nagano seismicity to the 2011 Tohoku-oki
earthquake, in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI
MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2023. (Oral) Nanjo, K.*,
Ariyoshi, K., Yamamoto, Y., Horikawa, H., Yada, S. and Takahashi, N. (2023).
Preliminary analysis of earthquake detection probabilities and completeness
levels for the Dense Oceanfloor Network system for
Earthquakes and Tsunamis (DONET), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023,
Hybrid, 23 May 2023. (Online Poster) Nanjo, K.*,
Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2023). A preliminary
analysis of seismic activity off the coast of Ito, Shizuoka, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2023.
(Oral) Dr.
Yamada, Masumi （Associate
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Yamada, M.* and
Xiao, Y. (2023). Application of the Earthquake Early Warning Method to the
2023 Turkey–Syria Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid,
MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Mitsui, Yuta （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Science, Department of Geosciences, Shizuoka University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Mitsui, Y.*,
Oba, S., Naoi, M. and Yamada, T. (2023). Area-Displacement (A-D) relationship
for earthquake, slow slip, and laboratory stick-slip, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2023, Hybrid, 22 May 2023. (Online Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2023). Statistical Characteristics of
Spatiotemporal Transitions of Noto Peninsula Earthquake Swarms, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, 23 May 2023. (Online Poster) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2023). Global background earthquakes have
shown a steady trend over the past twenty years, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Peng, Hong （Project
Researcher of ISM） Peng, H*., Wu, S. and Yamada, M. (2023). Constructing an empirical
envelope function of seismic waveforms for the evaluation of EEW in Japan,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, 24 May 2023. (Online Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y.
(2023). Diverse characteristics of seismic activity in comparison with spatio-temporal ETAS forecasts, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2023.
(Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.
(2023). Reconsideration of the energy balance in earthquake faulting –III:
Rupture growth rate, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI
MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura,
R.S.*, Hashima, A. and Ishibe,
T. (2023). Disappearance of the ETAS effect on the eastern margin of the Sea
of Japan, ongoing since May 2011, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023,
Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T. (2023). Comparison and improvement of statistical models
for activity of low-frequency earthquakes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Kano, M.*, Tanaka, Y., Iinuma, T. and Hori, T. (2023). Data
assimilation for reproducing and predicting the fault slip behavior in the
2010 Bungo Channel long-term slow slip event, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2023, Hybrid, 26 May 2023. (Online Poster) Dr.
Ueda, Taku （JSPS
Research Fellowship for Young Scientists of Disaster Prevention Research
Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Ueda, T.* and Nishimura, T. (2023). The relationship between background
seismicity rate and strain rate in and around the strain concentration zones
in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, 23 May 2023. (Online
Poster) Dr.
Aso, Naofumi （Junior Associate Professor of Tokyo
University of Science / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Aso, N.*, Aso, M., Shelly, D. and Ide, S. (2023). Deep Mechanics along
the San Andreas Fault through Focal Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Earthquakes
near Parkfield, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2023. (Oral) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y*. and
Zhuang, J. (2023). Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay
Tessellation and its application to gravity Bayesian inversion, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2023, Hybrid, MAKUHARI MESSE, Chiba City, Japan, 24
May 2023. (Oral)
23–28
April 2023 European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly
2023, Vienna, Austria & Online. Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka
/ Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Nanjo, K.*,
Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2023). Volcanism of
Mount Fuji activated by the 2011 Japanese large earthquakes, European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria & Online,
27 April 2023. (Online Poster) Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Petrillo, G.*,
Zhuang, J. and Lippiello, E. (2023). Is the stress relaxation relevant for
long term forecasting?, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly
2023, Vienna, Austria & Online, 26 April 2023. (Oral)
13-14 March 2023 Slow-to-Fast Earthquake
Workshop in Taiwan, National
Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan. Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K. (2023).
Recent advances of data science techniques in seismology, Slow-to-Fast
Earthquake Workshop in Taiwan, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan,
Taiwan, 14 March 2023. (Invited Lecture)
28 February 2023 238th meeting
of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Hybrid, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2023). Prediction of crustal activity(1) - short-term
probabilistic prediction and evaluation of crustal earthquakes, 238th meeting
of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Hybrid, Geospatial
Information Authority of Japan Kanto Regional Survey Division, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 28 February 2023. (Oral) Ogata Y. and Kumazawa T. (2023). Earthquakes
in Turkey on February 6, 2023 (UTC), 238th meeting of Coordinating Committee
for Earthquake Prediction, Hybrid, Geospatial Information Authority of Japan
Kanto Regional Survey Division, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo,
28 February 2023. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K. (2023).
Development of seismic and geodetic event detection methods using multiple
observation stations by artificial intelligence, 238th meeting of
Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Hybrid, Geospatial
Information Authority of Japan Kanto Regional Survey Division, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 28 February 2023. (Invited Lecture)
3 February 2023 Research Meeting in
FY2022: Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2023). Short-term prediction of repeating earthquakes
considering trends in interplate aseismic slip
velocities, Research Meeting in FY2022: Crustal Activity Monitoring Based on
the Understanding of Recurrence Characteristics of Repeated Earthquakes,
Online, 3 February 2023. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2023). Background seismic activity and repeating
earthquakes, etc., Research Meeting in FY2022: Crustal Activity Monitoring
Based on the Understanding of Recurrence Characteristics of Repeated
Earthquakes, Online, 3 February 2023. (Oral)
2 December 2022 Statistics Across
Campuses Seminar, Hybrid,
University of New South Wales(UNSW), Sydney, Australia. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2022).
Estimation, diagnostics, and extensions of nonparametric Hawkes processes,
Statistics Across Campuses Seminar, UNSW Sydney, Australia (Hybrid), 2
December 2022. (Seminar)
4-5 November 2022 JSPS Grant Aided
Research Symposium on Theory and Methodology of Large-Scale Complex Data -New
Developments and Applications to Related Fields-, Hybrid, Tsukuba International Congress Center,
Tsukuba City, Japan. Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.* and
Sei, T. (2022). Minimum information dependence modeling for mixed domain
data, JSPS Grant Aided Research Symposium on Theory and Methodology of
Large-Scale Complex Data -New Developments and Applications to Related
Fields-, Hybrid, Tsukuba International Congress Center, 5 November 2022.
(Oral)
24-26 October 2022 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hokkaido
Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Si, Z. (2022). Bayesian merging of earthquake catalogs
from multiple sources, 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 25 October
2022. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano K.* and
Sei, T. (2022). Minimum information dependence modeling for analyzing the
dependence in mixed-domain data: Application to the dependence analysis of
focal mechanisms and depths, 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 26
October 2022. (Poster) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Prof. of ISM） Kato, A.*, Tsuruoka, H., Shinohara, M., Emoto, K., Kimura, T., Okamura,
K. and Kikuchi, Y. (2022).
Detection of Low-Frequency Earthquakes by Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS),
2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens
Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 24 October 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.Z.*,
Yukutake, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2022). Detection of
low-frequency earthquakes at Mount Fuji and statistical analysis, 2022 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives
Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 26 October 2022. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University Nomura, S.*, Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2022). Short-term Forecast of Repeating Earthquakes
Considering Spatiotemporal Aseismic Slip Rate along Plate Boundary, 2022 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives
Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 25 October 2022. (Invited Lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2022). Analysis of the non-stationarity of the earthquake
swarm activities in the Noto Peninsula, 2022 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo
city, Hokkaido, 24 October 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and
Zhuang, J. (2022). The research and application of the spherical space-time
ETAS model, 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido
Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 24 October 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Researcher of ISM） Petrillo, G.*,
Zhuang, J. and Lippiello, E. (2022). Verification of Seismic Gap by means of
physical and statistical models, 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido,
25 October 2022. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2022). Retrospective Monitoring of the Area Surrounding the
Showa Nankai Trough Earthquakes, 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido,
24 October 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Ishibe,
T.*, Terakawa, T., Hashima,
A., Mochizuki, M. and Matsu'ura, R. (2022).
Validating the Method Estimating Fault Slip Angles by Using Regional 3D
Stress Field with the Wallace-Bott Hypothesis –Application to the focal
mechanism solutions of microearthquakes–, 2022 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo
city, Hokkaido, 25 October 2022. (Oral)
Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T.*, Ide, S. and Nishimura, T. (2022). Slow Earthquakes in
the Japan Trench, 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 26 October 2022.
(Poster) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Kano, M.* and Itoh, Y. (2022). Estimation of early postseismic
slip following the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake by
assimilating high-rate GNSS data, 2022 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido,
26 October 2022. (Poster) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y.* and
Zhuang, J. (2022). Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay
Tessellation and its application to gravity Bayesian inversion, 2022 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido Citizens Actives
Center, Sapporo city, Hokkaido, 25 October 2022. (Oral)
17-21
October 2022 12th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei12), Institut des
Etudes Scientifiques de Cargèse,
Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2022). Evaluating earthquake forecasts with likelihood
based marginal and conditional scores, 12th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology(StatSei12), Institut des
Etudes Scientifiques de Cargèse,
Corsica, France, 21 October 2022. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T. (2022). A size distribution of deep low-frequency tremors in
the Nankai Trough zone: Modeling with a mixture distribution, 12th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology(StatSei12), Institut des
Etudes Scientifiques de Cargèse,
Corsica, France, 17-18 October 2022. (Poster) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.
(2022). The research on the spherical space-time ETAS model, 12th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei12), Institut des Etudes Scientifiques
de Cargèse, Corsica, France, 19-20 October 2022.
(Poster) Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Researcher of ISM） Petrillo, G.
(2022). Defining and testing the predictive efficacy of a realistic spring
block model, 12th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei12), Institut des Etudes Scientifiques de Cargèse,
Corsica, France, 19-20 October 2022. (Poster)
5-7
October 2022 138th
Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Hybrid, Kagoshima
University Inamori Auditorium, Kagoshima city, Japan. Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Kano, M. (2022).
測地データに基づく沈み込み帯における断層の摩擦特性とすべりの多様性に関する研究,
138th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Hybrid, Kagoshima University
Inamori Auditorium, 6 October 2022.( The 30th Tsuboi Prize Memorial Lecture) Nakagawa, R.*，Fukushima，Y.,
Kano, M., Yano, K. and Hirahara, K. (2022). GNSS データへの深層学習の適用による短期的SSEの断層すべり直接推定,
138th Meeting of the Geodetic Society of Japan, Hybrid, Kagoshima University
Inamori Auditorium, 5 October 2022.(Oral)
14-16
September 2022 International
Joint Workshop on Slow-to-Fast Earthquakes 2022, Hybrid, Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T. (2022).
Toward constructing a statistical model for slow earthquakes, International
Joint Workshop on Slow-to-Fast Earthquakes 2022, Hybrid, Nara Kasugano International Forum I-RA-KA, Nara city, Japan,
14 September 2022. (Poster)
11-14
September 2022 2022 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Online. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM
/ Project
Researcher of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2022). Prediction and validation of short- to long-term earthquake
probabilities in inland Japan using the hierarchical space-time ETAS and
space-time Poisson process models, 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting, Online, 11-14
September 2022. (Poster)
4-8
September 2022 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting. Seikei
University, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2022).
Refining point-process models for seismicity: learning from residual
analysis, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2022.
(Organized Session, Invited Lecture) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano K. (2022).
Predictive density in high/infinite dimensional models, Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei
University, Tokyo, Japan, 6 September 2022. (Organized Session, Invited
Lecture) Sei, T.* and
Yano, K. (2022). Minimum information dependence modeling for multi-domain
data, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei University, Tokyo, Japan, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
Okuno, A.* and
Yano, K. (2022). A generalization gap estimation for overparameterized models
via the Langevin functional variance, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting
2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei University, Tokyo,
Japan, 7 September 2022. (Oral) Kurata S.*,
Yamanaka Y., Yano K., Komaki F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2022). 正則化による地震波速度推定精度の改善と構造変化の検出について,
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei
University, Tokyo, Japan, 5 September 2022. (Oral) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Prof. of ISM）
Kato, A. (2022). Data-driven discovery & monitoring of Slow-to-Fast
earthquakes, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2022.
(Organized Session, Invited Lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2022). On statistical methods applied to recent earthquake
swarms, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, 25 May 2022.
(Oral) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and
Zhuang, J. (2022). A spherical version of the space-time ETAS model, Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei
University, Tokyo, Japan, 5 September 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Researcher of ISM） Petrillo, G.*
and Zhuang, J. (2022). Bayesian earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model,
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei
University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2022. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM
/ Project
Researcher of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2022).
A major earthquake has occurred! Real-time forecasting of subsequent
earthquake, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei University, Tokyo, Japan, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y.* and
Zhuang, J. (2022). Second-order smoothness prior over the Delaunay
Tessellation and application on gravity Bayesian inversion, Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting 2022, Hybrid Meeting, Seikei
University, Tokyo, Japan, 5 September 2022. (Oral)
22-26
August 2022 Electromagnetic
Studies of Earthquakes and Volcanoes(2022 EMSEV), National Central
University, Taoyuan, Taiwan. Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka
/ Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM）
Nanjo, K.Z.
(2022). Studies to evaluate seismicity using statistical methods,
Electromagnetic Studies of Earthquakes and Volcanoes(2022 EMSEV), National
Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan, 22-26 August 2022. (Invited lecture)
1-5 August
2022 AOGS2022
VIRTUAL, 19th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences
Society(AOGS), Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2022). Stochastic Reconstruction: A Data-driven Method for
Extending and Estimating Seismicity Clustering Models, AOGS2022 VIRTUAL, 19th
Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS), 2 August 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2022). Cluster-based
Foreshock Discrimination Models for Flexible Prediction Schemes, AOGS2022
VIRTUAL, 19th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS), 2 August
2022. (Oral)
Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2022). How to obtain probabilities and scenarios of a large
earthquake chain, Special Symposium of the Seismological Society of Japan
entitled by A Major Earthquake has occurred! What's next after the warning
'Be careful during about a week?' -Subsequent Earthquakes and Temporary
Information-, Online,
4-6 July
2022 Coarse-grained
description for non-equilibrium systems and transport phenomena, CNR Main
Conference Hall, Rome, Italy. Dr.
Petrillo, Giuseppe （Project
Researcher of ISM） Petrillo, G. (2022). Response of a granular sandwich to external
vibrations: How to control the transmitted acoustic frequency, Coarse-grained
description for non-equilibrium systems and transport phenomena, CNR Main
Conference Hall, Rome, Italy, 5 July, 2022. (Invited Lecture)
22 May - 3
July 2022 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022
, Hybrid(In-person
and online), Japan Geoscience Union(JpGU), Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2022). Refining the ETAS model: non-stationary background rate, hypocentral depth, source rupture geometry, and focal
mechanism, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral) Han, P.*, Chen,
H., Zhuang, J., Hattori K. (2022). Point-process modelling of earthquakes
incorporating ULF seismo-magnetic anomalies, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 22 May 2022. (Invited Papers) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Toyama, R.*, Kurata,
S., Yano, K. and Komaki, F. (2022). Clustering of Earthquake Event Data Based
on Space-Time Point Process Model Using Nonparametric Bayesian Method, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 30 May 2022. (Poster) Kurata, S.*,
Yamanaka, Y., Yano, K., Komaki, F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2022). On
performance verification of seismic tomography using structural
regularization, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 30 May 2022.
(Poster) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Prof. of ISM）
Kato, A.*, Tsuruoka, H., Shinohara, M., Emoto, K., Kimura, T., Okamura,
K. and Kikuchi, Y. (2022). Probe into Slow & Fast Earthquakes by
Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022,
Hybrid, 27 May 2022. (Oral) Ueda, T.* and Kato, A. (2022). Temporal and spatial variations in
seismicity characteristics after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake estimated
from HIST-ETAS model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 3 June
2022. (Poster) Shiina, T.*, Kano, M. and Kato, A. (2022). An MCMC approach for
determining earthquake hypocenters around a structural boundary and its
application to aftershocks of the 2004 Mid-Niigata Prefecture Earthquake, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 22 May 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.* and
Furuya, K. (2022). Investigation of a possible relationship between
aftershock parameters for sequences occurred inland Japan after 2000 and
crustal heat fIow, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2022, Hybrid, 29 May 2022. (Poster) Ishiyama, R.*,
Fukuyama, E. and Enescu, B. (2022). What do the time-variable friction
parameters in laboratory experiments tell us about sliding dynamics?, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 24 May 2022. (Oral) Petrescu, L.*
and Enescu, B. (2022). Nearest-neighbour cluster
analysis of intraslab seismicity in the Vrancea Seismic Zone, Romania, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.* and
Yukutake, Y. (2022). A study on detection of low-frequency earthquakes at Mt.
Fuji and data quality evaluation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022,
Hybrid, 2 June 2022. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University Ide, S.* and
Nomura, S. (2022). Preliminary forecasting model for tectonic tremor activity
using a renewal process, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2022). Changing features revealed from the
non-stationary ETAS model in regional earthquake swarm activity of the Noto
Peninsula, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2022). The research and application of the
spherical spacetime ETAS model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid,
25 May 2022. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2022). Prediction and validation of
short- to long-term earthquake probabilities in inland Japan using the
hierarchical space-time ETAS and space-time Poisson process models, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 25 May 2022. (Oral) Shiomi, K.*,
Omi, T., Ogata, Y. and Sawazaki, K. (2022) 5-year
performance check for the real-time automatic system for aftershock
forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Online Poster, 2 June 2022.
(Oral and Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.
(2022). Reconsideration of the energy balance in earthquake faulting-II:
Evaluation of radiated seismic energy, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022,
Hybrid, 27 May 2022. (Oral) Terakawa, T.*
and Matsu'ura, M. (2022). Tectonic stress fields
estimated from long-term CMT data ranging over different periods, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 27 May 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Lei, Xinglin （Senior Researcher of National
Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology(AIST) / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Sueyoshi, K.*, Kitamura, M., Lei, X. and Katayama, I. (2022). Experimental
investigation on fault reactivation by water injection and the relationship
between slip characteristics and injection rate, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 23 May 2022. (Oral) Fujii, T.*, Sorai, M., Oikawa, Y., Lei, X. and Kitamura, M. (2022). Effects
of geochemical reactions on a relationship between geomechanical
and hydrological properties of caprocks in storing CO2 geological processes,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 23 May 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Ishibe, Takeo （Senior Researcher of Association for
the Development of Earthquake Prediction / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Ishibe, T.*
and Matsu'ura, R. (2022). periodicity Parameters
Estimated From the Recent Repeating Earthquake Catalogs and Implication for
Seismic Hazard Assessment, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 23
May 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishimura, T.*, Nishikawa, T., Sato, D., Hiramatsu, Y. and Sawada, A.
(2022). Crustal deformation associated with the earthquake swarm in the Noto
Peninsula, central Japan, observed by GNSS, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2022, Hybrid, 27 May 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Kano, M *, Ikeuchi, A., Nishimura, T., Miyazaki, S. and Matsushima, K.
(2022). Potential of Megathrust Earthquakes along the Southern Ryukyu Trench
Inferred from GNSS Data, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 3 June
2022. (Poster) Shiina, T.*, Kano, M. and Kato, A. (2022). An MCMC approach for
determining earthquake hypocenters around a structural boundary and its
application to aftershocks of the 2004 Mid-Niigata Prefecture Earthquake, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2022, Hybrid, 22 May 2022. (Oral)
23-27 May
2022 European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly
2022, Vienna, Austria & Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Taroni, M.*, Selva, J., Marzocchi, W. and
Zhuang, J. (2022). Everything you
always wanted to know about b-value* (*but were afraid to ask), European
Geoscience Union(EGU) General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria & Online, 26
May 2022. (Oral)
8 March
2022 東京大学地震研究所共同利用研究集会「地震活動の統計モデルと物理的意味」, Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2022). Extensions of the spatiotemporal ETAS model and
their applications, 東京大学地震研究所共同利用研究集会「地震活動の統計モデルと物理的意味」, Online, 8 March 2022. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project Associate
Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of
Shizuoka Nanjo, K. (2022). 自然地震の地震活動解析について, 東京大学地震研究所共同利用研究集会「地震活動の統計モデルと物理的意味」, Online, 8 March 2022. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y.
(2022). Development of the ETAS model, 東京大学地震研究所共同利用研究集会「地震活動の統計モデルと物理的意味」,
Online, 8 March 2022. (Oral).
6-17 December 2021 2021 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2021). Long-term earthquake forecasts for the Italy and
California regions based on the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS)
model for short-term clustering, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2021. (Poster) Maita, E. and Zhuang, J.* (2021). Extended ETAS model by incorporating
focal mechanisms, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Online, 17 December 2021. (Poster) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Minson, S.E.*,
Cochran, E.S., Wu, S., Saunders, J.K., Baltay, A, McBride, S.K., and Milner
K. R. (2021). Shaking with a Chance of Warning, 2021 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2021. (Oral) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Prof. of ISM）
Kato, A. (2021). Hierarchical and structural complexities on the
diffuse fault system associated with the 2000 Tottori earthquake revealed by
a hyperdense seismic observation, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 16 December 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*, Moldovan,
I.A., Ionescu, C. and AFROS Team (2021), Analysis and Forecasting of Romanian
Seismicity (AFROS) Project: Aim and Preliminary Results, 2021 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2021. (Poster) Enescu, B.*,
Takeda, Y. and Miyazawa, M. (2021). Dynamic Triggering of Earthquakes in
Volcanic and Geothermal Areas Before and After the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki Earthquake, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 16 December 2021. (Oral) Ishiyama, R.*,
Fukuyama, E. and Enescu, B. (2021). Estimation of Time-Variable Friction
Parameters Using Machine Learning, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 15 December 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.* and Yukutake, Y. (2021). A preliminary study on
low-frequency earthquakes at Mt. Fuji, Japan, using the matched filter
method, 2021 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, 2021 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2021.
(Poster) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and
Zhuang, J. (2021). The research of spherical time-space ETAS model, 2021 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 17 December 2021.
(Poster) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y.* and Zhuang,
J. (2021). Estimation of Near-surface Density Based on Bayesian Method over
the Delaunay Tessellation with Second-order Smooth Prior, 2021 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 15 December 2021. (Poster)
14-16 October 2021 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2021). Long-term probability earthquake forecasts based on
the ETAS model, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K.* and
Kano, M. (2021). /1 trend filtering based detection of short-term slow slip
events from a GNSS array in southwest Japan, 2021 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Kurata, S.*,
Yamanaka, Y., Yano, K., Komaki, F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2021). An
earthquake tomography method for detecting of velocity discontinuities via
structured regularization, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Wu, S. (2021). A
Bayesian framework for Earthquake Early Warning, 2021 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Invited Lecture) Prof.
Kato, Aitaro （Prof.
of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Prof. of ISM） Kato, A.*, Takeo, A. and Obara, K. (2021). Rapid tremor migration
revealed by a dense seismic array in the western Shikoku, Japan, 2021 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 15 October 2021.
(Oral) Shiina, T.*, Kano, M., Kurata, S. and Kato, A. (2021). Estimation of
depth-dependent variations in seismic velocity in the source area of the 2004
Mid-Niigata prefecture earthquake based on the MCMC approach, 2021 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021.
(Poster) Kurihara, R.*, Kato, A., Kurata, S. and Nagao, H. (2021). Detection of
deep low-frequency earthquakes by matched filter technique using the product
of mutual information and correlation coefficient, 2021 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Ueda, T.*, Kato, A., Johnson, C.W. and Terakawa,
T. (2021). Seasonal variations in crustal seismicity and surface load
estimated from GNSS displacement, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Ishise, M.*, Kato, A., Sakai, S., Nakagawa, S. and Hirata, N. (2021). A New
PHS slab Model beneath the Tokyo Metropolitan Area Based on 3-D P-wave, 2021
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Motokoshi, T.*, Matsumoto, S., Iio, Y., Sakai,
S. and Kato, A. (2021). Estimation of
characteristics of the epicenter of double-couple earthquake and
Non-double-couple earthquake in the focal area of the 2000 Western Tottori
earthquake, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online,
16 October 2021. (Oral) Doi, I.*, Maeda, T., Kato, A., Takeda, T. and Murao, H. (2021). To what
extent can stationary seismic observation network detect small landslides
using short-period seismic waves?, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Online, 15 October 2021. (Oral) Matsumoto, S.*, Mitsuoka, A., Iio, Y., Sakai, S. and Kato, A. (2021). Evaluating
the crustal strength based on seismic moment tensor ratios, 2021 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T.* and Hiramatsu, Y. (2021). Event size distribution of deep
low-frequency tremors in the Nankai Trough modelled with a mixture
distribution, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Online, 14 October 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.*,
Izutsu, J., Orihara, Y. and Kamogawa,
M. (2021). Seismicity pattern before and after the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes,
2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October
2021. (Poster) Nanjo, K.* and
Yukutake, Y. (2021). A preliminary study on low-frequency earthquakes below
Mt. Fuji: Creation of an earthquake catalog using the Matched Filter method
and quality evaluation of the catalog, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021. (Poster) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and
Zhuang, J. (2021). The research of spherical time-space ETAS model, 2021 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ISM）
Ogata, Y.* and Katsura, K. (2021). Modified estimation of the HIST-ETAS model for
earthquake catalogs possessing long- and short-term incomplete data, 2021
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 15 October 2021.
(Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Terakawa, T.* and Matsu’ura, M. (2021). Three-dimensional
tectonic stress field inferred from long-term data of seismicity with prior
information, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online,
14 October 2021. (Poster) Dr.
Nishikawa, Tomoaki （Assistant
Prof. of Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nishikawa, T.*, and Nishimura, T. (2021). Development of an ETAS model
that explicitly incorporates the triggering effect of slow slip events on
seismicity, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online,
14 October 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Kano, Masayuki （Assistant
Prof. of Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Kano, M.*, Miyazaki, S., Ishikawa, Y. and Hirahara, K. (2021).
Adjoint-based direct data assimilation of GNSS time series for understanding
the current state of postseismic deformation and
its short-term prediction following the 2003 Tokachi-oki
earthquake, 2021 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online,
14 October 2021. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2021). Characteristics of earthquake swarm
activity in central Nagano prefecture as seen from the time variation of
background seismic activity estimated by the point process model, 2021 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 14 October 2021.
(Oral)
12-17
September 2021 2021
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Online. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM
/ Project
Researcher of ISM） Ogata, Y.*, Katsura,
K. (2021). Modified estimation and forecasting of the hierarchical space-time
ETAS (HIST-ETAS) model for earthquake catalogs in a wide area possessing
long- and short-term incompleteness, 2021 SCEC Annual Meeting, Online, 12-17
September 2021. (Poster)
5-9
September 2021 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2021).
A filtering formula for the renewal Hawkes process, Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting 2021: Online, 8 September 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Yano, Keisuke （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yano, K. and
Iba, Y. (2021). Information criterion for predictive evaluation based on
quasi- posterior distribution, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021:
Online Meeting, 8 September 2021. (Oral) Sei, T.* and
Yano, K. (2021). 最小情報コピュラモデルとその拡張, Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting 2021: Online Meeting, 8 September 2021. (Oral) Okuno, A.* and
Yano, K. (2021). Dependence of variance on covariate design in nonparametric
link regression, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online Meeting, 8
September 2021. (Oral) Kurata, S.*,
Yamanaka, Y., Yano, K., Komaki, F., Shiina, T. and Kato, A. (2021). 地震波速度不連続面の検出のためのスパース正則化に基づく地震波トモグラフィ,
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021, Online Meeting, 9 September 2021.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University Nomura, S.* and
Tanaka, M. (2021). Nonstationary renewal process for repeating earthquakes
under aftershock triggering effects, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021:
Online, 6 September 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.*,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2021). A study on the spherical space-time ETAS
model, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online, 8 September 2021.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM
/ Project
Researcher of ISM） Ogata, Y.* and Katsura, K. (2021). Spatio-temporal
estimation of long-term evolution of the detection rates in addition to local
missing rates of earthquakes immediately after major earthquakes in the JMA
earthquake hypocenter catalog, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021:
Online, 7 September 2021. (Oral) Shen,
Xun
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Shen, X.*,
Zhuang, J. (2021). Sample-based Neural Approximation for Probabilistic
Constrained Programs, Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online, 8
September 2021. (Oral) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y.* and
Zhuang, J. (2021). Second-order smoothness prior over Delaunay tessellation,
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting 2021: Online, 7 September 2021. (Oral)
30 May - 6
July 2021 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021:
Online,
Japan
Geoscience Union(JpGU). Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Xiong, Z. and Ogata, Y. (2021). A spherical version of the space-time ETAS
model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021: Online, 5 June 2021.
(Poster) Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K., Chen, C-H., Febriani, F.
and Chen, H. (2021). Assessing the potential earthquake precursory
information in ULF magnetic data recorded in Kanto, Japan during 2000 – 2010:
distance and magnitude dependences, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021:
Online, 6 June 2021. (Invited Papers) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yamada, M.*, Tamaribuchi, K. and Wu, S. (2021). IPFx:
extended integrated particle filter method for earthquake early warning and
visualization of its results with social networking service, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2021: Online, 6 June 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.*,
Ariyoshi, K., Takahashi, N., Yada, S., Yamamoto, Y. and Hori, T. (2021). A
preliminary study on data quality characterization for the DONET seismic
catalogue, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021: Online, 3 June 2021. (Poster)
Nanjo, K.*,
Yukutake, Y. and Noda, Y. (2021). A study on detecting low-frequency
earthquakes at Mt. Fuji, using the matched filter method: preliminary
results, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021: Online, 4 June 2021. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Associate
Prof. of Graduate School of Accountancy, Faculty of Commerce, Waseda University Nomura, S.* and Tanaka,
M. (2021). Nonstationary Renewal Model for Forecasting Repeating Earthquakes
under Aftershock-Triggering Effects, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021:
Online, 5 June 2021. (Poster) Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2021). A Bayesian approach to estimating the
crustal strain-rate fields from GNSS data and application to data from
Mainland China, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021: Online, 3 June 2021.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.* and Katsura, K. (2021). Modeling
space-time heterogeneities of hypocenter catalog, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2021: Online, 3 June 2021. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.
(2021). Reconsideration of the energy balance in earthquake faulting - I: The
origin of the background stress field, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021:
Online, 3 June 2021. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2021). Statistical analysis and its
characteristics of the earthquake activity near the border of Nagano, Gifu
and Fukui prefectures, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021: Online, 3 June
2021. (Oral) Niu,
Yuanyuan
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Niu, Y.* and
Zhuang, J. (2021). Bayesian estimation method of near-surface density under
irregular distribution of gravity network, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2021: Online, 3 June 2021. (Oral)
19–30
April 2021 European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly
2021: Gather Online. Dr.
Xiong, Ziyao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Xiong, Z.* and Zhuang, J. (2021). Crustal strain-rate fields estimated
from GNSS data with a Bayesian approach and its correlation to seismic
activity, European Geoscience Union(EGU) General Assembly 2021: Gather
Online, 30 April 2021. (Oral)
18
December 2020 The 998-th
DANWAKAI, Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Web
Meeting(Zoom). Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ueda, T.*, Kato,
A., Ogata, Y. and Yamaya, L. (2020). Spatial variations in seismicity
characteristics in and around the source region of the 2019 Yamagata-Oki
Earthquake, Japan, The 998-th DANWAKAI, Earthquake Research Institute, The
University of Tokyo, Web Meeting(Zoom), 18 December 2020
1-17 December 2020 2020 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Maita, E. (2020). Incorporating focal mechanisms into
the ETAS model, 2020 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Online, 11 December 2020. (Poster) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Minson, S.E.*, Cochran,
E.S., Wu, S. and Noda, S. (2020). Evaluating the Usefulness of Earthquake
Early Warning for a California Rail System, 2020 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 14 December 2020. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K. (2020). Changes in stress state and seismicity pattern
responsible for the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquakes, 2020 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 10 December 2020.
(Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ueda, T.*, Kato, A., Ogata, Y. and Yamaya, L. (2020). Spatial
variations in seismicity characteristics in and around the source region of
the 2019 Yamagata-Oki Earthquake, Japan, 2020 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Online, 11 December 2020. (Oral)
26
November 2020 The 229th web
conference of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2020). Short-, medium-, long-term and background-rate forecasts based on a
hierarchical space-time ETAS model: Towards the development of automated
forecasts (in Japanese), The 229th web conference of Coordinating Committee
for Earthquake Prediction, 26 November 2020. (Invited lecture)
29-31 October 2020 2020 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Online. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Maita, E. (2020). Incorporating focal mechanisms into
the ETAS model, 2020 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Online, 31 October 2020. Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Ishiyama, R.*, Fukuyama, E. and Enescu, B. (2020). Temporally variable
estimation of friction parameters using machine learning, 2020 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 31 October 2020. Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Cho, I.* and Iwata, T. (2020). Relationship between the upper limit of
analyzable wavelength ranges of the SPAC method and the SNR (in Japanese),
2020 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 30 October
2020. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2020). The Evolution of the ETAS Model and the Modeling of
Causal Inference (in Japanese), 2020 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Online, 31 October 2020. (Commemorative lectures from SSJ
award recipients) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Noda, A.*, Saito, T., Fukuyama, E, Terakawa,
T., Tanaka, S. and Matsu’ura, M. (2020). Shear strain energy changes caused by the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake
sequence: Comparison with aftershock activity (in Japanese), 2020 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Online, 29 October 2020. Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2020). Predictability of earthquake swarms with
consideration of central nagano swarm events in
2020 (in Japanese), 2020 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Online, 31 October 2020.
14-16
September 2020
2020 Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Maita, E. (2020). An ETAS model incorporated with focal mechanisms, 2020
Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center, 14-16 September
2020. (Online Poster). Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.* and Omi, T. (2020). Statistical monitoring and early forecasting
of earthquake sequence: Case studies after the 2019 M6.4 Searles Valley
Earthquake, California, 2020 Annual Meeting of the Southern California
Earthquake Center, 14 September 2020. (Online Poster) Ueda, T.*, Kato,
A., Ogata, Y. and Yamaya, L. (2020). Spatial variations in seismicity
characteristics in and around the source region of the 2019 Yamagata-Oki
Earthquake, Japan, 2020 Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake
Center, 14 September 2020. (Online Poster)
9-12
September 2020 2020
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Online. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2020). Visualizing Heterogeneities of Earthquake Hypocenter Catalogs: Modeling,
Analysis, and Calibration, 2020 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Online,
10 September 2020.
12-16 July
2020 JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020:
Virtual, Japan Geoscience Union(JpGU)-American
Geophysical Union(AGU). Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2020). Testing foreshock hypothesis against the ETAS model: why is it so
difficult?, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual,
12-16 July 2020. Yang, H.*, Zhou,
P., Jiang, G., Wang, B. and Zhuang, J. (2020). Seismicity induced by the Hutubi Underground Gas Storage Facility, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual, 12-16 July 2020. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nakano, S.*, Ueno,
G., Nomura, S. and Murakami, D. (2020). Development of a
"multilingual" data assimilation library, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual, 13 July 2020. Yabe, S.*,
Fukuchi, R., Hamada, Y., Ueki, K. and Nomura, S. (2020). Quantitative Logging
Unit Classification with Hidden Markov Model, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual, 13 July 2020. Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.
(2020). Changes in stress state associated with the 2019 Ridgecrest,
California, earthquakes, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting
2020: Virtual, 16 July 2020. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.* and Omi, T. (2020). Statistical Monitoring and Early
Forecasting of Earthquake Sequence: Case Studies after the 2019 M6.4 Searles
Valley Earthquake, California, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2020: Virtual, 15 July 2020. Ueda, T.*,
Yamaya, L., Ogata, Y. and Kato, A. (2020). Different deformation styles in
the source regions of the 2019 Yamagata-oki
earthquake and the 1964 Niigata earthquake, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual, 12-16 July 2020. Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*
and Terakawa, T. (2020). Decomposition of elastic
potential energy and the meaning of the energetics-based failure stress
criterion, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual, 16
July 2020. Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2020). Characteristics of Seismic
Activity before and after the 2018 M6.7 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi
Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual,
15 July 2020. Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Maita, E.*and
Zhuang, J. (2020). The character of the Focal mechanisms with Kagan angles in
Japan area for the extended 2-D ETAS model, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2020: Virtual, 12-16 July 2020.
14-17
January 2020 Hokudan 2020 International Symposium on Active Faulting, Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2020). Bayesian inference and forecast for
aperiodicity parameters of recurret earthquakes
under uncertain occurrence times, Hokudan 2020
International Symposium on Active Faulting, Hokudan Earthquake Memorial Park, Nojima Fault
Preservation Museum, Awaji City, Hyogo, Japan,
9-13 December 2019 2019 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Jia, K.*, Zhou, S., Jiang, C. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Spatiotemporal
Evolution of Background Seismicity Rate and Stress Changes Inverted from
Seismic Catalog in Changning Shalegas Hydraulic
Fracturing Region, Sichuan Basin of China, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December
2019. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K. (2019). Seismicity prior to the July 2019 M7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake, 2019 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 11 December 2019. (Poster) Rundle, J., Turcotte, D., Crutchfield, J., Donnellan, A. and Nanjo, K.
(2019). Earthquake and Tsunami Nowcasting and Forecasting Using Shannon
Information Theory, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Spatial Heterogeneity of the
Aftershock Productivity of the Kumamoto Earthquake Modeled by the Finite
Source ETAS model, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December 2019. (Poster) Xiong,
Ziyao （Ph.D.
Student of Department of Geophysics, Peking University, China） Xiong, Z.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2019). A Bayesian approach to
estimating the strain rate from GPS Velocity observations and application to
data from Mainland China, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2019. (Poster)
16-18 September 2019 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kyoto
University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2019). Bayesian
inference for recurrent earthquake sequences with uncertain occurrence times
(in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto
City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T.* and Iio, Y. (2019). Estimation of the
spatial stress pattern of San-in region: a preliminary analysis towards
estimation with high spatial resolution (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 18
September 2019. (Poster) Fukahata, Y.*, Iwata, T.
and Yoshida, K. (2019). Comparison of Stress Tensor Inversion Methods Using
Seismological Data (in Japanese), 2019
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan,
16 September 2019. (Oral) Dr. Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project Associate Prof. of Global
Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of Shizuoka Nanjo, K. Z. (2019). Seismicity prior to the July 2019 southern
California M7.1 earthquake (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City,
Japan, 16 September 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Spatial heterogeneity of
aftershock productivity on the Kumamoto earthquake rupture modeled by the
finite source ETAS model, 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 18 September
2019. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2019). High resolution seismicity models using interpolation
with Delaunay triangulation (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto
University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral)
Ogata, Y. (2019). Bayesian modeling and visualization of spatiotemporal
heterogeneity of hypocenter catalogs (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 17
September 2019. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*, Terakawa, T. and Noda, A. (2019).
Metrics for Aftershock Generation Based on the Energetics of Shear Faulting (in
Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City,
Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral) Terakawa, T.*, Matsu’ura, M. and Noda, A. (2019). A
new energetics-based failure criterion for understanding the spatial pattern
of aftershocks (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto
University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral)
Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2019). Characteristics
of seismic activity before and after the 2018 M6.7 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake, 2019
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida
Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 16 September 2019. (Oral) Xiong, Ziyao （Ph.D. Student of
Department of Geophysics, Peking University, China / Visiting Researcher of
ISM） Xiong, Z.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2019). Comparison of Models of
Long-term Seismic Hazard and with An Application to North China, 2019 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida
Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Poster)
8-12
September 2019 2019
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Shiga University, Hikone Campus, Hikone City,
Shiga, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J. (2019).
A filtering formula for the conditional intensity of the renewal Hawkes
process, 2019 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Shiga University, Hikone
Campus, Hikone City, Shiga, Japan, 9 September
2019. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2019). Path algorithms for clustered Lasso and OSCAR, 2019
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Shiga University, Hikone
Campus, Hikone City, Shiga, Japan, 12 September
2019. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2019). Posterior distribution of number and locations of centers from
coordinates of clustered spatial point patterns, 2019 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Shiga University, Hikone
Campus, Hikone City, Shiga, Japan, 10 September
2019. (Oral)
7 September
2019 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) CSEP(Collaboratory for the
Study of Earthquake Predictability) Workshop, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2019). SCEC CSEP Workshop on
Operational Earthquake Forecasting during the Ridgecrest Sequence and CSEP2
Progress, CSEP Workshop, Hilton Palm Springs,
Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7 September 2019. (Invited discussion)
27 August
2019 Workshop on Hawkes
processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2019). A Filtering Formula for the Conditional Intensity of
the Renewal Hawkes Process, Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 27 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2019). Modeling Heterogeneity and Non-stationarity of
Recurrent Earthquakes, Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science, Workshop
on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27
August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y. (2019). Spatial Heterogeneity of Aftershock Productivity on the
Kumamoto Earthquake Rupture Modeled by the Finite Source ETAS Model, Workshop
on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27
August 2019. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2019). 3D seismicity model beneath the Greater Tokyo Area,
Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 27 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kumazawa, T. (2019). Characteristics of Seismic Activity before and after the
2018 M6.7 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake,
Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 27 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Associate Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo） Omi, T. (2019). Flexible Modeling of Point Processes, Workshop on
Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27
August 2019. (Oral)
18-21
August 2019 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa,
Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Maita, E. (2019). Distributions of focal mechanisms in
background seismicity and earthquake clusters in Japan, 11th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019.
(Oral)
Jia, K.*, Zhou, S., Jiang, C. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Satiotemporal evolution of background seismicity rate and
stress changes inverted from seismic catalog in Changning region, Sichuan
Basin of China, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 19 August 2019. (Poster) Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Hattori, K. (2019). Operational
earthquake forecast incorporating multiple geophysical data, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa,
Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Chen, S.*, Li, H., Zhuang, J., Zhang, B. and Wang, L. (2019). A
Bayesian approach of network adjustment for campaigned gravity survey:
methodology and model test, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Shcherbakov, R.*, Zhuang, J., Zoeller, G. and Ogata, Y. (2019).
Bayesian Inference on the Magnitude of the Largest Expected Earthquake, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa,
Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Varini, E.*, Peresan, A. and Zhuang, J.
(2019). Declustering algorithms and network theory
for the topological inspection of earthquake sequences, 11th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019.
(Poster)
Li, H.*, Zhang, B., Chen, S. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Bayesian
assimilation inversion of gravity anomalies and parameters optimization, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa,
Japan, 21 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2019). Spatial Distribution of Coefficients
of Variation for Recurrence Intervals of Paleoearthquakes
in Japan, 11th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11),
The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi,
Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*, Shimojo, K., Opris, A., Yagi, Y.
and Zhuang, J. (2019). Remote triggering of earthquakes as a potential
stress-meter: the case of the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake in Japan, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa,
Japan, 19 August 2019. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of Department of Life
Sciences, Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University
of Hiroshima Iwata, T.* and Iio, Y. (2019). An Application
of a Bayesian estimation of spatial stress pattern to San-in region, Japan,
11th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa,
Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Dr. Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project Associate Prof. of Global Center
for Asian and Regional Research, University of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.Z.*, Rundle, J.B. and Sakurada, T. (2019). Development of the
earthquake nowcasting method with application to Japan, 11th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 19 August 2019.
(Poster)
Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Extended versions of the
space-time ETAS model and application to the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake
sequence, 11th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11),
The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi,
Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2019). High resolution seismicity models using interpolation
with Delaunay triangulation, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Oral) Ogata, Y. (2019). Modeling, visualizing and calibrating heterogeneous
hypocenter catalog, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B.,
Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2019). Results
for real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan during recent two years, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan,
20 August 2019. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Terakawa, T.*, Matsu’ura, M. and Noda, A. (2019). The
change in the elastic strain energy due to the 1992 Landers earthquake and
triggering mechanisms of aftershock activity, 11th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 19 August 2019.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Toda, S. (2019). Anomalies in wide seismicity before the 2011
Tohoku Earthquake, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Xiong,
Ziyao （Ph.D.
Student of Department of Geophysics, Peking University, China / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Xiong, Z.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2019). Long-term earthquake risk
in North China estimated from a modern catalogue, 11th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019.
(Poster)
18-19 June
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2019). Principles and methods for statistical analysis of
seismicity, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences College of Earth and
Planetary Sciences, Beijing, China, 18 June 2019. (Seminar) Zhuang, J. (2019). History, applications and extensions of the
space-time ETAS model, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences College of
Earth and Planetary Sciences, Beijing, China, 19 June 2019. (Seminar)
26-30 May
2019 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Maita, E. (2019). Distributions of focal mechanisms in background seismicity
and earthquake clusters in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 27 May 2019. (Poster) Xiong, Z.,
Zhuang, J.* and Zhou, S. (2019). Long-term earthquake risk in North China
estimated from a modern catalogue, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 27 May 2019. (Poster) Hirata, N.*,
Tsuruoka, H., Schorlemmer, D. and Zhuang, J. (2019). CSEP Japan results and
future developments, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Oral) Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Hattori, K. (2019). Earthquake probability forecast
incorporating non-seismic data, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo
Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019.
(Oral) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Jordan, T., Marzocchi, W.,
Savran, W., Werner, M., Wiemer, S., Beutin, T.,
Jackson, D. D., Maechling, P., Mak, S., Nanjo, K.,
Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H., Weatherill, G., and Zhuang, J. (2019).
Increasing Earthquake Forecast Testability - CSEP Future Developments, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2019). Bayesian Inference and Forecast on Renewal Processes for
Recurrent Earthquakes with Uncertain Occurrence Times, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 29 May 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2019). Focal mechanisms of the aftershocks of the 2000 Western Tottori
Earthquake inferred from P wave first-motion data and spatial stress pattern,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.*,
Miyaoka, K. and Yoshida, A. (2019). Assessment for a large earthquake
occurrence on the northern side of the focal region of the 2011 off-Tohoku
mega-thrust earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2019. (Oral) Nanjo, K.
(2019). An investigation into slow-slip detection capability of the Tokai Strainmenter Network, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2019, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2019. (Poster) Nanjo, K.*,
Rundle, J. and Sakurada, T. (2019). Earthquake nowcasting: further
development and application to Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2019. (Poster) Nanjo, K.*,
Izutsu, J., Orihara, Y., Kamogawa,
M. and Nagao, T. (2019). Seismicity and crustal deformation following the
2016 Kumamoto earthquakes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 28 May 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Extended versions of the space-time ETAS model
and application to the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba
City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2019). High
resolution space-time models forecasting 3D seismicity beneath the Greater
Tokyo Area, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Invited
lecture) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura, M. (2019).
The seismic moment, stress drop, and strain energy release for the rupture of
asperities, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Oral) Terakawa,
T.*, Matsu’ura, M. and Noda, A. (2019). The change
in the elastic strain energy due to the 1992 Landers earthquake and
triggering mechanisms of aftershock activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan,
29 May 2019. (Oral)
15 May
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). Identifying the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors using a
2D hidden Markov model, Academia Sinica, Institute
of Statistical Sciences, Taipei City, Taiwan, 15 May 2019. (Seminar)
14-17 May
2019 2019 Taiwan
Geosciences Assembly(TGA), Taipei Nangang
Exhibition Center, Taipei City, Taiwan. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2019).
Data missing in the Chichi earthquake sequence and stochastic replenishment,
2019 Taiwan Geosciences Assembly(TGA), Taipei Nangang
Exhibition Center, Taipei City, Taiwan., 14 May 2019. (Oral)
13 May
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). Identifying the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors using a
2D hidden Markov model, Academia Sinica, Institute
of Earth Sciences, Taipei City, Taiwan, 13 May 2019. (Seminar)
10 May
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). Detection and replenishment of missing data in earthquake catalogs,
National Central University, Department of Earth Sciences, Taoyuan City,
Taiwan, 10 May 2019. (Seminar)
7-12 April
2019 European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna,
Austria. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Peresan, A.*, Varini, E. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Capturing the
complexity of earthquake sequences by different methods, European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna,
Austria, 8 April 2019. (Oral) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M.,
Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D., Maechling, P., Mak, S., Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades,
D., Strader, A., Tsuruoka, H., Weatherill, G., Zhuang, J. and Savran, W.
(2019). Increasing Earthquake Forecast Testability - CSEP Future
Developments, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria
Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 8 April 2019. (Invited Lecture) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Borleanu,
F.*, Petrescu, L., Enescu, B., Popa, M. and Radulian,
M. (2019). Use of Double Difference seismic tomography to reveal seismicity
and crustal structure patterns across the Eastern Carpathians, Romania,
European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 9 April 2019. (Poster) Gulia, L.*, Tormann, T., Rinaldi, A.P., Vannucci., G., Enescu, B. and
Wiemer, S. (2019). The effect of a mainshock on the size distribution of the
aftershocks, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria
Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 11 April 2019. (Poster)
11-13
February 2019 International
Conference on "Data
Science, Time Series Modeling and Applications"(ICMMA2018), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). A Semi-parametric Spatiotemporal Hawkes-type Point Process Model with
Periodic Background for Crime Data, International Conference on "Data
Science, Time Series Modeling and Applications"(ICMMA2018), Meiji
University, Nakano Campus, Nakano-ku, Tokyo,
Japan., 13 February 2019.
10-14
December 2018 2018 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Han, P. and Ogata, Y. (2018). Statistical testing of earthquake precursors
and modelling strategies, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union
(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 10 December 2018. (Invited lecture) Peng, Z.*,
Neves, M., Daniels, C., Zhu, L., McClellan, J-H. and, Zhuang, J. (2018).
Seismic Detection of Very Early Aftershocks Following the 2004 M6.0 Parkfield
Earthquake, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter
E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 10 December 2018. (Poster) Zhou, P.*, Yang,
H., Wang, B. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Seismological investigations of
potentially induced earthquakes near the Hutubi
underground gas storage, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 12 December 2018. (Poster) Jia, K.*, Zhou,
S., Zhuang, J., Jiang, C. and Guo, Y. (2018). Did the 2008 Mw 7.9 Wenchuan
earthquake trigger the occurrence of the 2017 Mw 6.5 Jiuzhaigou
earthquake in Sichuan, China?, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 13 December 2018. (Poster) Shcherbakov,
R.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2018). Bayesian Framework for Constraining the
Magnitude of Extreme Aftershocks, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 14 December 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Bayesian estimation and forecast for recurrence intervals
of uncertain occurrence times from paleoearthquakes,
2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E.
Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 10 December 2018. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*, Shimojo, K., Opris, A., Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2018).
Triggering and Decay Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in
Japan, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E.
Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 11 December 2018. (Oral) Borleanu, F.,
Enescu, B.*, Petrescu, L. Popa, M. and Radulian, M.
(2018). Crustal structure of the Eastern Carpathians (Romania) region as
revealed by double-difference seismic tomography, 2018 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 12 December 2018. (Poster) Peng, H.*,
Enescu, B., Lin, A. and Shiomi, K. (2018). Investigating the Seismicity
Before and After the 2018 M6.1 Osaka Earthquake, Japan, 2018 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 13 December 2018. (Poster) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J., Hirata, N. and Zhou, S. (2018). Heterogeneity of Direct
Aftershock Productivity of the Mainshock Rupture, 2018 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 14 December 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Modeling and visualizing space-time heterogeneities of hypocenter
catalogs, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E.
Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 10 December 2018. (Invited (Poster)) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). 3D ETAS based model for
predicting seismicity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 2018 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 10 December 2018. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and
Aihara, K. (2018). Real-time operational aftershock forecasting in Japan,
2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E.
Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC,
U.S.A., 12 December 2018. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Noda, A.*,
Saito, T., Fukuyama, E., Terakawa, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2018). Estimation of gradual stress
changes before the 2016 Mw7.0 Kumamoto, Japan, earthquake, 2018 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention
Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 11 December 2018.
(Oral) Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Zhuang, J.* and
Maita, E. (2018). Combining focal mechanisms into the ETAS model, 2018 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU) Walter E. Washington
Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 13
December 2018. (Poster)
18 October
2018 Center for Data
Science and Service Research, Tohoku University, Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Hawkes models in social and natural sciences: estimation, diagnostics,
and extensions, Data Science Workshop, Center for Data Science and Service
Research, Tohoku University, Sendai City, Japan, 18 October 2018. (Invited
Seminar)
9-11
October 2018 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City,
Fukushima, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Bayesian Forecast with the BPT Model for Japanese Paleoseismic Catalog and its Predictive Performance Based
on Numerical Experiences (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City,
Fukushima, Japan, 10 October 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2018).
Estimation of focal mechanisms on the basis of the spatial stress pattern
inferred from P-wave first motion
data (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 10 October 2018.
(Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Statistical Seismology and Physics of Seismic activity (in Japanese),
2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Big Palette
Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 10 October 2018. (Invited
lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and
Aihara, K. (2018). Real -time aftershock forecasting after the 2018 Northern
Osaka earthquake (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 9
October 2018. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu’ura,
M.*, Noda, A. and Terakawa, T. (2018). Theoretical
Background of the Wallace-Bott Hypothesis (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City,
Fukushima, Japan, 11 October 2018. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Saito, T., Fukuyama, E., Terakawa, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2018). Interseismic
stress accumulation and release estimated from elastic/inelastic strain
analysis in Beppu-Shimabara graben (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City,
Fukushima, Japan, 11 October 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y., and Toda, S. (2018). Anomalies in wide seismicity before the
2011 Tohoku Earthquake (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 9
October 2018. (Oral) Zhang,
Shengfeng （Ph.D. Student of Institute of
Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, China / Visiting Researcher of
ISM） Zhang, S.*, Zhuang,
J. and Jiang C. (2018). Next one-day aftershock forecasting generated by ETAS
model and R-J model, 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 9 October 2018.
(Oral)
25-28
September 2018 10th
ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Science)
International Workshop, Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu’ura, M. (2018).
History of ACES Activity, 10th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake
Science)
International Workshop, Hotel & Resorts MINAMIAWAJI, Minamiawaji
City, Hyogo, Japan, 25 September 2018. (Oral) Matsu’ura, M.
(2018). Two Different Representations of Moment Tensor and the Energetics of
Shear Faulting, 10th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Science)
International Workshop, Hotel & Resorts MINAMIAWAJI, Minamiawaji
City, Hyogo, Japan, 26 September 2018. (Oral)
21-23
September 2018 International
Joint Workshop on Slow Earthquakes 2018(SlowEQ2018), ACROS Fukuoka, Fukuoka City, Japan. Buckby,
Jodie
（PhD Student of Otago Univeristy (Department of Mathematics and Statistics),
New Zealand） Buckby, J.*,
Wang, T., Zhuang, J., Obara, K. and Takeo, A. (2018). Classification of
non-volcanic tremor observations, International Joint Workshop on Slow
Earthquakes 2018, ACROS Fukuoka, Fukuoka City, Japan, 21-23 September 2018.
(Poster)
9-13
September 2018 2018
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku,
Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.* and
Mateu, J. (2018). A semi-parametric spatiotemporal Hawkes-type point process
model with periodic background for crime data, 2018 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen
Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2018).
Automatic segmentation of rating classes via the generalized fused lasso,
2018 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen
Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 12 September 2018.
(Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y. (2018).
Modelling and forecasting three-dimensional-hypocentre
seismicity in the Kanto region, 2018 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo
University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquake, 2018 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen
Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018.
(Oral) Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Maita, E. (2018).
Extension of ETS model with focal mechanism, 2018 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral)
8-12
September 2018 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J. (2018).
Perspectives from CSEP Japan, SCEC Workshop on Predictive Skill Across
Tectonic Settings and Planning CSEP 2.0, CSEP Workshop, Hilton Palm Springs,
Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 8 September 2018. (Invited talk) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). SCEC Workshop on Predictive Skill Across Tectonic Settings and
Planning CSEP 2.0, CSEP Workshop, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 8 September 2018. (Invited discussion) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). 3D models of seismicity
beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 8-12 September 2018. (Poster)
2-7
September 2018 The European Seismological
Commission 36th General Assembly, Mediterranean
Conference Center(MCC), Valletta, Malta. Schorlemmer, D.*, Werner,
M., Marzocchi, W., Jordan, T., Ogata, Y., Jackson, D., Mak, S., Rhoades, D.,
Gerstenberger, M., Hirata, N., Strader, A., Taroni, M., Wiemer, S., Zechar,
J. and Zhuang, J. (2018).
10 August
2018 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project
Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo）
Ogata, Y.
(2018). Studies of Seismic Activity and Forecasting based on the ETAS models,
RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project, RIKEN Kansai Branch at
Advanced Telecommunications Research Institute International(ATR), Soraku-gun, Kyoto, Japan, 10 August 2018. (Invited
lecture)
16 July
2018 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Critical zone of the branching crack model for earthquakes: inherent
randomness, earthquake predictability, and precursor modeling, National
Central University, Department of Earth Sciences, Taoyuan City, Taiwan, 16
July 2018. (Seminar)
26-29 June
2018 5th Institute of
Mathematical Statistics(IMS), Asia Pacific Rim Meeting(IMS-APRM 2018), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2018).
Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point processes, 5th
Institute of Mathematical Statistics(IMS), Asia Pacific Rim Meeting(IMS-APRM
2018), National University of Singapore, Singapore, 26 June 2018. (Oral)
19-21 June
2018 2nd International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta
2018),
City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Clustering models for earthquake occurrences and extensions, 2nd
International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta
2018), City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 21 June 2018. (Invited
lecture) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Wu, S.*, Liu,
Y., Ng, M. and Tanaka, M. (2018). Application of multi-domain clustering to
C. elegans neural network analysis, 2nd International Conference on
Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2018), City
University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 20 June 2018. (Invited lecture)
3-8 June
2018 15th Annual Meeting
Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Hawaii Convention Centre, Honolulu,
Hawaii, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ishibe,
T.*, Miyazawa, M., Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2018). Seismicity
rate change in Japan following the 2011 Tohoku-oki
earthquake, 15th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Hawaii
Convention Centre, Honolulu, Hawaii, U.S.A., 7 June 2018. (Poster)
25-27 May
2018 International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University (Nishi-Chiba Campus),
Chiba City, Japan. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*, Matsu’ura, M. and Han, P. (2018). Critical zone of the
branching crack model for earthquakes: inherent randomness, earthquake
predictability, and precursor modelling, International Symposium on
Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation
Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2018. (Invited lecture) Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2018). On the precursory information in ULF seismo-electromagnetic phenomena, International Symposium
on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation
Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2018. (Invited lecture) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Bebbington, M. and Kato, T. (2018). Precursory signals from GPS
data for short-term earthquake forecasts: signal processing and assessment,
International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop
on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2018). Statistical
features and cluster-based discrimination of foreshocks, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.
(2018). A global model of earthquake forecasting using spatiotemporal
variation of b-value, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Probability forecasts of a large earthquake by combination of
statistical characteristics and anomalies of seismic activity, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2018.
(Invited lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and
Aihara, K. (2018). Real-time short-term earthquake forecasting after a large
earthquake in Japan, International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th
International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation,
Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2018. (Poster)
20-24 May
2018 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Hirata, N. and Tsuruoka, H. (2018). A 3D-hypocentral ETAS model for
the Japan CSEP project and initial results, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018. (Poster) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M.,
Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D.D.,
Mak, S., Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhuang, J.
(2018). Increasing Testability, Expanding Possibilities. Some CSEP Future
Developments, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Foreshock Discrimination and Short-Term Mainshock Forecast
Based on Magnitude Differences and Spatio–Temporal
Distances, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Yamada, M.*,
Saito, J., Hayashimoto N. and Wu, S. (2018). How to
improve earthquake early warning for multiple simultaneous earthquakes:
example of January 5 2018 event, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo
Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018.
(Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.,
Enescu, B.*, Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Triggering and Decay
Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Southwest Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Shimojo, K.,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y.* and Takeda, T. (2018). Nucleation Process of the 2011 Mw 6.2 Northern Nagano earthquake,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Poster) Matsukawa, H.,
Yagi, Y.*, Kasahara, A. and Enescu, B. (2018). Stress Release and Rebuilding
Processes of Mega-thrust Earthquake and Periodic Slowslip
Detected by Focal Mechanism Patterns, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2018). Stress rotation found in the aftershock area of the 2000 Western
Tottori Earthquake and its temporal variation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan,
22 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2018). b-value
analysis for low-frequency earthquakes beneath Mt. Fuji, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral) Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2018). A b-value map
based on seismicity of the Nankai Trough subduction zone, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba
City, Japan, 24 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2018). Wide seismic anomalies before the 2011
Tohoku Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hirata, N. (2018). Heterogeneity of direct aftershock
productivity of the main shock rupture, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 22 May 2018. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). Exploring
Magnitude Forecasting of the Next Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan,
21 May 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura,
M.*, Noda, A. and Terakawa, T. (2018).
Reconsideration of moment tensor: two different representations and their
physical meanings, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Saito, T., Fukuyama, E. and Matsu’ura, M. (2018).
Crustal stress accumulation and release estimated from elastic/inelastic
strain analysis: the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan,
23 May 2018. (Oral) Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Maita, E.* and
Zhuang, J. (2018). Incorporating focal mechanisms into the ETAS model, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Zhang,
Shengfeng （PhD
Student of Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, China /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhang, S.*,
Zhuang, J., and Jiang, C. (2018). One-day forecasts generated by the ETAS and
Reasenberg-Jones models for the aftershocks
following the 2017 Linzhi, Tibet, MS6.9 earthquake, China,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018. (Oral)
16 May
2018 Workshop on the
Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science Experiments(CESES): Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.
(2018). Earthquake triggering and interaction, based on study-cases in Japan,
Workshop on the Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science
Experiments(CESES): Science, Technology and Coordination, Institute of
Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 16
May 2018. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2018)
Toward probability forecasting of large earthquakes, Workshop on the
Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science Experiments(CESES): Science,
Technology and Coordination, Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China
Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 16 May 2018. (Invited lecture)
12-14 May
2018 International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International
Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu Century
City New International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu, Sichuan,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Critical zone of the branching crack model for earthquakes: inherent
randomness, earthquake predictability, and precursor modelling, International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th
International Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New
International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 12
May 2018. (Invited lecture) Zhuang, J.
(2018). Data missing of the Wenchuan aftershock sequence in the catalog and
stochastic replenishment, International Conference for the Decade Memory of
the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International Conference on Continental
Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New International Convention and Exhibition
Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13 May 2018. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T. (2018).
Background rates of swarm earthquakes that are synchronized with volumetric
strain changes, International Conference for the Decade Memory of the
Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International Conference on Continental
Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New International Convention and Exhibition
Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13 May 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). On recent ETAS research progress for seismicity, International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th
International Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New
International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13
May 2018. (Invited lecture)
22 March
2018 ISM Symposium on
Environmental Statistics 2018, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2018). Spatial distribution of coefficients of variation for earthquake
recurrence intervals in Japan, ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics
2018, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22
March 2018. (Invited lecture)
5-6 March
2018 32nd
Information-Based Induction Sciences and Machine Learning(IBISML), Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Watanabe, M. and Oguma, Y. (2018). Classification of Intra-Week and Intra-Day
Walking Patterns and Their Effect on Body-Composition Changes Using A
Hierarchical Model, 32nd Information-Based Induction Sciences and Machine
Learning(IBISML), Nishijin Plaza, Kyushu
University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 5 March 2018. (Oral)
22
February 2018 International
Symposium on Risk Analysis and Random Fields, Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2018). Modeling heterogeneity and non-stationarity of earthquake recurrence
cycles, International Symposium on Risk Analysis and Random Fields, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 February 2018.
(Invited lecture)
11-15
December 2017 2017 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Tinti, E.
(2017). Heterogeneity of direct aftershock productivity in the focal zones of
large earthquakes and other clustering features of seismicity in Italy during
2005 to 2016, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New
Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New
Orleans, U.S.A., 13 December 2017. (Oral) Wang, D.*, Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J.J., Maeda, T.,
Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X. (2017). Automated Determination of Magnitude and
Source Length of Large Earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial
Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 15 December 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2017). A systematic investigation into b values prior to coming
large earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New
Orleans, U.S.A., 14 December 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Assistant
Prof. of Department of Earth and
Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and Technology, China /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Assessment of precursory information in seismo-electromagnetic phenomena, 2017 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 12
December 2017. (Poster)
30
November - 1 December 2017 ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference Tokyo 2017, Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial Pattern of Coefficients of Variation and Bayesian
Forecasts for Recurrence Intervals of Earthquakes in Japan, ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference Tokyo 2017, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 30 November 2017. (Oral)
27
November - 1 December 2017 Workshop
on Frontiers in Studies of Earthquakes and Faults, Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Stress field in the aftershock area of the 2000 Western Tottori
Earthquake estimated by a Bayesian stress inversion analyzing P-wave first
motion data, Workshop on Frontiers in Studies of Earthquakes and Faults,
Southern University of Science and Technology(SUSTech),
Shenzhen, Guangdong, China, 30 November, 2017. (Poster)
25-27
October 2017 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Taroni, M.
(2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy
during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral) Wang, D.*, Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka,
H. and Zhao, X. (2017). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source
Length of Large Earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City,
Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M.,
Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D.,
Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H., Yu, J. and Zhuang, J.
(2017). Increasing Testability - Expanding Possibilities: Some CSEP future
developments, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26
October 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). CSEP次世代プロジェクトの一展望 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and
Aihara, K. (2017). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time
hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.,
Enescu, B.*, Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Triggering and Decay
Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Southwest Japan, 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural
Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster) Shimojo,
K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). 2011年長野県北部の地震(Mw
6.2)の核形成過程 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). P波初動データに基づく応力場の空間パターン推定：応力比推定の試み (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017.
(Oral) Cho, I.* and
Iwata, T. (2017). 微動アレイデータを用いた浅部速度構造のベイズインバージョン法の開発 (in Japanese),
2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017.
(Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). 日本の活断層カタログに対するBPTモデルの適切な推定と予測について (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of
Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). 2016年熊本地震発生前後の九州地方地震活動の点過程モデルによる解析 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu’ura,
M.*, Noda, A., Miyauchi, T. and Sato, T. (2017). 完新世海成段丘の成因と地震発生時期予測可能モデル (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 27 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka / Visiting Researcher of ISM）
Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida A. (2017). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time
hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 27 October 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Post-doctoral fellow of Earthquake
Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Modeling and forecasting seismicity in the
Kanto region by using a 3D ETAS model, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster)
23-25 October 2017 Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University,
Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Extensions of the self-exciting model and causality analysis for
seismicity, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda
Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 24 October 2017.
(Invited lecture)
15-17 October 2017 2017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2017).
An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005
to 2016, 2017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience Union(CGU), Beijing
International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 16 October 2017. (Invited
lecture)
9-13
September 2017 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Tinti, E.
(2017). Clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017
SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9
September 2017. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2017).
3D spatial models for seismicity beneath greater Tokyo region, CSEP Workshop:
Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2017). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquakes, CSEP Workshop:
Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2017). On secular spatial seismicity, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2017). Short-term forecasts by foreshock discrimination, CSEP Workshop:
Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)
3-6
September 2017 2017
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan
University, Nagoya City, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof.
of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Delaunay triangulation for smoothing seismicity models, 2017 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University,
Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term earthquake forecast model using foreshock
discrimination and aftershock decay, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting,
Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September
2017. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2017). Monitoring of the Seismicity before and after the 2016
Kumamoto Earthquake with Point Process Models, 2017 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya
City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral)
8-10
August 2017 2017
Conference of the International Federation of Classification Societies(IFCS
2017),
Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.,
Watanabe, M. and Oguma, Y. (2017). Classification of in-week and -day
patterns in ambulatory activity and body composition change, The 2017
Conference of the International Federation of Classification
Societies(IFCS-2017), Tokai University, Takanawa Campus, Minato-ku Tokyo,
Japan, 8 August 2017. (Oral)
30 July –
4 August 2017
Joint Scientific
Assembly of the International Association of Geodesy(IAG) and the
International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth’s
Interior(IASPEI) (IAG-IASPEI 2017), Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Investigation of remote earthquake triggering
after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake,
IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2
August 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). The spatial distribution of the stress ratio in the aftershock area
of the 2000 Western Tottori Earthquake, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2 August 2017. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura,
M.*, Nomura, S., Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2017). Reciprocal relationship
between seismically estimated slip rates and geodetically estimated
slip-deficit rates at plate interfaces: Physical interpretation and logical
consequence, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 1 August 2017. (Oral) Noda, A.* and Matsu’ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of plate
interfaces inferred from numerical simulations of stress fields for oceanic
plates: Application to the North American-Pacific plate interface off
northeast Japan, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 1 August 2017. (Oral)
16-21 July
2017 61st International
Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Modelling earthquake clustering and stochastic reconstruction, 61st
International Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017),
Mansour Eddahbi Hotel & Palais des Congrès, Marrakech, Kingdom of Morocco, 19 July 2017.
(Invited lecture)
15-17 June
2017 1st International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta
2017),
Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Mateu, J. (2017). Semi-parametric estimates of long-term background trend,
periodicity, and clustering effect for a Hawkes point process, 1st
International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta
2017), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June
2017. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial distribution
of coefficients of variation and Bayesian forecasts for recurrence intervals
of earthquakes, 1st International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Hong Kong University of Science and
Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited lecture)
26-27 May
2017 4th International
Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation,
Modeling, Forecasting~ Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Evaluation Methods of Earthquake Forecasts and earthquake
predictions, 4th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process
2017 -Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K., Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical modeling of
earthquake temporal occurrences incorporating seismo-magnetic
data, 4th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017
-Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Oral)
22-26 May
2017 JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting
2017,
Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall,
International Exhibition Hall / Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and
Console, R. (2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity
in Italy during 2005 to 2016, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Guo, Y.*,
Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Statistical characteristics of seismicity
in the Kanto region detected by the 3D-ETAS model, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba
City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*, Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Remote
triggering of earthquakes as a possible stress-meter: the case of the 2016
M7.3 Kumamoto mainshock, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting
2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan,
25 May 2017. (Oral) Tormann,
T.*, Gulia, L., Staudenmaier, N., Petruccelli, A., Enescu, B. and Wiemer, S.
(2017). Current frontiers in spatio-temporal
b-value analysis, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017,
Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May
2017. (Invited lecture) Shimojo,
K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). Nucleation Process of the
2011 Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba
City, Japan, 25 May 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). HIST-ETAS models - revisited with emphasis on background seismicity, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term forecast by foreshock discrimination models
using magnitude frequency and spatio-temporal
features of seismic clusters, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion data: an application to a real dataset, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura,
M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Fukahata,
Y. (2016). Nucleation Process of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Noda, A.* and Matsu’ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of the plate
interface off northeast Japainferred from the
simulation of oceanic plate stress, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Earthquake modeling
incorporating non-seismic data, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2017). Assessing the potential earthquake
precursory information in ULF magnetic data recorded in Kanto, Japan during
2000 – 2010, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)
23-28
April 2017 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and
Console, R. (2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity
in Italy during 2005 to 2016, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General
Assembly 2017, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 25 April 2017.
(Oral) Chen, S.*, Liao,
X., Ma, H., Zhou, L., Wang, X. and Zhuang, J. (2017). The network adjustment
aimed for the campaigned gravity survey using a Bayesian approach:
methodology and model test, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly
2017, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 26 April 2017. (Poster)
21 April
2017 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Replenishment of missing data in the observation of earthquake
sequences, Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing,
China, 21 April 2017. (Seminar)
27 February - 1 March
2017 Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Forecasting of a large earthquake – An outlook of the research, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 28 February 2017. (Invited lecture)
20-24
February 2017 10th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum
of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Wang, T. (2017). On the biased estimate of earthquake clustering parameters
caused by short-term aftershock missing, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te
Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J. Obara, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Buckby, J. (2017). A 2D hidden Markov
model for the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February
2017. (Poster) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hirata, N. (2017). Aftershock productivity imaging on main
shock fault plane by seismicity triggering modelling, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February
2017. (Poster) Yin, F.*,
Zhuang, J. Jia, K., Jiang, C. and Han, L. (2017). A Study on Seismicity in
the Yunnan Region by Using Multidimental Stress
Release Model, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Shcherbakov,
R.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). The Magnitude of the Extreme
Aftershock, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Tormann,
T.*, Wiemer, S., Enescu, B. and Woessner, J. (2017). Evolution of earthquake
rupture potential along active faults, inferred from seismicity rates and
size distributions, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Towards the implementation of the probability forecast of large
earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2017). Predicting seismic activity
beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 10th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te
Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2017). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: XETAS,
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of
New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Strader, A.*,
Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2017). Resolving
Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Aftershock
Forecast, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10),
Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa,
Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Mixture of a rate- and state-dependent seismicity and the ETAS models
and its application to earthquake swarms, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te
Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of
Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Statistical Monitoring of the
Seismicity before and after the Kumamoto Earthquakes, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February
2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Preliminary study of earthquake
models incorporating seismo-electromagnetic data,
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of
New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)
Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical
Discrimination of Foreshocks and Real-time Mainshock Forecasting, 10th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New
Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand,
21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki K. and Aihara, K.
(2017). Feasibility
of automatic real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February
2017. (Oral)
19-22
December 2016 2016 The
10th ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in
the 21st Century, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Nonparametric Modelling of Spatiotemporal Crime Data, 2016 The 10th
ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the
21st Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December
2016. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of
Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.
(2016). Modeling Earthquake Anomalies: Application of ETAS (Epidemic-Type
Aftershock Sequence) Model and Its Improvement, 2016 The 10th ICSA
International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st
Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December 2016.
(Invited lecture)
12-17 December 2016 2016
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). Probability forecasts based on multiple seismicity anomalies: Case of
the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2016. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Yagi, Y.*, Okuwaki, R., Enescu, B., Kasahara, A., Miyakawa, A. and
Otsubo, M. (2016). Rupture process of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in
relation with the thermal structure around Aso volcano, 2016 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
12 December 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). A Bayesian Approach to Estimate a Spatial Stress Pattern from P-wave
First Motion Polarities, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2016. (Poster)
Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of
Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016).
Statistical Monitoring of the Seismic Activities before and after the
Kumamoto Earthquakes, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2016. (Poster)
Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2016). An interdisciplinary approach
for earthquake modelling and forecasting, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Real-time
Mainshock Forecast by Statistical Discrimination of Foreshock Clusters, 2016
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016. (Poster)
24-26 October 2016 Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). Models
for seismic activity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, Waseda
International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 25 October 2016.
(Invited lecture)
15-18 October 2016 2016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y. and Zhou, S. (2016). On the extensions of the Epidemic-Type
Aftershock Sequence model, 2016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 18
October 2016. (Invited lecture)
5-7 October 2016 2016
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya
Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Data completeness of the Kumamoto sequence in the JMA catalog and its
influence to estimation of ETAS parameters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6
October 2016. (Oral) Wang, D.*, Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka,
H. and Zhao, X. (2016). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source
Extent of Large Earthquakes, 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.
(Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*, Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2016). Remote
triggering of seismicity at Japanese volcanoes following the 2016 M7.3
Kumamoto earthquake, 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Shimojo,
K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2016). Nucleation Proccss of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northem
Nagano Earthquake (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). Probability forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake (in Japanese),
2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress
Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016. (Oral) Ishibe,
T.*, Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Correlation between the
co-seismic Coulomb stress changes and seismicity rate changes for three
megathrust earthquakes (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.
(Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Spatial pattern of stress tensor inferred from P-wave first motion data (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 7
October 2016. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2016). Interplate frictional strength
in subduction zones: Theoretical constraint (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City,
Japan, 6 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of
Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y., Kato, A. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical Analysis of the
Earthquake Swarms following the Mie offshore Earthquake (M6.1) (in Japanese),
2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress
Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Possible coupling of multiple
pre-earthquake phenomena of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0), 2016 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya
City, Japan, 7 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Main Shock Probability
Forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake by Foreshock Discrimination Models
(in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K.
(2016). Forecasting
aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2016
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center,
Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Poster)
4-7
September 2016 2016
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa
University, Kanazawa City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point
processes, 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). 2016年熊本地震(M7.3)に関する確率予測問題(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). ３次元空間の地震活動モデル(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary
Research Integration Center, ROIS）
Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2016). 熊本地震前後の九州地方地震活動の点過程モデルによる解析(in Japanese),
2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City,
Japan, 5 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Statistical investigations of
electromagnetic phenomena associated with earthquakes, 2016 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September
2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y., Uchida, N. and Matsu’ura, M. (2016). 局所不連続スプラインを用いた太平洋プレート沈み込み速度の時空間分布の推定(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)
30 July – 4 August
2016 2016 Joint Statistical
Meetings(JSM), McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Mateau, J. (2016). Semiparametric Estimates of the
Long-Term Background Trend, Periodictiy, and
Clustering Effect in Crime Data, 2016 Joint Statistical Meetings(JSM),
McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A., 1 August 2016. (Oral)
20-23 July
2016 2016 International Workshop on
Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2016),
Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Mateau, J. (2016). Semi-parametric estimates of the
long-term background trend, periodicity, and clustering effect in crime data,
2016 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from
Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2016),
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 July
2016. (Invited lecture) Prof. Zhou, Shiyong （Prof.
of School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Zhou, S. (2016).
Description of The Earthquake Hazard Insurance Frame in China, 2016
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 21 July 2016. (Invited
lecture)
19-22 July
2016 International Symposium: Crustal Dynamics
2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic Processes at Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). A Statistical approach to estimate a spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion polarity data : its development and a numerical
simulation, Crustal Dynamics 2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic
Processes at Different Time and Length Scales, Takayama City Cultural Hall,
Takayama City, Japan, 22 July 2016. (Poster)
22-26 May
2016 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / APA Hotel & Resort
Tokyo bay Makuhari, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Wang, T. (2016). Correcting biases in the estimates of earthquake clustering
parameters caused by short-term missing of aftershocks, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster) Segkou, M.*
and Zhuang, J. (2016). Optimized physics-based earthquake forecasts for
inland Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. of Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.,
Wiemer, S., Enescu, B.* and Woessner, J. (2016). Evolution of earthquake
rupture potential along the Pacific Plate off Japan, inferred from
seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited
lecture) Yamagami, Y.,
Enescu, B.* and Yagi, Y. (2016). Investigating the relationship between
slow-slip events and tremor in the Shikoku region, Southwest Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). 3D
spatial models for seismicity beneath Kanto region, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Ishibe,
T.*, Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Testing the Coulomb
stress triggering hypothesis for great subduction earthquakes using abundant
focal mechanisms, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Invited
lecture) Strader, A.E.*,
Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2016). Resolving
Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Earthquake
Forecast, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion data: a preliminary numerical simulation, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016. (Poster) Iwata, T.
(2016). Change in b-values following the three M6 or 7-class earthquakes in
the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster) Cho, I.* and
Iwata, T. (2016). An examination of the relation between the distribution of
microtremor Horizontal-to-Vertical spectral ratios and the F distribution (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Poster)
Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura,
M.*, Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2016). Deformation
rates of island-arc crust estimated from seismic, geodetic, and geomorphic
data, Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Some
development on predicting earthquake swarms using volumetric strain records,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster) Kato, A.*, Fukuda, J., Kumazawa, T. and Nakagawa, S. (2016). Accelerated
nucleation of the 2014 Iquique, Chile Mw 8.2 Earthquake, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Huang Q. (2015). Spatiotemporal characteristics of the
geomagnetic diurnal variation anomalies prior to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake
(Mw9.0), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan,25 May 2016. (Invited
lecture) Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2016). Assessment and optimization of the
potential earthquake precursory information in ULF magnetic data registered
at Kanto, Japan during 2000 – 2010, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). A Bayesian
prediction for active faults using spatial similarity of variation of recurence intervals (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K.
(2016). Impact
of automatic catalog quality on real-time aftershock forecasting, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral)
16-17 May 2016 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake
Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition
Center, Taipei, Taiwan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Testing Significance of Non-Seismicity Precursors Against Earthquake
Clustering Models Instead of Against Complete Randomness, 2016 International
Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang
Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 17 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P. (2016).
On the Feasibility of Short-Term Earthquake Prediction Based on ULF Magnetic
Data, 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 16 May 2016.
(Invited lecture)
28 April
2016 RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS Joint
Symposium on New Horizon of Mathematical Sciences, Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T. (2016).
Probabilistic aftershock forecasting: A Bayesian statistical approach (in
Japanese), RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS
Joint Symposium on New Horizon of Mathematical Sciences, RIKEN Wako campus,
Suzuki Umetaro Hall, Wako City, Saitama, 28 April
2016. (Invited lecture)
20-22
April 2016 2016
Seismological Society of America(SSA) Annual Meeting,
Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A. Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Improved estimation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability
with time-dependent smoothness constraint, 2016 Seismological Society of
America(SSA) Annual Meeting, Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A., 21 April 2016.
(Poster)
17-22
April 2016 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria. Dr. Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of
Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM）
Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Spatial
Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation and Bayesian Forecast for the
Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly
2016, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 19 April 2016. (Oral)
31 January - 2
February 2016 ISI-ISM-ISSAS
2016 Joint Conference, Institute of Statistical Science Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan. Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Analysis
of earthquake occurrence rates modulated by volcanic activities,
ISI-ISM-ISSAS Joint Conference 2016, Institute of Statistical Science
Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, 31 January 2016.
(Invited(Poster))
15 January 2016 ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics
2016,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes and application in
detecting spatial variations of seismicity clustering characteristics, ISM
Symposium on Environmental Statistics 2016, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 January 2016. (Oral)
14-18 December 2015 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, T., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Identifying spatiotemporal
migration patterns of non-volcanic tremors using hidden Markov models, 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2015. (Poster) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J., Zhou, S. and Gao, Y. (2015). An improved space-time ETAS model
for inverting the rupture geometry from seismicity triggering, 2015 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Chu, A.* and
Zhuang, J. (2015). Multiple linear regression models to fit magnitude using
rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacemen,
2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Saade,M.*,
Montagner, J-P., Roux, P., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B. and Wang, Q. (2015). Monitoring
of Seismic Anisotropy at the Time of the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Earthquake, 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Mixture of a seismicity model based on the rate-and-state friction
and ETAS model, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Noda, A.*, Takahama, T., Ohba, T., Ito, T.
and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of crustal
deformation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki
earthquake by the combined effect of afterslip and
viscoelastic stresss relaxation, 2015 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco,
U.S.A., 15 December 2015. (Poster) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Formation of island
arc-trench system due to plate subduction on the basis of elastic dislocation
theory, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Analysis of
Changing Swarm Rate using Volumetric Strain, 2015 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14
December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial
Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation for the Paleo-Earthquakes in
Japan, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang J. (2015). ULF Seismo-electromagnetic
Studies in Kanto, Japan: Progress and Challenges, 2015 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16
December 2015. (Invited lecture)
26-28 October 2015 2015
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering characteristics
via weighted likelihood estimates, 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26
October 2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Anomalies in space-time aftershock activity and their interpretations
(in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis Tool: XETAS (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2015). Foreshocks of the 2011 Mw6.2
Northern Nagano earthquake (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Opris, A.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y., Tanaka, S. and Shiomi, K. (2015). The 2011 M6.4
Shizuoka earthquake sequence: triggering process investigation (in Japanese),
2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Yamagami,
Y.*, Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2015). Investigating the relationship between
slow-slip events and seismicity in the Hyuga-nada
region, SW Japan (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26
October 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Improvement of a seismicity model based on rate-and-state friction
law: mixture with the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu’ura,
M.*, Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2015). Crustal
deformation cycles associated with the occurrence of megathrust earthquakes
in subduction zones (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27
October 2015. (Oral) Sato, T.*, Higuchi, H., Miyauchi, T., Endo, K., Tsumura, N., Ito, T.,
Noda, A. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). The source model of the 1703 Genroku Earthquake and the recurrence interval of large
earthquakes along the Sagami Trough (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.* and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of seafloor geodetic
observations after the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake
by afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.*, Takahama, T., Ohba, M., Ito, T.
and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Afterslip
distribution of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake
inferred from the sequential inversion of GPS data using a viscoelastic model
(in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Poster) Fukahata,
Y.*, Nishimura, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Characteristics
of far-field crustal deformation following a megathrust earthquake due to
viscoelastic stress relaxation (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Earthquake
Swarms Rates in Izu East Region modulated by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese),
2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Kato, A.*,
Nakagawa, S., Igarashi, T., Kumazawa, T. and
Hirata, N. (2015). New insights into spatial-temporal evolution of seismicity
provided from matched filter technique, 2015 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 28 October 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Foreshock
Discrimination with Probability Density Ratio Estimation and its
Implementation for Short-term Forecast (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center,
Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K.
(2015). Forecasting
aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog 2 (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center,
Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)
12-16
September 2015 2015
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs,
Palm Springs, California, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2015 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster) Strader, A.E.*, Tsuruoka,
H., Hirata, N., Ogata, Y., Schorlemmer, D. and Jackson, D.D. (2015). Resolving Stress
Singularities: a Rate-and-State Japan Earthquake Forecast, 2015 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K.
(2015). Aftershock
forecasting by using the Hi-net automatic hypocenter catalog in Japan, 2015
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster)
6-9
September 2015 2015
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University,
Okayama City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detection of spatial varations of
earthquake clustering characteristics via weighted likelihood estimators,
2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City,
Japan, 8 September 2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Project
Researcher of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Long-term earthquake prediction in and around Japan by a hierarchical
Bayesian space-time point process model (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda,
K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting the Earthquake Swarms Rates
in Izu Region by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 9 September
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Short-term
earthquake forecast model with logistic discrimation
of foreshocks (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama
University, Okayama City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)
10-16
August 2015 9th
ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2015).
Features of the earthquake source process simulated by Vere-Jones' branching
crack model, 9th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation)
International Workshop, Sofis Jinyuan Hotel,
Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 10 August 2015. (Oral)
2-7 August
2015 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre, Singapore. Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof.
of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Evaluation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability with
time-dependent smoothness constraint, Asia Oceania Geoscience Society(AOGS)
12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre,
Singapore, 7 Aug 2015. (Poster)
13-17 July
2015 2015 International Workshop on
Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering
perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation
Challenges in big data (CSM2015),
Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, 2015
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on
Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2015),
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July
2015. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Point process modelling: Tutorial with some topics in statistical
seismology, 2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from
Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and
Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data
(CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture) Prof. Zhou, Shiyong （Prof.
of School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Zhou, S. (2015).
Earthquake hazard prediction based on seismicity smulation,
2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from
Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and
Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big
data(CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture)
14-18 June 2015 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2015).
Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via maximum
weighted likelihoods estimates, 9th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Hidden Markov Modeling of
Sparse Time Series from Non-volcanic Tremor observations, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Invited
lecture) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2015). An improved ETAS model for inverting the
rupture geometry from seismicity triggerring, 9th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster) Zechar, J.D.*, Rierola, M. and Zhuang, J. (2015). A parimutuel gambling
perspective to compare probabilistic seismicity forecasts and deterministic eartquake predictions, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster) Falcone, G.*, Murru, M., Console, R., Marzocchi. W. and Zhuang, J.
(2015). Retrospective
forecast of ETAS model with daily parameters estimate, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Reviews on the pre- and post-seismicity of the Tohoku-Oki
mega-earthquake, and future long-term forecasts, 9th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: TSEIS –
ETAS module implementation, 9th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2015).
Development of a Bayesian method to estimate a fault slip distribution of a
large earthquake from the spatial aftershock distribution and rate- and state
friction law: inclusion of information on magnitude as a prior distribution,
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel
am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015.
(Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015).
Predicting
changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes, 9th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Wang, Min-Zhen （Project
Researcher of ISM） Wang, M.* and
Zhuang, J. (2015). On the focal mechanism distributions of background
seismicity and triggered seismicity in the Japan region, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K.
(2015). Toward
automatic aftershock forecasting in Japan, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term
earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic
data, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona
Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015.
(Poster)
9-12 June 2015 Spatial Statistics:
Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, Spatial
Statistics: Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France, 12
June 2015. (Oral)
24-28 May 2015 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via
maximum weighted likelihoods estimates, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate Prof.
of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.,
Enescu, B.*, Woessner, J. and Wiemer, S. (2015). Randomness of megathrust
earthquakes implied by rapid stress recovery after the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Forecasting seismicity after the Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Invited
lecture) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2015).
Inference of a slip distribution from aftershock data and friction law: a Bayesian model with a prior of
magnitude (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.
(2015). Interpretation of multiple earthquake cycles based on the slip- and
time-dependent fault constitutive law (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.*, Miyauchi, T., Sato, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Modeling
and simulation for the development of Holocene marine terraces in the Boso
peninsula (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Characteristics of island
arc deformation due to steady plate subduction (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015).
Predicting
changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2015). Real-time Classifier of Foreshocks Using Probability Density Ratio
Estimation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecast
uncertainty in aftershock forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term
earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic
data, Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Statistical Analysis of ULF Seismo-Magnetic Phenomena in Kanto, Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan,26 May 2015. (Oral)
24 March
2015 Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Statistical models to describe the spatio-temporal
patterns of earthquakes: Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model and
related models, School/Workshop on Fluctuations, Slow Dynamics and Internal
Time in Complex Critical Systems, Geibunkan,
Kurashiki City, Okayama, 24 March 2015 (Invited lecture).
17 March
2015 Workshop on
simulation visualization in data assimilation, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof.
of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Visualization of seismic activity through statistical models (in
Japanese), Workshop on simulation visualization in data assimilation,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March
2015. (Invited lecture)
13-14
March 2015 2015 Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied
Statistics, Shiran
Kaikan Inamori Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan. Dr.
Wang, Min-Zhen （Project
Researcher of ISM） Wang, M.*,
Zhuang, J., Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2015). Determining actual nodal planes and
analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake angles, 2015
Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied Statistics, Shiran Kaikan
Inamori Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan, 14 January 2015. (Poster)
13-15
January 2015 Hokudan 2015
International Symposium on Active Faulting,
Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial
variation on earthquake interevent time distribution in Japan, Hokudan 2015 International Symposium on Active Faulting,
Awaji Yumebutai International Conference Center, Awaji
City, Japan, 15 January 2015. (Invited lecture)
15-19 December 2014 2014
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2014).
Foreshock probabilities and the Båth law under the
ETAS model, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Oral) Falcone, G.*, Murru, M., Zhuang, J. and Console, R. (2014). Short-term
earthquake probabilities during the L' Aquila earthquake sequence in central
Italy, 2009, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Comparing foreshock characteristics and foreshock forecasting in
observed and simulated earthquake catalogs, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2014. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2014). Real-time foreshock probability forecasting experiments in Japan,
Southern California and whole globe, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2014. (Poster). Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Yagi, Y.*, Okuwaki, R., Enescu, B. and Hirano, S. (2014). Rupture
process of the 2014 Iquique Chile Earthquake in relation with the foreshock
activity, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2014). Estimation of completeness magnitude with a Bayesian modeling of
daily and weekly variations in earthquake detectability, 2014 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
19 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting
offshore swarm rate changes by volumetric strain changes in Izu Peninsula,
Japan, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time
renewal model for repeating earthquakes and slow slip before and after the
major earthquakes in the northeastern Japan subduction zone, 2014 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Can
we forecast 1-month span aftershock activity from the first day data after
the main shock?, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Poster)
2-5 December 2014 5th Symposium on Polar Science, National
Institute of Polar Research(NIPR), Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.* and
Kanao, M. (2014). The annual variation in teleseismic
detection capability at Syowa Station, Antarctica: a statistical analysis
including the effect of air temperature, National Institute of Polar
Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 3 December 2014. (Oral)
24-26 November 2014 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, D. and Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Similarities
between Vere-Jones' branching crack model and earthquake source process, 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata
Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 26 November 2014. (Oral) Wang, M.,
Zhuang, J.*, Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2014). Determining the actual nodal
plane and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake, 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata
Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster) Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2014).
Inverting rupture geometry from triggering, 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), 2014 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention
Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral) Tsuruoka, H.* and
Ogata, Y. (2014). Implementation of ETAS functions to Tools for Seismicity
(TSEIS) (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November
2014. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate Prof.
of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Shimojo,
K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2014). Fluid-driven seismicity
activation in Northern Nagano Region after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki Earthquake (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral) Okada, C.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2014). Remotely triggered seismicity in Kyushu
Region, Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24
November 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2014). Weekly variation in earthquake detection capability and completeness
magnitude in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2014). Tectonics of the south Kanto region and potential interplate earthquakes (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center,
Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Oral) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu’ura, M. (2014). Essential causes of
island arc deformation due to steady plate subduction (in Japanese), 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata
Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Prediction of
the background seismicity rate for the earthquake swarm activities
in Izu region (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24
November 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal
process model for repeating earthquakes and slow slip in the northeastern
Japan subduction zone (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan,
26 November 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Sawazaki, K., Aihara, K. and Enescu, B.
(2014). Forecasting
aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center,
Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral)
20-23
October 2014 2014 Annual Meeting of Chainese Union of
GeoScience, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, D. and Matsuura, M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching
cracking model and the earthquake source process, 2014 Annual Meeting of Chainese Union of GeoScience,
Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 21 October 2014.
(Invited lecture)
13-16
September 2014 2014
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of
Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Semi-critical mode of marked Hawkes processes, 2014 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 September 2014.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.* and
Tanaka, U. (2014). Searching for locations of parents from superposed
clusters (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University
of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda,
K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating background seismicity by a regression
model from crustal deformation: Forecasting earthquake swarms in volcanic
regions (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of
Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2014). Estimation of
spatial distribution for aperiodicity of recurrence intervals on active
faults in Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting,
University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian
approach for probabilistic forecasting of aftershock activity (in Japanese),
2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan,
15 September 2014. (Oral)
7-10
September 2014 2014
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs,
Palm Springs, California, U.S.A.. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wan, D. and Matsuura M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching
crack model and earthquake source process, 2014 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project
Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo）
Ogata, Y.
(2014). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2014 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Tsuruoka, H. and
Ogata, Y.* (2014). OEF and CSEP in Japan, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next
Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models
(by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual
Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September
2014. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2014). Panel Discussion for ComCat Overview and
Real-Time DATA, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing
Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation
only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting,
Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014.
(Panel Discussion) Dr. Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, Y., Maeda, K., and Kobayashi, A.
(2014). Predicting
Offshore Swarm Rate Changes by Volumetric Strain Changes in Izu Peninsula,
Japan, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting,
Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.
(Poster) Dr. Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of
Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2014). Space-time Renewal Model for Repeating Earthquakes and Slip-rate
History in the Northeastern Japan Subduction Zone, 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Dr. Omi, Takahiro （Research Fellowship of Institute of
Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian
forecasting of aftershocks by ETAS model, 2014 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Omi, T. (2014).
Immediate aftershock forecasting after a strong earthquake, SCEC
CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake
Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Invited lecture)
1
September 2014 Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), ERI
Seismic Activity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo,
Tokyo, Japan, 1 September 2014. (Seminar)
24-29
August 2014 Second
European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Varini*, E. and Ogata, Y. (2014). Statistical
modelling for identificaion of earthquake clusters,
Second European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Istanbul
Convention & Exhibition Centre, Istanbul, Turkey, 24-29 August 2014.
(Poster)
28-31 July
2014 2014 International
Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning
and Engineering perspectives(STM2014) and Workshop on Complex systems
Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2014), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Modeling of temporal and spatial non-homogeneity for space-time earthquake
databases, 2014 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from
Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2014) and
Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big
data(CSM2014), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 29 July 2014. (Invited lecture)
28 July –
1 August 2014 Asia
Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo Hotel,
Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2014). Real-time classifier of foreshocks using kernel logistic regression,
Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo
Hotel, Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan, 30 July 2014. (Invited lecture)
8-11 June
2014 Varenna Workshop on Operational earthquake
forecasting and decision making, Villa Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2014).
Evaluating earthquake predictions by using the gambling score, Varenna Workshop on Operational earthquake forecasting
and decision making, Villa Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy, 8-11 June 2014. (Poster)
28 April-2 May 2014 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA,
Yokohama City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Zhou,
S. (2014). Modelling the effect of fault geometry on earthquake triggering,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan,
2 May 2014. (Oral) Guo, Y, Zhuang,
J.* and Wang, D. (2014). Similar Characteristics between the earthquake
source process and Vere-Jones' Branching model, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 28 April 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Foreshocks and short-term forecasting: comparisons between real
seismicity and synthetic catalogs, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014,
PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 2 May 2014. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014).
Estimating
earthquake swarms in volcanic regions (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 1 May 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM) Matsu’ura,
M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa,
T. and Fukahata, Y. (2014). Tectonic stress fields
in subduction zones governed by frictional strength of plate interfaces (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama
City, Japan, 30 April 2013. (Oral) Noda, A.* and Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Sequential inversion of GPS time
series data to estimate spatiotemporal change in interplate
coupling (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO
YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Visiting Researcher of ISM） Iwata, T. and Kanao,
M. (2014). The annual variation in the teleseismic
detection capability at Syowa Station, Antarctica, (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30
April 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2014). Spatial
Variation on Recurrence-time Distribution of Paleoearthquakes
and Its Influence for Long-term Forecast (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 29 April 2014.
(Oral)
27 April-2
May 2014 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center
Vienna, Vienna, Austria. Dr. Omi, Takahiro （Research Fellowship of Institute of
Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Adaptive
forecasting of aftershock activity after the main shock, European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2014,
Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 28 April 2014. (Oral)
17-19
March 2014 統計数理研究所研究会,
神経科学と統計科学の対話4,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Statistical inference and simulations for temporal point processes, “Dialogue
Between Neuroscience and Statistical Science 4”, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March 2014. (Invited lecture)
9-13 December 2013 2013
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Separating triggered and
stress-change induced seismcity, 2013 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco,
U.S.A., 13 December 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Chao, K., Obara, K., Peng, Z., Matsuzawa, T. and Yagi, Y. (2013). Remote Love
Wave Triggering of Tremor in the Nankai Subduction Zone: New Observations and
Dynamic Stress Modeling, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). Synchronous b-value change and crustal deformation following
the 2007 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japan, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December
2013. (Poster)
12-15
November 2013 3rd
International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical Modelling, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time foreshock forecasts and their evaluations, poster
presentation, The 3rd International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical
Modelling, Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo,
Japan, 12-15 November 2013. (Poster)
8-10
November 2013 Ishigaki
International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices, and
Education in the 21st Century, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Criticality and Branching Ratios of a Type of Branching Models,
Ishigaki International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices,
and Education in the 21st Century, ANA InterContinental Ishigaki Resort,
Ishigaki-Shi, Okinawa, Japan, 9 November 2013. (Oral)
7-9
October 2013 2013
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa
Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time probability discrimination of foreshock-type earthquakes
(in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade
Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Forecasting
aftershocks after the main shock by using the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2013
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama
City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). The temporal variation in the b-value of the aftershock sequence of
the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake (in Japanese),
2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama
City, Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura,
M.*, Noda, A and Terakawa, T. (2013). Strength of
plate interfaces and tectonic stress fields in subduction zones (in
Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama
City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Non-stationary ETAS models for nonstandard earthquake
occurrences (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry &
Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster)
19
September 2013 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2013).
Foreshock phenomena and the Båth law implied by
generic earthquake clustering, ERI Seismicity Seminar, Earthquake Research
Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 19 September 2013. (Seminar)
8-11
September 2013 2013
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University
Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Criticality of a continuous-type branching process: application to
earthquake clustering models, 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Foreshocks forecasting by statistical discrimination of earthquake
clusters (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). A state-space
modeling for forecasting early aftershock probability from incompletely
detected real-time occurrence data (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan,
11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A Bayesian analysis of temporal variation in earthquake detection
capability (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). The non-stationary ETAS model and its application to
the seismicity anomalies induced by the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese),
2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus,
Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2013). Non-stationary
renewal model for repeating earthquakes (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan,
11 September 2013. (Oral)
11-15 August 2013 8th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2013).
Test seismicity anomalies by using the ETAS model as null hypothesis, 8th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Kato, T. and Bebbington, M. (2013). Assessing the potential
improvement in short-term earthquake forecasts from incorporation of GPS
data, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13August 2013. (Oral) Jia, K.*, Zhou,
S., Zhuang, J. and Jiang, C. (2013). Is the 2013 Lushan Ms
7.0 earthquake an aftershock of the 2008 Wenchuan Ms
8.0 earthquake on Longmenshan fault, Sichuan,
China?, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8),
Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Zöller, G.*, Holschneider, M., Hainzl, S.
and Zhuang, J. (2013). What can be learned from earthquake catalogs about the
largest expected magnitudes?, 8th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 14 August 2013.
(Invited lecture) Zechar, J.D.*,
Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2013). Community
Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 14 August 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 10 August 2013. (Pre-Workshop Tutorial) Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time foreshock discrimination, 8th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13
August 2013. (Invited lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating the statistical models of
earthquake occurrences from the data of incompletely detected earthquakes,
8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A Bayesian approach to estimate the periodic change in earthquake
detection capability and its applications to JMA catalogue, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 13 August 2013. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 12 August 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Nomura, S.*, Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal
renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on the
upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate, 8th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 12
August 2013. (Oral)
19-24 May 2013 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Console, R., Murru, M. and Falcone, G. (2013).
Short-term earthquake forecasting experiment before and during the L'Aquila
seismic sequence of April 2009, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Sawazaki, K.*
and Enescu, B. (2013). High-frequency seismogram envelope synthesis of early
aftershock sequences (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 22 May 2013. (Oral) Shimojo,
K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2013). Triggered seismicity in
Northern Nagano region at short times after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki
earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Research towards practical earthquake forecasting (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Invited
lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating statistical models of
seismicity under incomplete detection of earthquakes (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A numerical simulation of an aftershock activity with the
rate-and-state friction model and secondary aftershock effect (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2013). Geological meaning of residual velocity fields in GPS
strain data inversion (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2013. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Sagiya, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2013). A direct
method for estimating the rigid body motion of crustal blocks from GPS
velocity data (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2013. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. Nadeau, R.M. and Uchida, N. (2013). Spatio-temporal
renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate
boundaries (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Nomura, S.*,
Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal
renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate
boundaries (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 21 May 2013. (Poster)
7-8 May
2013 SCEC/CSEP Workshop on
Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). History-dependent
magnitude forecast by statistical discrimination of foreshocks, SCEC/CSEP
Workshop on Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Davidson Conference
Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, U.S.A., 7 May
2013. (Invited lecture)
7-12 April
2013 European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna,
Austria. Dr. Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center
Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 9 April 2013. (Oral)
22-25
January 2013 Second International
CORSSA(the Community Online Resource for Statistical
Seismicity Analysis) Workshop,
Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2013). A prospect of
earthquake prediction research, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2013).
Daily and seasonal variations in earthquake detection capability:
quantitative evaluation through Bayesian approach, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa,
T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 24 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
3-7 December 2012 2012
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.*, Meghraoui, M., Tsutsumi, H., Ferry, M., Haraguchi, T.,
Mechernich, S. and Okumura, K. (2012). The 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake, its seismic cycle, and postseismic hazard viewed from onshore geologic and
geomorphic investigations, 2012 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 7 December 2012. (Invited
lecture)
16-19 October 2012 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Testing significance of earthquake precursors against earthquake
clustering models, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Hakodate shimin kaikan,
Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Ting Wang*,
Zhuang, J., Kato, T. (2012). Exploratory analysis of earthquake precursory
information in GPS measurements, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Prospective forecasts and retrospective analysis of triggered
seismicity (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan,
Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2012). Real-time
estimation of the detection rate of earthquakes, and its application to
forecasting of aftershock hazard (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2012). The seasonal variation in detection capability
of earthquakes in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin
kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October 2012.
(Poster) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Maeda, S. * and
Toda, S. (2012). Relationship between high background seismicity and geologic
structure in the northwestern Kii Peninsula (in
Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City,
Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2012). Representation of displacement fields in the path
integral of strains (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October 2012. (Oral) Noda, A.*, Kawasato, T., Ohba, M.,
Watanabe, T., Tajima, R., Sawaii, A. and Matsu'ura, M. (2012). Spatiotemporal variation of
slip-deficit rates at the North American-Pacific plate interface off Tohoku
inferred from GPS strain data inversion (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin
kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October 2012.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2012). Seismicity Anomalies Estimated by Non-Stationary ETAS
Models (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan,
Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral)
9-12
September 2012 2012
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido
University, Sapporo City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2012).
On the criticality of a type of branching processes, 2012 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 10 September
2012. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting seismicity anomalies with nonstationary ETAS
model (in Japanese), 2012 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido
University, Sapporo City, Japan, 11 September 2012. (Oral)
9-12
September 2012 2012
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton
Palm Springs Resort, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Nadeau, R.M. (2012). Space-Time Model and Analysis of Repeating
Earthquakes in Parkfield Segment, 2012 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake
Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs Resort, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A.,
9-12 September 2012. (Poster)
16 August
2012 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Space-time point-process models for earthquake occurrences:Residual
analysis and stochastic reconstruction, NUS seminar, National University of
Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 16 August 2012. (Seminar) 13-17
August 2012 AOGS –
AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World Convention Centre,
Singapore, Republic of Singapore. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Harte, D. and Werner, M. (2012). On the Criticality of Branching Models for
Earthquake Occurrences, AOGS – AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World
Convention Centre, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 17 August 2012. (Oral) Siew, H.–Y. and
Zhuang, J.* (2012). Semiparametric Estimation for Modulated Renewal
Processes, AOGS – AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World Convention Centre,
Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 15 August 2012. (Poster)
2-4 July
2012 2nd Institute of
Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba
International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). First-and Second-order Residual Analysis of Spatiotemporal Point
Processes and Applications In Model Evaluation, 2nd Institute of Mathematical
Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 3 July 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2012).
Residual Analysis in Statistical Seismology and Discovering Seismicity
Anomalies, 2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting,
Tsukuba City, Japan, 3 July 2012. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2012). Space-Time Model for Repeating Earthquakes, 2nd Institute of
Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 2-4
July 2012. (Poster)
6-7 June
2012 SCEC CSEP
Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM)
Experiment and Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Scoring Annual Earthquake Predictions in China, SCEC CSEP Workshop:
Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM)
Experiment and the Future of Earthquake Forecasting, Rancho Las Palmas
Resort, Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A., 7 June 2012. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Some Issues and Proposals for Operational Space-Time Forecasting and
Their Evaluations, SCEC CSEP Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional
Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM) Experiment and the Future of Earthquake
Forecasting, Rancho Las Palmas Resort, Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A., 6 June
2012. (Invited lecture)
20-25 May 2012 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Long-term earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model for short-term
clustering, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Long-term probability forecast of the regional seismicity that was
induced by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 20 May 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project
Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2012).
The influence of the daily variation of the detection capability on the
completeness magnitude (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S. (2012).
Temporal decays of induced inland earthquakes associated with the 2011 M=9.0 Tohokuoki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 22 May 2012. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.
(2012). The 2011 Megathrust earthquake off Northeast Japan and multiple
earthquake cycles in subduction zones (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2012). The modified ETAS analysis on earthquake swarms induced
by the Tohoku earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 21 May 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2012). Bayesian forecast with uncertain occurrence data in a BPT
renewal process (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 22 May 2012. (Oral)
22 March 2012 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). ベイズ統計の最前線, 2011年度学術交流会講演 (in Japanese), The
Graduate University for Advanced Studies[SOKENDAI], Hayama, Kanagawa, Japan,
22 March 2012. (Invited lecture)
11-14
March 2012 International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2012). Delaunay-based
Bayesian seismicity models: Introduction to a program package, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). On the criticality of branching models for earthquake occurrences, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof.
of ISM） Iwata, T. (2012).
Daily variation of the detection capability of earthquake and its influence
on the completeness magnitude, International
symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for
earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City,
Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting Prof.
of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction
(RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S. (2012).
Widespread seismicity excitation and seismic shadow following the 2011 M=9.0
Tohoku, Japan, earthquake and its implications for seismic hazard, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 12 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.
(2012). Systematic errors in the inversion analysis of GPS array data to
estimate interseismic slip-deficit rates at plate
interfaces, International symposium
on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for
earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City,
Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012. (Invited lecture) Kumazawa, Takao （Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa,
T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting misfits of the ETAS for seismicity
anomalies, International symposium on
statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Nadeau, R. (2012). Space-time models of repeating earthquakes
in Parkfield segment, International
symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for
earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City,
Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture)
1 March 2012 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Modeling of earthquake occurrence for predicting
seismic activity and discovering seismicity anomalies, ESF-JSPS
Frontier Science Conference Series for Young Researchers, The Four Seasons
Hotel Tokyo at Chinzan-so, Tokyo, Japan, 1 March
2012. (Invited lecture)
4-9 December 2011 2011
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Testing significance of earthquake precursors: Against complete
randomness? Or against earthquake clustering models?, 2011 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 7
December 2011. (Oral) Zechar, J.D.*,
Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and
Zhuang, J. (2011). CORSSA: Community Online Resource for Statistical
Seismicity Analysis, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2011). Detection capability of global earthquakes influenced by large
intermediate-depth and deep earthquakes, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December
2011. (Poster) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.*,
Stein, R.S. and Lin, J. (2011). Widespread seismicity excitation following
the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake and its implications for seismic
hazard, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 8 December 2011. (Oral) Hirose, S.*,
Toda, S. and Lin, J. (2011). Effect of static stress shadow on seismicity
associated with the 2011 M=9.0 great Tohoku, Japan, earthquake, 2011 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Poster) Stein, R.S.*,
Toda, S., Sevilgen, V., Lin, J. and Barrientos,
S.E. (2011). The hazard posed by large damaging aftershocks of megathrust
megaquakes: Insights from Sumatra, Maule, and Tohoku, 2011 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 5
December 2011. (Oral) Lin, J.*, Toda,
S. and Stein, R.S. (2011). Using the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku earthquake to test the
Coulomb stress triggering
hypothesis and to calculate faults brought closer to failure, 2011 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2011. (Oral) Enescu, B.*,
Obara, K., Chao, K., Peng, Z., Aoi, S., Toda, S. and Takeda, T. (2011). Dynamic Versus Static Triggering of
Earthquake and Tremor in South-western Japan, Associated With the 2011 Tohoku
Earthquake, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2011. (Oral)
27 October 2011 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). Diagnosis of seismic anomalies and stress changes: Case studies from
the recent earthquakes in and around Japan, Workshop on Statistical and
Physical Modelling of Earthquake Processes, GNS Science, Avalon, Lower Hutt,
New Zealand, 27 October 2011. (Invited lecture) 26 October 2011 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2011).
The M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake and statistical seismology, Seminar series in honour of David Vere-Jones, Waikanae, New Zealand, 26
October 2011. (Invited lecture)
12-15
October 2011 2011
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y. (2011).
Aseismic slips assumed for the relative quiescence and activation and for the
transient anomalies of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS
stations (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka
City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2011). Tohoku earthquake: foreshocks, aftershocks and triggered activities
and quiescence for long-term seismic activity in and around Japan (in
Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14
October 2011. (Oral) Ogata, Y.* and
Katsura, K. (2011). Operational probability foreshock forecasts up until the
M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center
"GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011. (Poster) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Long-term probability forecasts based on background seismicity, 2011
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention &
Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011.
(Oral) Nanjo, K.*,
Hori. T. and Zhuang, J. (2011). Toward better estimation of crustal stress
condition in Japan: A brief introduction, 2011 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center
"GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2011). The spatial slip distribution of the 2011 off
the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake estimated from its aftershock
distribution and the rate-and-state friction law (in Japanese),
2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention
& Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October
2011. (Oral) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting Prof.
of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction
(RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S. (2011).
Heterogeneity of regional stress and structure
in crust found after the 2011 Ｍ=9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in
Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13
October 2011. (Oral) Toda, S.*,
Tsutsumi, H., Omata, M. and Kohriya, Y. (2011). Surface rupture and active structures associated
with the April 11, 2011 M70 Iwaki earthquake triggered by the M=9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese),
2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention
& Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October
2011. (Oral) Fukushima, Y*,
Takada, Y., Hashimoto, M. Toda, S. and Tsutsumi, H (2011). Surface rupture and fault model of the 11 Apr.
2011 Iwaki earthquake (Mw=6.6) (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center
"GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Hirose, S.* and
Toda, S. (2011). Static stress shadow on
seismicity associated with the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki,
Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center
"GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura,
M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011).
Inelastic Deformation of Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate
Earthquakes: Background Tectonic Stress Fields (in Japanese), 2011 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts
Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Terakawa,
T.*, Hashimoto, C., Ogata, Y. and Matsu'ura, M.
(2011). Mechanism Driving lnduced Seismic Sequences
After the 2011 0ff the PacifIc Coast of Tohoku
Earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka
City, Japan, 12 October 2011. (Oral) Kumazawa, Takao （Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2011). Estimating misfits of the ETAS for seismicity anomalies
(in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City,
Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.* and Ogata,
Y. (2011). Space-time
structure of repeating microearthquakes at Parkfield (in Japanese), 2011 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts
Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)
3-5 October 2011 CSEP(Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) Workshop, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Towards dynamic earthquake hazard models: Real time probability forecasts
+ Early warning + Attenuation models + Cite-condition database, CSEP(Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake
Predictability) Workshop, ETH Zurich,
Zurich,
Switzerland, 3 October 2011. (Oral)
24-29 September 2011 European Science Foundation(ESF)
Research Conferences “Continuing Challenges in Earthquake Dynamics: New Methods for Observing
and Modelling a Multi-Scale System”, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Foreshocks and the Bath law explained by earthquake clustering
models, European Science Foundation(ESF) Research
Conferences “Continuing Challenges in
Earthquake Dynamics: New Methods for Observing and Modelling a Multi-Scale
System”,
Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 28
September 2011. (Oral)
4-7 September 2011 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu
University, Fukuoka City, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). 東北地方太平洋沖地震と統計地震学 (in
Japanese), 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University,
Fukuoka City, Japan, 5 September 2011. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J
(2011). Next-day earthquake forecasts for the Japan region generated by using
a statistical model, 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu
University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 7 September 2011. Tanaka,
Ushio （Research
Fellow of Rikkyo University Center for Statistics
and Information / Visiting Researcher of the ISM） Tanaka, U. (2011).
Remark on the Palm intensity of Neyman-Scott cluster processes, 2011 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 7
September 2011. Yamaguchi, K.*,
Kanazawa, Y. and Tanaka, U. (2011). 立教大学における統計関連科目のe-learning
展開とその教育成果について (in
Japanese), 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University,
Fukuoka City, Japan, 7 September 2011.
8-12 August 2011 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th
Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan.
Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). Seismic and geodetic anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal
region: Applications of the ETAS model, Asia Oceania Geosciences
Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center,
Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. and
Nanjo, K.Z.* (2011). Next-day Earthquake Forecasts Generated by the ETAS
Model, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei
International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011. (Invited
lecture) Siew, H.–Y.* and
Zhuang, J. (2011). Modulated Renewal Models for Inter-event Times of
Earthquakes, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting,
Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011.
(Oral)
29 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Gambling scores and evaluation of the performance of earthquake
predictions, GNS Sciences, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, 29 July 2011.
(Seminar) 27 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Testing earthquake precursors: Against complete randomness? Or
against clustering models, Seminar series in honour
of David Vere-Jones, Waikanae, New Zealand, 27 July 2011. (Seminar) 15 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2011).
Stochastic reconstruction for spatiotemporal branching processes, School of
Mathematics, Statistics, and Operational Researches, Victoria University of
Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, 15 July 2011. (Seminar)
25-27 May 2011 7th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference
Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y. (2011).
Anomalous seismic activities before and after the M9 Tohoku-oki Earthquake, 7th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece,
25 May 2011. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2011). Prospective foreshock forecasting experiment during the last 17
years, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7),
Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011.
(Poster) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Marzocchi, W. (2011). Foreshock phenomena and
the Båth law implied by generic earthquake
clustering, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7),
Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 26 May 2011. (Invited
lecture) Zechar, J.D.*,
Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2011). CORSSA:
Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis - Status & Outlook - Discussion, 7th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos
Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 26 May 2011. (Invited lecture) Kumazawa, Takao （Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2011). Smoothing for the nonstationarity
with ETAS clustering, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May
2011. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University） Iwata, T.
(2011). The estimation of a slip
distribution of the 2011 off the
Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake (Mw=9.0) based on the spatial distribution
of its aftershocks and rate- and state friction law, 7th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center,
Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25 May 2011. (Invited lecture)
22-27 May 2011 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher
of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Inelastic
Deformation of Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate Earthquakes:
Basic Ideas (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2011. (Oral) Matsu'ura, M.
(2011). Barriers to Progress in Earthquake Science: The 2011
"Unexplainable" Super-Gigantic Earthquake (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2011. (Invited
lecture (Union Session U-23 “The great Tohoku earthquake: Actions that the
Japanese earth and planetary sciences community should take”))
13-15 April 2011 Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011
Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A.. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Nanjo, K.Z.*,
Tsuruoka, H., Schorlemmer, D., Falcone, G., Hirata, N., Ishigaki, Y., Jordan,
T.H., Kasahara, K., Obara, K., Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Yokoi, S. and Zhuang,
J. (2011). Recent progress of the CSEP earthquake forecast testing experiment
in Japan: Strategy and preliminary results of testing against the aftershock
sequence of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake,
Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A.,
14 April 2011. (Oral) Jordan, T.H.*,
Gerstenberger, M.C., Hirata, N., Jackson, D.D., Liukis,
M., Maechling, P.J., Marzocchi, W., Nanjo, K.Z.,
Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D.A., Schorlemmer, D., Zechar, J.D. (2011). Implications
of Recent Events for CSEP Testing of Earthquake Forecasts, Seismological
Society of America(SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A., 15 April 2011.
(Oral)
13-17 December 2010 2010
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2010). Operational foreshock forecasting: Fifteen years after, 2010 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center,
San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2010). Purposes and methods of scoring earthquake forecasts, 2010 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center,
San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster) Marzocchi,
W.* and Zhuang, J. (2010). Foreshock
statistics in Italy, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16
December 2010. (Oral) Michael, A.J.*,
Wiemer, S., Zechar, J.D., Hardebeck, J.L., Naylor, M., Zhuang, J. and Steacy, S.
(2010). Building the Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity
Analysis (CORSSA), 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral) Wang, Qi*,
Jackson, D.D., Schoenberg, R. and
Zhuang, J. (2010).
Uncertainties of Parameter Estimates in Earthquake Clustering Models, 2010
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Sugaya, Katsunori （Project
Researcher of ISM） Sugaya,
K.*, Hiramatsu, Y., Furumoto, M., Katao, H. and Ogata,
Y. (2010). On the c-values of the off-fault aftershocks triggered by the 1995
Kobe earthquake, Japan, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December
2010. (Poster) Dr.
Chu, Annie （Project
Researcher of ISM） Chu, A.*, Ogata,
Y. and Katsura, K. (2010). An
Improved Statistical Solution for Global Seismicity by the HIST-ETAS
Approach, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Bansal, Abhey Ram （National
Geophysical Research Institute, Council of Scientific and Industrial Research
(NGRI, CSIR) (India)・Scientist
E1／Fellow of
the JSPS Invitation Fellowship Programs for Research in Japan (a long-term
program); Visiting Researcher of the ISM） Bansal, A.R.* and Ogata, Y.
(2010). Seismicity activation before the mega-earthquake of 26 December 2004
based on Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, 2010 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster) Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.* and Ogata,
Y. (2010). Bayesian
forecasting of the recurrent earthquakes and its predictive performance for a
small sample size, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S., Stein,
R.S. and Beroza, G.C. (2010). A Strong Stress Shadow Effect from the 1992
M=7.3 Landers, California, Earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15
December 2010. (Poster) Stein, R.S.,
Lin, J., Toda, S. and Barrientos, S.E. (2010). Strong static stress
interaction of the 1960 M=9.5 and 2010 M=8.8 Chile earthquakes and their
aftershocks, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Oral) Lin, J., Stein,
R.S., Sevilgen, V. and Toda, S. (2010). Stress
interaction of strike-slip and thrust faults associated with the 2010 M=7.0
Haiti earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2010. (Oral) Hirose, S. and
Toda, S. (2010). Stress shadow effect found in recent seismic sequences
associated with Japan’s large earthquakes, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16
December 2010. (Oral) Maruyama, T.,
Toda, S., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y. and Mori, Y. (2010). Spatiotemporal variability in
surface rupturing behavior of thrust fault: Insights from paleoseismology
for the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan,
earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2010. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University） Iwata, T.
(2010). An application of rate- and state-friction model to observed
aftershock sequences with logarithmical stress evolution in time, 2010 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center,
San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)
4-6
November 2010 Grant-in-Aid
for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium on Statistical Analysis
of Spatio-Temporal Data, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y. (2010).
Empirical Bayes estimation of the space-time ETAS model with
location-dependent parameters for forecasting seismic activity in a wide
geophysical region, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International
Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal
Data, Conference Hall of The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry,
Kamakura City, Japan, 5 November 2010. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Ogata, Y. (2010). Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International
Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal
Data, Conference Hall of The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry,
Kamakura City, Japan, 4 November 2010.
1-2
November 2010 ERI
Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward
Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto
University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City,
Kyoto, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2010). Evaluating probability forecasts of earthquakes by the expected
relative entropy, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on
Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake
Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku
Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 2 November 2010. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Ogata, Y. (2010). Evaluating performance of earthquake prediction relative to
a baseline model through gambling scoring, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake
Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line
Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 2 November 2010. Dr.
Sugaya, Katsunori （Project
Researcher of ISM） Sugaya, K.* and
Ogata, Y (2010). The features of seismicity in central Honshu based on the
hierarchical space-time
ETAS model, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on
Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake
Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku
Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 November 2010. Dr.
Bansal, Abhey Ram （National
Geophysical Research Institute, Council of Scientific and Industrial
Research(NGRI, CSIR) (India)・Scientist
E1／Fellow of
the JSPS Invitation Fellowship Programs for Research in Japan (a long-term
program); Visiting Researcher of the ISM） Bansal, A.R.* and Ogata, Y.
(2010). Seismicity activation before the mega-earthquake of 26 December 2004
based on Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, ERI Workshop on
"Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward
Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto
University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City,
Kyoto, Japan, 1 November 2010. Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.* and
Enescu B. (2010). Updated version of the rate/state Coulomb stress transfer
model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast, ERI Workshop on
"Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward
Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto
University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City,
Kyoto, Japan, 1 November 2010.
27-29 October 2010 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima,
Hiroshima City, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2010). Operational
Probability Forecast of Foreshocks (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center
Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2010). A
database of stochastic declustered catalogs, 2010 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima,
Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October 2010. (Oral) Zhuang, J.* and
Ogata, Y. (2010). A
reference framework for evaluating significance of earthquake predictions,
2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International
Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 29 October 2010. (Poster) Dr.
Sugaya, Katsunori （Project
Researcher of ISM） Sugaya, K.* and
Ogata, Y. (2010). The feature
of seismicity based on the hierarchical space-time ETAS model (in
Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October
2010. (Poster) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.* and
Enescu, B. (2010). Rate/state
Coulomb stress transfer model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast (in
Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October
2010. (Oral) Hirose, S.* and
Toda, S. (2010). Seismicity rate
decreases associated with coseismic stress
decreases in Japan (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima,
Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University） Iwata, T.
(2010). Modelling of aftershock activity with the rate-
and state- friction law including the effect of afterslip (in
Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October
2010. (Oral)
5-8 September 2010 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Shinjuku-ku,
Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.* and
Adelfio, G. (2010). Hybrid Kernel Estimates of Space-Time Earthquake Occurrence
Rates Using the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence Model, 2010 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo,
Japan, 7 September 2010. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J
(2010). The gambling scoring method for forecast evaluations, 2010 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University,
Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010. Dr.
Chu, Annie （Project
Researcher of ISM） Chu, A.* and
Ogata, Y. (2010). On the Relationship Between Lower Magnitude Thresholds and
Bias in ETAS Parameter Estimates, 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010. Kumazawa, Takao （Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Model Selections for detection of
seismicity changes and precursory slips (in Japanese), 2010 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo,
Japan, 7 September 2010. Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). Bayesian forecasting
of the BPT model using uncertain occurrence times (in Japanese), 2010
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda
University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010. Tanaka,
Ushio （Research
Fellow of Rikkyo University Center for Statistics
and Information / Visiting Researcher of the ISM） Tanaka, U.
(2010). A Novel Approach of Second-Order Characteristic to the Prior Open
Problem on the Characterization of Fractal Objects, 2010 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo,
Japan, 7 September 2010.
31 May
2010 International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Seminar Room 3
(D312A), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Dr.
Sugaya, Katsunori （Project
Researcher of Institute of Statistical Mathematics） Sugaya, K.
(2010). Omori's law c-value and the rate-and state dependent friction
parameters estimated by the off-fault seismicity activated due to a large
earthquake, International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010. Dr.
Gerstenberger, Matthew (Seismologist of The GNS Science, New
Zealand) Gerstenberger, M.
(2010). A new generic model for aftershock occurrence, International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa,
Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010. Dr.
Jiang, Changsheng (Assistant Prof of Institute of Geophysics,
China Earthquake Administration) Jiang, C.
(2010). The background seismicity of Ordos block in China, International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010. Dr.
Harte,
David （Director
of The Statistics Research Associates Limited (SRA), New Zealand） Harte, D.
(2010). Characterising New Zealand Seismicity Using
Various Forms of the ETAS Model, International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31
May 2010. Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies(SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.
(2010). A Bayesian predictor of recurrent earthquakes based on BPT model with
slip data, International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010.
23-28 May 2010 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y. (2010).
Space-time heterogeneity in aftershock activity (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Zechar, J.D., Jiang, C., Console, R., Murru, M. and
Falcone, G. (2010). Applications of the gambling score in evaluating
earthquake predictions and forecasts, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Chu, Annie （Project
Researcher of ISM） Chu, A. (2010).
Comparison of ETAS parameter estimates across different global tectonic
zones, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2010. (Oral) Kumazawa, Takao （Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa,
T.*, Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Precursory seismic anomalies and
transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2010. (Oral) Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian
predictor of recurrent earthquakes based on BPT model with slip data (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting Prof.
of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction
(RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.*,
Enescu B. and Stein, R. (2010). CoulombExpress:
Near-realtime forecasts of earthquake-induced
stress transfer and seismicity for prospective testing, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University） Iwata, T.
(2010). Effect of secondary aftershocks on the p-value in the Omori-Utsu formula with the rate- and state-friction model (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2010. (Poster)
24 May 2010 Dr. Sugaya, Katsunori （Project Researcher of ISM） Sugaya, K.
(2010). Stress dependency of c-value in induced seismicity (in Japanese), The
2nd 2010 Meeting of Earthquake Forecast System based on Seismicity of Japan, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 24
May 2010.
21 May 2010 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2010). Modeling of temporal and spatial nonhomogeneity
for space - time processes, The Spring Korean Statistical Society Annual
Meeting, Statistics Center (Daejeon), Daejeon, Korea, 21 (20-22) May 2010.
(Keynote lecture (IL-SONG lecture))
16 March 2010 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2010). Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting
of accurate baseline seismicity, The 3rd SCEC-ERI joint workshop
"Earthquake Hazards in Urban Areas" and "Toward Constructing
Forecast Systems of Earthquakes", Earthquake Research Institute, the
University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 (16-17) March 2010. (Invited lecture) 9 March 2010 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2010).
Researches on seismicity by statistical models -A review-, Seismology for the
blue earth and the white continent -A symposium on solid earth around
Antarctic-, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 9 (8-9) March 2010. (Special Invited lecture) |
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