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 PresentationsUpdated on 18 October 2017            愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: arrows_8-04  擔杮岅


NEW!

25-27 October 20172017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., and Taroni, M. (2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

Wang, D.*, Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X. (2017). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Length of Large Earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

 

Schorlemmer, D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M., Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D., Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H., Yu, J. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Increasing Testability - Expanding Possibilities: Some CSEP future developments, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2017). CSEP師悽戙僾儘僕僃僋僩偺堦揥朷 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2017). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Opris, A., Enescu, B.*, Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Triggering and Decay Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Southwest Japan, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster)

Shimojo, K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). 2011擭挿栰導杒晹偺抧恔(Mw 6.2)偺妀宍惉夁掱 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2017). P攇弶摦僨乕僞偵婎偯偔墳椡応偺嬻娫僷僞乕儞悇掕丗墳椡斾悇掕偺帋傒 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017. (Oral)

Cho, I.* and Iwata, T. (2017). 旝摦傾儗僀僨乕僞傪梡偄偨愺晹懍搙峔憿偺儀僀僘僀儞僶乕僕儑儞朄偺奐敪 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017. (Poster)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Professor of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). 擔杮偺妶抐憌僇僞儘僌偵懳偡傞BPT儌僨儖偺揔愗側悇掕偲梊應偵偮偄偰 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Professor of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). 2016擭孎杮抧恔敪惗慜屻偺嬨廈抧曽抧恔妶摦偺揰夁掱儌僨儖偵傛傞夝愅 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu乫ura, M.* Noda, A., Miyauchi, T. and Sato, T. (2017). 姰怴悽奀惉抜媢偺惉場偲抧恔敪惗帪婜梊應壜擻儌僨儖 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 27 October 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nanjo, Kazuyoshi Project Associate Professor of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of Shizuoka / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nanjo, K.* and Yoshida A. (2017). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 27 October 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Guo, Yicun Post-doctoral fellow of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Guo, Y.*, Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Modeling and forecasting seismicity in the Kanto region by using a 3D ETAS model, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

NEW!

23-25 October 2017Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Shinjuku, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2017). Extensions of the self-exciting model and causality analysis for seismicity, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 24 October 2017. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

15-17 October 20172017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 16 October 2017. (Invited lecture)

 

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9-13 September 2017
CSEP(Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) Workshop / 2017 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting,
                                                                                                                                            
Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Tinti, E. (2017). Clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2017). 3D spatial models for seismicity beneath greater Tokyo region, CSEP Workshop: Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2017). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquakes, CSEP Workshop: Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2017). On secular spatial seismicity, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Professor of ISM

Nomura, S. (2017). Short-term forecasts by foreshock discrimination, CSEP Workshop: Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

3-6 September 20172017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2017). Delaunay triangulation for smoothing seismicity models, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Professor of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term earthquake forecast model using foreshock discrimination and aftershock decay, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Professor of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Monitoring of the Seismicity before and after the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake with Point Process Models, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

30 July – 4 August 2017 Joint Scientific Assembly of the International Association of Geodesy(IAG) and the International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth乫s Interior(IASPEI) (IAG-IASPEI 2017),
            Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan.

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Opris, A.*, Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Investigation of remote earthquake triggering after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2 August 2017. (Poster) 

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2017). The spatial distribution of the stress ratio in the aftershock area of the 2000 Western Tottori Earthquake, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2 August 2017. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM)

Matsu乫ura, M.*, Nomura, S., Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2017). Reciprocal relationship between seismically estimated slip rates and geodetically estimated slip-deficit rates at plate interfaces: Physical interpretation and logical consequence, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1 August 2017. (Oral)

Noda, A.* and Matsu乫ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of plate interfaces inferred from numerical simulations of stress fields for oceanic plates: Application to the North American-Pacific plate interface off northeast Japan, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1 August 2017. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

16-21 July 201761st International Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017),
Mansour Eddahbi Hotel & Palais des Congrès, Marrakech, Kingdom of Morocco.

    Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2017). Modelling earthquake clustering and stochastic reconstruction, 61st International Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017), Mansour Eddahbi Hotel & Palais des Congrès, Marrakech, Kingdom of Morocco, 19 July 2017. (Invited Lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

15-17 June 20171st International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017),
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong.

    Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Mateu, J. (2017). Semi-parametric estimates of long-term background trend, periodicity, and clustering effect for a Hawkes point process, 1st International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited Lecture)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial distribution of coefficients of variation and Bayesian forecasts for recurrence intervals of earthquakes, 1st International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited Lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

26-27 May 20174th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~
(IWEP4 2017)
, Chiba University (Nishi-Chiba Campus), Chiba City, Japan.

    Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Evaluation Methods of Earthquake Forecasts and earthquake predictions, 4th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017 -Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba University, Chiba, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Invited Lecture)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Post-Doctoral Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Hattori, K., Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical modeling of earthquake temporal occurrences incorporating seismo-magnetic data, 4th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017 -Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba University, Chiba, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

22-26 May 2017 JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall /
Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and Console, R. (2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

Guo, Y.*, Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Statistical characteristics of seismicity in the Kanto region detected by the 3D-ETAS model, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Enescu, B.*, Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Remote triggering of earthquakes as a possible stress-meter: the case of the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto mainshock, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2017. (Oral)

Tormann, T.*, Gulia, L., Staudenmaier, N., Petruccelli, A., Enescu, B. and Wiemer, S. (2017). Current frontiers in spatio-temporal b-value analysis, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2017. (Invited lecture)

Shimojo, K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). Nucleation Process of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2017. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2017). HIST-ETAS models - revisited with emphasis on background seismicity, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term forecast by foreshock discrimination models using magnitude frequency and spatio-temporal features of seismic clusters, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan,
24 May 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2017). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from P-wave first motion data: an application to a real dataset, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM)

Matsu乫ura, M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Fukahata, Y. (2016). Nucleation Process of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

Noda, A.* and Matsu乫ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of the plate interface off northeast Japainferred from the simulation of oceanic plate stress, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Post-Doctoral Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Earthquake modeling incorporating non-seismic data, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2017). Assessing the potential earthquake precursory information in ULF magnetic data recorded in Kanto, Japan during 2000 – 2010, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

23-28 April 2017European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria.

    Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and Console, R. (2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 25 April 2017. (Oral) 

Chen, S.*, Liao, X., Ma, H., Zhou, L., Wang, X. and Zhuang, J. (2017). The network adjustment aimed for the campaigned gravity survey using a Bayesian approach: methodology and model test, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 26 April 2017. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

21 April 2017Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2017). Replenishment of missing data in the observation of earthquake sequences, Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 21 April 2017. (Seminar)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

27 February - 1 March 2017Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2017). Forecasting of a large earthquake – An outlook of the research, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 28 February 2017. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

20-24 February 201710th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Wang, T. (2017). On the biased estimate of earthquake clustering parameters caused by short-term aftershock missing, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral)

Wang, T.*, Zhuang, J. Obara, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Buckby, J. (2017). A 2D hidden Markov model for the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Hirata, N. (2017). Aftershock productivity imaging on main shock fault plane by seismicity triggering modelling, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Yin, F.*, Zhuang, J. Jia, K., Jiang, C. and Han, L. (2017). A Study on Seismicity in the Yunnan Region by Using Multidimental Stress Release Model, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Shcherbakov, R.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). The Magnitude of the Extreme Aftershock, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Tormann, T.*, Wiemer, S., Enescu, B. and Woessner, J. (2017). Evolution of earthquake rupture potential along active faults, inferred from seismicity rates and size distributions, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2017). Towards the implementation of the probability forecast of large earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral)

Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2017). Predicting seismic activity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: XETAS, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Strader, A.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2017). Resolving Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Aftershock Forecast, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2017). Mixture of a rate- and state-dependent seismicity and the ETAS models and its application to earthquake swarms, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Professor of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Statistical Monitoring of the Seismicity before and after the Kumamoto Earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Project Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Preliminary study of earthquake models incorporating seismo-electromagnetic data, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) 

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical Discrimination of Foreshocks and Real-time Mainshock Forecasting, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Project Assistant Professor of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki K. and Aihara, K. (2017). Feasibility of automatic real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral)

 

 

19-22 December 20162016 The 10th ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st Century,
Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2016). Nonparametric Modelling of Spatiotemporal Crime Data, 2016 The 10th ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Professor of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS

Kumazawa, T. (2016). Modeling Earthquake Anomalies: Application of ETAS (Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence) Model and Its Improvement, 2016 The 10th ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

12-17 December 20162016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2016). Probability forecasts based on multiple seismicity anomalies: Case of the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Yagi, Y.*, Okuwaki, R., Enescu, B., Kasahara, A., Miyakawa, A. and Otsubo, M. (2016). Rupture process of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in relation with the thermal structure around Aso volcano, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2016). A Bayesian Approach to Estimate a Spatial Stress Pattern from P-wave First Motion Polarities, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2016. (Poster)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Professor of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016).  Statistical Monitoring of the Seismic Activities before and after the Kumamoto Earthquakes, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2016. (Poster)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Project Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2016). An interdisciplinary approach for earthquake modelling and forecasting, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Real-time Mainshock Forecast by Statistical Discrimination of Foreshock Clusters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

24-26 October 2016Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Shinjuku, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). Models for seismic activity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 25 October 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

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15-18 October 20162016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Guo, Y. and Zhou, S. (2016). On the extensions of the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence model, 2016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 18 October 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

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5-7 October 20162016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2016). Data completeness of the Kumamoto sequence in the JMA catalog and its influence to estimation of ETAS parameters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016. (Oral)

Wang, D.*, Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X. (2016). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Extent of Large Earthquakes, 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Poster)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Enescu, B.*, Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2016). Remote triggering of seismicity at Japanese volcanoes following the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake, 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral)

Shimojo, K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2016). Nucleation Proccss of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northem Nagano Earthquake (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2016). Probability forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016. (Oral)

Ishibe, T.*, Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Correlation between the co-seismic Coulomb stress changes and seismicity rate changes for three megathrust earthquakes (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2016). Spatial pattern of stress tensor inferred from P-wave first motion data (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 7 October 2016. (Oral)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu乫ura, M.* and Noda, A. (2016). Interplate frictional strength in subduction zones: Theoretical constraint (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Professor of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kato, A. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical Analysis of the Earthquake Swarms following the Mie offshore Earthquake (M6.1) (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Project Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Possible coupling of multiple pre-earthquake phenomena of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 7 October 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Main Shock Probability Forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake by Foreshock Discrimination Models (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Project Assistant Professor of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

4-7 September 20162016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2016). Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point processes, 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2016). 2016擭孎杮抧恔(M7.3)偵娭偡傞妋棪梊應栤戣(in Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoke, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). 俁師尦嬻娫偺抧恔妶摦儌僨儖(in Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). 孎杮抧恔慜屻偺嬨廈抧曽抧恔妶摦偺揰夁掱儌僨儖偵傛傞夝愅(in Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 5 September 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Project Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Statistical investigations of electromagnetic phenomena associated with earthquakes, 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y., Uchida, N. and Matsu乫ura, M. (2016). 嬊強晄楢懕僗僾儔僀儞傪梡偄偨懢暯梞僾儗乕僩捑傒崬傒懍搙偺帪嬻娫暘晍偺悇掕(in Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

30 July – 4 August 20162016 Joint Statistical Meetings(JSM), McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Mateau, J. (2016). Semiparametric Estimates of the Long-Term Background Trend, Periodictiy, and Clustering Effect in Crime Data, 2016 Joint Statistical Meetings(JSM), McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A., 1 August 2016. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

20-23 July 20162016 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Mateau, J. (2016). Semi-parametric estimates of the long-term background trend, periodicity, and clustering effect in crime data, 2016 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 July 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

Prof. Zhou, Shiyong Prof. of School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Zhou, S. (2016). Description of The Earthquake Hazard Insurance Frame in China, 2016 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 21 July 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

19-22 July 2016 International Symposium: Crustal Dynamics 2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic Processes at
Different Time and Length Scales
, Takayama City Cultural Hall, Takayama City, Japan.

    Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2016). A Statistical approach to estimate a spatial stress pattern from P-wave first motion polarity data : its development and a numerical simulation, Crustal Dynamics 2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic Processes at Different Time and Length Scales, Takayama City Cultural Hall, Takayama City, Japan, 22 July 2016. (Poster) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

22-26 May 2016Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / APA Hotel & Resort Tokyo bay Makuhari, Chiba City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Wang, T. (2016). Correcting biases in the estimates of earthquake clustering parameters caused by short-term missing of aftershocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster)

Segkou, M.* and Zhuang, J. (2016). Optimized physics-based earthquake forecasts for inland Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Tormann, T., Wiemer, S., Enescu, B.* and Woessner, J. (2016). Evolution of earthquake rupture potential along the Pacific Plate off Japan, inferred from seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

Yamagami, Y., Enescu, B.* and Yagi, Y. (2016). Investigating the relationship between slow-slip events and tremor in the Shikoku region, Southwest Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Poster)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). 3D spatial models for seismicity beneath Kanto region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

Ishibe, T.*, Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Testing the Coulomb stress triggering hypothesis for great subduction earthquakes using abundant focal mechanisms, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

Strader, A.E.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2016). Resolving Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Earthquake Forecast, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2016). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from P-wave first motion data: a preliminary numerical simulation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016. (Poster)

Iwata, T. (2016). Change in b-values following the three M6 or 7-class earthquakes in the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster)

Cho, I.* and Iwata, T. (2016). An examination of the relation between the distribution of microtremor Horizontal-to-Vertical spectral ratios and the F distribution (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM)

Matsu乫ura, M.*, Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2016). Deformation rates of island-arc crust estimated from seismic, geodetic, and geomorphic data,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, APA Hotel & Resort Tokyo bay Makuhari, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Assistant Prof. of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Some development on predicting earthquake swarms using volumetric strain records, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster)

Kato, A.*, Fukuda, J., Kumazawa, T. and Nakagawa, S. (2016). Accelerated nucleation of the 2014 Iquique, Chile Mw 8.2 Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Project Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Hattori, K. and Huang Q. (2015). Spatiotemporal characteristics of the geomagnetic diurnal variation anomalies prior to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan,25 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

Han, P.*, Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2016). Assessment and optimization of the potential earthquake precursory information in ULF magnetic data registered at Kanto, Japan during 2000 – 2010, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). A Bayesian prediction for active faults using spatial similarity of variation of recurence intervals (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016. (Oral)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Project Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Impact of automatic catalog quality on real-time aftershock forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

16-17 May 20162016 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2016). Testing Significance of Non-Seismicity Precursors Against Earthquake Clustering Models Instead of Against Complete Randomness, 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 17 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Project Researcher of ISM

Han, P. (2016). On the Feasibility of Short-Term Earthquake Prediction Based on ULF Magnetic Data, 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 16 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

28 April 2016RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS Joint Symposium on New Horizon of Mathematical Sciences,
RIKEN Wako campus, Suzuki Umetaro Hall, Wako City, Saitama.

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Project Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T. (2016). Probabilistic aftershock forecasting: A Bayesian statistical approach (in Japanese), RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS Joint Symposium on New Horizon of Mathematical Sciences, RIKEN Wako campus, Suzuki Umetaro Hall, Wako City, Saitama, 28 April 2016. (Invited lecture) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

20-22 April 20162016 Seismological Society of America(SSA) Annual Meeting, Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A.

    Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2016). Improved estimation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability with time-dependent smoothness constraint, 2016 Seismological Society of America(SSA) Annual Meeting, Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A., 21 April 2016. (Poster) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

17-22 April 2016European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria.

    Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation and Bayesian Forecast for the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 19 April 2016. (Oral) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

31 January - 2 February 2016ISI-ISM-ISSAS 2016 Joint Conference, Institute of Statistical Science Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Analysis of earthquake occurrence rates modulated by volcanic activities, ISI-ISM-ISSAS Joint Conference 2016, Institute of Statistical Science Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, 31 January 2016. (Invited(Poster))

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

15 January 2016ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics 2016, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2016). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes and application in detecting spatial variations of seismicity clustering characteristics, ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics 2016, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 January 2016. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

14-18 December 20152015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Wang, T., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Identifying spatiotemporal migration patterns of non-volcanic tremors using hidden Markov models, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2015. (Poster)

Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J., Zhou, S. and Gao, Y. (2015). An improved space-time ETAS model for inverting the rupture geometry from seismicity triggering, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster)

Chu, A.* and Zhuang, J. (2015). Multiple linear regression models to fit magnitude using rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacemen, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Saade,M.*, Montagner, J-P., Roux, P., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B. and Wang, Q. (2015). Monitoring of Seismic Anisotropy at the Time of the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Earthquake, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2015). Mixture of a seismicity model based on the rate-and-state friction and ETAS model, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Noda, A.*, Takahama, T., Ohba, T., Ito, T. and Matsu乫ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of crustal deformation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake by the combined effect of afterslip and viscoelastic stresss relaxation, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2015. (Poster)

Fukahata, Y.* and Matsu乫ura, M. (2015). Formation of island arc-trench system due to plate subduction on the basis of elastic dislocation theory, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Analysis of Changing Swarm Rate using Volumetric Strain, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14 December 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation for the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Post-Doctoral Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Hattori, K. and Zhuang J. (2015). ULF Seismo-electromagnetic Studies in Kanto, Japan: Progress and Challenges, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2015. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

26-28 October 20152015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering characteristics via weighted likelihood estimates, 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2015). Anomalies in space-time aftershock activity and their interpretations (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral)

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis Tool: XETAS (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Shimojo, K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2015). Foreshocks of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northern Nagano earthquake (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)

Opris, A.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y., Tanaka, S. and Shiomi, K. (2015). The 2011 M6.4 Shizuoka earthquake sequence: triggering process investigation (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)

Yamagami, Y.*, Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2015). Investigating the relationship between slow-slip events and seismicity in the Hyuga-nada region, SW Japan (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2015). Improvement of a seismicity model based on rate-and-state friction law: mixture with the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu乫ura, M.*, Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2015). Crustal deformation cycles associated with the occurrence of megathrust earthquakes in subduction zones (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral)

Sato, T.*, Higuchi, H., Miyauchi, T., Endo, K., Tsumura, N., Ito, T., Noda, A. and Matsu乫ura, M. (2015). The source model of the 1703 Genroku Earthquake and the recurrence interval of large earthquakes along the Sagami Trough (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral)

Noda, A.* and Matsu乫ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of seafloor geodetic observations after the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake by afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral)

Noda, A.*, Takahama, T., Ohba, M., Ito, T. and Matsu乫ura, M. (2015). Afterslip distribution of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake inferred from the sequential inversion of GPS data using a viscoelastic model (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Poster)

Fukahata, Y.*, Nishimura, T. and Matsu乫ura, M. (2015). Characteristics of far-field crustal deformation following a megathrust earthquake due to viscoelastic stress relaxation (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Earthquake Swarms Rates in Izu East Region modulated by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral)

Kato, A.*, Nakagawa, S., Igarashi, T., Kumazawa, T. and Hirata, N. (2015). New insights into spatial-temporal evolution of seismicity provided from matched filter technique, 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 28 October 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Foreshock Discrimination with Probability Density Ratio Estimation and its Implementation for Short-term Forecast (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecasting aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog 2 (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

12-16 September 20152015 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2015). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2015 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster)

Strader, A.E.*, Tsuruoka, H., Hirata, N., Ogata, Y., Schorlemmer, D. and Jackson, D.D.  (2015). Resolving Stress Singularities: a Rate-and-State Japan Earthquake Forecast, 2015 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Aftershock forecasting by using the Hi-net automatic hypocenter catalog in Japan, 2015 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

6-9 September 20152015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2015). Detection of spatial varations of earthquake clustering characteristics via weighted likelihood estimators, 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September 2015. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Project Researcher of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2015). Long-term earthquake prediction in and around Japan by a hierarchical Bayesian space-time point process model (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting the Earthquake Swarms Rates in Izu Region by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 9 September 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Short-term earthquake forecast model with logistic discrimation of foreshocks (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

10-16 August 20159th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop,
Sofis Jinyuan Hotel, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2015). Features of the earthquake source process simulated by Vere-Jones' branching crack model, 9th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop, Sofis Jinyuan Hotel, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 10 August 2015. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

2-7 August 2015Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre, Singapore.

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2015). Evaluation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability with time-dependent smoothness constraint, Asia Oceania Geoscience Society(AOGS) 12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre, Singapore, 7 Aug 2015. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

13-17 July 20152015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, 2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2015). Point process modelling: Tutorial with some topics in statistical seismology, 2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture)

 

Prof. Zhou, Shiyong Prof. of School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Zhou, S. (2015). Earthquake hazard prediction based on seismicity smulation, 2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

14-18 June 20159th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via maximum weighted likelihoods estimates, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Oral)

Wang, T.*, Zhuang, J., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Hidden Markov Modeling of Sparse Time Series from Non-volcanic Tremor observations, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Invited lecture)

Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2015). An improved ETAS model for inverting the rupture geometry from seismicity triggerring, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster)

Zechar, J.D.*, Rierola, M. and Zhuang, J. (2015). A parimutuel gambling perspective to compare probabilistic seismicity forecasts and deterministic eartquake predictions, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster)

Falcone, G.*, Murru, M., Console, R., Marzocchi. W. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Retrospective forecast of ETAS model with daily parameters estimate, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2015). Reviews on the pre- and post-seismicity of the Tohoku-Oki mega-earthquake, and future long-term forecasts, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture)

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: TSEIS – ETAS module implementation, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2015). Development of a Bayesian method to estimate a fault slip distribution of a large earthquake from the spatial aftershock distribution and rate- and state friction law: inclusion of information on magnitude as a prior distribution, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Wang, Min-Zhen Project Researcher of ISM

Wang, M.* and Zhuang, J. (2015). On the focal mechanism distributions of background seismicity and triggered seismicity in the Japan region, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster) 

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Toward automatic aftershock forecasting in Japan, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Post-Doctoral Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

9-12 June 2015Spatial Statistics: Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, Spatial Statistics: Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France, 12 June 2015. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

24-28 May 2015Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via maximum weighted likelihoods estimates, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Tormann, T., Enescu, B.*, Woessner, J. and Wiemer, S. (2015). Randomness of megathrust earthquakes implied by rapid stress recovery after the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2015. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2015). Forecasting seismicity after the Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2015). Inference of a slip distribution from aftershock data and friction law:  a Bayesian model with a prior of magnitude (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2015. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM)

Matsu乫ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of multiple earthquake cycles based on the slip- and time-dependent fault constitutive law (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral)

Noda, A.*, Miyauchi, T., Sato, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Modeling and simulation for the development of Holocene marine terraces in the Boso peninsula (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral)

Fukahata, Y.* and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Characteristics of island arc deformation due to steady plate subduction (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2015. (Poster)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S. (2015). Real-time Classifier of Foreshocks Using Probability Density Ratio Estimation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecast uncertainty in aftershock forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral)

 

Dr. Han, Peng Post-Doctoral Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Han, P.*, Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral)

Han, P.*, Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Statistical Analysis of ULF Seismo-Magnetic Phenomena in Kanto, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan,26 May 2015. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

24 March 2015Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2015). Statistical models to describe the spatio-temporal patterns of earthquakes: Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model and related models, School/Workshop on Fluctuations, Slow Dynamics and Internal Time in Complex Critical Systems, Geibunkan, Kurashiki City, Okayama, 24 March 2015 (invited lecture).

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

17 March 2015Workshop on simulation visualization in data assimilation, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2015). Visualization of seismic activity through statistical models (in Japanese), Workshop on simulation visualization in data assimilation, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March 2015. (Invited lecture)  

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

13-14 March 20152015 Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied Statistics, Shiran Kaikan Inamori Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan.

 Dr. Wang, Min-Zhen Project Researcher of ISM

Wang, M.*, Zhuang, J., Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2015). Determining actual nodal planes and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake angles, 2015 Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied Statistics, Shiran Kaikan Inamori Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan, 14 January 2015. (Poster) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

13-15 January 2015Hokudan 2015 International Symposium on Active Faulting,
Awaji Yumebutai International Conference Center, Awaji City, Japan.

 Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial variation on earthquake interevent time distribution in Japan, Hokudan 2015 International Symposium on Active Faulting, Awaji Yumebutai International Conference Center, Awaji City, Japan, 15 January 2015. (Invited lecture) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

15-19 December 20142014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2014). Foreshock probabilities and the Båth law under the ETAS model, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Oral)

Falcone, G.*, Murru, M., Zhuang, J. and Console, R. (2014). Short-term earthquake probabilities during the L' Aquila earthquake sequence in central Italy, 2009, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Poster)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2014). Comparing foreshock characteristics and foreshock forecasting in observed and simulated earthquake catalogs, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2014). Real-time foreshock probability forecasting experiments in Japan, Southern California and whole globe, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Poster).

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Yagi, Y.*, Okuwaki, R., Enescu, B. and Hirano, S. (2014). Rupture process of the 2014 Iquique Chile Earthquake in relation with the foreshock activity, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2014). Estimation of completeness magnitude with a Bayesian modeling of daily and weekly variations in earthquake detectability, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting offshore swarm rate changes by volumetric strain changes in Izu Peninsula, Japan, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal model for repeating earthquakes and slow slip before and after the major earthquakes in the northeastern Japan subduction zone, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Can we forecast 1-month span aftershock activity from the first day data after the main shock?, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Poster)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

2-5 December 20145th Symposium on Polar Science, National Institute of Polar Research(NIPR), Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T.* and Kanao, M. (2014). The annual variation in teleseismic detection capability at Syowa Station, Antarctica: a statistical analysis including the effect of air temperature, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 3 December 2014. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

24-26 November 20142014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Wang, D. and Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching crack model and earthquake source process, 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 26 November 2014. (Oral)

Wang, M., Zhuang, J.*, Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2014). Determining the actual nodal plane and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake, 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster)

Guo, Y.*,  Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2014). Inverting rupture geometry from triggering, 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral)

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2014). Implementation of ETAS functions to Tools for Seismicity (TSEIS) (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Shimojo, K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2014). Fluid-driven seismicity activation in Northern Nagano Region after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki Earthquake (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral)

Okada, C.*, Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2014). Remotely triggered seismicity in Kyushu Region, Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Associate Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2014). Weekly variation in earthquake detection capability and completeness magnitude in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu乫ura, M.* and Noda, A. (2014). Tectonics of the south Kanto region and potential interplate earthquakes (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Oral)

Fukahata, Y.* and Matsu乫ura, M. (2014). Essential causes of island arc deformation due to steady plate subduction (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Prediction of the background seismicity rate for the earthquake swarmactivities in Izu region (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal process model for repeating earthquakes and slow slip in the northeastern Japan subduction zone (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 26 November 2014. (Oral)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Sawazaki, K., Aihara, K. and Enescu, B. (2014). Forecasting aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

20-23 October 20142014 Annual Meeting of Chainese Union of GeoScience, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Wang, D. and Matsuura, M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching cracking model and the earthquake source process, 2014 Annual Meeting of Chainese Union of GeoScience, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 21 October 2014. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

13-16 September 20142014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2014). Semi-critical mode of marked Hawkes processes, 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 September 2014. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y.* and Tanaka, U. (2014). Searching for locations of parents from superposed clusters (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating background seismicity by a regression model from crustal deformation: Forecasting earthquake swarms in volcanic regions (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2014). Estimation of spatial distribution for aperiodicity of recurrence intervals on active faults in Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian approach for probabilistic forecasting of aftershock activity (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 15 September 2014. (Oral) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

7-10 September 20142014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A..

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Wan, D. and Matsuura M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching crack model and earthquake source process, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2014). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster)

Tsuruoka, H. and Ogata, Y.* (2014). OEF and CSEP in Japan, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2014). Panel Discussion for ComCat Overview and Real-Time DATA, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Panel Discussion)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, Y., Maeda, K., and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting Offshore Swarm Rate Changes by Volumetric Strain Changes in Izu Peninsula, Japan, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM 

Nomura, S. (2014). Space-time Renewal Model for Repeating Earthquakes and Slip-rate History in the Northeastern Japan Subduction Zone, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian forecasting of aftershocks by ETAS model, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) 

Omi, T. (2014). Immediate aftershock forecasting after a strong earthquake, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Invited lecture)

 

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1 September 2014Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), ERI Seismic Activity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 1 September 2014. (Seminar)

 

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24-29 August 2014Second European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology,
Istanbul Convention & Exhibition Centre, Istanbul, Turkey.

Varini*, E. and Ogata, Y. (2014). Statistical modelling for identificaion of earthquake clusters, Second European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Istanbul Convention & Exhibition Centre, Istanbul, Turkey, 24-29 August 2014. (Poster) 

 

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28-31 July 20142014 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2014) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2014), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo

Ogata, Y. (2014). Modeling of temporal and spatial non-homogeneity for space-time earthquake databases, 2014 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2014) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2014), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 29 July 2014. (Invited lecture) 

 

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28 July – 1 August 2014Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo Hotel, Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan.

 Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S. (2014). Real-time classifier of foreshocks using kernel logistic regression, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo Hotel, Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan, 30 July 2014. (Invited lecture) 

 

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8-11 June 2014Varenna Workshop on Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making, Villa Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy.

     Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2014). Evaluating earthquake predictions by using the gambling score, Varenna Workshop on Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making, Villa Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy, 8-11 June 2014. (Poster) 

 

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28 April-2 May 2014Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Zhou, S. (2014). Modelling the effect of fault geometry on earthquake triggering, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 2 May 2014. (Oral)

Guo, Y, Zhuang, J.* and Wang, D. (2014). Similar Characteristics between the earthquake source process and Vere-Jones' Branching model, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 28 April 2014. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2014). Foreshocks and short-term forecasting: comparisons between real seismicity and synthetic catalogs, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 2 May 2014. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating earthquake swarms in volcanic regions (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 1 May 2014. (Oral)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM)

Matsu乫ura, M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Fukahata, Y. (2014). Tectonic stress fields in subduction zones governed by frictional strength of plate interfaces (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2013. (Oral)

Noda, A.* and Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Sequential inversion of GPS time series data to estimate spatiotemporal change in interplate coupling (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Visiting Researcher of ISM

Iwata, T. and Kanao, M. (2014). The annual variation in the teleseismic detection capability at Syowa Station, Antarctica, (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2014. (Poster)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2014). Spatial Variation on Recurrence-time Distribution of Paleoearthquakes and Its Influence for Long-term Forecast (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 29 April 2014. (Oral)

 

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27 April-2 May 2014European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria.

     Dr. Omi, Takahiro Research Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Adaptive forecasting of aftershock activity after the main shock, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2014, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 28 April 2014. (Oral) 

 

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17-19 March 2014丂摑寁悢棟尋媶強尋媶夛, 恄宱壢妛偲摑寁壢妛偺懳榖4, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2014). Statistical inference and simulations for temporal point processes, 乬Dialogue Between Neuroscience and Statistical Science 4乭, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March 2014. (Invited lecture)

 

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9-13 December 20132013 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2013). Separating triggered and stress-change induced seismcity, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Enescu, B.*, Chao, K., Obara, K., Peng, Z., Matsuzawa, T. and Yagi, Y. (2013). Remote Love Wave Triggering of Tremor in the Nankai Subduction Zone: New Observations and Dynamic Stress Modeling, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2013). Synchronous b-value change and crustal deformation following the 2007 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japan, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December 2013. (Poster)

 

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12-15 November 20133rd International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical Modelling,
Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2013). Real-time foreshock forecasts and their evaluations, poster presentation, The 3rd International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical Modelling, Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 12-15 November 2013. (Poster)

 

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8-10 November 2013Ishigaki International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices, and Education in the 21st Century,
ANA InterContinental Ishigaki Resort, Ishigaki-Shi, Okinawa, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2013). Criticality and Branching Ratios of a Type of Branching Models, Ishigaki International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices, and Education in the 21st Century, ANA InterContinental Ishigaki Resort, Ishigaki-Shi, Okinawa, Japan, 9 November 2013. (Oral)

 

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7-9 October 20132013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center,
Yokohama City, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2013). Real-time probability discrimination of foreshock-type earthquakes (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral)

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Forecasting aftershocks after the main shock by using the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2013). The temporal variation in the b-value of the aftershock sequence of the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu'ura, M.*, Noda, A and Terakawa, T. (2013). Strength of plate interfaces and tectonic stress fields in subduction zones (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Non-stationary ETAS models for nonstandard earthquake occurrences (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster)

 

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19 September 2013Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2013). Foreshock phenomena and the Båth law implied by generic earthquake clustering, ERI Seismicity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 19 September 2013. (Seminar)

 

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8-11 September 20132013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2013). Criticality of a continuous-type branching process: application to earthquake clustering models, 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2013). Foreshocks forecasting by statistical discrimination of earthquake clusters (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). A state-space modeling for forecasting early aftershock probability from incompletely detected real-time occurrence data (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2013). A Bayesian analysis of temporal variation in earthquake detection capability (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). The non-stationary ETAS model and its application to the seismicity anomalies induced by the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2013). Non-stationary renewal model for repeating earthquakes (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)

 

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11-15 August 20138th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2013). Test seismicity anomalies by using the ETAS model as null hypothesis, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral)

Wang, T.*, Zhuang, J., Kato, T. and Bebbington, M. (2013). Assessing the potential improvement in short-term earthquake forecasts from incorporation of GPS data, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13August 2013. (Oral)

Jia, K.*, Zhou, S., Zhuang, J. and Jiang, C. (2013). Is the 2013 Lushan Ms 7.0 earthquake an aftershock of the 2008 Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake on Longmenshan fault, Sichuan, China?, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral)

Zöller, G.*, Holschneider, M., Hainzl, S. and Zhuang, J. (2013). What can be learned from earthquake catalogs about the largest expected magnitudes?, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 14 August 2013. (Invited lecture)

Zechar, J.D.*, Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2013). Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 14 August 2013. (Poster)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2013). A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 10 August 2013. (Pre-Workshop Tutorial)

Ogata, Y. (2013). Real-time foreshock discrimination, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Invited lecture)

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating the statistical models of earthquake occurrences from the data of incompletely detected earthquakes, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2013). A Bayesian approach to estimate the periodic change in earthquake detection capability and its applications to JMA catalogue, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 12 August 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Assistant Professor of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.*, Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 12 August 2013. (Oral)

 

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19-24 May 2013Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Console, R., Murru, M. and Falcone, G. (2013). Short-term earthquake forecasting experiment before and during the L'Aquila seismic sequence of April 2009, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Enescu, Bogdan Associate Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM

Sawazaki, K.* and Enescu, B. (2013). High-frequency seismogram envelope synthesis of early aftershock sequences (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Oral)

Shimojo, K.*, Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2013). Triggered seismicity in Northern Nagano region at short times after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2013). Research towards practical earthquake forecasting (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Invited lecture)

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating statistical models of seismicity under incomplete detection of earthquakes (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2013). A numerical simulation of an aftershock activity with the rate-and-state friction model and secondary aftershock effect (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu'ura, M.* and Noda, A. (2013). Geological meaning of residual velocity fields in GPS strain data inversion (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2013. (Oral)

Noda, A.*, Sagiya, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2013). A direct method for estimating the rigid body motion of crustal blocks from GPS velocity data (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2013. (Poster)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. Nadeau, R.M. and Uchida, N. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral)

Nomura, S.*, Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Poster)

 

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7-8 May 2013SCEC/CSEP Workshop on Testing External Forecasts and Predictions,
Davidson Conference Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

     Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2013). History-dependent magnitude forecast by statistical discrimination of foreshocks, SCEC/CSEP Workshop on Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Davidson Conference Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, U.S.A., 7 May 2013. (Invited lecture)

 

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7-12 April 2013European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria.

     Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 9 April 2013. (Oral) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

22-25 January 2013Second International CORSSA(the Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis) Workshop,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

     Ogata, Y. (2013). A prospect of earthquake prediction research, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

     Iwata, T. (2013). Daily and seasonal variations in earthquake detection capability: quantitative evaluation through Bayesian approach, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

     Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 24 January 2013. (Invited lecture)

 

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3-7 December 20122012 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S.*, Meghraoui, M., Tsutsumi, H., Ferry, M., Haraguchi, T., Mechernich, S. and Okumura, K. (2012). The 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake, its seismic cycle, and postseismic hazard viewed from onshore geologic and geomorphic investigations, 2012 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 7 December 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

16-19 October 20122012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2012). Testing significance of earthquake precursors against earthquake clustering models, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral)

Ting Wang*, Zhuang, J., Kato, T. (2012). Exploratory analysis of earthquake precursory information in GPS measurements, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October 2012. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2012). Prospective forecasts and retrospective analysis of triggered seismicity (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral)

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2012). Real-time estimation of the detection rate of earthquakes, and its application to forecasting of aftershock hazard (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October 2012. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2012). The seasonal variation in detection capability of earthquakes in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October 2012. (Poster)

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Maeda, S. * and Toda, S. (2012). Relationship between high background seismicity and geologic structure in the northwestern Kii Peninsula (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu'ura, M.* and Noda, A. (2012). Representation of displacement fields in the path integral of strains (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October 2012. (Oral)

Noda, A.*, Kawasato, T., Ohba, M., Watanabe, T., Tajima, R., Sawaii, A. and Matsu'ura, M. (2012). Spatiotemporal variation of slip-deficit rates at the North American-Pacific plate interface off Tohoku inferred from GPS strain data inversion (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October 2012. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Seismicity Anomalies Estimated by Non-Stationary ETAS Models (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral)

 

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9-12 September 20122012 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2012). On the criticality of a type of branching processes, 2012 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 10 September 2012. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting seismicity anomalies with nonstationary ETAS model (in Japanese), 2012 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 11 September 2012. (Oral)

 

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9-12 September 20122012 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs Resort, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A.

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Nadeau, R.M. (2012). Space-Time Model and Analysis of Repeating Earthquakes in Parkfield Segment, 2012 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs Resort, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A., 9-12 September 2012. (Poster)

 

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16 August 2012Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2012). Space-time point-process models for earthquake occurrences:Residual analysis and stochastic reconstruction, NUS seminar, National University of Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 16 August 2012. (Seminar)

 

13-17 August 2012AOGS – AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World Convention Centre, Singapore, Republic of Singapore.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Harte, D. and Werner, M. (2012). On the Criticality of Branching Models for Earthquake Occurrences, AOGS – AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World Convention Centre, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 17 August 2012. (Oral)

Siew, H.–Y. and Zhuang, J.* (2012). Semiparametric Estimation for Modulated Renewal Processes, AOGS – AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World Convention Centre, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 15 August 2012. (Poster)

 

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2-4 July 20122nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2012). First-and Second-order Residual Analysis of Spatiotemporal Point Processes and Applications In Model Evaluation, 2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 3 July 2012. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2012). Residual Analysis in Statistical Seismology and Discovering Seismicity Anomalies, 2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 3 July 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S. (2012). Space-Time Model for Repeating Earthquakes, 2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 2-4 July 2012. (Poster)

 

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6-7 June 2012SCEC CSEP Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM) Experiment and
the Future of Earthquake Forecasting
, Rancho Las Palmas Resort, Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2012). Scoring Annual Earthquake Predictions in China, SCEC CSEP Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM) Experiment and the Future of Earthquake Forecasting, Rancho Las Palmas Resort, Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A., 7 June 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2012). Some Issues and Proposals for Operational Space-Time Forecasting and Their Evaluations, SCEC CSEP Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM) Experiment and the Future of Earthquake Forecasting, Rancho Las Palmas Resort, Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A., 6 June 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

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20-25 May 2012Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2012). Long-term earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model for short-term clustering, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral)

 

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2012). Long-term probability forecast of the regional seismicity that was induced by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 20 May 2012. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2012). The influence of the daily variation of the detection capability on the completeness magnitude (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral)

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S. (2012). Temporal decays of induced inland earthquakes associated with the 2011 M=9.0 Tohokuoki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu'ura, M. (2012). The 2011 Megathrust earthquake off Northeast Japan and multiple earthquake cycles in subduction zones (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral)

 

Dr. Kumazawa, Takao Project Researcher of ISM

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). The modified ETAS analysis on earthquake swarms induced by the Tohoku earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2012. (Oral)

 

Dr. Nomura, Shunichi Visiting Researcher of ISM

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Bayesian forecast with uncertain occurrence data in a BPT renewal process (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2012. (Oral)

 

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22 March 2012Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2012). 儀僀僘摑寁偺嵟慜慄, 2011擭搙妛弍岎棳夛島墘 (in Japanese), The Graduate University for Advanced Studies[SOKENDAI], Hayama, Kanagawa, Japan, 22 March 2012. (Invited lecture) 

 

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11-14 March 2012International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes
on the occasion of celebrating Prof. Yosi Ogata's 40-year research career in statistical seismology,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Emeritus Prof. of ISM

     Ogata, Y. (2012). Delaunay-based Bayesian seismicity models: Introduction to a program package, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2012). On the criticality of branching models for earthquake occurrences, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

     Iwata, T. (2012). Daily variation of the detection capability of earthquake and its influence on the completeness magnitude, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture) 

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S. (2012). Widespread seismicity excitation and seismic shadow following the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake and its implications for seismic hazard, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 12 March 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu'ura, M. (2012). Systematic errors in the inversion analysis of GPS array data to estimate interseismic slip-deficit rates at plate interfaces, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

Kumazawa, Takao Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

     Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting misfits of the ETAS for seismicity anomalies, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture) 

 

Nomura, Shunichi Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Nadeau, R. (2012). Space-time models of repeating earthquakes in Parkfield segment, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture)

 

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1 March 2012Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2012). Modeling of earthquake occurrence for predicting seismic activity and discovering seismicity anomalies, ESF-JSPS Frontier Science Conference Series for Young Researchers, The Four Seasons Hotel Tokyo at Chinzan-so, Tokyo, Japan, 1 March 2012. (Invited lecture) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

4-9 December 20112011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2011). Testing significance of earthquake precursors: Against complete randomness? Or against earthquake clustering models?, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 7 December 2011. (Oral)

Zechar, J.D.*, Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2011). CORSSA: Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2011). Detection capability of global earthquakes influenced by large intermediate-depth and deep earthquakes, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December 2011. (Poster)

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S.*, Stein, R.S. and Lin, J. (2011). Widespread seismicity excitation following the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake and its implications for seismic hazard, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 8 December 2011. (Oral)

Hirose, S.*, Toda, S. and Lin, J. (2011). Effect of static stress shadow on seismicity associated with the 2011 M=9.0 great Tohoku, Japan, earthquake, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Poster)

Stein, R.S.*, Toda, S., Sevilgen, V., Lin, J. and Barrientos, S.E. (2011). The hazard posed by large damaging aftershocks of megathrust megaquakes: Insights from Sumatra, Maule, and Tohoku, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Oral)

Lin, J.*, Toda, S. and Stein, R.S. (2011). Using the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku earthquake to test the Coulomb  stress triggering hypothesis and to calculate faults brought closer to failure, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2011. (Oral)

Enescu, B.*, Obara, K., Chao, K., Peng, Z., Aoi, S., Toda, S. and Takeda, T. (2011).  Dynamic Versus Static Triggering of Earthquake and Tremor in South-western Japan, Associated With the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2011. (Oral)

 

 

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27 October 2011Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2011). Diagnosis of seismic anomalies and stress changes: Case studies from the recent earthquakes in and around Japan, Workshop on Statistical and Physical Modelling of Earthquake Processes, GNS Science, Avalon, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, 27 October 2011. (Invited lecture) 

 

26 October 2011Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2011). The M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake and statistical seismology, Seminar series in honour of David Vere-Jones, Waikanae, New Zealand, 26 October 2011. (Invited lecture) 

 

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12-15 October 20112011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP",
Shizuoka City, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2011). Aseismic slips assumed for the relative quiescence and activation and for the transient anomalies of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2011). Tohoku earthquake: foreshocks, aftershocks and triggered activities and quiescence for long-term seismic activity in and around Japan (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011. (Oral)

Ogata, Y.* and Katsura, K. (2011). Operational probability foreshock forecasts up until the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011. (Poster)

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2011). Long-term probability forecasts based on background seismicity, 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

Nanjo, K.*, Hori. T. and Zhuang, J. (2011). Toward better estimation of crustal stress condition in Japan: A brief introduction, 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Project Associate Prof. of ISM

Iwata, T. (2011). The spatial slip distribution of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake estimated from its aftershock distribution and the rate-and-state friction law (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S. (2011). Heterogeneity of regional stress and structure in crust found after the 2011 =9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

Toda, S.*, Tsutsumi, H., Omata, M. and Kohriya, Y. (2011). Surface rupture and active structures associated with the April 11, 2011 M70 Iwaki earthquake triggered by the M=9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

Fukushima, Y*, Takada, Y., Hashimoto, M. Toda, S. and Tsutsumi, H (2011). Surface rupture and fault model of the 11 Apr. 2011 Iwaki earthquake (Mw=6.6) (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

Hirose, S.* and Toda, S. (2011). Static stress shadow on seismicity associated with the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011. (Poster)

 

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu'ura, M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Inelastic Deformation of Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate Earthquakes: Background Tectonic Stress Fields (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

Terakawa, T.*, Hashimoto, C., Ogata, Y. and Matsu'ura, M. (2011). Mechanism Driving lnduced Seismic Sequences After the 2011 0ff the PacifIc Coast of Tohoku Earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 12 October 2011. (Oral)

 

Kumazawa, Takao Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2011). Estimating misfits of the ETAS for seismicity anomalies (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

 

Nomura, Shunichi Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2011). Space-time structure of repeating microearthquakes at Parkfield (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral)

 

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3-5 October 2011CSEP(Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) Workshop, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2011). Towards dynamic earthquake hazard models: Real time probability forecasts + Early warning + Attenuation models + Cite-condition database, CSEP(Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) Workshop, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, 3 October 2011. (Oral) 

 

24-29 September 2011 European Science Foundation(ESF) Research Conferences Continuing Challenges in Earthquake Dynamics: New Methods for Observing and Modelling a Multi-Scale System乭, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria.

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2011). Foreshocks and the Bath law explained by earthquake clustering models, European Science Foundation(ESF) Research Conferences 乬Continuing Challenges in Earthquake Dynamics: New Methods for Observing and Modelling a Multi-Scale System乭, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 28 September 2011. (Oral) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

4-7 September 20112011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2011). 搶杒抧曽懢暯梞壂抧恔偲摑寁抧恔妛 (in Japanese), 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 5 September 2011.

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J (2011). Next-day earthquake forecasts for the Japan region generated by using a statistical model, 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 7 September 2011.

 

Tanaka, Ushio Research Fellow of Rikkyo University Center for Statistics and Information / Visiting Researcher of the ISM

Tanaka, U. (2011). Remark on the Palm intensity of Neyman-Scott cluster processes, 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 7 September 2011.

Yamaguchi, K.*, Kanazawa, Y. and Tanaka, U. (2011). 棫嫵戝妛偵偍偗傞摑寁娭楢壢栚偺e-learning 揥奐偲偦偺嫵堢惉壥偵偮偄偰 (in Japanese), 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 7 September 2011.

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

8-12 August 2011Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2011). Seismic and geodetic anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region: Applications of the ETAS model, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011. (Invited lecture) 

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. and Nanjo, K.Z.* (2011). Next-day Earthquake Forecasts Generated by the ETAS Model, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011. (Invited lecture) 

Siew, H.–Y.* and Zhuang, J. (2011). Modulated Renewal Models for Inter-event Times of Earthquakes, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011. (Oral) 

 

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29 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2011). Gambling scores and evaluation of the performance of earthquake predictions, GNS Sciences, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, 29 July 2011. (Seminar) 

 

27 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2011). Testing earthquake precursors: Against complete randomness? Or against clustering models, Seminar series in honour of David Vere-Jones, Waikanae, New Zealand, 27 July 2011. (Seminar) 

 

15 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2011). Stochastic reconstruction for spatiotemporal branching processes, School of Mathematics, Statistics, and Operational Researches, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, 15 July 2011. (Seminar) 

 

愢柧: 愢柧: 愢柧: BD14996_

 

25-27 May 20117th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2011). Anomalous seismic activities before and after the M9 Tohoku-oki Earthquake, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25 May 2011. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2011). Prospective foreshock forecasting experiment during the last 17 years, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011. (Poster)

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Associate Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Marzocchi, W. (2011). Foreshock phenomena and the Båth law implied by generic earthquake clustering, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 26 May 2011. (Invited lecture)

Zechar, J.D.*, Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2011). CORSSA: Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis -  Status & Outlook - Discussion, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 26 May 2011. (Invited lecture)

 

Kumazawa, Takao Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2011). Smoothing for the nonstationarity with ETAS clustering, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University

Iwata, T. (2011). The estimation of  a slip distribution of  the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake (Mw=9.0) based on the spatial distribution of its aftershocks and rate- and state friction law, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25 May 2011. (Invited lecture)

 

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22-27 May 2011Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan.

Prof. Matsu乫ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM

Matsu'ura, M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Inelastic Deformation of Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate Earthquakes: Basic Ideas (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2011. (Oral)

Matsu'ura, M. (2011). Barriers to Progress in Earthquake Science: The 2011 "Unexplainable" Super-Gigantic Earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2011. (Invited lecture (Union Session U-23 乬The great Tohoku earthquake: Actions that the Japanese earth and planetary sciences community should take乭))

 

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13-15 April 2011Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A..

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Nanjo, K.Z.*, Tsuruoka, H., Schorlemmer, D., Falcone, G., Hirata, N., Ishigaki, Y., Jordan, T.H., Kasahara, K., Obara, K., Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Yokoi, S. and Zhuang, J. (2011). Recent progress of the CSEP earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan: Strategy and preliminary results of testing against the aftershock sequence of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A., 14 April 2011. (Oral)

Jordan, T.H.*, Gerstenberger, M.C., Hirata, N., Jackson, D.D., Liukis, M., Maechling, P.J., Marzocchi, W., Nanjo, K.Z., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D.A., Schorlemmer, D., Zechar, J.D. (2011). Implications of Recent Events for CSEP Testing of Earthquake Forecasts, Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A., 15 April 2011. (Oral)

 

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13-17 December 20102010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Operational foreshock forecasting: Fifteen years after, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Assistant Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2010). Purposes and methods of scoring earthquake forecasts, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)

Marzocchi, W.* and Zhuang, J. (2010). Foreshock statistics in Italy, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral)

Michael, A.J.*, Wiemer, S., Zechar, J.D., Hardebeck, J.L., Naylor, M., Zhuang, J. and Steacy, S. (2010). Building the Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis (CORSSA), 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral)

Wang, Qi*, Jackson, D.D., Schoenberg, R. and Zhuang, J. (2010). Uncertainties of Parameter Estimates in Earthquake Clustering Models, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Sugaya, Katsunori Project Researcher of ISM

Sugaya, K.*, Hiramatsu, Y., Furumoto, M., Katao, H. and Ogata, Y. (2010). On the c-values of the off-fault aftershocks triggered by the 1995 Kobe earthquake, Japan, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)

 

Dr. Chu, Annie Project Researcher of ISM

Chu, A.*, Ogata, Y. and  Katsura, K. (2010). An Improved Statistical Solution for Global Seismicity by the HIST-ETAS Approach, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Bansal, Abhey Ram National Geophysical Research Institute, Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (NGRI, CSIR) (India)Scientist E1Fellow of the JSPS Invitation Fellowship Programs for Research in Japan (a long-term program); Visiting Researcher of the ISM

Bansal, A.R.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). Seismicity activation before the mega-earthquake of 26 December 2004 based on Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)

 

Nomura, Shunichi Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). Bayesian forecasting of the recurrent earthquakes and its predictive performance for a small sample size, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S., Stein, R.S. and Beroza, G.C. (2010). A Strong Stress Shadow Effect from the 1992 M=7.3 Landers, California, Earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)

Stein, R.S., Lin, J., Toda, S. and Barrientos, S.E. (2010). Strong static stress interaction of the 1960 M=9.5 and 2010 M=8.8 Chile earthquakes and their aftershocks, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Oral)

Lin, J., Stein, R.S., Sevilgen, V. and Toda, S. (2010). Stress interaction of strike-slip and thrust faults associated with the 2010 M=7.0 Haiti earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2010. (Oral)

Hirose, S. and Toda, S. (2010). Stress shadow effect found in recent seismic sequences associated with Japan乫s large earthquakes, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral)

Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y. and Mori, Y.  (2010). Spatiotemporal variability in surface rupturing behavior of thrust fault: Insights from paleoseismology for the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2010. (Poster)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University

Iwata, T. (2010). An application of rate- and state-friction model to observed aftershock sequences with logarithmical stress evolution in time, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)

 

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4-6 November 2010Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data,
Conference Hall of The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Kamakura City, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Empirical Bayes estimation of the space-time ETAS model with location-dependent parameters for forecasting seismic activity in a wide geophysical region, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Conference Hall of The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Kamakura City, Japan, 5 November 2010.

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Assistant Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Conference Hall of The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Kamakura City, Japan, 4 November 2010.

 

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1-2 November 2010ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Evaluating probability forecasts of earthquakes by the expected relative entropy, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 2 November 2010.

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Assistant Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). Evaluating performance of earthquake prediction relative to a baseline model through gambling scoring, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 2 November 2010.

 

Dr. Sugaya, Katsunori Project Researcher of ISM

Sugaya, K.* and Ogata, Y (2010). The features of seismicity in central Honshu based on the hierarchicalspace-time ETAS model, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 November 2010.

 

Dr. Bansal, Abhey Ram National Geophysical Research Institute, Council of Scientific and Industrial Research(NGRI, CSIR) (India)Scientist E1Fellow of the JSPS Invitation Fellowship Programs for Research in Japan (a long-term program); Visiting Researcher of the ISM

Bansal, A.R.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). Seismicity activation before the mega-earthquake of 26 December 2004 based on Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 November 2010.

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S.* and Enescu B. (2010). Updated version of the rate/state Coulomb stress transfer model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 November 2010.

 

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27-29 October 20102010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Operational Probability Forecast of Foreshocks (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Assistant Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J. (2010). A database of stochastic declustered catalogs, 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October 2010. (Oral)

Zhuang, J.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). A reference framework for evaluating significance of earthquake predictions, 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 29 October 2010. (Poster)

 

Dr. Sugaya, Katsunori Project Researcher of ISM

Sugaya, K.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). The feature of seismicity based on the hierarchical space-time ETAS model (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October 2010. (Poster)

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S.* and Enescu, B. (2010). Rate/state Coulomb stress transfer model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October 2010. (Oral)

Hirose, S.* and Toda, S. (2010). Seismicity rate decreases associated with coseismic stress decreases in Japan (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University

Iwata, T. (2010). Modelling of aftershock activity with the rate- and state- friction law including the effect of afterslip (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October 2010. (Oral)

 

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5-8 September 20102010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y.* and Adelfio, G. (2010). Hybrid Kernel Estimates of Space-Time Earthquake Occurrence Rates Using the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence Model, 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Assistant Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J (2010). The gambling scoring method for forecast evaluations, 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

 

Dr. Chu, Annie Project Researcher of ISM

Chu, A.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). On the Relationship Between Lower Magnitude Thresholds and Bias in ETAS Parameter Estimates, 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

 

Kumazawa, Takao Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Model Selections for detection of seismicity changes and precursory slips (in Japanese), 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

 

Nomura, Shunichi Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). Bayesian forecasting of the BPT model using uncertain occurrence times (in Japanese), 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

 

Tanaka, Ushio Research Fellow of Rikkyo University Center for Statistics and Information / Visiting Researcher of the ISM

Tanaka, U. (2010). A Novel Approach of Second-Order Characteristic to the Prior Open Problem on the Characterization of Fractal Objects, 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

 

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31 May 2010International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Seminar Room 3 (D312A), Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan.

Dr. Sugaya, Katsunori Project Researcher of Institute of Statistical Mathematics

Sugaya, K. (2010). Omori's law c-value and the rate-and state dependent friction parameters estimated by the off-fault seismicity activated due to a large earthquake, International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010.

 

Dr. Gerstenberger, Matthew (Seismologist of The GNS Science, New Zealand)

Gerstenberger, M. (2010). A new generic model for aftershock occurrence, International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010.

 

Dr. Jiang, Changsheng (Assistant Prof of Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration)

Jiang, C. (2010). The background seismicity of Ordos block in China, International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010.

 

Dr. Harte, David Director of The Statistics Research Associates Limited (SRA), New Zealand

Harte, D. (2010). Characterising New Zealand Seismicity Using Various Forms of the ETAS Model, International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010.

 

Nomura, Shunichi Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies(SOKEN-DAI)

Nomura, S. (2010). A Bayesian predictor of recurrent earthquakes based on BPT model with slip data, International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan, 31 May 2010.

 

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23-28 May 2010Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan.

Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Space-time heterogeneity in aftershock activity (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang Assistant Prof. of ISM

Zhuang, J.*, Zechar, J.D., Jiang, C., Console, R., Murru, M. and Falcone, G. (2010). Applications of the gambling score in evaluating earthquake predictions and forecasts, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Chu, Annie Project Researcher of ISM

Chu, A. (2010). Comparison of ETAS parameter estimates across different global tectonic zones, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2010. (Oral)

 

Kumazawa, Takao Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2010. (Oral)

 

Nomura, Shunichi Ph.D. Student of The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian predictor of recurrent earthquakes based on BPT model with slip data (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Toda, Shinji Visiting Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Toda, S.*, Enescu B. and Stein, R. (2010). CoulombExpress: Near-realtime forecasts of earthquake-induced stress transfer and seismicity for prospective testing, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2010. (Oral)

 

Dr. Iwata, Takaki Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda University

Iwata, T. (2010). Effect of secondary aftershocks on the p-value in the Omori-Utsu formula with the rate- and state-friction model (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2010. (Poster)

 

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24 May 2010Dr. Sugaya, Katsunori Project Researcher of ISM

Sugaya, K. (2010). Stress dependency of c-value in induced seismicity (in Japanese), The 2nd 2010 Meeting of Earthquake Forecast System based on Seismicity of Japan, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 24 May 2010.

 

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21 May 2010Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Modeling of temporal and spatial nonhomogeneity for space - time processes, The Spring Korean Statistical Society Annual Meeting, Statistics Center (Daejeon), Daejeon, Korea, 21 (20-22) May 2010. (Keynote lecture (IL-SONG lecture))

 

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16 March 2010Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity, The 3rd SCEC-ERI joint workshop "Earthquake Hazards in Urban Areas" and "Toward Constructing Forecast Systems of Earthquakes", Earthquake Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 (16-17) March 2010. (Invited lecture)

 

9 March 2010Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko Prof. of ISM

Ogata, Y. (2010). Researches on seismicity by statistical models -A review-, Seismology for the blue earth and the white continent -A symposium on solid earth around Antarctic-, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 9 (8-9) March 2010. (Special invited lecture)