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Presentations：
Updated on
5 September 2018
NEW!
9-13
September 2018 2018
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University,
Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.* and
Mateu, J. (2018). A semi-parametric spatiotemporal Hawkes-type point process
model with periodic background for crime data, 2018 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 13
September 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2018). Automatic segmentation of rating classes via the generalized fused
lasso, 2018 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen
Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 12 September 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y. (2018).
Modelling and forecasting three-dimensional-hypocentre seismicity in the Kanto
region, 2018 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen
Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquake, 2018 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku,
Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral) Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Maita, E.
(2018). Extension of ETS model with focal mechanism, 2018 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo,
Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral)
NEW! 8-12
September 2018 Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). SCEC Workshop on Predictive Skill Across Tectonic Settings and
Planning CSEP 2.0, CSEP Workshop, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 8 September 2018. (Invited discussion) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). 3D models of seismicity
beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 8-12 September 2018. (Poster)
NEW! 2-7
September 2018 The European Seismological
Commission 36th General Assembly, Mediterranean
Conference Center(MCC), Valletta, Malta. Schorlemmer, D.*, Werner,
M., Marzocchi, W., Jordan, T., Ogata, Y., Jackson, D., Mak, S., Rhoades, D.,
Gerstenberger, M., Hirata, N., Strader, A., Taroni, M., Wiemer, S., Zechar,
J. and Zhuang, J. (2018).
10 August
2018 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project
Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo）
Ogata, Y.
(2018). Studies of Seismic Activity and Forecasting based on the ETAS models,
RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project, RIKEN Kansai Branch at
Advanced Telecommunications Research Institute International(ATR),
Soraku-gun, Kyoto, Japan, 10 August 2018. (Invited lecture)
16 July
2018 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Critical zone of the branching crack model for earthquakes: inherent randomness,
earthquake predictability, and precursor modeling, National Central
University, Department of Earth Sciences, Taoyuan City, Taiwan, 16 July 2018.
(Seminar)
26-29 June
2018 5th Institute of
Mathematical Statistics(IMS), Asia Pacific Rim Meeting(IMS-APRM 2018), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2018).
Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point processes, 5th
Institute of Mathematical Statistics(IMS), Asia Pacific Rim Meeting(IMS-APRM
2018), National University of Singapore, Singapore, 26 June 2018. (Oral)
19-21 June
2018 2nd International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2018), City
University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Clustering models for earthquake occurrences and extensions, 2nd
International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2018), City
University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 21 June 2018. (Invited Lecture) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Wu, S.*, Liu,
Y., Ng, M. and Tanaka, M. (2018). Application of multi-domain clustering to
C. elegans neural network analysis, 2nd International Conference on Econometrics
and Statistics(EcoSta 2018), City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 20 June
2018. (Invited Lecture)
3-8 June
2018 15th Annual Meeting Asia
Oceania Geosciences Society, Hawaii Convention Centre, Honolulu, Hawaii,
U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ishibe, T.*,
Miyazawa, M., Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2018). Seismicity rate
change in Japan following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, 15th Annual Meeting
Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Hawaii Convention Centre, Honolulu, Hawaii,
U.S.A., 7 June 2018. (Poster)
25-27 May
2018 International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba
University (Nishi-Chiba Campus), Chiba City, Japan. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*, Matsu’ura,
M. and Han, P. (2018). Critical zone of the branching crack model for
earthquakes: inherent randomness, earthquake predictability, and precursor
modelling, International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International
Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation,
Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 25
May 2018. (Invited Lecture) Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2018). On the precursory information in ULF
seismo-electromagnetic phenomena, International Symposium on Earthquake
Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process
~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2018. (Invited Lecture) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Bebbington, M. and Kato, T. (2018). Precursory signals from GPS
data for short-term earthquake forecasts: signal processing and assessment,
International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop
on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Invited Lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Statistical features and cluster-based discrimination of
foreshocks, International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th
International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation,
Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2018. (Invited Lecture) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.
(2018). A global model of earthquake forecasting using spatiotemporal
variation of b-value, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Probability forecasts of a large earthquake by combination of
statistical characteristics and anomalies of seismic activity, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2018.
(Invited Lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2018). Real-time
short-term earthquake forecasting after a large earthquake in Japan,
International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop
on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Poster)
20-24 May
2018 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari
Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Hirata, N. and Tsuruoka, H. (2018). A 3D-hypocentral ETAS model for
the Japan CSEP project and initial results, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May
2018. (Poster) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M.,
Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D.D., Mak, S., Nanjo, K., Ogata,
Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Increasing Testability,
Expanding Possibilities. Some CSEP Future Developments, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Foreshock Discrimination and Short-Term Mainshock Forecast
Based on Magnitude Differences and Spatio–Temporal Distances, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21
May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Yamada, M.*,
Saito, J., Hayashimoto N. and Wu, S. (2018). How to improve earthquake early
warning for multiple simultaneous earthquakes: example of January 5 2018
event, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba
City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.,
Enescu, B.*, Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Triggering and Decay
Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Southwest Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23
May 2018. (Oral) Shimojo, K.,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y.* and Takeda, T. (2018). Nucleation Process of the 2011 Mw 6.2 Northern Nagano earthquake,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Poster) Matsukawa, H.,
Yagi, Y.*, Kasahara, A. and Enescu, B. (2018). Stress Release and Rebuilding
Processes of Mega-thrust Earthquake and Periodic Slowslip Detected by Focal
Mechanism Patterns, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2018). Stress rotation found in the aftershock area of the 2000 Western
Tottori Earthquake and its temporal variation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2018). b-value
analysis for low-frequency earthquakes beneath Mt. Fuji, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral) Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2018). A b-value map
based on seismicity of the Nankai Trough subduction zone, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2018.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2018). Wide seismic anomalies before the 2011 Tohoku
Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hirata, N. (2018). Heterogeneity of direct aftershock
productivity of the main shock rupture, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018,
Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018.
(Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). Exploring Magnitude
Forecasting of the Next Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018,
Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A. and Terakawa, T. (2018). Reconsideration of moment tensor: two
different representations and their physical meanings, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral)
Noda, A.*,
Saito, T., Fukuyama, E. and Matsu’ura, M. (2018). Crustal stress accumulation
and release estimated from elastic/inelastic strain analysis: the 2016
Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Maita, E.* and
Zhuang, J. (2018). Incorporating focal mechanisms into the ETAS model, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018.
(Oral) Zhang,
Shengfeng （PhD
Student of Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, China /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhang, S.*,
Zhuang, J., and Jiang, C. (2018). One-day forecasts generated by the ETAS and
Reasenberg-Jones models for the aftershocks following the 2017 Linzhi, Tibet,
MS6.9 earthquake, China,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 21 May 2018. (Oral)
16 May
2018 Workshop on the
Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science Experiments(CESES): Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics,
Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of
ISM） Enescu, B.
(2018). Earthquake triggering and interaction, based on study-cases in Japan,
Workshop on the Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science Experiments(CESES):
Science, Technology and Coordination, Institute of Earthquake Forecasting,
China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 16 May 2018. (Invited
lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2018)
Toward probability forecasting of large earthquakes, Workshop on the
Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science Experiments(CESES): Science,
Technology and Coordination, Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China
Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 16 May 2018. (Invited lecture)
12-14 May
2018 International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th
International Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu
Century City New International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu,
Sichuan, China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Critical zone of the branching crack model for earthquakes: inherent randomness,
earthquake predictability, and precursor modelling, International Conference
for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International
Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New International
Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 12 May 2018.
(Invited lecture) Zhuang, J.
(2018). Data missing of the Wenchuan aftershock sequence in the catalog and
stochastic replenishment, International Conference for the Decade Memory of
the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International Conference on Continental
Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New International Convention and Exhibition
Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13 May 2018. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.
(2018). Background rates of swarm earthquakes that are synchronized with
volumetric strain changes, International Conference for the Decade Memory of
the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International Conference on Continental
Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New International Convention and Exhibition
Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13 May 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). On recent ETAS research progress for seismicity, International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th
International Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New
International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13
May 2018. (Invited lecture)
22 March
2018 ISM Symposium on
Environmental Statistics 2018, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2018). Spatial distribution of coefficients of variation for earthquake
recurrence intervals in Japan, ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics
2018, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22
March 2018. (Invited lecture)
5-6 March
2018 32nd
Information-Based Induction Sciences and Machine Learning(IBISML), Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Watanabe, M. and Oguma, Y. (2018). Classification of Intra-Week and Intra-Day
Walking Patterns and Their Effect on Body-Composition Changes Using A
Hierarchical Model, 32nd Information-Based Induction Sciences and Machine
Learning(IBISML), Nishijin Plaza, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 5
March 2018. (Oral)
22
February 2018 International
Symposium on Risk Analysis and Random Fields, Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2018).
Modeling heterogeneity and non-stationarity of earthquake recurrence cycles,
International Symposium on Risk Analysis and Random Fields, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 February 2018.
(Invited lecture)
11-15
December 2017 2017 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Tinti, E. (2017). Heterogeneity of direct
aftershock productivity in the focal zones of large earthquakes and other
clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial
Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 13 December 2017. (Oral) Wang, D.*,
Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J.J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X.
(2017). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Length of Large
Earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New
Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 15 December
2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2017). A systematic investigation into b values prior to coming
large earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 14
December 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Assistant
Prof. of Department of Earth and
Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and Technology, China /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Assessment of precursory information in
seismo-electromagnetic phenomena, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New
Orleans, U.S.A., 12 December 2017. (Poster)
30
November - 1 December 2017 ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference Tokyo 2017, Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial Pattern of Coefficients of Variation and Bayesian
Forecasts for Recurrence Intervals of Earthquakes in Japan, ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference Tokyo 2017, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 30 November 2017. (Oral)
27
November - 1 December 2017 Workshop
on Frontiers in Studies of Earthquakes and Faults, Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of Community
Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Stress field in the aftershock area of the 2000 Western Tottori
Earthquake estimated by a Bayesian stress inversion analyzing P-wave first motion
data, Workshop on Frontiers in Studies of Earthquakes and Faults, Southern
University of Science and Technology(SUSTech), Shenzhen, Guangdong, China, 30
November, 2017. (Poster)
25-27
October 2017 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Taroni, M. (2017). An extensive study of
clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens
Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral) Wang, D.*,
Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X.
(2017). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Length of Large
Earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26
October 2017. (Oral) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M., Wiemer,
S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D., Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D.,
Tsuruoka, H., Yu, J. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Increasing Testability -
Expanding Possibilities: Some CSEP future developments, 2017 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange
Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). CSEP次世代プロジェクトの一展望 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2017). Forecasting
aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural
Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.,
Enescu, B.*, Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Triggering and Decay
Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Southwest Japan, 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural
Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster) Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). 2011年長野県北部の地震(Mw
6.2)の核形成過程 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). P波初動データに基づく応力場の空間パターン推定：応力比推定の試み (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017.
(Oral) Cho, I.* and
Iwata, T. (2017). 微動アレイデータを用いた浅部速度構造のベイズインバージョン法の開発 (in Japanese),
2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017.
(Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). 日本の活断層カタログに対するBPTモデルの適切な推定と予測について (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). 2016年熊本地震発生前後の九州地方地震活動の点過程モデルによる解析 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Miyauchi, T. and Sato, T. (2017). 完新世海成段丘の成因と地震発生時期予測可能モデル (in Japanese),
2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 27 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka / Visiting Researcher of ISM）
Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida A. (2017). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time
hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 27 October 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Post-doctoral
fellow of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Modeling and forecasting seismicity in the
Kanto region by using a 3D ETAS model, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster)
23-25 October 2017 Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Extensions of the self-exciting model and causality analysis for
seismicity, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda
Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 24 October 2017. (Invited lecture)
15-17 October 2017 2017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy
during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience Union(CGU), Beijing
International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 16 October 2017. (Invited
lecture)
9-13
September 2017 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Tinti, E. (2017). Clustering features of
seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton
Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). 3D spatial models for seismicity beneath greater Tokyo region, CSEP
Workshop: Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited
lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2017). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquakes, CSEP Workshop:
Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2017). On secular spatial seismicity, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2017). Short-term forecasts by foreshock discrimination, CSEP Workshop:
Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)
3-6
September 2017 2017
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University,
Nagoya City, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Delaunay triangulation for smoothing seismicity models, 2017 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September
2017. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term earthquake forecast model using foreshock
discrimination and aftershock decay, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting,
Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2017). Monitoring of the Seismicity before and after the 2016
Kumamoto Earthquake with Point Process Models, 2017 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017.
(Oral)
8-10
August 2017 2017
Conference of the International Federation of Classification Societies(IFCS
2017),
Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.,
Watanabe, M. and Oguma, Y. (2017). Classification of in-week and -day
patterns in ambulatory activity and body composition change, The 2017
Conference of the International Federation of Classification
Societies(IFCS-2017), Tokai University, Takanawa Campus, Minato-ku Tokyo,
Japan, 8 August 2017. (Oral)
30 July –
4 August 2017
Joint Scientific
Assembly of the International Association of Geodesy(IAG) and the International
Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth’s Interior(IASPEI)
(IAG-IASPEI 2017), Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Investigation of remote earthquake triggering
after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2 August 2017.
(Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of Community
Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). The spatial distribution of the stress ratio in the aftershock area
of the 2000 Western Tottori Earthquake, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2 August 2017. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Nomura, S., Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2017). Reciprocal relationship between
seismically estimated slip rates and geodetically estimated slip-deficit
rates at plate interfaces: Physical interpretation and logical consequence,
IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1
August 2017. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu’ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of plate interfaces inferred from
numerical simulations of stress fields for oceanic plates: Application to the
North American-Pacific plate interface off northeast Japan, IAG-IASPEI 2017,
Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1 August 2017. (Oral)
16-21 July
2017 61st International
Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Modelling earthquake clustering and stochastic reconstruction, 61st
International Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017),
Mansour Eddahbi Hotel & Palais des Congrès, Marrakech, Kingdom of
Morocco, 19 July 2017. (Invited Lecture)
15-17 June
2017 1st International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Mateu,
J. (2017). Semi-parametric estimates of long-term background trend,
periodicity, and clustering effect for a Hawkes point process, 1st
International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Hong
Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited
Lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial distribution of coefficients of variation and Bayesian
forecasts for recurrence intervals of earthquakes, 1st International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Hong Kong University
of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited Lecture)
26-27 May
2017 4th International
Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation,
Modeling, Forecasting~ Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Evaluation Methods of Earthquake Forecasts and earthquake
predictions, 4th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017
-Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Invited Lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K., Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical modeling of
earthquake temporal occurrences incorporating seismo-magnetic data, 4th
International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017 -Observation,
Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba University, Chiba
City, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Oral)
22-26 May
2017 JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting
2017,
Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, International Exhibition Hall
/ Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and Console, R. (2017). An
extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to
2016, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Guo, Y.*,
Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Statistical characteristics of seismicity
in the Kanto region detected by the 3D-ETAS model, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting
2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Remote triggering of earthquakes
as a possible stress-meter: the case of the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto mainshock,
JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25
May 2017. (Oral) Tormann, T.*,
Gulia, L., Staudenmaier, N., Petruccelli, A., Enescu, B. and Wiemer, S.
(2017). Current frontiers in spatio-temporal b-value analysis, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2017.
(Invited lecture) Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). Nucleation Process of the 2011
Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay
Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). HIST-ETAS models - revisited with emphasis on background seismicity,
JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24
May 2017. (Oral) Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term forecast by foreshock discrimination models
using magnitude frequency and spatio-temporal features of seismic clusters,
JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion data: an application to a real dataset, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Fukahata, Y. (2016). Nucleation Process of the
2011 Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu’ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of the plate interface off
northeast Japainferred from the simulation of oceanic plate stress, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Earthquake modeling
incorporating non-seismic data, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay
Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2017). Assessing the potential earthquake
precursory information in ULF magnetic data recorded in Kanto, Japan during
2000 – 2010, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)
23-28
April 2017 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*, Guo,
Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and Console, R. (2017). An extensive
study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016,
European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 25 April 2017. (Oral) Chen, S.*, Liao,
X., Ma, H., Zhou, L., Wang, X. and Zhuang, J. (2017). The network adjustment
aimed for the campaigned gravity survey using a Bayesian approach:
methodology and model test, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly
2017, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 26 April 2017. (Poster)
21 April
2017 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Replenishment of missing data in the observation of earthquake
sequences, Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing,
China, 21 April 2017. (Seminar)
27 February - 1 March
2017 Waseda International
Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku-ku,
Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Forecasting of a large earthquake – An outlook of the research,
Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus,
Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 28 February 2017. (Invited lecture)
20-24
February 2017 10th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum
of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Wang, T. (2017). On the biased estimate of earthquake clustering parameters
caused by short-term aftershock missing, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa,
Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J. Obara, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Buckby, J. (2017). A 2D hidden Markov
model for the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hirata, N. (2017). Aftershock productivity imaging on main
shock fault plane by seismicity triggering modelling, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Yin, F.*,
Zhuang, J. Jia, K., Jiang, C. and Han, L. (2017). A Study on Seismicity in
the Yunnan Region by Using Multidimental Stress Release Model, 10th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New
Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017.
(Poster) Shcherbakov,
R.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). The Magnitude of the Extreme
Aftershock, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.*,
Wiemer, S., Enescu, B. and Woessner, J. (2017). Evolution of earthquake
rupture potential along active faults, inferred from seismicity rates and
size distributions, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Towards the implementation of the probability forecast of large
earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2017). Predicting seismic activity
beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 10th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington,
New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2017). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: XETAS,
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of
New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017.
(Poster) Strader, A.*,
Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2017). Resolving
Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Aftershock
Forecast, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10),
Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February
2017. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of Community
Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Mixture of a rate- and state-dependent seismicity and the ETAS models
and its application to earthquake swarms, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa,
Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Statistical Monitoring of the Seismicity
before and after the Kumamoto Earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa,
Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Preliminary study of earthquake
models incorporating seismo-electromagnetic data, 10th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical Discrimination of Foreshocks and Real-time
Mainshock Forecasting, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki K. and Aihara, K. (2017). Feasibility of
automatic real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral)
19-22
December 2016 2016 The
10th ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the
21st Century, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Nonparametric Modelling of Spatiotemporal Crime Data, 2016 The 10th ICSA
International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st
Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December 2016.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.
(2016). Modeling Earthquake Anomalies: Application of ETAS (Epidemic-Type
Aftershock Sequence) Model and Its Improvement, 2016 The 10th ICSA
International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st
Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December 2016.
(Invited lecture)
12-17 December 2016 2016
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2016).
Probability forecasts based on multiple seismicity anomalies: Case of the
M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2016. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yagi, Y.*, Okuwaki,
R., Enescu, B., Kasahara, A., Miyakawa, A. and Otsubo, M. (2016). Rupture
process of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in relation with the thermal
structure around Aso volcano, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). A Bayesian Approach to Estimate a Spatial Stress Pattern from P-wave
First Motion Polarities, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2016. (Poster)
Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016).
Statistical Monitoring of the Seismic Activities before and after the
Kumamoto Earthquakes, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2016. (Poster)
Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2016). An interdisciplinary approach
for earthquake modelling and forecasting, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y.
(2016). Real-time Mainshock Forecast by Statistical Discrimination of Foreshock
Clusters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016. (Poster)
24-26 October 2016 Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*, Katsura,
K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). Models for seismic activity beneath
the Greater Tokyo Area, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University,
Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 25 October 2016. (Invited
lecture)
15-18 October 2016 2016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y. and Zhou, S. (2016). On the extensions of the Epidemic-Type
Aftershock Sequence model, 2016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 18
October 2016. (Invited lecture)
5-7 October 2016 2016
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya
Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Data completeness of the Kumamoto sequence in the JMA catalog and its
influence to estimation of ETAS parameters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6
October 2016. (Oral) Wang, D.*,
Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X. (2016).
Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Extent of Large Earthquakes,
2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress
Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2016). Remote triggering of seismicity
at Japanese volcanoes following the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake, 2016 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya
City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Shimojo, K.*, Enescu,
B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2016). Nucleation Proccss of the 2011 Mw6.2
Northem Nagano Earthquake (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5
October 2016. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). Probability forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake (in
Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya
Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016. (Oral) Ishibe, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Correlation between the
co-seismic Coulomb stress changes and seismicity rate changes for three
megathrust earthquakes (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.
(Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Spatial pattern of stress tensor inferred from P-wave first motion data (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 7
October 2016. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2016). Interplate frictional strength in subduction zones:
Theoretical constraint (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kato, A. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical Analysis of the
Earthquake Swarms following the Mie offshore Earthquake (M6.1) (in Japanese),
2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress
Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Possible coupling of multiple
pre-earthquake phenomena of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0), 2016 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya
City, Japan, 7 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2016). Main Shock Probability Forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto
Earthquake by Foreshock Discrimination Models (in Japanese), 2016 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya
City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project Assistant
Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Forecasting
aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2016
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center,
Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Poster)
4-7
September 2016 2016
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa
University, Kanazawa City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point processes,
2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City,
Japan, 6 September 2016. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). 2016年熊本地震(M7.3)に関する確率予測問題(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). ３次元空間の地震活動モデル(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration
Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2016). 熊本地震前後の九州地方地震活動の点過程モデルによる解析(in Japanese),
2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City,
Japan, 5 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*, Zhuang,
J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Statistical investigations of electromagnetic
phenomena associated with earthquakes, 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y., Uchida, N. and Matsu’ura, M. (2016). 局所不連続スプラインを用いた太平洋プレート沈み込み速度の時空間分布の推定(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)
30 July – 4 August
2016 2016 Joint
Statistical Meetings(JSM), McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Mateau, J. (2016). Semiparametric Estimates of the Long-Term Background Trend,
Periodictiy, and Clustering Effect in Crime Data, 2016 Joint Statistical
Meetings(JSM), McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A., 1 August 2016. (Oral)
20-23 July
2016 2016 International Workshop on
Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2016),
Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Mateau, J.
(2016). Semi-parametric estimates of the long-term background trend,
periodicity, and clustering effect in crime data, 2016 International Workshop
on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 July 2016. (Invited lecture) Prof. Zhou, Shiyong （Prof. of School of Earth and
Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Zhou, S. (2016).
Description of The Earthquake Hazard Insurance Frame in China, 2016
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 21 July 2016. (Invited
lecture)
19-22 July
2016 International Symposium: Crustal Dynamics
2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic Processes at Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). A Statistical approach to estimate a spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion polarity data : its development and a numerical
simulation, Crustal Dynamics 2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic
Processes at Different Time and Length Scales, Takayama City Cultural Hall,
Takayama City, Japan, 22 July 2016. (Poster)
22-26 May
2016 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / APA
Hotel & Resort Tokyo bay Makuhari, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Wang, T. (2016). Correcting biases in the estimates of earthquake clustering parameters
caused by short-term missing of aftershocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May
2016. (Poster) Segkou, M.* and
Zhuang, J. (2016). Optimized physics-based earthquake forecasts for inland
Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.,
Wiemer, S., Enescu, B.* and Woessner, J. (2016). Evolution of earthquake
rupture potential along the Pacific Plate off Japan, inferred from
seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Yamagami, Y.,
Enescu, B.* and Yagi, Y. (2016). Investigating the relationship between
slow-slip events and tremor in the Shikoku region, Southwest Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). 3D spatial models for
seismicity beneath Kanto region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.
(Invited lecture) Ishibe, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Testing the Coulomb stress
triggering hypothesis for great subduction earthquakes using abundant focal
mechanisms, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Strader, A.E.*,
Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2016). Resolving
Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Earthquake
Forecast, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion data: a preliminary numerical simulation, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016. (Poster) Iwata, T.
(2016). Change in b-values following the three M6 or 7-class earthquakes in
the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016,
Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.
(Poster) Cho, I.* and
Iwata, T. (2016). An examination of the relation between the distribution of
microtremor Horizontal-to-Vertical spectral ratios and the F distribution (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2016). Deformation rates of island-arc crust
estimated from seismic, geodetic, and geomorphic data, Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Some development on
predicting earthquake swarms using volumetric strain records, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster) Kato, A.*, Fukuda, J., Kumazawa, T. and
Nakagawa, S. (2016). Accelerated nucleation of the 2014 Iquique, Chile Mw 8.2
Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Huang Q. (2015). Spatiotemporal characteristics of the
geomagnetic diurnal variation anomalies prior to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake
(Mw9.0), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan,25 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2016). Assessment and optimization of the
potential earthquake precursory information in ULF magnetic data registered
at Kanto, Japan during 2000 – 2010, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2016). A Bayesian prediction for active faults using spatial
similarity of variation of recurence intervals (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Impact of
automatic catalog quality on real-time aftershock forecasting, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral)
16-17 May 2016 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake
Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Testing Significance of Non-Seismicity Precursors Against Earthquake
Clustering Models Instead of Against Complete Randomness, 2016 International Workshop
on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan,
17 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P. (2016).
On the Feasibility of Short-Term Earthquake Prediction Based on ULF Magnetic
Data, 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang
Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 16 May 2016. (Invited lecture)
28 April
2016 RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS Joint Symposium on New Horizon of
Mathematical Sciences, Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project Assistant
Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T. (2016).
Probabilistic aftershock forecasting: A Bayesian statistical approach (in
Japanese), RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS Joint Symposium on New
Horizon of Mathematical Sciences, RIKEN Wako campus, Suzuki Umetaro Hall,
Wako City, Saitama, 28 April 2016. (Invited lecture)
20-22
April 2016 2016
Seismological Society of America(SSA) Annual Meeting,
Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A. Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Improved estimation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability
with time-dependent smoothness constraint, 2016 Seismological Society of
America(SSA) Annual Meeting, Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A., 21 April 2016.
(Poster)
17-22
April 2016 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria. Dr. Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of
Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM）
Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2016). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation and
Bayesian Forecast for the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna,
Austria, 19 April 2016. (Oral)
31 January - 2
February 2016 ISI-ISM-ISSAS
2016 Joint Conference, Institute of Statistical Science Academia
Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan. Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Analysis of
earthquake occurrence rates modulated by volcanic activities, ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference 2016, Institute of Statistical Science Academia Sinica, Taipei,
Taiwan, 31 January 2016. (Invited(Poster))
15 January 2016 ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics
2016,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes and application in
detecting spatial variations of seismicity clustering characteristics, ISM Symposium
on Environmental Statistics 2016, Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 January 2016. (Oral)
14-18 December 2015 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, T., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Identifying spatiotemporal
migration patterns of non-volcanic tremors using hidden Markov models, 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2015. (Poster) Guo, Y.*, Zhuang,
J., Zhou, S. and Gao, Y. (2015). An improved space-time ETAS model for
inverting the rupture geometry from seismicity triggering, 2015 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco,
U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Chu, A.* and
Zhuang, J. (2015). Multiple linear regression models to fit magnitude using
rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacemen, 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Saade,M.*,
Montagner, J-P., Roux, P., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B. and Wang, Q. (2015).
Monitoring of Seismic Anisotropy at the Time of the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi
Earthquake, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Mixture of a seismicity model based on the rate-and-state friction
and ETAS model, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Noda, A.*,
Takahama, T., Ohba, T., Ito, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of
crustal deformation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake by the combined
effect of afterslip and viscoelastic stresss relaxation, 2015 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
15 December 2015. (Poster) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Formation of island arc-trench system due to plate
subduction on the basis of elastic dislocation theory, 2015 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
16 December 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Analysis of
Changing Swarm Rate using Volumetric Strain, 2015 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14
December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation for
the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang J. (2015). ULF Seismo-electromagnetic Studies in
Kanto, Japan: Progress and Challenges, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2015. (Invited lecture)
26-28 October 2015 2015
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering characteristics
via weighted likelihood estimates, 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26
October 2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Anomalies in space-time aftershock activity and their interpretations
(in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis Tool: XETAS (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Shimojo, K.*, Enescu,
B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2015). Foreshocks of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northern
Nagano earthquake (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26
October 2015. (Poster) Opris, A.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y., Tanaka, S. and Shiomi, K. (2015). The 2011 M6.4
Shizuoka earthquake sequence: triggering process investigation (in Japanese),
2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Yamagami, Y.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2015). Investigating the relationship between
slow-slip events and seismicity in the Hyuga-nada region, SW Japan (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Improvement of a seismicity model based on rate-and-state friction
law: mixture with the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2015). Crustal deformation cycles associated with
the occurrence of megathrust earthquakes in subduction zones (in Japanese),
2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Sato, T.*,
Higuchi, H., Miyauchi, T., Endo, K., Tsumura, N., Ito, T., Noda, A. and
Matsu’ura, M. (2015). The source model of the 1703 Genroku Earthquake and the
recurrence interval of large earthquakes along the Sagami Trough (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of seafloor geodetic observations after
the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake by afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Takahama, T., Ohba, M., Ito, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Afterslip
distribution of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake inferred from the sequential
inversion of GPS data using a viscoelastic model (in Japanese), 2015 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference
Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Poster) Fukahata, Y.*,
Nishimura, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Characteristics of far-field crustal
deformation following a megathrust earthquake due to viscoelastic stress
relaxation (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Earthquake Swarms
Rates in Izu East Region modulated by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Kato, A.*,
Nakagawa, S., Igarashi, T., Kumazawa, T. and Hirata, N. (2015). New insights
into spatial-temporal evolution of seismicity provided from matched filter
technique, 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 28 October 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Foreshock Discrimination with Probability Density Ratio
Estimation and its Implementation for Short-term Forecast (in Japanese), 2015
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecasting
aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog 2 (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center,
Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)
12-16
September 2015 2015
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs,
Palm Springs, California, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2015 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster) Strader, A.E.*,
Tsuruoka, H., Hirata, N., Ogata, Y., Schorlemmer, D. and Jackson, D.D. (2015). Resolving Stress
Singularities: a Rate-and-State Japan Earthquake Forecast, 2015 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Aftershock
forecasting by using the Hi-net automatic hypocenter catalog in Japan, 2015
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster)
6-9
September 2015 2015
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University,
Okayama City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detection of spatial varations of earthquake clustering
characteristics via weighted likelihood estimators, 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September
2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Project
Researcher of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Long-term earthquake prediction in and around Japan by a hierarchical
Bayesian space-time point process model (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura,
K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting the Earthquake Swarms
Rates in Izu Region by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 9 September
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Short-term earthquake forecast model with logistic
discrimation of foreshocks (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)
10-16
August 2015 9th
ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2015).
Features of the earthquake source process simulated by Vere-Jones' branching
crack model, 9th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation)
International Workshop, Sofis Jinyuan Hotel, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 10
August 2015. (Oral)
2-7 August
2015 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre, Singapore. Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof.
of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Evaluation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability with
time-dependent smoothness constraint, Asia Oceania Geoscience Society(AOGS)
12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre,
Singapore, 7 Aug 2015. (Poster)
13-17 July
2015 2015 International Workshop on
Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling
and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2015), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, 2015
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on
Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2015),
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July
2015. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2015).
Point process modelling: Tutorial with some topics in statistical seismology,
2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from
Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and
Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data
(CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture) Prof. Zhou, Shiyong （Prof. of School of Earth and
Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Zhou, S. (2015).
Earthquake hazard prediction based on seismicity smulation, 2015
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on
Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2015),
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July
2015. (Invited lecture)
14-18 June 2015 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am
Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via
maximum weighted likelihoods estimates, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany,
15 June 2015. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Hidden Markov Modeling of
Sparse Time Series from Non-volcanic Tremor observations, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2015). An improved ETAS model for inverting the
rupture geometry from seismicity triggerring, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam,
Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster) Zechar, J.D.*,
Rierola, M. and Zhuang, J. (2015). A parimutuel gambling perspective to
compare probabilistic seismicity forecasts and deterministic eartquake
predictions, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9),
Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster) Falcone, G.*,
Murru, M., Console, R., Marzocchi. W. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Retrospective
forecast of ETAS model with daily parameters estimate, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Reviews on the pre- and post-seismicity of the Tohoku-Oki
mega-earthquake, and future long-term forecasts, 9th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam,
Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: TSEIS –
ETAS module implementation, 9th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June
2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Development of a Bayesian method to estimate a fault slip distribution
of a large earthquake from the spatial aftershock distribution and rate- and
state friction law: inclusion of information on magnitude as a prior
distribution, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015.
(Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting
changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Wang, Min-Zhen （Project
Researcher of ISM） Wang, M.* and
Zhuang, J. (2015). On the focal mechanism distributions of background
seismicity and triggered seismicity in the Japan region, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster)
Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Toward
automatic aftershock forecasting in Japan, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam,
Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term
earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster)
9-12 June 2015 Spatial Statistics:
Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, Spatial
Statistics: Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France, 12
June 2015. (Oral)
24-28 May 2015 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via
maximum weighted likelihoods estimates, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.,
Enescu, B.*, Woessner, J. and Wiemer, S. (2015). Randomness of megathrust
earthquakes implied by rapid stress recovery after the 2011 Tohoku-oki
earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Forecasting seismicity after the Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of Community
Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Inference of a slip distribution from aftershock data and friction
law: a Bayesian model with a
prior of magnitude (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2015.
(Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.
(2015). Interpretation of multiple earthquake cycles based on the slip- and
time-dependent fault constitutive law (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Miyauchi, T., Sato, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Modeling and simulation for
the development of Holocene marine terraces in the Boso peninsula (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Characteristics of island arc deformation due to
steady plate subduction (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2015.
(Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting
changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2015). Real-time Classifier of Foreshocks Using Probability Density Ratio
Estimation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecast uncertainty in aftershock
forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term
earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data, Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Statistical Analysis of ULF
Seismo-Magnetic Phenomena in Kanto, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan,26 May
2015. (Oral)
24 March
2015 Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2015).
Statistical models to describe the spatio-temporal patterns of earthquakes:
Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model and related models,
School/Workshop on Fluctuations, Slow Dynamics and Internal Time in Complex
Critical Systems, Geibunkan, Kurashiki City, Okayama, 24 March 2015 (invited
lecture).
17 March
2015 Workshop on
simulation visualization in data assimilation, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Visualization of seismic activity through statistical models (in
Japanese), Workshop on simulation visualization in data assimilation,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March
2015. (Invited lecture)
13-14
March 2015 2015 Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied
Statistics, Shiran
Kaikan Inamori Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan. Dr.
Wang, Min-Zhen （Project
Researcher of ISM） Wang, M.*,
Zhuang, J., Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2015). Determining actual nodal planes
and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake angles, 2015
Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied Statistics, Shiran Kaikan Inamori
Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan, 14 January 2015. (Poster)
13-15
January 2015 Hokudan 2015
International Symposium on Active Faulting,
Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial variation on earthquake interevent time
distribution in Japan, Hokudan 2015 International Symposium on Active
Faulting, Awaji Yumebutai International Conference Center, Awaji City, Japan,
15 January 2015. (Invited lecture)
15-19 December 2014 2014
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Foreshock probabilities and the Båth law under the ETAS model, 2014
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Oral) Falcone, G.*,
Murru, M., Zhuang, J. and Console, R. (2014). Short-term earthquake
probabilities during the L' Aquila earthquake sequence in central Italy, 2009,
2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Comparing foreshock characteristics and foreshock forecasting in
observed and simulated earthquake catalogs, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2014. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2014). Real-time foreshock probability forecasting experiments in Japan,
Southern California and whole globe, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2014. (Poster). Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Yagi, Y.*,
Okuwaki, R., Enescu, B. and Hirano, S. (2014). Rupture process of the 2014
Iquique Chile Earthquake in relation with the foreshock activity, 2014 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2014). Estimation of completeness magnitude with a Bayesian modeling of
daily and weekly variations in earthquake detectability, 2014 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
19 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting
offshore swarm rate changes by volumetric strain changes in Izu Peninsula,
Japan, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal model for repeating
earthquakes and slow slip before and after the major earthquakes in the northeastern
Japan subduction zone, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster)
Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Can we forecast 1-month span aftershock
activity from the first day data after the main shock?, 2014 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
16 December 2014. (Poster)
2-5 December 2014 5th Symposium on Polar Science, National
Institute of Polar Research(NIPR), Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.* and
Kanao, M. (2014). The annual variation in teleseismic detection capability at
Syowa Station, Antarctica: a statistical analysis including the effect of air
temperature, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 3 December 2014. (Oral)
24-26 November 2014 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, D. and Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching
crack model and earthquake source process, 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 26 November 2014. (Oral) Wang, M.,
Zhuang, J.*, Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2014). Determining the actual nodal
plane and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake, 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata
Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster) Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2014).
Inverting rupture geometry from triggering, 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), 2014 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention
Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral) Tsuruoka, H.* and
Ogata, Y. (2014). Implementation of ETAS functions to Tools for Seismicity
(TSEIS) (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November
2014. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2014). Fluid-driven seismicity
activation in Northern Nagano Region after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki
Earthquake (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November
2014. (Oral) Okada, C.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2014). Remotely triggered seismicity in Kyushu
Region, Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November
2014. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2014). Weekly variation in earthquake detection capability and completeness
magnitude in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2014). Tectonics of the south Kanto region and potential
interplate earthquakes (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan,
24 November 2014. (Oral) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu’ura, M. (2014). Essential causes of island arc deformation due to
steady plate subduction (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan,
24 November 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Prediction of the
background seismicity rate for the earthquake swarm activities
in Izu region (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24
November 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal process model for
repeating earthquakes and slow slip in the northeastern Japan subduction zone
(in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 26 November 2014.
(Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Sawazaki, K., Aihara, K. and Enescu, B. (2014). Forecasting
aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center,
Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral)
20-23
October 2014 2014 Annual Meeting of Chainese Union of
GeoScience, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China.
Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, D. and Matsuura, M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching
cracking model and the earthquake source process, 2014 Annual Meeting of
Chainese Union of GeoScience, Beijing International Convention Center,
Beijing, China, 21 October 2014. (Invited lecture)
13-16
September 2014 2014
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of
Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2014).
Semi-critical mode of marked Hawkes processes, 2014 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 September 2014.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.* and
Tanaka, U. (2014). Searching for locations of parents from superposed
clusters (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University
of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura,
K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating background seismicity by a
regression model from crustal deformation: Forecasting earthquake swarms in volcanic
regions (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of
Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2014). Estimation of spatial distribution for aperiodicity of
recurrence intervals on active faults in Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September
2014. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian approach for probabilistic
forecasting of aftershock activity (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 15 September 2014.
(Oral)
7-10
September 2014 2014
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs,
Palm Springs, California, U.S.A.. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wan, D. and Matsuura M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching
crack model and earthquake source process, 2014 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project
Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo）
Ogata, Y.
(2014). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2014 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Tsuruoka, H. and
Ogata, Y.* (2014). OEF and CSEP in Japan, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next
Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models
(by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual
Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September
2014. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2014). Panel Discussion for ComCat Overview and Real-Time DATA, SCEC
CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake
Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Panel Discussion) Dr. Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, Y., Maeda, K., and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting
Offshore Swarm Rate Changes by Volumetric Strain Changes in Izu Peninsula,
Japan, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting,
Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.
(Poster) Dr. Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of
Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2014). Space-time Renewal Model for Repeating Earthquakes and Slip-rate
History in the Northeastern Japan Subduction Zone, 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Dr. Omi, Takahiro （Research Fellowship of Institute of
Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian forecasting of aftershocks by
ETAS model, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting,
Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.
(Poster) Omi, T. (2014).
Immediate aftershock forecasting after a strong earthquake, SCEC
CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake
Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Invited lecture)
1
September 2014 Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2014).
A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), ERI Seismic
Activity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo,
Japan, 1 September 2014. (Seminar)
24-29
August 2014 Second
European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Varini*, E. and Ogata,
Y. (2014). Statistical modelling for identificaion of earthquake clusters,
Second European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Istanbul
Convention & Exhibition Centre, Istanbul, Turkey, 24-29 August 2014.
(Poster)
28-31 July
2014 2014 International
Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning
and Engineering perspectives(STM2014) and Workshop on Complex systems
Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2014), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Modeling of temporal and spatial non-homogeneity for space-time
earthquake databases, 2014 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal
Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering
perspectives(STM2014) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation
Challenges in big data(CSM2014), Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 29 July 2014. (Invited lecture)
28 July –
1 August 2014 Asia
Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo Hotel,
Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2014). Real-time classifier of foreshocks using kernel logistic regression,
Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo
Hotel, Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan, 30 July 2014. (Invited lecture)
8-11 June
2014 Varenna Workshop on
Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making, Villa
Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Evaluating earthquake predictions by using the gambling score,
Varenna Workshop on Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making,
Villa Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy, 8-11 June 2014. (Poster)
28 April-2 May 2014 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA,
Yokohama City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Zhou, S. (2014). Modelling the effect of fault geometry on earthquake
triggering, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama
City, Japan, 2 May 2014. (Oral) Guo, Y, Zhuang,
J.* and Wang, D. (2014). Similar Characteristics between the earthquake
source process and Vere-Jones' Branching model, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 28 April 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Foreshocks and short-term forecasting: comparisons between real
seismicity and synthetic catalogs, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO
YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 2 May 2014. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating
earthquake swarms in volcanic regions (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 1 May 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and
Fukahata, Y. (2014). Tectonic stress fields in subduction zones governed by
frictional strength of plate interfaces (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2013. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Sequential inversion of GPS time series data to
estimate spatiotemporal change in interplate coupling (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30
April 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Visiting Researcher of ISM） Iwata, T. and
Kanao, M. (2014). The annual variation in the teleseismic detection
capability at Syowa Station, Antarctica, (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2014.
(Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2014). Spatial Variation on Recurrence-time Distribution of
Paleoearthquakes and Its Influence for Long-term Forecast (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan,
29 April 2014. (Oral)
27 April-2
May 2014 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center
Vienna, Vienna, Austria. Dr. Omi, Takahiro （Research Fellowship of Institute of
Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Adaptive forecasting of aftershock
activity after the main shock, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General
Assembly 2014, Austria Center Vienna,
Vienna, Austria, 28 April 2014. (Oral)
17-19
March 2014 統計数理研究所研究会,
神経科学と統計科学の対話4,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Statistical inference and simulations for temporal point processes,
“Dialogue Between Neuroscience and Statistical Science 4”, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March 2014. (Invited
lecture)
9-13 December 2013 2013
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Separating triggered and
stress-change induced seismcity, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2013. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Chao, K., Obara, K., Peng, Z., Matsuzawa, T. and Yagi, Y. (2013). Remote Love
Wave Triggering of Tremor in the Nankai Subduction Zone: New Observations and
Dynamic Stress Modeling, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). Synchronous b-value change and crustal deformation following
the 2007 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japan, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December
2013. (Poster)
12-15
November 2013 3rd
International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical Modelling, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time foreshock forecasts and their evaluations, poster
presentation, The 3rd International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical
Modelling, Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo,
Japan, 12-15 November 2013. (Poster)
8-10
November 2013 Ishigaki
International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices, and
Education in the 21st Century, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Criticality and Branching Ratios of a Type of Branching Models,
Ishigaki International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices,
and Education in the 21st Century, ANA InterContinental Ishigaki Resort,
Ishigaki-Shi, Okinawa, Japan, 9 November 2013. (Oral)
7-9
October 2013 2013
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa
Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time probability discrimination of foreshock-type earthquakes
(in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8
October 2013. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Forecasting aftershocks after the main
shock by using the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade
Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). The temporal variation in the b-value of the aftershock sequence of
the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade
Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*,
Noda, A and Terakawa, T. (2013). Strength of plate interfaces and tectonic
stress fields in subduction zones (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade
Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Non-stationary ETAS models for nonstandard earthquake
occurrences (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City,
Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster)
19
September 2013 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Foreshock phenomena and the Båth law implied by generic earthquake
clustering, ERI Seismicity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University
of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 19 September 2013. (Seminar)
8-11
September 2013 2013
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University
Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Criticality of a continuous-type branching process: application to
earthquake clustering models, 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Foreshocks forecasting by statistical discrimination of earthquake
clusters (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). A state-space modeling for forecasting
early aftershock probability from incompletely detected real-time occurrence
data (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University
Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A Bayesian analysis of temporal variation in earthquake detection
capability (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). The non-stationary ETAS model and its application to
the seismicity anomalies induced by the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese),
2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus,
Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2013). Non-stationary renewal model for repeating
earthquakes (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)
11-15 August 2013 8th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Test seismicity anomalies by using the ETAS model as null hypothesis,
8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Kato, T. and Bebbington, M. (2013). Assessing the potential
improvement in short-term earthquake forecasts from incorporation of GPS
data, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13August 2013. (Oral) Jia, K.*, Zhou,
S., Zhuang, J. and Jiang, C. (2013). Is the 2013 Lushan Ms 7.0 earthquake an
aftershock of the 2008 Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake on Longmenshan fault,
Sichuan, China?, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Zöller, G.*,
Holschneider, M., Hainzl, S. and Zhuang, J. (2013). What can be learned from
earthquake catalogs about the largest expected magnitudes?, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 14 August 2013. (Invited lecture) Zechar, J.D.*,
Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2013). Community
Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 14 August 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 10 August 2013. (Pre-Workshop Tutorial) Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time foreshock discrimination, 8th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13
August 2013. (Invited lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating the statistical models of
earthquake occurrences from the data of incompletely detected earthquakes,
8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A Bayesian approach to estimate the periodic change in earthquake
detection capability and its applications to JMA catalogue, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 13 August 2013. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 12 August 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating
earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on the upper surface of the subducting
Pacific Plate, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 12 August 2013. (Oral)
19-24 May 2013 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Console, R., Murru, M. and Falcone, G. (2013). Short-term earthquake
forecasting experiment before and during the L'Aquila seismic sequence of
April 2009, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Sawazaki, K.*
and Enescu, B. (2013). High-frequency seismogram envelope synthesis of early
aftershock sequences (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013.
(Oral) Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2013). Triggered seismicity in Northern
Nagano region at short times after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Research towards practical earthquake forecasting (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Invited lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating statistical models of seismicity
under incomplete detection of earthquakes (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2013).
A numerical simulation of an aftershock activity with the rate-and-state
friction model and secondary aftershock effect (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2013). Geological meaning of residual velocity fields in GPS
strain data inversion (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2013.
(Oral) Noda, A.*,
Sagiya, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2013). A direct method for estimating the rigid
body motion of crustal blocks from GPS velocity data (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2013. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*, Ogata,
Y. Nadeau, R.M. and Uchida, N. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for
repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Nomura, S.*,
Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating
earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Poster)
7-8 May
2013 SCEC/CSEP Workshop on
Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). History-dependent
magnitude forecast by statistical discrimination of foreshocks, SCEC/CSEP
Workshop on Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Davidson Conference Center,
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, U.S.A., 7 May 2013.
(Invited lecture)
7-12 April
2013 European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna,
Austria. Dr. Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center
Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 9 April 2013. (Oral)
22-25
January 2013 Second International
CORSSA(the Community Online Resource for Statistical
Seismicity Analysis) Workshop,
Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2013). A prospect of
earthquake prediction research, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2013).
Daily and seasonal variations in earthquake detection capability:
quantitative evaluation through Bayesian approach, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and
Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki
earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 24 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
3-7 December 2012 2012
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.*,
Meghraoui, M., Tsutsumi, H., Ferry, M., Haraguchi, T., Mechernich, S. and
Okumura, K. (2012). The 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake, its seismic cycle,
and postseismic hazard viewed from onshore geologic and geomorphic
investigations, 2012 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 7 December 2012. (Invited lecture)
16-19 October 2012 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City,
Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Testing significance of earthquake precursors against earthquake
clustering models, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Ting Wang*,
Zhuang, J., Kato, T. (2012). Exploratory analysis of earthquake precursory
information in GPS measurements, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October
2012. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Prospective forecasts and retrospective analysis of triggered
seismicity (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2012). Real-time estimation of the detection
rate of earthquakes, and its application to forecasting of aftershock hazard
(in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2012). The seasonal variation in detection capability
of earthquakes in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City,
Japan, 18 October 2012. (Poster) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Maeda, S. * and
Toda, S. (2012). Relationship between high background seismicity and geologic
structure in the northwestern Kii Peninsula (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City,
Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2012). Representation of displacement fields in the path
integral of strains (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October
2012. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Kawasato, T., Ohba, M., Watanabe, T., Tajima, R., Sawaii, A. and Matsu'ura,
M. (2012). Spatiotemporal variation of slip-deficit rates at the North
American-Pacific plate interface off Tohoku inferred from GPS strain data
inversion (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2012). Seismicity Anomalies Estimated by Non-Stationary ETAS
Models (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral)
9-12
September 2012 2012
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido
University, Sapporo City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2012).
On the criticality of a type of branching processes, 2012 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 10 September
2012. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and
Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting seismicity anomalies with nonstationary ETAS
model (in Japanese), 2012 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido
University, Sapporo City, Japan, 11 September 2012. (Oral)
9-12
September 2012 2012
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton
Palm Springs Resort, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*, Ogata,
Y. and Nadeau, R.M. (2012). Space-Time Model and Analysis of Repeating
Earthquakes in Parkfield Segment, 2012 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake
Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs Resort, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A.,
9-12 September 2012. (Poster)
16 August
2012 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Space-time point-process models for earthquake occurrences:Residual
analysis and stochastic reconstruction, NUS seminar, National University of
Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 16 August 2012. (Seminar) 13-17
August 2012 AOGS –
AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World Convention Centre,
Singapore, Republic of Singapore. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Harte, D. and Werner, M. (2012). On the Criticality of Branching Models for
Earthquake Occurrences, AOGS – AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World
Convention Centre, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 17 August 2012. (Oral) Siew, H.–Y. and Zhuang,
J.* (2012). Semiparametric Estimation for Modulated Renewal Processes, AOGS –
AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, Resorts World Convention Centre, Singapore,
Republic of Singapore, 15 August 2012. (Poster)
2-4 July
2012 2nd Institute of
Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba
International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). First-and Second-order Residual Analysis of Spatiotemporal Point
Processes and Applications In Model Evaluation, 2nd Institute of Mathematical
Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 3 July 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Residual Analysis in Statistical Seismology and Discovering
Seismicity Anomalies, 2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim
Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 3 July 2012. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2012). Space-Time Model for Repeating Earthquakes, 2nd Institute of
Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 2-4
July 2012. (Poster)
6-7 June
2012 SCEC CSEP Workshop:
Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM)
Experiment and Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Scoring Annual Earthquake Predictions in China, SCEC CSEP Workshop:
Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM)
Experiment and the Future of Earthquake Forecasting, Rancho Las Palmas Resort,
Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A., 7 June 2012. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Some Issues and Proposals for Operational Space-Time Forecasting and
Their Evaluations, SCEC CSEP Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional
Earthquake Likelihood Models(RELM) Experiment and the Future of Earthquake
Forecasting, Rancho Las Palmas Resort, Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A., 6 June
2012. (Invited lecture)
20-25 May 2012 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Long-term earthquake forecasts based on the ETAS model for short-term
clustering, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Long-term probability forecast of the regional seismicity that was induced
by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 20 May
2012. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project
Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2012).
The influence of the daily variation of the detection capability on the
completeness magnitude (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2012.
(Oral) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S. (2012).
Temporal decays of induced inland earthquakes associated with the 2011 M=9.0
Tohokuoki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2012. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.
(2012). The 2011 Megathrust earthquake off Northeast Japan and multiple
earthquake cycles in subduction zones (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2012). The modified ETAS analysis on earthquake swarms induced
by the Tohoku earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2012.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2012). Bayesian forecast with uncertain occurrence data in a BPT
renewal process (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2012. (Oral)
22 March 2012 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). ベイズ統計の最前線, 2011年度学術交流会講演 (in Japanese),
The Graduate University for Advanced Studies[SOKENDAI], Hayama, Kanagawa,
Japan, 22 March 2012. (Invited lecture)
11-14
March 2012 International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2012). Delaunay-based
Bayesian seismicity models: Introduction to a program package, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). On the criticality of branching models for earthquake occurrences, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2012).
Daily variation of the detection capability of earthquake and its influence
on the completeness magnitude, International
symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for
earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City,
Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S. (2012).
Widespread seismicity excitation and seismic shadow following the 2011 M=9.0
Tohoku, Japan, earthquake and its implications for seismic hazard, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 12 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.
(2012). Systematic errors in the inversion analysis of GPS array data to
estimate interseismic slip-deficit rates at plate interfaces, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Kumazawa,
Takao
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa, T.* and
Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting misfits of the ETAS for seismicity anomalies, International symposium on statistical
modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012.
(Invited lecture) Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Nadeau, R. (2012). Space-time models of repeating earthquakes
in Parkfield segment, International
symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for
earthquakes, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City,
Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012. (Invited lecture)
1 March 2012 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Modeling of earthquake occurrence for predicting
seismic activity and discovering seismicity anomalies, ESF-JSPS
Frontier Science Conference Series for Young Researchers, The Four Seasons
Hotel Tokyo at Chinzan-so, Tokyo, Japan, 1 March 2012. (Invited lecture)
4-9 December 2011 2011
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Testing significance of earthquake precursors: Against complete
randomness? Or against earthquake clustering models?, 2011 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 7
December 2011. (Oral) Zechar, J.D.*,
Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and
Zhuang, J. (2011). CORSSA: Community Online Resource for Statistical
Seismicity Analysis, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2011). Detection capability of global earthquakes influenced by large
intermediate-depth and deep earthquakes, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December
2011. (Poster) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.*, Stein,
R.S. and Lin, J. (2011). Widespread seismicity excitation following the 2011
M=9.0 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake and its implications for seismic hazard, 2011
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 8 December 2011. (Oral) Hirose, S.*,
Toda, S. and Lin, J. (2011). Effect of static stress shadow on seismicity
associated with the 2011 M=9.0 great Tohoku, Japan, earthquake, 2011 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco,
U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Poster) Stein, R.S.*,
Toda, S., Sevilgen, V., Lin, J. and Barrientos, S.E. (2011). The hazard posed
by large damaging aftershocks of megathrust megaquakes: Insights from
Sumatra, Maule, and Tohoku, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 5 December 2011. (Oral) Lin, J.*, Toda,
S. and Stein, R.S. (2011). Using the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku earthquake to test the
Coulomb stress triggering
hypothesis and to calculate faults brought closer to failure, 2011 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2011. (Oral) Enescu, B.*,
Obara, K., Chao, K., Peng, Z., Aoi, S., Toda, S. and Takeda, T. (2011). Dynamic Versus Static Triggering of
Earthquake and Tremor in South-western Japan, Associated With the 2011 Tohoku
Earthquake, 2011 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2011. (Oral)
27 October 2011 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). Diagnosis of seismic anomalies and stress changes: Case studies from
the recent earthquakes in and around Japan, Workshop on Statistical and
Physical Modelling of Earthquake Processes, GNS Science, Avalon, Lower Hutt,
New Zealand, 27 October 2011. (Invited lecture) 26 October 2011 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). The M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake and statistical seismology, Seminar
series in honour of David Vere-Jones, Waikanae, New Zealand, 26 October 2011.
(Invited lecture)
12-15
October 2011 2011
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). Aseismic slips assumed for the relative quiescence and activation and
for the transient anomalies of the geodetic time series of distances between
GPS stations (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka
City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2011). Tohoku earthquake: foreshocks, aftershocks and triggered activities
and quiescence for long-term seismic activity in and around Japan (in
Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14
October 2011. (Oral) Ogata, Y.* and
Katsura, K. (2011). Operational probability foreshock forecasts up until the
M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center
"GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011. (Poster) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Long-term probability forecasts based on background seismicity, 2011
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention &
Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011.
(Oral) Nanjo, K.*,
Hori. T. and Zhuang, J. (2011). Toward better estimation of crustal stress
condition in Japan: A brief introduction, 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP",
Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2011). The spatial slip distribution of the 2011 off
the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake estimated from its aftershock
distribution and the rate-and-state friction law (in Japanese),
2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention
& Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October
2011. (Oral) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S. (2011).
Heterogeneity of regional stress and structure
in crust found after the 2011 Ｍ=9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese),
2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention
& Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October
2011. (Oral) Toda, S.*,
Tsutsumi, H., Omata, M. and Kohriya, Y. (2011). Surface rupture and active structures associated with the April 11,
2011 M70 Iwaki earthquake triggered by the M=9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in
Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13
October 2011. (Oral) Fukushima, Y*,
Takada, Y., Hashimoto, M. Toda, S. and Tsutsumi, H (2011). Surface rupture and fault model of the 11 Apr.
2011 Iwaki earthquake (Mw=6.6) (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center
"GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Hirose, S.* and
Toda, S. (2011). Static stress shadow on
seismicity associated with the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan, earthquake (in
Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14
October 2011. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Inelastic Deformation of
Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate Earthquakes: Background
Tectonic Stress Fields (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP",
Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Terakawa, T.*,
Hashimoto, C., Ogata, Y. and Matsu'ura, M. (2011). Mechanism Driving lnduced
Seismic Sequences After the 2011 0ff the PacifIc Coast of Tohoku Earthquake
(in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City,
Japan, 12 October 2011. (Oral) Kumazawa,
Takao
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2011). Estimating misfits of the ETAS for seismicity anomalies
(in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City,
Japan, 13 October 2011. (Oral) Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y.
(2011). Space-time structure of repeating microearthquakes at Parkfield (in
Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka
Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13
October 2011. (Oral)
3-5 October 2011 CSEP(Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) Workshop, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Towards dynamic earthquake hazard models: Real time probability
forecasts + Early warning + Attenuation models + Cite-condition database, CSEP(Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake
Predictability) Workshop, ETH Zurich,
Zurich,
Switzerland, 3 October 2011. (Oral)
24-29 September 2011 European Science Foundation(ESF)
Research Conferences “Continuing Challenges in Earthquake Dynamics: New Methods for Observing
and Modelling a Multi-Scale System”, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Foreshocks and the Bath law explained by earthquake clustering
models, European Science Foundation(ESF) Research
Conferences “Continuing Challenges in
Earthquake Dynamics: New Methods for Observing and Modelling a Multi-Scale
System”,
Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 28
September 2011. (Oral)
4-7 September 2011 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu
University, Fukuoka City, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). 東北地方太平洋沖地震と統計地震学 (in
Japanese), 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University,
Fukuoka City, Japan, 5 September 2011. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J
(2011). Next-day earthquake forecasts for the Japan region generated by using
a statistical model, 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu
University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 7 September 2011. Tanaka,
Ushio （Research
Fellow of Rikkyo University Center for Statistics and Information / Visiting
Researcher of the ISM） Tanaka, U.
(2011). Remark on the Palm intensity of Neyman-Scott cluster processes, 2011
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 7
September 2011. Yamaguchi, K.*,
Kanazawa, Y. and Tanaka, U. (2011). 立教大学における統計関連科目のe-learning
展開とその教育成果について (in
Japanese), 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyushu University,
Fukuoka City, Japan, 7 September 2011.
8-12 August 2011 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th
Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan.
Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). Seismic and geodetic anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal
region: Applications of the ETAS model, Asia Oceania Geosciences
Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center,
Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. and
Nanjo, K.Z.* (2011). Next-day Earthquake Forecasts Generated by the ETAS
Model, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International
Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011. (Invited lecture) Siew, H.–Y.* and
Zhuang, J. (2011). Modulated Renewal Models for Inter-event Times of
Earthquakes, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting,
Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 August 2011.
(Oral)
29 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Gambling scores and evaluation of the performance of earthquake
predictions, GNS Sciences, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, 29 July 2011.
(Seminar) 27 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate Prof.
of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Testing earthquake precursors: Against complete randomness? Or
against clustering models, Seminar series in honour of David Vere-Jones,
Waikanae, New Zealand, 27 July 2011. (Seminar) 15 July 2011 Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2011). Stochastic reconstruction for spatiotemporal branching processes,
School of Mathematics, Statistics, and Operational Researches, Victoria
University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, 15 July 2011.
(Seminar)
25-27 May 2011 7th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference
Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2011). Anomalous seismic activities before and after the M9 Tohoku-oki
Earthquake, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7),
Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25 May 2011. (Invited
lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2011). Prospective foreshock forecasting experiment during the last 17
years, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7),
Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011.
(Poster) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Marzocchi, W. (2011). Foreshock phenomena and
the Båth law implied by generic earthquake clustering, 7th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center,
Thera (Santorini), Greece, 26 May 2011. (Invited lecture) Zechar, J.D.*,
Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2011). CORSSA:
Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis - Status & Outlook - Discussion, 7th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos
Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 26 May 2011. (Invited lecture) Kumazawa,
Takao
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2011). Smoothing for the nonstationarity with ETAS clustering,
7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos
Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda
University） Iwata, T.
(2011). The estimation of a slip
distribution of the 2011 off the
Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake (Mw=9.0) based on the spatial distribution
of its aftershocks and rate- and state friction law, 7th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei7), Nomikos Conference Center,
Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25 May 2011. (Invited lecture)
22-27 May 2011 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Inelastic Deformation of
Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate Earthquakes: Basic Ideas (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2011. (Oral) Matsu'ura, M.
(2011). Barriers to Progress in Earthquake Science: The 2011
"Unexplainable" Super-Gigantic Earthquake (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2011. (Invited lecture (Union Session U-23 “The
great Tohoku earthquake: Actions that the Japanese earth and planetary
sciences community should take”))
13-15 April 2011 Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011
Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A.. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Nanjo, K.Z.*,
Tsuruoka, H., Schorlemmer, D., Falcone, G., Hirata, N., Ishigaki, Y., Jordan,
T.H., Kasahara, K., Obara, K., Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Yokoi, S. and Zhuang,
J. (2011). Recent progress of the CSEP earthquake forecast testing experiment
in Japan: Strategy and preliminary results of testing against the aftershock
sequence of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake,
Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A.,
14 April 2011. (Oral) Jordan, T.H.*,
Gerstenberger, M.C., Hirata, N., Jackson, D.D., Liukis, M., Maechling, P.J.,
Marzocchi, W., Nanjo, K.Z., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D.A., Schorlemmer, D.,
Zechar, J.D. (2011). Implications of Recent Events for CSEP Testing of
Earthquake Forecasts, Seismological Society of America(SSA) 2011 Annual
Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A., 15 April 2011. (Oral)
13-17 December 2010 2010
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2010). Operational foreshock forecasting: Fifteen years after, 2010 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center,
San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster) Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2010). Purposes and methods of scoring earthquake forecasts, 2010 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster) Marzocchi,
W.* and Zhuang, J. (2010). Foreshock
statistics in Italy, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16
December 2010. (Oral) Michael, A.J.*,
Wiemer, S., Zechar, J.D., Hardebeck, J.L., Naylor, M., Zhuang, J. and Steacy, S.
(2010). Building the Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity
Analysis (CORSSA), 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral) Wang, Qi*,
Jackson, D.D., Schoenberg, R. and
Zhuang, J. (2010).
Uncertainties of Parameter Estimates in Earthquake Clustering Models, 2010
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Sugaya, Katsunori （Project
Researcher of ISM） Sugaya,
K.*, Hiramatsu, Y., Furumoto, M., Katao, H. and Ogata,
Y. (2010). On the c-values of the off-fault aftershocks triggered by the 1995
Kobe earthquake, Japan, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December
2010. (Poster) Dr.
Chu, Annie （Project
Researcher of ISM） Chu, A.*, Ogata,
Y. and Katsura, K. (2010). An
Improved Statistical Solution for Global Seismicity by the HIST-ETAS
Approach, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Bansal, Abhey Ram （National
Geophysical Research Institute, Council of Scientific and Industrial Research
(NGRI, CSIR) (India)・Scientist
E1／Fellow of
the JSPS Invitation Fellowship Programs for Research in Japan (a long-term
program); Visiting Researcher of the ISM） Bansal, A.R.* and Ogata, Y.
(2010). Seismicity activation before the mega-earthquake of 26 December 2004
based on Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, 2010 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster) Nomura,
Shunichi
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y.
(2010). Bayesian forecasting of the recurrent earthquakes and its predictive
performance for a small sample size, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16
December 2010. (Oral) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S., Stein,
R.S. and Beroza, G.C. (2010). A Strong Stress Shadow Effect from the 1992
M=7.3 Landers, California, Earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15
December 2010. (Poster) Stein, R.S.,
Lin, J., Toda, S. and Barrientos, S.E. (2010). Strong static stress
interaction of the 1960 M=9.5 and 2010 M=8.8 Chile earthquakes and their
aftershocks, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Oral) Lin, J., Stein,
R.S., Sevilgen, V. and Toda, S. (2010). Stress interaction of strike-slip and
thrust faults associated with the 2010 M=7.0 Haiti earthquake, 2010 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center,
San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2010. (Oral) Hirose, S. and
Toda, S. (2010). Stress shadow effect found in recent seismic sequences
associated with Japan’s large earthquakes, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16
December 2010. (Oral) Maruyama, T.,
Toda, S., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y. and Mori, Y. (2010). Spatiotemporal variability in
surface rupturing behavior of thrust fault: Insights from paleoseismology for
the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco,
U.S.A., 13 December 2010. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Assistant Prof. of SILS, Waseda
University） Iwata, T.
(2010). An application of rate- and state-friction model to observed
aftershock sequences with logarithmical stress evolution in time, 2010 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Convention Center,
San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010. (Poster)
4-6
November 2010 Grant-in-Aid
for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium on Statistical Analysis
of Spatio-Temporal Data, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Prof. of
ISM） Ogata, Y. (2010).
Empirical Bayes estimation of the space-time ETAS model with
location-dependent parameters for forecasting seismic activity in a wide
geophysical region, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International
Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Conference Hall of
The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Kamakura City, Japan, 5
November 2010. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Assistant Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Ogata,
Y. (2010). Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium
on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Conference Hall of The
Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Kamakura City, Japan, 4 November
2010.
1-2
November 2010 ERI
Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan:
Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto
University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan. Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （ | |||
