Updated on 31 March 2020
Prof. Emeritus Ogata is organizing a special topic meeting for the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction. (November 2019)NEW!
Analyzing seismic patterns to forecast the magnitude of the largest earthquake aftershocks (1 December 2019) NEW!
Prof. Emeritus Ogata gave lecture at Department of Earth and Space Sciences,
Southern University of Science and Technology. (16-17 October 2019)
“High resolution inversions with Delaunay triangulation for effective seismicity forecast models” (Invited talk) and the following a tutorial lecture:
“Introduction to Statistical Seismology for Earthquake Prediction Research” NEW!
Prof. Emeritus Ogata
gave lecture at Institute of Theoretical and Application Geophysics, Peking
University. (11-14 October 2019)
“High resolution inversions with Delaunay triangulation for effective seismicity forecast models” (Invited talk), and the following two tutorial lectures:
“Introduction to Statistical Seismology”, “Toward probability forecasting of large earthquakes” NEW!
Shcherbakov, R., Zhuang, J., Zöller, G. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake,
on Nature communications. (6 September 2019) NEW!
Prof. Emeritus Ogata has organized a special topic meeting for the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction. (August 2019) NEW!
Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science (Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27 August 2019). (6 August 2019) NEW!
11th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei11) (The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Motohakone, Kanagawa, Japan, 18-21 August 2019). NEW!
[JPE Most viewed articles; Aug. 2018] The papers by Utsu et al. (1995) and Ogata (1983), published in Journal of Physics of the Earth, has been top 1st and 3rd most viewed articles in the release through J-stage since Apr. 30, 2009. (Utsu, T., Ogata, Y. and Matsu’ura, R.S., 1995, Vol.43, Issue1, pp.1-33.) (Ogata, Y., 1983, Vol.31, Issue2, pp.115-124.) (19 September 2018)
Awarded for the most loyal StatSei meetings attendee. (February 2017)
Special Issue on “Earthquake prediction and the statistical model” has been published in Proceedings of the Institute of the Statistical Mathematics, edited and written by our research group. (October 2015)
Number of citing papers of the ETAS point process model for seismic
activity (Ogata, 1988, JASA) has exceeded 1,000. (September 2015)
→Search “Ogata. Y.” in Google Scholar
Number of citing papers of the space-time ETAS point process model
(Ogata, 1998, AISM) has exceeded 500. (September 2015)
→Search “Ogata. Y.” in Google Scholar
We have proposed the method of real-time probability forecasting of aftershocks immediately after the main shock (joint with Aihara FIRST project at Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo). (July 2013)
A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research (November 2012)
Nikkei Newspaper. (23 April 2012) (Japanese)
Sankei Newspaper. (11 March 2012) (Japanese)
International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time
probability forecasting for earthquakes on the occasion of celebrating
Prof. Yosi Ogata's 40-year research career in statistical seismology (11-14 March 2012)
[Top50 citation of Tectonophysics 2005-2010 ] The paper by Prof. Ogata and Dr. Zhuang (Space-time ETAS models and an improved extension, Tectonophysics, Vol. 413, Issue 1-2, Pages 13-23.) has been one of the “Top-50 most cited articles” published in Tectonophysics 2005-2010. (29 November 2010)
Recently published papers (Updated on 3 December 2019)
Recent conference talks (Updated on 31 March 2020) UP!
My publications are roughly classified into 7 fields (allowing duplication of papers) as follows:
Updated on 31 March 2020 UP!
My curriculum vitae consists of:
Telephone : +81 50 5533 8500 (institute call)