Curriculum Vitae                                                                               

Yosihiko Ogata

Updated on 17 October 2017                                                                                        Japanese


Research interests


Membership

  • International Statistical Institute (elected)
  • Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
  • American Geophysical Union
  • the Statistical Society of Japan
  • the Seismological Society of Japan
  • Japan Geoscience Union

Employment

Current position

Project Researcher, Earthquake and Volcano Information Center, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo.
Professor Emeritus, the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (ISM), Tokyo.
Member, Statistical Seismology Research Group, R Research Center, the ISM.
Professor Emeritus, the Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI), Japan.

Previous employment

November 1973 - June 1984: Research Scientist, Institute of Statistical Mathematics (ISM).
July 1984 - March 1985: Principal Research Scientist of ISM.
April 1985 - June 1994: Associate Professor of ISM.
April 1989 - September 1994: Concurrent Associate Professor, Department of Statistics, SOKEN-DAI.
July 1994 - present: Professor of ISM.
October 1994 - present: Concurrent Professor, Department of Statistics, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences (-2004) / School of Multidisciplinary Sciences (2004-), SOKEN-DAI.
April 1998 - March 2000: Director of the Center for Development of Statistical Computing, ISM.
June 1999 - March 2004: Member of the Advisory Council for Research and Management, ISM.
April 2000 - March 2002: Director of Department of Statistical Methodology, ISM.
April 2002 - March 2003: Vice Dean, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, SOKEN-DAI.
April 2002 - March 2004: Council Member, the SOKEN-DAI.
April 2002 - March 2008: Director, Department of Statistical Science, School of Multidisciplinary Sciences, SOUKEN-DAI.
April 2004 - March 2012: Council Member, the ISM.
April 2004 - March 2010: Member of the Education and Research Council, SOKEN-DAI.
April 2005 - March 2012: Professor, Department of Modeling, the ISM.
June 2006 - December 2007: Selection Committee member of the President of the SOKEN-DAI Advanced Studies.
April 2008 - March 2010: Dean, School of Multidisciplinary Sciences, SOUKEN-DAI.
June 2008 - March 2010: Selection Committee member of the President of the SOKEN-DAI Advanced Studies.
April 2012 - : Professor Emeritus of the ISM and SOKEN-DAI.
April 2012 - March 2014: Visiting Professor, Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo (Collaborative Research Center for Innovative Mathematical Modeling).
June 2014 - : Project Researcher (Earthquake and Volcano Information Center) Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo.

Adjunct appointments

February 1978 - August 1978:

Visiting Lecturer at Mathematics Department, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand

August 1978 - November 1978:

Post-Doctoral Research Fellow at Statistics Department, Advanced Institute, Australian National University

December 1981 - February 1982:

Research Fellow, Statistics Department, Advanced Institute, Australian National University

March 1982 - April 1982:

Research Fellow, Institute of Statistics and Operations Research, Victoria University of Wellington

October 1984:

Visiting Fellow at the Geophysical Institute, State Seismological Bureau, Beijing, China

1986 - 1988:

Concurrent Lecturer, University of the Air, Japan

1986:

Concurrent Research Fellow, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo

November 1986 - December 1986:

Visiting Fellow, Seminar fur Statistik, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland

December 1986:

Visiting Fellow, Department of Mathematics, Mining Academy of Freiberg, G.D.R. (East Germany)

1986:

Concurrent Research Fellow, Geological Survey of Japan, Ministry of Commerce and Industry of Japan

1987:

Concurrent Research Fellow, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo

May 1987 - June 1987:

Visiting Research Fellow, Division of Mathematics and Statistics, CSIRO, Australia

March 1988 - May 1988:

Sabbatical leave supported by the Ministry of Education, Science and Culture: University of Durham and University of Strathclyde, UK; University of Copenhagen (the Statistical Research Unit and Department of Mathematics) and University of Aarhus, Denmark; University of Gothenburg, Sweden; Naval Postgraduate School at Monterey; US Geological Survey at Menlo Park; and Stanford University (Departments of Statistics and Geophysics), USA

1988:

Concurrent Lecturer at Geophysics Department, Graduate School, Kobe University, Japan

October 1988 - March 1990:

Concurrent Research Fellow of the National Disaster Prevention Research Center at Tsukuba, Japan, for the Project of the Science and Technology Agency of Japan entitled Earthquake Fracture and Wave Propagation in Inhomogeneous Structure of the Earth

1993:

Concurrent Lecturer at Geophysics Department, Graduate School, Kyoto University, Japan

1993 - 1995:

Concurrent Lecturer at Department of Science and Engineering, Graduate School, Keio University, Japan

December 1993:

Visiting Research Scientist, Division of Image Analysis the Center for Mathematics and Computer Science (CWI), Amsterdam, the Netherlands

January 1994:

Visiting Fellow at Division of Mathematics and Statistic, CSIRO, Australia

October 1994 - March 1995:

Concurrent Lecturer, Department of Mathematics, Graduate School, Tsukuba University, Japan

April 1994 - August 1994:

Concurrent Lecturer at Department of Science and Engineering, Graduate School, Keio University, Japan

July 1996:

Visiting Research Fellow at Institute of Statistics and Operations Research, Victoria University of Wellington

November 1998:

Visiting Fellow at Department of Statistic, Seoul National University, Korea

April 1999 - September 1999:

Concurrent Lecturer at Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan

May 2002 - June 2002:

Very Important Visitor, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.

September 2010 - October 2010:

Visiting Professor, School of Earth and Space Sciences, Department of Geophysics, Peking University, China.


Education

1964 - 1966:

Yamagata-Higashi High School, Yamagata-city, Japan

1967 - 1970:

Shizuoka University (mathematics, probability theory)

1971 - 1972:

Tokyo University of Education, Graduate School, Master Course (Mathematical Sciences)

March 1973:

Master of Science (probability theory, ergodic theory)Master thesis: Topics on the automorphisms in the probability space, under the supervision of Professor Gishiro Maruyama

April 1973 - November 1973:

Tokyo University of Education, Graduate School, Doctor Course (mathematical sciences)

July 1980:

Doctor of Engineering (statistics), Osaka University, Japan. Doctoral Thesis: Contributions to the statistical analysis of series of events by the likelihood procedure


Prize

September 2002: Japan Statistical Society Prize

May 2010: Korean Statistical Society 2010 IL-SONG lecture

November 2010: Top50 citation of Tectonophysics 2005-2010

 

 


Editorial positions

1983 - 95: Associate Editor,

Proceeding of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (in Japanese)

1987 - 95: Associate Editor,

International Statistical Review, the official journal of the International Statistical Institute (ISI)

1993 - 2000: Associate Editor,

BERNOULLI, the official journal of Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

1994 - 2011: Associate Editor,

Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

1995 - 2002: Associate Editor,

Journal of Statistical Planning & Inference

2000 - 2001: Editor,

Probability Statistics and Seismology: A Festschrift for Professor David Vere-Jones

2014 - 2015: Guest Editor,

Statistical Mathematics for the special issue of on “Earthquake Forecasting and Statistical Models”


Professional societies 

Domestic

1992:

Member, Organizing committee of US-Japan conference on Frontiers of Statistical Modeling, University of Kentucky, Knoxville, USA

1992 - 1993:

Council member, the Statistical Society of Japan

1992 - 1993:

Treasurer and secretary of general affairs, the Statistical Society of Japan

1993:

Member, Organizing committee of international conference on Bayesian Inference and its Applications, Fuji-Yoshida, Japan

1994 - 1995:

Council member, the Statistical Society of Japan

1996:

Member, External Review Committee for the special projects in the Research Center of Earthquake Prediction and other division of the National Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Science and Technology Agency

1996 - 2001:

Member, Committee of the Research Project on 'Prediction of the forth coming Great Earthquake at Nankai Trough' organized by the Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction, and sponsored by the Science and Technological Agency of Japan

1997 - 1998:

Member, Adhoc Committee for Earthquake Research (Probabilistic forecast of aftershocks), Administrative Office for Promotion of Earthquake Researches, The Prime Minister's Office, Japan

1997 - 2001:

Member, Adhoc Committee for Earthquake Research (Probabilistic forecast of large events on an active fault), Administrative Office for Promotion of Earthquake Researches, The Prime Minister's Office, Japan

1998:

Organizer of the special session at the Annual Meeting of the Statistical Society of Japan on "Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and Bayesian statistics

2001 - 2008:

Technical Researcher, the Science and Technology Foresight Center, National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sport, Science and Technology, Japan

2001 - 2009:

Special Member, Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Ministry of Land, Infrastracture and Transport, Japan

2009 - 2019:

Member, Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Ministry of Land, Infrastracture and Transport, Japan

2013 - 2018: 

Business collaborator and the committee chair of sub-project “the relationship of small and medium-sized earthquakes to developmental process of a large earthquake in the Tokyo metropolitan area” of the Ministry of Education project “Mitigation project of serious disaster vulnerability of urban cause”

2014 - 2019:

Research collaborator of subproject “Construction of a physical model of inland earthquakes of strike-slip type” of  the Ministry of Education project "Seismology and Volcanology research program to contribute to the mitigation of disaster" (Representative body, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University)

2014 - 2019:                                                                                                    

Research collaborator of subproject “Construction of crustal activity monitoring technique based on the return characteristics of repeating earthquakes” of  the Ministry of Education project "Seismology and Volcanology research program to contribute to the mitigation of disaster"

International

1990 - 1993:

Member, Committee for Statistics in the Physical Science of Bernoulli Society

1990 - 1993:

Member, Scientific program committee of Bernoulli Society for the 49th Session of the ISI at Firenze, Italy

1992:

Member, Organizing Committee of US-Japan Conference on Frontiers of Statistical Modeling: An Informational Approach, University of Kentucky, Knoxville, USA

1993:

Member, Organizing Committee of International Conference on Bayesian Inference and its Applications, Fuji-Yoshida, Japan

1993:

Organizer of the Invited topic meeting on Statistics in Earth Sciences for the 49th ISI Session in Firenze, Italy

1993 - 1995:

Member, Publications committee of the ISI

1994 - 1997:

Chairman, Scientific programme committee of Bernoulli Society for the 51st Session of the ISI, Istanbul, Turkey

1994 - 1997:

Member, Scientific programme coordinating committee of the ISI for the 51st Session of the ISI, Istanbul, Turkey

1995 - present:

Member, Committee for Statistics in the Physical Science, Bernoulli Society

1996:

Reviewer of the Belgian National Fund for Scientific Research

1996 - 1997:

Member of the International Advisory Committee of the International Conference on Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability(sponsored by the Indian Statistical Institute and co-sponsored by Bernoulli Society)

1995 - 1997:

Organizer of the conference on Point Processes; Models and Applications, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany

1996 - 1997:

Organizer of the session on 'Earthquake Modeling and Prediction', Conference on Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability, Indian Statistical Institute, India

1997:

Reviewer of Belgian National Fund for Scientific Research

1997 - 1999:

Member, Scientific Programme Committee of Conference on Statistics in Space, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Athen, Greek

1997 - 1999:

Chairman, the Organizing Committee of the 5th International Symposium of the Graduate University for Advanced Studies on "Strategies Toward Complex Systems", Shonan Village, Hayama, Japan

1998 - 1999:

Member, Scientific Programme Committee of the international symposium on Probability and Statistics and Their Applications, June 9-11 1999, Hanoi, Vietnam

1999 - 2001:

Member, Scientific Programme Committee of the international symposium on Statistics and Applications, June 26-30, 2001, Kuala Lumpur" under the auspices of the East Asian and Pacific Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society

1999 - 2001:

Member, The International Organizing Committee, The Second International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, 18-19th April, 2001

2002 - 2003:

Session organizer of the Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Juriquilla, Mexico

2002 - 2004:

Member, Scientific Program Committee of the Bernoulli Society World Congress and 2004 Meeting of Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Barcelona, Spain 

2004 - :

Member, ISI-Committee for Environmental Statistics

2006 - 2007:

Advisory Board of the 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Erice, Italy

2009 - 2010:

Program Committee of the AGU Chapman Conference on Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences, Hyderabad, India

2010 - 2011:

Organizing & Programming Committee member of the 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Thera (Santorini), Greece

2012 - 2013:

Advisory Committee member, The 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei8)), Peking University, Beijing, China

 


Recent conference talks

Schorlemmer, D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M., Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D., Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H., Yu, J. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Increasing Testability - Expanding Possibilities: Some CSEP future developments, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral)

Ogata, Y. (2017). Extensions of the self-exciting model and causality analysis for seismicity, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 24 October 2017. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2017). 3D spatial models for seismicity beneath greater Tokyo region, CSEP Workshop: Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2017). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquakes, CSEP Workshop: Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2017). On secular spatial seismicity, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster)

Ogata, Y. (2017). Delaunay triangulation for smoothing seismicity models, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term earthquake forecast model using foreshock discrimination and aftershock decay, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral)

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Monitoring of the Seismicity before and after the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake with Point Process Models, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral)

Matsu’ura, M.*, Nomura, S., Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2017). Reciprocal relationship between seismically estimated slip rates and geodetically estimated slip-deficit rates at plate interfaces: Physical interpretation and logical consequence, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe, Japan, 1 August 2017. (Oral)

Nomura, S*. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial distribution of coefficients of variation and Bayesian forecasts for recurrence intervals of earthquakes, 1st International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics (EcoSta 2017), The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited Lecture)

Zhuang, J.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Evaluation Methods of Earthquake Forecasts and earthquake predictions, International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017 - Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting - (IWEP4), Chiba University, Chiba, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Invited Lecture)

Han, P.*, Hattori, K., Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical modeling of earthquake temporal occurrences incorporating seismo-magnetic data, International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017 - Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting - (IWEP4), Chiba University, Chiba, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Oral).

Ogata, Y. (2017). HIST-ETAS models - revisited with emphasis on background seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union - American Geophysical Union Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Earthquake modeling incorporating non-seismic data, Japan Geoscience Union - American Geophysical Union Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term forecast by foreshock discrimination models using magnitude frequency and spatio-temporal features of seismic clusters, Japan Geoscience Union - American Geophysical Union Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y.* and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Aftershock analysis of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes (in Japanese), The 215-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 19 May 2017. (Oral)

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y.* (2017). BPT model forecast based on the recent paleoearthquake catalog (in Japanese), The 215-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 19 May 2017. (Oral)

Ogata, Y. (2017). Forecasting of a large earthquake – An outlook of the research, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 28 February 2017. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2017). Predicting seismic activity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Ogata, Y. (2017). Towards the implementation of the probability forecast of large earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Oral)

Shcherbakov, R.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). The Magnitude of the Extreme Aftershock, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 22 February 2017. (Oral)

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: XETAS, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Strader, A.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2017). Resolving Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Aftershock Forecast, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Statistical Monitoring of the Seismicity before and after the Kumamoto Earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Oral)

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Preliminary study of earthquake models incorporating seismo-electromagnetic data, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical Discrimination of Foreshocks and Real-time Mainshock Forecasting, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Poster)

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki K. and Aihara, K. (2017). Feasibility of automatic real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand., 21 February 2017. (Oral)

Ogata, Y. (2016). Probability forecasts based on multiple seismicity anomalies: Case of the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU) Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016).  Statistical Monitoring of the Seismic Activities before and after the Kumamoto Earthquakes, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU) Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2016. 

Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2016). An interdisciplinary approach for earthquake modelling and forecasting, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU) Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Real-time Mainshock Forecast by Statistical Discrimination of Foreshock Clusters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU) Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016.

Ogata, Y. (2016). On consecutive seismicity rate in Japanese inland (in Japanese), The 213-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 11 November 2016.

Ogata, Y.*, Tsuruoka, H., Omi, T., and Aihara, K. (2016). Seismic activity before and after the 2016 Central Tottori Prefecture earthquake  (in Japanese), The 213-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 11 November 2016.

Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). Models for seismic activity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 25 October 2016. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2016). Probability forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016.

Ishibe, T.*, Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Correlation between the co-seismic Coulomb stress changes and seismicity rate changes for three megathrust earthquakes (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kato, A. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical Analysis of the Earthquake Swarms following the Mie offshore Earthquake (M6.1) (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Main Shock Probability Forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake by Foreshock Discrimination Models (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.

Ogata, Y.*, Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). 3D spatial models for seismicity beneath Kanto region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

Ishibe, T.*, Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Testing the Coulomb stress triggering hypothesis for great subduction earthquakes using abundant focal mechanisms, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

Strader, A. E.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2016). Resolving Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Earthquake Forecast, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Some development on predicting earthquake swarms using volumetric strain records, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). A Bayesian prediction for active faults using spatial similarity of variation of recurence intervals (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Impact of automatic catalog quality on real-time aftershock forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.

Ogata, Y.*, Omi, T., Kumazawa, T., Nomura, S., Tsuruoka, H. and Aihara, K. (2016). Seismicity anomalies before and after the 2016 M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes, probability evaluations of the M7.3 earthquake, and aftershock forecasts (in Japanese), 211回地震予知連絡会重点検討課題「平成28年(2016年)熊本地震」(in Japanese), The 211-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 May 2016. (Invited lecture)

Kumazawa, T. Ogata, Y*. Kato, A. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical analysis of the swarm activity induced by the 2016 April earthquake of M6.1 at the southeast off the coast of the Mie Prefecture (in Japanese), The 211-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 May 2016.

Kumazawa, T. Ogata, Y*. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical monitoring of seismicity in Kyushu District before the occurrence of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes of M6.5 and M7.3 (in Japanese), The 211-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 May 2016.

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y*. (2016). Foreshock forecast probabilities of the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016 (in Japanese), The 211-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 May 2016.

Ogata, Y. (2016). Provisional calculations of the probability forecast of the Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake (in Japanese), The 211-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 May 2016.

Omi, T. Ogata, Y.*, Tsuruoka, H. and Aihara, K. (2016). Probability aftershock forecasting of the M6.5 and M7.3 Kumamoto earthquakes of 2016 (in Japanese), The 211-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 May 2016.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2016). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation and Bayesian Forecast for the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 19 April 2016.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Analysis of earthquake occurrence rates modulated by volcanic activities, ISI-ISM-ISSAS Joint Conference 2016, Institute of Statistical Science Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, 31 January 2016. (Invited (poster))

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Analysis of Changing Swarm Rate using Volumetric Strain, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),  Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14 December 2015.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation for the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2015.

Ogata, Y. (2015). Anomalies in space-time aftershock activity and their interpretations (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015.

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis Tool: XETAS (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Earthquake Swarms Rates in Izu East Region modulated by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Foreshock Discrimination with Probability Density Ratio Estimation and its Implementation for Short-term Forecast (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecasting aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog 2 (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015.

Ogata, Y. (2015). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2015 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015.

Strader, A.E.*, Tsuruoka, H., Hirata, N., Ogata, Y., Schorlemmer, D. and Jackson, D.D.  (2015). Resolving Stress Singularities: a Rate-and-State Japan Earthquake Forecast, 2015 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Aftershock forecasting by using the Hi-net automatic hypocenter catalog in Japan, 2015 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015.

Ogata, Y. (2015). Long-term earthquake prediction in and around Japan by a hierarchical Bayesian space-time point process model (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September 2015.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting the Earthquake Swarms Rates in Izu Region by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 9 September 2015.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Short-term earthquake forecast model with logistic discrimation of foreshocks (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 7 September 2015.

Ogata, Y. (2015). Point process modelling: Tutorial with some topics in statistical seismology,, 2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives (STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2015). Reviews on the pre- and post-seismicity of the Tohoku-Oki mega-earthquake, and future long-term forecasts, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture)

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: TSEIS – ETAS module implementation, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Toward automatic aftershock forecasting in Japan, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2015). Forecasting seismicity after the Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Invited lecture)

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecast uncertainty in aftershock forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015.

Ogata, Y. (2015). Monitoring seismicity anomalies by statistical models (in Japanese), The 207-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 May 2015.

Ogata, Y. (2015). Visualization of seismic activity through statistical models (in Japanese), Workshop on simulation visualization in data assimilation, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March 2015. (Invited lecture)

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y.*, Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes (in Japanese), 206回地震予知連絡会重点検討課題「兵庫県南部地震から20年 活断層研究の進展と課題」, The 206-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2015. (Invited lecture)

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial variation on earthquake interevent time distribution in Japan, Hokudan 2015 International Symposium on Active Faulting, Awaji Yumebutai International Conference Center, Awaji City, Hyogo, Japan, 15 January 2015. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2014). Comparing foreshock characteristics and foreshock forecasting in observed and simulated earthquake catalogs, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, CA, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2014). Real-time foreshock probability forecasting experiments in Japan, Southern California and Whole globe, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, CA, U.S.A., 16 December 2014.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting offshore swarm rate changes by volumetric strain changes in Izu Peninsula, Japan, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, CA, U.S.A., 19 December 2014.

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal model for repeating earthquakes and slow slip before and after the major earthquakes in the northeastern Japan subduction zone, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, CA, U.S.A., 19 December 2014.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Can we forecast 1-month span aftershock activity from the first day data after the main shock?, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, CA, U.S.A., 16 December 2014.

Ogata, Y. (2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research, 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014.  

Tsuruoka, H.* and Ogata, Y. (2014). Implementation of ETAS functions to Tools for Seismicity (TSEIS), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Prediction of the background seismicity rate for the earthquake swarm activities in Izu region, 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014.

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal process model for repeating earthquakes and slow slip in the northeastern Japan subduction zone, 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 26 November 2014.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Sawazaki, K., Aihara, K. and Enescu, B. (2014). Forecasting aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog, 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014.

Ogata, Y.* and Tanaka, U. (2014). Searching for locations of parents from superposed clusters, The 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014.

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating background seismicity by a regression model from crustal deformation: Forecasting earthquake swarms in volcanic regions, The 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014.

Nomura, S.*, and Ogata, Y. (2014). Estimation of spatial distribution for aperiodicity of recurrence intervals on active faults in Japan, The 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian approach for probabilistic forecasting of aftershock activity, The 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 15 September 2014.

Ogata, Y. (2014). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.

Tsuruoka, H. and Ogata, Y.*, (2014). OEF and CSEP in Japan, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only) , 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A., 6 September 2014 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2014)Panel Discussion for ComCat Overview and Real-Time DATA, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Panel Discussion)

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A.(2014). Predicting Offshore Swarm Rate Changes by Volumetric Strain Changes in Izu Peninsula, Japan, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian forecasting of aftershocks by ETAS model, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.

Ogata, Y. (2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), ERI Seismic Activity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 1 September 2014. (Seminar)

Varini*, E. and Ogata, Y. (2014). Statistical modelling for identificaion of earthquake clusters, Second European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Istanbul Convention & Exhibition Centre, Istanbul, Turkey, 24-29 August 2014.

Ogata, Y. (2014). Evaluating predictive ability of background seismicity, aftershocks and induced earthquakes (in Japanese), 204回地震予知連絡会重点検討課題「地震・地殻変動予測能力の現状評価」, The 204-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 August 2014.

Ogata, Y. (2014). Modeling of temporal and spatial non-homogeneity for space-time earthquake databases, 2014 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives (STM2014) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2014), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 29 July 2014 (Invited lecture).  

Ogata, Y. (2014). Foreshocks and short-term forecasting: comparisons between real seismicity and synthetic catalogs, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 2 May 2014 (Invited lecture).

Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating earthquake swarms in volcanic regions (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 1 May 2014.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2014). Spatial Variation on Recurrence-time Distribution of Paleoearthquakes and Its Influence for Long-term Forecast (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 29 April 2014.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Adaptive forecasting of aftershock activity after the main shock, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2014, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 28 April 2014. 

Omi, T., Ogata, Y.*, Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Probability aftershock forecasting by the ETAS model  (in Japanese), The 202-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 17 February 2014.

Ogata, Y. (2013). The aftershock activity of M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake in and around outer-rise region (2011.3.112013.10.26)  (in Japanese), The 201-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 November 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Aftershock activity of the 13 April 2013 earthquake of M6.3 in Awaji Island (2011.4.13–2013.11.8) (in Japanese), The 201-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 November 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Real-time foreshock forecasts and their evaluations, poster presentation, The 3rd International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical Modelling, Komaba Research Campus, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 12-15, November 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Real-time probability discrimination of foreshock-type earthquakes (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Forecasting aftershocks after the main shock by using the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Non-stationary ETAS models for nonstandard earthquake occurrences (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yokohama City, Japan, 9 October 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Foreshocks forecasting by statistical discrimination of earthquake clusters (in Japanese), The 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). A state-space modelling for forecasting early aftershock probability from incompletely detected real-time occurrence data (in Japanese), The 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). The non-stationary ETAS model and its application to the seismicity anomalies induced by the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), The 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013.

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2013). Non-stationary renewal model for repeating earthquakes (in Japanese), The 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013.

Omi, T., Ogata, Y.*, Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Real-time prediction of the probability of aftershocks after the main shock (in Japanese), The 200-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2013.  

Ogata, Y. (2013). 短期予測と統計モデル, 200回地震予知連絡会重点検討課題「地震の短期予測の現状と評価」 (in Japanese), The 200-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 10 August 2013 (Pre-Workshop Tutorial). 

Ogata, Y. (2013). Real-time foreshock discrimination, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013 (Invited lecture).

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating the statistical models of earthquake occurrences from the data of incompletely detected earthquakes, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 12 August 2013.

Nomura, S.*, Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 12 August 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Real-time probability forecast of a large earthquake by statistical discrimination of foreshocks, 4th ERI Workshop on Earthquake prediction system based on evaluation of seismic activity - Earthquake forecasting before and after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 11 July 2013.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Probability forecasting of aftershocks immediately after the main shock taking the detection rate of earthquakes into account, 4th ERI Workshop on Earthquake prediction system based on evaluation of seismic activity - Earthquake forecasting before and after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 11 July 2013.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of abnormal seismic activity by non-stationary ETAS model, 4th ERI Workshop on Earthquake prediction system based on evaluation of seismic activity - Earthquake forecasting before and after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 12 July 2013.

Nomura, S.*, Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of repeating earthquakes in the subduction zone off the Pacific Ocean by the space-time renewal process model, 4th ERI Workshop on Earthquake prediction system based on evaluation of seismic activity - Earthquake forecasting before and after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 11 July 2013.

Nomura, S., Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y.* (2013). Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and statistical analysis of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate from July 15, 1993 till March 10, 2011, on emphasis of before and after major earthquakes (in Japanese), The 199-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 30 May 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Long-term aftershock activity of the 1995 Kobe earthquake of M7.3 until the 13 April 2013 earthquake of M6.3 near Awaji Island (in Japanese), The 199-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 30 May 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Research towards practical earthquake forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013 (Invited lecture).

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating statistical models of seismicity under incomplete detection of earthquakes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013.

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. Nadeau, R.M., and Uchida, N. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013.

Nomura, S.*, Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). History-dependent magnitude forecast by statistical discrimination of foreshocks, SCEC/CSEP Workshop on Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Davidson Conference Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, U.S.A., 7 May 2013 (Invited lecture).

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 9 April 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). Aftershock activity of the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (2011.3.11 – 2013.2.2) (in Japanese), The 198-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 February 2013.

Nomura, S., Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y.* (2013). Nonstationary space-time BPT model, and analysis of repeating earthquakes on the upper surface of the subducting Pacific Plate from July 15, 1993 till March 10, 2011 (in Japanese), The 198-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 February 2013.

Ogata, Y. (2013). A prospect of earthquake prediction research, The Second International CORSSA Workshop, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013 (Invited lecture).

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, The Second International CORSSA Workshop, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 24 January 2013 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2012). Seismicity anomaly that preceded the 2004 Sumatra earthquake M9.1 (in Japanese), The 197-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21 November 2012.

Ogata, Y. (2012). Earthquake prediction and probability and statistics, Invited lecture in science and mathematics student support project " Training program and excavation of Science and mathematics students with active learning motivation", Faculty of Science, Shinshu University, Matsumoto city, 31 October 2012.

Ogata, Y. (2012). Prospective forecasts and retrospective analysis of triggered seismicity (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012.

Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2012). Real-time estimation of the detection rate of earthquakes, and its application to forecasting of aftershock hazard (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October 2012.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Seismicity Anomalies Estimated by Non-Stationary ETAS Models, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting seismicity anomalies with nonstationary ETAS model, The 2012 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 11 September 2012.

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Nadeau, R.M. (2012). Space-Time Model and Analysis of Repeating Earthquakes in Parkfield Segment, 2012 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs Resort, Palm Springs, CA, U.S.A., 9-12 September 2012.

Ogata, Y. (2012). Retrospective analysis of the long-term prediction of seismic activities that are induced by the 1995 Kobe earthquake of M7.3 (in Japanese), The 196-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 29 August 2012.

Ogata, Y. (2012). Long-term earthquake forecasts after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, 3rd ERI Workshop on Earthquake prediction system based on evaluation of seismic activity - Earthquake forecasting before and after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Earthquake Research Institute, Univ. of Tokyo, 13 July 2012.

Hirata, Y.*, Omi, T., Ogata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2012). Earthquake prediction using the distance of the point processes, 3rd ERI Workshop on Earthquake prediction system based on evaluation of seismic activity - Earthquake forecasting before and after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Earthquake Research Institute, Univ. of Tokyo, 12 July 2012.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Analysis of seismic activity in the Tohoku inland region after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake by an extened ETAS model, 3rd ERI Workshop on Earthquake prediction system based on evaluation of seismic activity - Earthquake forecasting before and after the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake, Earthquake Research Institute, Univ. of Tokyo, 13 July 2012.

Ogata, Y. (2012). Residual Analysis in Statistical Seismology and Discovering Seismicity Anomalies, The 2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Tsukuba City, Japan, 3 July 2012 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2012). Some Issues and Proposals for Operational Space-Time Forecasting and Their Evaluations, SCEC CSEP Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) Experiment and the Future of Earthquake Forecasting, Rancho Las Palmas Resort, Rancho Mirage, CA, U.S.A., 6 June 2012 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2012). Long- and intermediate space-time forecast in Japanese Islands induced by the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), The 195-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 30 May 2012.

Ogata, Y. (2012). Activity of shallow very-low-frequency earthquakes around Japan (in Japanese), The 195-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 30 May 2012.

Ogata, Y. (2012). Long-term probability forecast of the regional seismicity that was induced by the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 20 May 2012.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). The modified ETAS analysis on earthquake swarms induced by the Tohoku earthquake, Japan Geosciences Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2012.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Bayesian forecast with uncertain occurrence data in a BPT renewal process, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2012, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2012 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2012). ベイズ統計の最前線, 2011年度学術交流会講演, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies [SOKENDAI], Hayama, Kanagawa, Japan, 22 March 2012 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2012). 統計数理と地震と, Statistical Mathematics Seminars, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012 (定年退任最終講演).

Ogata, Y. (2012). Delaunay-based Bayesian seismicity models: Introduction to a program package, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 14 March 2012 (Invited lecture).

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2012). Detecting misfits of the ETAS for seismicity anomalies, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012 (Invited lecture).

Nomura, S.*, Ogata, Y. and Nadeau, R. (2012). Space-time models of repeating earthquakes in Parkfield segment, International symposium on statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 13 March 2012 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2012). Modeling of earthquake occurrence for predicting seismic activity and discovering seismicity anomalies, ESF-JSPS Frontier Science Conference Series for Young Researchers, The Four Seasons Hotel Tokyo at Chinzan-so, Tokyo, Japan, 1 March 2012 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2011). Diagnosis of seismic anomalies and stress changes: Case studies from the recent earthquakes in and around Japan, Workshop on Statistical and Physical Modelling of Earthquake Processes, GNS Science, Avalon, Lower Hutt, NewZealand, 27 October 2011 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2011). The M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake and statistical seismology, Seminar series in honour of David Vere-Jones, Waikanae, NewZealand, 26 October 2011 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2011). Aseismic slips assumed for the relative quiescence and activation and for the transient anomalies of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2011). Tohoku earthquake: foreshocks, aftershocks and triggered activities and quiescence for long-term seismic activity in and around Japan (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011.

Ogata, Y.* and Katsura, K. (2011). Operational probability foreshock forecasts up until the M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 14 October 2011.

Kumazawa, T.* and Ogata, Y. (2011). Estimating misfits of the ETAS for seismicity anomalies, 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011.

Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2011). Space-time structure of repeating microearthquakes at Parkfield, 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011.

Matsu'ura, M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Inelastic Deformation of Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate Earthquakes: Background Tectonic Stress Fields, 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 13 October 2011.

Terakawa, T.*, Hashimoto, C., Ogata, Y. and Matsu'ura, M. (2011). Mechanism Driving lnduced Seismic Sequences After the 2011 0ff the PacifIc Coast of Tohoku Earthquake, 2011 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Shizuoka Convention & Arts Center "GRANSHIP", Shizuoka City, Japan, 12 October 2011.

Ogata, Y. (2011). 東北地方太平洋沖地震と統計地震学, (in Japanese), The 2011 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Ito Campus of Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 5 September 2011 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2011). 松本付近の余震について(in Japanese), The 192-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 August 2011.

Ogata, Y. (2011). 東北沖M9地震の余震活動モニタリングについて(in Japanese), The 192-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 August 2011.

Ogata, Y. (2011). Seismic and geodetic anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region: Applications of the ETAS model, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting, Taipei International Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 10 (8-12) August 2011 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2011). Preshock activity and quiescence for long-term seismic activity in and around Japan (in Japanese), The 191-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 13 June 2011.

Ogata, Y.* and Kumazawa, T. (2011). Tohoku earthquake: aftershock activity and triggered activities in the eastern Honshu area (in Japanese), The 191-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 13 June 2011.

Ogata, Y. (2011). Operational probability foreshock forecasts up until Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese), The 191-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 13 June 2011.

Ogata, Y. (2011). Anomalous seismic activities before and after the M9 Tohoku-oki Earthquake, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25 (25-27) May 2011 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2011). Prospective foreshock forecasting experiment during the last 17 years, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011.

Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Smoothing for the nonstationarity with ETAS clustering, 7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei7), Nomikos Conference Center, Thera (Santorini), Greece, 25-27 May 2011.

Matsu'ura, M.*, Noda, A., Terakawa T. and Ogata, Y. (2011). Inelastic Deformation of Island-Arc Crust and Generation of Intraplate Earthquakes: Basic Ideas, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2011, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 (22-27) May 2011.

Ogata, Y. (2011). 前兆について:前震活動と広域的静穏化(in Japanese), The 190-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 26 April 2011.

Ogata, Y. and Kumazawa, T. (2011). 余震と誘発地震(in Japanese), The 190-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 26 April 2011.

Nanjo, K.Z., Tsuruoka, H., Schorlemmer, D., Falcone, G., Hirata, N., Ishigaki, Y., Jordan, T.H., Kasahara, K., Obara, K., Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Yokoi, S. and Zhuang, J. (2011). Recent progress of the CSEP earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan: Strategy and preliminary results of testing against the aftershock sequence of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Seismological Society of America (SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A., 14 (13-15) April 2011.

Jordan, T.H., Gerstenberger, M.C., Hirata, N., Jackson, D.D., Liukis, M., Maechling, P.J., Marzocchi, W., Nanjo, K.Z., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D.A., Schorlemmer, D., Zechar, J.D. (2011). Implications of recent events for CSEP testing of earthquake forecasts, Seismological Society of America (SSA) 2011 Annual Meeting, Memphis, U.S.A., 15 (13-15) April 2011.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Operational foreshock forecasting: Fifteen years after, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 15 (13-17) December 2010.

Sugaya, K., Hiramatsu, Y., Furumoto, M., Katao, H. and Ogata, Y. (2010). On the c-values of the off-fault aftershocks triggered by the 1995 Kobe earthquake, Japan, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 15 (13-17) December 2010.

Chu, A., Ogata, Y. and Katsura, K. (2010). An improved statistical solution for global seismicity by the HIST-ETAS approach, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 16 (13-17) December 2010.

Bansal, A.R. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Seismicity activation before the mega-earthquake of 26 December 2004 based on Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 15 (13-17) December 2010.

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Bayesian forecasting of the recurrent earthquakes and its predictive performance for a small sample size, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 16 (13-17) December 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Empirical Bayes estimation of the space-time ETAS model with location-dependent parameters for forecasting seismic activity in a wide geophysical region, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, The Conference Hall of The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Kamakura City, Japan, 5 (4-6) November 2010.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Maximum weighted likelihood estimates for spatiotemporal point processes, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) International Symposium on Statistical Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, The Conference Hall of The Kamakura Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Kamakura City, Japan, 4 (4-6) November 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Evaluating probability forecasts of earthquakes by the expected relative entropy, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 2 (1-2) November 2010.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Evaluating performance of earthquake prediction relative to a baseline model through gambling scoring, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 2 (1-2) November 2010.

Sugaya, K. and Ogata, Y (2010). The features of seismicity in central Honshu based on the hierarchical space-time ETAS model, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 (1-2)  November 2010.

Bansal, A.R. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Seismicity activation before the mega-earthquake of 26 December 2004 based on Epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 (1-2) November 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Operational Probability Forecast of Foreshocks (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October 2010.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2010). A reference framework for evaluating significance of earthquake predictions, 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 29 October 2010.

Sugaya, K. and Ogata, Y. (2010). The feature of seismicity based on the hierarchical space-time ETAS model (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October 2010.

Ogata, Y. and Adelfio, G. (2010). Hybrid Kernel Estimates of Space-Time Earthquake Occurrence Rates Using the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence Model, The 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

Chu, A. and Ogata, Y. (2010). On the Relationship Between Lower Magnitude Thresholds and Bias in ETAS Parameter Estimates, The 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Model Selections for detection of seismicity changes and precursory slips, The 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Bayesian forecasting of the BPT model using uncertain occurrence times, The 2010 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 7 September 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Summary of intensive discussion subject for “Seismic activity”, The 187-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 20 August 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Space-time heterogeneity in aftershock activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (23-28) May 2010.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (23-28) May 2010.

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian predictor of recurrent earthquakes based on BPT model with slip data, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 (23-28) May 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Modeling of temporal and spatial nonhomogeneity for space - time processes, The Spring Korean Statistical Society Annual Meeting, Statistics Center (Daejeon), Daejeon, Korea, 21 (20-22) May 2010, Keynote lecture. (IL-SONG lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2010). Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity, “Earthquake Hazards in Urban Areas” and “Toward Constructing Forecast Systems of Earthquakes” -The 3rd SCEC-ERI joint workshop-, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 (16-17) March  2010. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2010). Researches on seismicity by statistical models -A review-, Seismology for the blue earth and the white continent -A symposium on solid earth around Antarctic-, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 9 (8-9) March 2010. (special Invited lecture)

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian predictor based on prior distributions of BPT model with slip rates (in Japanese), The 185-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 15 February 2010.

Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Aseismic slip scenario for transient crustal deformations around the southern fault before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland earthquake (in Japanese), The 185-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 15 February 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Global earthquake catalogs and long-range correlation of seismic activity, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 16 (14-18) December 2009. (Invited lecture)

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 (14-18) December 2009.

Llenos, A.L., McGuire, J.J. and Ogata, Y. (2009). Detecting Seismicity Rate Transients in the Hokkaido Corner, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14 (14-18) December 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (21-23) October 2009.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (21-23) October 2009.

Nomura, S., Ogata, Y., Toda, S. and Komaki, F. (2009). Prior distributions of BPT distribution in renewal process with slip rates and comparing their prediction accuracy, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 23 (21-23) October 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Bayesian spatial models for earthquake catalog, The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyotanabe Campus, Doshisha University, Kyotanabe City, Japan, 7 (6-9) September 2009.

Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2009). Analysis of sesimicity anomalies by a point process model, The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyotanabe Campus, Doshisha University, Kyotanabe City, Japan, 8 (6-9) September 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Earthquake forecast in Japanese Islands based on location-dependent b-values and space-time ETAS model (in Japanese), The 183-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay and its aftershock activity (in Japanese), The 183-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Modeling for immediate aftershock probability forecasting, The 1st Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 29 (June 28-July 1) June 2009. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2009). Space-time ETAS model for forecasting seismicity in and around Japan, International Symposium on Toward Constructing Earthquake Forecast Systems for Japan, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 27 May 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Space-time model for wide regional and global seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 20 (16-21) May 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). A correction method of routinely determined hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region (in Japanese), The 182-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 15 May 2009.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in northern Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake (in Japanese), The 182-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 15 May 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Location Dependent Space-Time Models for Wide Regional and Global Seismicity, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, USA, 15 (12-16) April 2009. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. and Umino, N. (2009). Correction of routinely determined hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, USA, 12-16 April 2009.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity Rate Changes Prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake of M7.2 in the Neighboring Area, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, USA, 12-16 April 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time model for diagnosis of wide regional and global seismicity, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 17 (15–19) December 2008.

Zhuang, J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K. and  Jackson, D.D. (2008). Simulation studies on the differences between spontaneous and triggered seismicity and on foreshock probabilities, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 17 (15–19) December 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). The method to estimate a slip distribution of a large earthquake based on the spatial distribution of its aftershocks and rate- and state friction law: Further development, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 16 (15–19) December 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time model for wide regional and global seismicity, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okinawaseinenkaikan, Naha City, Japan, 27 (27-28) November 2008.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Local likelihood estimates for point processes with applications in detecting spatial changes of seismicity in Japan, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okinawaseinenkaikan, Naha City, Japan, 28 (27-28) November 2008.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Identification and estimation of the generalized Neyman-Scott spatial cluster fields, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okinawaseinenkaikan, Naha City, Japan, 27 (27-28) November 2008.

Noguchi, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Global Earthquake Catalogs and Long-Range Correlation of Seismic Activity (1), 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba City, Japan, 27 (24-27) November 2008.

Ogata, Y. and Noguchi, S. (2008). Global Earthquake Catalogs and Long-Range Correlation of Seismic Activity (2), 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba City, Japan, 27 (24-27) November 2008.

Zhuang, J., Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Jackson, D.D. (2008). Model dependent differences between background and triggered earthquakes and their influences on foreshock probabilities, 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba City, Japan, 27 (24-27) November 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Immediate and updated forecasting of aftershock hazard (in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Large Earthquake and Forecasting, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 4 November2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Anomalies in seismic activity and transient crustal deformation, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 20 (18-23) October 2008. (Invited lecture)

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Using weighted likelihood estimates to detect spatial seismicity changes, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 18-23 October 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S., Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 2005 Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and the rate- and state friction law, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 18-23 October 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Precursory anomalies in seismicity (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics for precursory phenomena, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji City, Japan, 15 (15-16) October 2008. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2008). Searching missing parents: A Bayesian inference of the Neyman-Scott type model (in Japanese), The 2008 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Keio University, Yokohama City, Japan, 10 (7-10) September 2008.

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008). On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip preceding the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting earthquake, 2008 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, Cairns Convention Centre, Cairns, Australia, 1 (July 29-August 1) August 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity anomaly and geodetic anomaly (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 (17-18) July 2008.

Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip preceding the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting earthquake (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 (17-18) July 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of a large earthquake derived from a spatial distribution of its aftershocks (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 (17-18) July 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity shadows and stress shadows in aftershock activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 (25-30) May 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 2005 Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from spatial distribution of the aftershocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 30 (25-30) May 2008.

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008). On- and Off-fault Aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island Subduction Earthquake Toggled by a Slow Slip Preceding the 2007 Great Outer-rise Normal Faulting Earthquake (in Japanese), The 177-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 19 May 2008. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time ETAS Model, CSEP Global Collaboration & Testing Meeting, Southern California Earthquake Center, Los Angeles, USA, 21 April 2008. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity anomaly and crustal deformation anomaly, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NewZealand, 20 (18-22) February 2008. (Invited lecture)

Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K., Christophersen, A., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Jackson D.D. (UCLA) (2008). Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NewZealand, 21 (18-22) February 2008. (Invited lecture)

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 1995 Kobe earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and rate-and-state friction law, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NewZealand, 19 (18-22) February 2008. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2008). Modeling of heterogeneous datasets, Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and Climate Change, Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 9 (6-28) January 2008. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2008). Standard point-process models for prediction and diagnosis of earthquake activity, Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and Climate Change, Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 11 (6-28) January 2008. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2007). Aseismic Slips Preceding Ruptures Assumed for Anomalous Seismicities and Crustal Deformations, 2007 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 12 (10–14) December 2007.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2007). Stochastic declustering: visualizing of the family trees in earthquake catalogs with uncertainty, 2007 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 10 (10-14) December 2007. (Invited lecture)

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Modelling of the spatio-temporal distribution of aftershocks based on rate- and state friction law, 2007 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 10 (10-14) December 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). A Bayesian MCMC inference for the Neyman-Scott models (in Japanese), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okayama International Center, Okayama City, Japan, 30 (29-December 1) November 2007.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2007). A solution to the filtering problem on Neyman-Scott point processes, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okayama International Center, Okayama City, Japan, 30 (29-December 1) November 2007.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Parameter estimation and model selection of clustering spatial models (in Japanese), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okayama International Center, Okayama City, Japan, 30 (29-December 1) November 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Bayesian modeling for nonhomogeneoous datasets (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Seismicity Models and Earthquake Probabilities, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 8 (8-9) November 2007.

Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K., Christophersen, A., Vere-Jones D., Ogata Y. and Jackson D.D. (2007). Difference between background and triggered earthquakes: their influences on foreshock probabilities, Cooperative Research meeting on Seismicity Models and Earthquake Probabilities, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 9 (8-9) November 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around the source, and the feature of the aftershock activity (in Japanese), 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 26 (24-26) October 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Precursory slips assumed for the quiescence and activation and for the anomalous trend of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations (in Japanese), 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 24 (24-26) October 2007.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Modelling of spatio-temporal distribution of aftershock rate based on rate- and state-dependent constitutive friction law (in Japanese), 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 26 (24-26) October 2007.

Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Christophersen, A., Jackson, D.D. (2007). Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes, 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 26 (24-26) October 2007.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Jackson, D.D. (2007). Forecasting performance of the ETAS model in Japan and California : A comparison, 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 25 (24-26) October 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Anomalies of space-time aftershock point patterns relative to the Poisson process, The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kobe University, Kobe City, Japan, 7 (6-9) September 2007.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Likelihood based detection of cluster centers for Neyman-Scott processes, The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kobe University, Kobe City, Japan, 8 (6-9) September 2007.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Parameter estimation and model selection of clustering spatial models, The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kobe University, Kobe City, Japan, 7 (6-9) September 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around the source, and the normal feature of the aftershock activity (in Japanese), The 174-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 20 August 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Diagnostic Statistical Analyses to Detect the Seismicity and Geodetic Anomalies Relative to the Normal Predictions, The 5th  International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy, 6 (May 31-June 6) June 2007. (tutorial talk)

Iwata, T., Imoto, M., Horiuchi, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Probabilistic estimation of earthquake growth to a large one in an earthquake early warning system: Re-estimation for the Nankai trough region, The 5th  International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy, 31 May - 6 June 2007.

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2007). Anomalies of seismicity in space and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 19 (19-24) May 2007.

Iwata, T., Imoto, M., Horiuchi, S., and Ogata, Y. (2007). Probabilistic estimation of earthquake growth to a catastrophic one for an earthquake early warning system: Re-estimation for the Nankai Trough region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 (19-24) May 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Anomalies of seismicity in space and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (in Japanese), The 171-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 19 February 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Introduction of Short-term prediction experiments, Workshop on Earthquake Predictability and Time-dependent Forecasting, Swiss Re Centre for Global Dialogue, Rüschlikon, Switzerland, 29 (28-31) January 2007. (keynote lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2006). Detection of precursory slips on a fault by the quiescence and activation of seismicity relative to the ETAS model and by the anomalous trend of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations around the fault, 2006 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 11 (11–15) December 2006.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Parameter estimation and model selection for Neyman-Scott point processes, International workshop, Space-time statistical analysis; theory and applications, Sanjo Conference Hall, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 13 (13-15) November 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Detection of precursory slips on a fault by the quiescence and activation of seismicity relative to the ETAS model and by the anomalous trend of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations around the fault (in Japanese), 2006 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 2 (October 31-November 2) November 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, The 2006 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kawauchi Campus of Tohoku University, Sendai City, Japan, 6 (5-8) September 2006.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Statistical analysis of clustered point patterns, The 2006 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kawauchi Campus of Tohoku University, Sendai City, Japan, 6 (5-8) September 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Anomalies of seismic activities and geodetic trends preceding the 2004 Chuetsu Earthquake of M6.8 and the 2005 Western Fukuoka-Ken-Oki Earthquake of M7.0 (in Japanese), The 169-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2006.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Probability distributions associated foreshocks implied by clustering models for earthquake occurrences, 2006 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 24 (24-27) July 2006.

Zhuang, J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2006). Statistical modelling (tests) of the relationship between precursory phenomena and earthquake ocurrences, 2006 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 27 (24-27) July 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Seismicity anomaly from the predicted rate by the ETAS model , Southern California Earthquake Center and Earthquake research Institute Joint Workshop on Earthquakes in Urban Areas, Embassy Mandalay Beach Resort, Oxnard, California, USA, 1 (1-3) June 2006. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2006). Anomalies of aftershock activities in space and time measured by the ETAS model and relations to stress changes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 14 (14-18) May 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Review of the Akaike Information Criterion in the field of Earth Science: Prediction of seismic activity and knowledge excavation by use of statistical models (in Japanese), Symposium for the 75th anniversary of the foundation of the Statistical Society of Japan, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 7 (6-7) May 2006. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2006). Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Japan, by the ETAS model, 2006 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor, National Central University, Taiwan, 6 (6-7) March 2006. (Invited lecture)

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Background and clustering seismicity in the Taiwan region, 2006 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor, National Central University, Taiwan, 6 (6-7) March 2006. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2006). Contributions of Professor Tokuji Utsu to statistical seismology and recent developments, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 10 (9-13) January 2006. (Invited lecture)

Ogata, Y. (2006). Toward urgent forecasting of aftershock hazard: Simultaneous estimation of b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter's law of the magnitude frequency and changing detection rates of aftershocks immediately after the mainshock, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 10 (9-13) January 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) with likely scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 10 (9-13) January 2006.

 

Invited lectures

Seismological Conferences

19th general assembly of International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Vancouver, Canada, August 1987 (Invited speaker).

Point Process Models for the Statistical Analysis of the Seismicity and Assessment of the Time Varying Hazard, 25th general assembly of International Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior, Istanbul, Turkey, August 1989 (Invited speaker).

Three-Dimensional Spatial Variation of b-Values of Magnitude Frequency Distribution Beneath the Kanto District, Japan, Japan-US joint symposium on Fracture, Form and Fractals, UCLA Lake Arrowhead, Los Angels, USA, September 1989 (Invited speaker).

Quantative modeling of Earthquake probabilities and intensities, Session on forecasting earthquake, International Association of Forecasting, Wellington, New Zealand, August 1992 (Invited speaker).

Point Process Procedures for Detecting Anomalous Earthquake Activity, Workshop on Modeling Earthquake Probabilities and Characteristics Earthquakes, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, August 1992 (Invited lecturer).

Statistical features of foreshocks in comparison with other clusters, 27th general assembly of International Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, January 1994 (Invited speaker for the special symposium on Earthquake Prediction).

3rd Seismology summer school, Kawato Seminar Center for Tohoku area Universities, Miyagi Prefecture, Japan, sponsored by the Seismological Society of Japan, August 1996 (Invited lecturer).

Empirical laws of aftershocks and the ETAS model (in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Seismicity and Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 6 November 1996.

Open Public Symposium on "Feasibility of Long-Term Forecasting of Large Earthquakes", organized by the Seismological Society of Japan, March 1997 (selected talk).

Session on "Models and Methods in Seismic Hazard Assessment", the 23rd General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society, Nice, France, April 1998  (Invited lecture).

International Workshop on Seismicity Patterns, Their Statistical Significance and Physical Meaning sponsored by International Arctic Research Center, the University of Alaska in Fairbanks, Alaska, USA, May 1998 (Invited talk and discussion).

Workshop organized by State Seismological Bureau of China on "Statistical Seismology: Methods and Software", Hang-Zhou, China, June 1998 (principal lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Some statistical features of foreshocks, Japan-US Workshop on Foreshocks and Fracture, Heian Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, October 2000 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences, Second International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Victoria University of Wellington; New Zealand, 18-21 April 2001.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a leader of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Which models seem most promising?, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a leader of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Modeling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrences and Its residual analysis, Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, September 2002 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2003). A practical space-time model for regional seismicity, Session on "Scaling, cascades and self-organized criticality in Earthquakes: Damage mechanics and Predictability, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11 April 2003 (solicited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity-change-analysis by a space-time point-process model, Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico, 4-10 May 2003 (Invited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Static triggering and statistical modeling (in Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of  Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction , Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Stress changes, seismicity changes and statistical models, Workshop on Seismic Activity and Probabilities of Major Earthquakes in the Kanto and Tokai Area, Japan, Wadati Memorial Hall, Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan, 9-11 March 2004 (Invited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Synchronous seismicity changes in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0,  International Conference in Commemoration of 5-th Anniversary of the 1999 Chi-Chi Earthquake, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan, 8-9 September 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (solicited), The General Assembly 2005 of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), the Austria Center Vienna (ACV), Vienna, Austria, 24-29 April 2005 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity changes in western Japan associated with the great earthquakes near Nankai trough and their contemporary implications, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22-26 May 2005 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Contributions of Professor Tokuji Utsu to statistical seismology and recent developments, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 9-13 January 2006 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Japan, by the ETAS model, 2006 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor, National Central University, Taiwan , 6-7 March 2006 (Invited lecture).

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Background and clustering seismicity in the Taiwan region, 2006 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor, National Central University, Taiwan, 6-7 March 2006 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Seismicity anomaly from the predicted rate by the ETAS model , Southern California Earthquake Center and Earthquake research Institute Joint Workshop on Earthquakes in Urban Areas, Embassy Mandalay Beach Resort, Oxnard, California, USA, 1-3 June 2006 (Invited lecture). 

Ogata, Y. (2007). Introduction of Short-term prediction experiments, Workshop on Earthquake Predictability and Time-dependent Forecasting, Swiss Re Centre for Global Dialogue, Rüschlikon, Switzerland, 28-31 January 2007 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2007). Diagnostic Statistical Analyses to Detect the Seismicity and Geodetic Anomalies Relative to the Normal Predictions, The 5th  International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy, 31 May -6 June 2007 (tutorial talk).

Statistical Conferences

Fall meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan, October 1976 (special lecture).

Workshop on Analysis of Spatial Data, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Sydney, CSIRO, Australia, February 1982 (Invited speaker).

Open lectures at the 37th anniversary of the founding of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 1982 (Invited lecture).

Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns, 4th Japan-USSR symposium on Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Tbilisi, USSR, August 1982 (selected paper).

Public lecture for Yokohama City Citizens, Yokohama City University, Japan, 1983 (Invited lecturer).

Likelihood Analysis of Point Processes and its Applications to Seismological Data, 44th session of the ISI, Madrid, Spain, September 1983 (Invited speaker).

Point Process Model with Linearly Parameterized Intensity for the Application to Earthquake Data, Japan-USA Joint seminar on Time Series Analysis, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, May 1984 (Invited speaker).

Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns, 12th International Biometric Conference, Tokyo, Japan, September 1984 (Invited speaker).

Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns, First national conference on Time Series Analysis, Beijin, China, November 1984 (Invited speaker).

The Likelihood Analysis for Spatial Point Patterns, 13th International Biometric Conference, University of Washington, Seattle, USA, July 1986 (Invited speaker).

Fall meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Chiba University, Japan, September 1986 (special lecture).

Some Statistical Methods for Modeling of Point Process Data, Conference on Stochastic Methods for Biological Intelligence, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA, October 1986 (Invited speaker).

Statistical Models for Earthquake Occurrences and Residual Analysis Point Processes. Long Range Memory Property of Earthquake Occurrences and Statistical Models for Standard Seismic Activity, Meeting on Statistics of Stochastic Processes at Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, FDR (West Germany), November 1986 (Invited speaker).

Statistical Analysis of Point Process for Earthquake Prediction, Meeting of the Denmark Society of Theoretical Statistics, Copenhagen, Denmark, April 1988 (Invited lecture).

Statistical Model for Standard Seismicity and Detection of Anomalies by Residual Analysis, Conference on Statistics in Space and Earth Science, Leuven, Belgium, August 1989 (Invited speaker).

Monte Carlo Method for the Objective Bayesian Procedure (with Tanemura, M.), International symposium on Analysis of Statistical Information, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan , December 1989 (Invited speaker).

Likelihood Analysis of Gibbs Point Processes in One and Two Dimensions (with Tanemura, M.), International symposium on Analysis of Statistical Information, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, December 1989 (Invited speaker).

Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Heterogeneity of Magnitude Frequency Distribution Inferred From Earthquake Catalogs, Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Geometric Statistics and Stereology, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, December 1991 (Invited speaker).

Statistical Inferences of Point Processes Models Applied to Earthquake Data Sets, US-Japan conference on Frontiers of Statistical Modeling, University of Kentucky, Knoxville, USA, May 1992 (Invited speaker).

Lecture series for 10th anniversary of the founding of Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei, ROC, June 1992 (Invited lectures).

Statistical Modeling of Earthquake Data, European Meeting of Statisticians, University of Bath, UK, September 1992 (special Invited lecture).

Fall meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Nagoya University, Japan, October 1992 (Invited discussant for the special lecture by T. Hayashi).

On the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence model, US-Japan joint meeting on Time Series Analysis, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA, January 1993 (Invited speaker).

Comments on the Invited papers in the session of "Time Series: Application and Theory, 49th session of the ISI, Firenze, Italy, September 1993 (Invited discussant for Invited topic meeting on Time Series: Application and Theory) (Brillinger, D., organizer).

Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, International conference on Bayesian Inference and its Applications, Fuji-Yoshida, Japan, December 1993 (Invited speaker).

17th Probability Summer School, (supported by Academy of Finland), Lahti, Finland, May-June1994 (Invited lecture series).

Meeting on Mathematische Stochastik, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, March 1995 (Invited speaker).

50th session of ISI, Beijing, China, August 1995 (Invited speaker for the meeting on Markov Fields and Applications).

13th Australian Statistical Conference (Sydney International Statistical Congress), Sydney, Australia, July 1996 (Invited speaker for the topic on Spatial Statistics).

Empirical laws of aftershocks and the ETAS model (in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Seismicity and Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, November 6, 1996.

Meeting on Point processes: models and applications, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, February 1997 (Invited paper).

Meeting on Mathematische Stochastik, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, March 1997 (Invited paper).

51th Session of the ISI in Istanbul, Turkey, August 1997 (Invited discussant at the two Invited paper meetings organized by the international Astronomical Union and Bernoulli Society, respectively).

International Summer School of Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village, Hayama, Japan, September 1997 (Invited lecture).

International Symposium on "Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability", December 1997, (organized by the Indian Statistical Institute, coorganized by Bernoulli Society), Invited paper on the topic of "Earthquake Modeling and Prediction".

The Joint Statistical Meetings, ASA-ENAR-WNAR-IMS-SSC, the Session on Modeling and Model Selection - Theory and Applications, Dallas, Texas, USA, August 1998 (Invited lecture).

International Symposium, on Probability and Statistics and Their Applications, Hanoi, Vietnam, June 9-11, 1999 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Evaluation of high dimensional Bayesian models: Two computational method, Workshop on Information-Based Induction Science, Shuzenji, Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan, July 2000 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Spatially heterogeneous space-time modeling for seismic activity and space-time residual analysis for point processes, Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, September 2000 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Theoretical problems on GIS: Some problems on spatial statistics (in Japanese), The third Symposium of the Center for Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo, Sanjo Kaikan, University of Tokyo, Japan, September 2000 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, Meeting on Stochastic in the Sciences, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, 17-21 March 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Symposium in honor of David Vere-Jones, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, April 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Japan-U.S. Seminar on Statistical Time Series Analysis, Shiran-Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 18-22 June 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). The 51st Symposium on Science of Form, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 27-28 July 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Practical extreme value analyses for seismicity, International Symposium on Extrem Value Analysis: Theory and Practice, Leuven, Belgium, 5-10 August 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of clustered space-time point processes in seismology, Session on Spatial Statistics at the 2001 Annual Meeting of Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS), Atlanta, Georgia, USA, 5-9 August 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of seismicity, Session on Statistics for Spatial and Spatial-Temporal Processes, the 53rd Session of the International Statistical Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 23-29 August 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Annealing MCMC integration with application to likelihood computation of Bayesian models, International Symposium on New Trends in Optimization and Computational Algorithms (NTOC2001), Kyodai Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 9-13 December 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Space-time analysis of earthquake catalog, Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Spatial Statistics and Statistical Physics, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, 10-16 February 2002 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a leader of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Which models seem most promising?, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a leader of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Modeling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrence, Point processes--theory and applications, the Banff International Research Station for Mathematical Innovation and Discovery (BIRS), Banff, Canada, 21-26 June 2003 (Invited).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Space-Time Model of Regional Seismicity for Revealing Temporal Anomalies, International Symposium, Science of Modeling; The 30th Anniversary of the Information Criterion(AIC), Pacifico Yokohama, 14-17 December 2003 (Invited lecture).

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Visualizing goodness-of-fit of point-process models for earthquake clusters, Analysis of Natural and Social Phenomena: Data Science and System Reduction; an international workshop of the 21st Century COE Program at Keio University, Pan Pacific Hotel, Yokohama, Japan, 21-23 March 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Statistical models of point processes and prediction and discovery in seismic activity (in Japanese), Spring Meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Tsukuba, Japan, 30 March 2004 (specially organized lecture).

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Diagnostic analyses of space-time branching processes for earthquakes, International Conference on Spatial Point Process Modeling and its Applications (SPPA), Castellon Spain, 4-8 April 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Space-time model for regional seismicity and detection of crustal stress changes, The 6th World Congress of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability, and 67th Annual Meeting of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Barcelona, Spain, 25-29 July 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Review of the Akaike Information Criterion in the field of Earth Science: Prediction of seismic activity and knowledge excavation by use of statistical models (in Japanese), Symposium for the 75th anniversary of the foundation of the Statistical Society of Japan, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 6-7 May 2006 (Invited lecture).

 

Conference talks (-2005)

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). The largest event in earthquake clusters and relationship to foreshocks, 2005 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 8 (5–9) December 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Anomalies in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0 and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the eastern Hokkaido inland (in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 20 (19-21) October 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) in the aftershocks of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Kyusyu, and possible scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area (in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 19 (19-21) October 2005.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). A study on the discrimination of foreshocks and other types of earthquakes by using stochastic reconstruction (in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 19 (19-21) October 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Toward urgent forecasting of aftershock hazard – Simultaneous estimation of b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter’s law of the magnitude frequency and changing detection rates of aftershocks immediately after the mainshock, The 2005 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hiroshima Prince Hotel, Hiroshima City, Japan, 13 (12-15) September 2005.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Estimation of parameters for the Neyman-Scott spatial cluster model, The 2005 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hiroshima Prince Hotel, Hiroshima City, Japan, 13 (12-15) September 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismic activities in and around Tohoku District, northern Japan, prior to the 16th August 2005 interplate earthquake of M7.2 off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, and the aftershock activity of the M7.2 earthquake (in Japanese), The 165-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 August 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Aftershock activities of recent conspicuous earthquakes in and near Japan (in Japanese), The 165-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 22 August 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Prediction and discovery of seismic activity, Meeting of Faculty of Environmental Science and Technology, Okayama University, Okayama, Japan,  27 July 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity changes in western Japan associated with the great earthquakes near Nankai trough and their contemporary implications, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 (22-26) May 2005 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2005). Simultaneous estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application to aftershock probability forecasting, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 (22-26) May 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 (22-26) May 2005.

Murata, Y. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Surficial density estimation from gravity data using Delaunay triangular network”, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 (22-26) May 2005.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Analyzing foreshock features by using stochastic reconstruction, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 (22-26) May 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) in the aftershocks of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Kyushu, and possible scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area (in Japanese), The 164-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 May 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (solicited), The General Assembly 2005 of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), the Austria Center Vienna (ACV), Vienna, Austria, 25 (24-29) April 2005 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity changes in and around Kyushu District before the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 in the western offshore of Fukuoka Prefecture (in Japanese), The 163-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 7 April 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Anomalies in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0 and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the eastern Hokkaido inland (in Japanese), The 162-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21, February 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Synchronous seismicity-rate-changes from the predicted rates by the ETAS model in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0, 2004 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 14 (13–17) December 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Simultaneous estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application to aftershock probability forecasting, 2004 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 14 (13–17) December 2004.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Analyzing earthquake clustering features by stochastic reconstruction -- foreshocks, 2004 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 14 (13–17) December 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On an anomalous aftershock activity of the 2004 Niigata-Ken-Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8, and intermediate-term seismicity anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region (in Japanese), The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 15 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On the aftershock activity of the 2004 earthquake of M7.4 at the southeast off the coast of the Kii peninsula, and constraints on the fault-rupture models by the mechanisms and space-time pattern of the aftershocks II (in Japanese),  The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 15 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Simultaneous estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application to aftershock probability forecasting (in Japanese), The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 15 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On an anomalous aftershock activity of the 2004 niigata-ken-Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8, and intermediate-tern seismicity anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region (in Japanese), The 160-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 4 November 2004.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Residual analysis of space-time branching processes for earthquake occurrences, International workshop, Space-time statistical analysis; theory and applications, Kagoshima, Japan, 3-6 November 2004.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Estimation of parameters for the Neyman-Scott's spatial cluster model, International workshop, Space-time statistical analysis; theory and applications, Kagoshima, Japan, 3-6 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On changes of statistical distribution of focal mechanisms of events prior to the main ruptures (in Japanese), 2004 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyusyu University, Fukuoka, Japan, 10 (9-11) October 2004.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Some features of background and clustering seismicity resolved by using stochastic declustering, 2004 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyusyu University, Fukuoka, Japan, 11 (9-11) October 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On the aftershock activity of the 2004 earthquake of M7.4 at the southeast off the coast of the Kii peninsula, and constraints on the fault-rupture models by the mechanisms and space-time pattern of the aftershocks I (in Japanese), The 159-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 17 September 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Synchronous seismicity changes in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0,  International Conference in Commemoration of 5-th Anniversary of the 1999 Chi-Chi Earthquake, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan, 8-9 September 2004  (Invited lecture).

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Residual analysis of space-time branching processes for earthquake occurrences, The 2004 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Fuji University, Hanamaki City, Japan, 3-6 September 2004.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Estimation of parameters for the Thomas spatial cluster model, The 2004 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Fuji University, Hanamaki City, Japan, 3-6 September 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Space-time model for regional seismicity and detection of crustal stress changes, The 6th World Congress of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability, and 67th Annual Meeting of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Barcelona, Spain, 25-29 July 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Seismicity changes and stress changes in and around the northern Japan relating to the 2003 Tokachi earthquake of M8.0, 2004 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 9-13 May 2004.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Stochastic reconstruction of clustering features of earthquakes, 2004 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 10 (9-13) May 2004.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Diagnostic analyses of space-time branching processes for earthquakes, International Conference on Spatial Point Process Modelling and its Applications (SPPA), Castellon Spain, 8 (4-8) April 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Statistical models of point processes and prediction and discovery in seismic activity (in Japanese), Spring Meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Tsukuba, Japan, 30 March 2004 (specially organized lecture).

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Visualizing goodness-of-fit of point-process models for earthquake clusters, Analysis of Natural and Social Phenomena: Data Science and System Reduction; an international workshop of the 21st Century COE Program at Keio University, Pan Pacific Hotel, Yokohama, Japan, 21 (21-23) March 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Stress changes, seismicity changes and statistical models, Workshop on Seismic Activity and Probabilities of Major Earthquakes in the Kanto and Tokai Area, Japan, Wadati Memorial Hall, Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan, 9-11 March 2004 (Invited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Static triggering and statistical modeling (in Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2004 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Seismicity changes and stress changes in and around the northern Japan relating to the 2003 Tokachi earthquake of M8.0 (in Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Space-Time Model of Regional Seismicity for Revealing Temporal Anomalies, International Symposium, Science of Modeling; The 30th Anniversary of the Information Criterion(AIC), Pacifico Yokohama, Japan, 15 (14-17) December 2003 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Detection of anomalous seismicity as a stress change sensor, 2003 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 10 (8-12) December 2003.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones D. (2003). Testing of hypotheses associated earthquake clustering features by using the stochastic reconstruction method, 2003 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 10 (8-12) December 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Quiescence of foreshock/aftershock activity in and off the coast of Miyagi prefecture, northern Japan, and their correlation to the triggered stress-changes (in Japanese), 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto International Conference Hall, Kyoto, Japan, 8 (6-8) October 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Statistical analysis of seismic activities in and around Tohoku District, northern Japan, prior to the large interpolate earthquakes off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture (in Japanese), 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto International Conference Hall, Kyoto, Japan, 8 (6-8) October 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity-change-analysis by a space-time point-process model (in Japanese), The 2003 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting (71th annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society), Meijo University, Nagoya, Japan, 5 (2-5) September 2003.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2003). Stochastic reconstruction of characteristic associated with earthquake clusters,  The 2003 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting (71th annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society), Meijo University, Nagoya, Japan, 5 (2-5) September 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Quiescence of the 2003 foreshock/aftershock activities in and off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, northern Japan, and their correlation to the triggered stress-changes (in Japanese), The 153-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 18 August 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Modeling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrence, Point processes--theory and applications, the Banff International Research Station for Mathematical Innovation and Discovery (BIRS), Banff, Canada, 22 (21-26) June 2003 (Invited).

Ogata, Y. (2003). On seismicity changes in western Japan associated with the two great interpolate earthquakes in Nankai Trough, 2003 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 29 (26-29) May 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Analysis of seismicity changes by a spatiotemporal point process model, 2003 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (26-29) May 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity-change-analysis by a space-time point-process model, Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico, 5 (4-10) May 2003 (Invited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity quiescence and activation in western Japan associated with the two great earthquakes in Nankai Trough, Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico, 5 (4-10) May 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). A practical space-time model for regional seismicity, Session on "Scaling, cascades and self-organized criticality in Earthquakes: Damage mechanics and Predictability, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 10 (6-11) April 2003 (solicited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity changes in western Japan (1995-2001) detected by a statistical space-time model (in Japanese), The 150-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 17 February 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2002). A Practical Space-Time Model for Regional Seismicity, 2002 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 8 (6-10) December 2002.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2002). Statistical confirmation of a relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, 2002 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 6 (6–10) December 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Modeling of regional space-time earthquake occurrences (in Japanese), 2002 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Japan, 13 (11-13) November 2002.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2002). Stochastic reconstruction of earthquake clusters and its application to foreshock studies, 2002 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Japan, 12 (11-13) November 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Modeling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrences and Its residual analysis, Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, 25-29 September 2002 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Visualization and monitoring of regional seismic activities by the space-time statistical models (in Japanese), Symposium for planning of the next research project of the Coordination Committee for Earthquake Prediction Research in Universities, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 18 (17-18) September 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Uncertainty of probability forecast of large earthquakes and renewal processes dependent of their marks (in Japanese), The 2002 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Meisei University, Tokyo, Japan, 10 (7-10) September 2002.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan H. (2002). Statistical confirmation of a relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, The 2002 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Meisei University, Tokyo, Japan, 10 (7-10) September 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 13 (10-14) June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a leader of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Which models seem most promising?, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a leader of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Demonstrations of space-time seismicity analysis, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a leader of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2002). A possible mechanism for the precursory relative quiescence of aftershock activity, 2002 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 31 (27-31) May 2002.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2002). Statistical confirmation of a relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, M 2002 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 28 (27-31) May 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Space-time analysis of earthquake catalog, Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Spatial Statistics and Statistical Physics, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, 10-16 February 2002 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Annealing MCMC integration with application to likelihood computation of Bayesian models, International Symposium on New Trends in Optimization and Computational Algorithms (NTOC2001), Kyodai Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 9 (9-13) December 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). When and where the aftershock activities were depressed (in Japanese), 2001 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima, Japan, 25 (24-26) October 2001.

Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of seismicity, Session on Statistics for Spatial and Spatial-Temporal Processes, the 53rd Session of the International Statistical Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 24 (23-29) August 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of clustered space-time point processes in seismology, Session on Spatial Statistics at the 2001 Annual Meeting of Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS), Atlanta, Georgia, USA, 8 (5-9) August 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Practical extreme value analyses for seismicity, International Symposium on Extreme Value Analysis: Theory and Practice, Leuven, Belgium, 6 (5-10) August 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). The 51st Symposium on Science of Form, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 27 (27-28) July 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Japan-U.S. Seminar on Statistical Time Series Analysis, Shiran-Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (18-22) June 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 4 (4-8) June 2001.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Ma, L. (2001). Statistical causal relationship between earthquake occurrences and the ultra-low frequency ground electric signals, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 6 (4-8) June 2001.

Nishimae, Y., Ogata, Y., Takayama, H. and Matsuoka H. (2001). Epicenter correction of earthquakes in Matsushiro Seismic Array System by spline function, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 6 (4-8) June 2001.

Ogata, Y., Zhuang, J. (2001). Statistical examination of anomalies for the precursor to earth-quakes, and the multi-element prediction formula: Hazard rate changes of strong earthquakes (M4) around Beijing area based on the ultra-low frequency ground electric observation (1982-1997) (in Japanese), The 143-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 21 May 2001.

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Symposium in honor of David Vere-Jones, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, 15 April 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences, Second International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Victoria University of Wellington; New Zealand, 18-21 April 2001.

Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, Meeting on Stochastic in the Sciences, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, 11-17 March 2001 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Session on Research Project on 'Prediction of the forth comming Great Earthquake at Nankai Trough' organized by the Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction, and sponsored by the Science and Tecnological Agency of Japan, Association for The Development of Earthquake Prediction, Tokyo, Japan, December 2000.

Ogata, Y. and Jones, L M. (2000). Aftershock analysis of the 1992 Landers earthquake: Significant quiescence, relative to the normal aftershock decay, before the 1999 Hector Mine Earthquake, 2000 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 10-14 December 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Treatment of uncertainties in estimating hazard of a large earthquake from a small number of data (in Japanese), 2000 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba, Japan, 20 (20-22) November 2000.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2000). A model based method alternative to declusterig for estimating the background seismisity, 2000 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba, Japan, 22 (20-22) November 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Some statistical features of foreshocks, Japan-US Workshop on Foreshocks and Fracture, Heian Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 3-5 October 2000 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Theoretical problems on GIS: Some problems on spatial statistics (in Japanese), The third Symposium of the Center for Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo, Sanjo Kaikan, University of Tokyo, Japan, 26 September 2000 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Spatially heterogeneous space-time modeling for seismic activity and space-time residual analysis for point processes, Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, 11 (11-14) September 2000 (Invited lecture).

Huang, F. and Ogata, Y. (2000). Generalized Pseudo-Likelihood Estimates for Markov Random Fields on Lattice, Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, 11 (11-14) September 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Space-time point-process model and its residual model (in Japanese), 69th annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, 26 (25-28) July 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Evaluation of high dimensional Bayesian models: Two computational method, Workshop on Information-Based Induction Science, Shuzenji, Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan, 18 (17-18) July 2000 (Invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (1999). Statistical Discrimination of Anomalous Aftershock Sequence Preceding to Large Earthquakes in the Neighboring Region, 1999 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), San Francisco, USA, 14 (13-17) December 1999.

Ogata, Y. (1993). Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, 49th session of the ISI, Firenze, Italy, 30 September (25 August - 2nd September) 1993.

Ogata, Y. (1986). Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Inhomogeneity for Marked Point Patterns, 13th International Biometric Conference, University of Washington, Seattle, USA, 1 August (27 July - 1 August) 1986.

 


 

 

Teaching and postgraduate supervision

Postgraduate supervision

  • (joint) F. Komaki, PhD, State-Space Modeling of Time Series Sampled From Continuous Processes with Pulses, the Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI), 1985 – 1987.
  • Zenqi Guo, PhD, Statistical Analyses of Aftershocks for the Relations Between Their Models in Time, Space, and Magnitude, SOKEN-DAI, 1994 – 1997.
  • Fuchun Huang, PhD, Studies in Methods Toward Likelihood Based Inference for Spatial Statistical Models, SOKEN-DAI, 1995 – 1998.
  • Yoshiyuki Ninomiya, PhD, Distribution Theory for the Maximum of Random Fields and Its Applications to Change-Point Theory (in Japanese), SOKEN-DAI, 1998 – 2001.
  • Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Postdoctral Fellow, 1999.
  • Saneyuki Udagawa, Statistical Volocanology, Postdoctral Fellow, 2001.
  • Jessie Wilson, Research Student, 2001 – 2002.
  • Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, Some Applications of Point Process in Seismicity Modeling and Prediction, SOKEN-DAI, 2000 - 2002, Postdoctral Fellow, 2003.
  • Masatsugu Wakaura, PhD, Investigation of the surface air temperature anomaly, 2002 – 2006.
  • Ushio Tanaka, PhD, Parameter estimation and model selection for Neyman-Scott point processes, 2003 – 2006.
  • Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Statistical Seismology, JSPS Research Fellow, 2003 – 2005.
  • Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, JSPS Research Fellow, 2004 – 2005.
  • Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Research Fellow, 2005 – 2008.
  • Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Research Fellow, 2006.
  • Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, UCLA, Research Fellow, 2006 – 2007.
  • Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Swiss Seismological Service, Research Fellow, 2006 –
  • Ushio Tanaka, Spatial Statistics, Research Fellow, 2007 – 2009; Rikkyo University, 2010 –
  • Takao Kumazawa, SOKEN-DAI, 2007 – 2012.
  • Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, ISM, Assistant Professor, 2007 – 2011; Associate Professor, 2011 –
  • Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Waseda University, Assistant Professor, 2008 – 2011; ISM, Project Associate Professor, 2011 –
  • Shunichi Nomura, SOKEN-DAI, 2009 – 2012.
  • Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Assistant Professor, 2009 – 2012.
  • Takao Kumazawa, ISM, Project Researcher, 2012 –
  • Shunichi Nomura, ISM, Visiting Researcher, 2012 –

External examiner of:

  • David Harte, MSc in Mathematics, Victoria University of Wellington New Zealand 1982
  • Yasuaki Murata, External examiner of D.Sc. in Geophysics, Nagoya University, Japan, 1992

Lecture courses

  • 1978: Victoria University of Wellington, Akaike information statistics (Honours course)
  • 1978: Victoria University of Wellington, introduction to probability theory (2nd year)
  • 1986 - 1988: University of the Air, time series analysis (under graduate)
  • 1988: Kobe University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
  • 1993: Kyoto University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
  • 1993 - 1995: Keio University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
  • 1994: Tsukuba University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
  • 1997: Nagoya University, statistical seismology
  • 1998: Seoul National University, Korea, Introduction to statistical point process modelling, etc.
  • 1999: Tokyo Institute of Technology, Introduction to statistical point process modelling and Bayesian Statistics (graduate and undergraduate cources)
  • 2000: Kyoto University, Statistical modeling of earthquake occurences, Research Center for Earthquake Prediction, Disaster Prevention Research Institute
  • 2003: Statistical analysis of series of events, Hamamatsu Medical College, undergraduate students, September 2, 2003.
  • 2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (1): Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model for prediction and diagnosis of seismic activity, August 5, 2008.
  • 2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (2): Space-time seismicity modeling, August 6, 2008.
  • 2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (3): Bayesian modeling fo nonhomogeneous datasets, August 8, 2008.
  • 2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (4): Earthquake catalog and long-range correlation of seismic activity, August 14, 2008.
  • 2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Statistical Seismology Software Tutorials, August 12-13, 2008.
  • 2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Space-time ETAS model and stochastic declustering (Zhuang J and Ogata Y.), August 13, 2008.
  • 2008: SOKEN-DAI Lecture, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and statistical modeling, Modeling in statistical seismology, September 4 (4-5), 2008.
  • 2010: School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University (China), Modeling of temporal and spatial nonhomogeneity for space-time databases in geophysics, September, 2010.
  • 2010: China Earthquake Network Center (CENC) (China), Immediate forecasting of aftershock hazard and diagnostic ETAS model applications for monitoring seismicity anomalies, September, 2010.
  • 2010: Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration (China), Seismic and geodetic anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region: Applications of the ETAS model, September, 2010.
  • 2017: Tutorial Lecture at Peking University (China) seismic activity analysis summer course and young scholar geophysics frontier forum, July, 2017.

 


 

 

Software Development

  • Ogata, Y. (2006). Fortran programs statistical analysis of seismicity -updated version (point process data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time Series and Control Program Package, SASeis2006, Computer Science Monograph, No.33, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Ogata, Y., Katsura, K. and Zhuang, J. (2006). Fortran programs statistical analysis of series of events (point process data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time Series and Control Program Package, TIMSAC-84-SASE Version2, Computer Science Monograph, No.32, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Utsu, T. and Ogata, Y. (1997). Computer program package: Statistical Analysis of point processes for Seismicity, SASeis, IASPEI Software Library for personal computers, the International Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior in collaboration with the American Seismological Society, Vol.6, pp.13-94.
  • Akaike, H., Ozaki, T., Ishiguro, M., Ogata, Y., Kitagawa, G., Tamura, Y., Arahata, E., Katsura, K. and Tamura, R. (1985). Fortran programs statistical analysis of series of events (point process data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time Series and Control Program Package, TIMSAC-84, Computer Science Monograph, No. 22/23, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.

 


 

 

Hobbies

Listening to classic musics, Painting, Go game, "Rakugo" performance (classic commic telling), Swimming.

 


 

 

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Updated on 17 October 2017