Curriculum Vitae
Yosihiko Ogata
Updated
on 24 February 2010
Japanese
Research interests
- Statistical Analysis
for Point Processes
- Statistical Seismology
- Spatial Statistics,
and
- Bayesian Modelling
and its Applications.
Membership
- International Statistical Institute (elected)
- Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and
Probability
- American Geophysical
- the Statistical Society of
- the Seismological Society of
- the Mathematical Society of
Employment
Current position
Professor, the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
(ISM),
Council Member, the ISM (2004-).
Concurrent Professor, Department of Statistical Science, School of
Multidisciplinary Sciences, the Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI),
Member of the Education and Research Council, SOKEN-DAI (2004-).
Dean, School of Multidisciplinary Sciences, SOUKEN-DAI (2008-).
Selection Committee member of the President of the SOKEN-DAI Advanced Studies
(2008-).
Previous employment
November 1973 - June 1984:
Research Scientist, Institute of Statistical Mathematics (ISM).
July 1984 - March 1985: Principal Research Scientist of ISM.
April 1985 - June 1994: Associate Professor of ISM.
April 1989 - September 1994: Concurrent Associate Professor, Department of
Statistics, SOKEN-DAI.
July 1994 - present: Professor of ISM.
October 1994 - present: Concurrent Professor, Department of Statistics,
April 1998 - March 2000: Director of the Center for Development of Statistical
Computing, ISM.
June 1999 - March 2004: Member of the Advisory Council for Research and
Management, ISM
April 2000 - March 2002: Director of Department of Statistical Methodology,
ISM.
April 2002 - March 2003: Vice Dean, School of Mathematical and Physical
Sciences, SOKEN-DAI.
April 2002 - March 2004: Council Member, the SOKEN-DAI.
April 2002 - March 2008: Director, Department of Statistical Science, School of
Multidisciplinary Sciences, SOUKEN-DAI.
June 2006 - December 2007: Selection Committee member of the President of the
SOKEN-DAI Advanced Studies
Adjunct appointments
February 1978 -
August 1978:
Visiting Lecturer at
August 1978 -
November 1978:
Post-Doctoral Research Fellow at Statistics
Department, Advanced Institute,
December 1981 -
February 1982:
Research Fellow, Statistics Department, Advanced
Institute,
March 1982 - April
1982:
Research Fellow,
October 1984:
Visiting Fellow at the Geophysical Institute, State
Seismological Bureau,
1986 - 1988:
Concurrent Lecturer, University of the Air,
1986:
Concurrent Research Fellow, Earthquake Research
Institute,
November 1986 -
December 1986:
Visiting Fellow, Seminar fur Statistik, ETH,
December 1986:
Visiting Fellow, Department of Mathematics,
1986:
Concurrent Research Fellow, Geological Survey of
1987:
Concurrent Research Fellow, Earthquake Research
Institute,
May 1987 - June
1987:
Visiting Research Fellow, Division of Mathematics and
Statistics, CSIRO,
March 1988 - May
1988:
Subbatical leave supported by the Ministry of
Education, Science and Culture: University of
1988:
Concurrent Lecturer at Geophysics Department,
October 1988 -
March 1990:
Concurrent Research Fellow of the National Disaster
Prevention Research Center at Tsukuba, Japan, for the Project of the Science
and Technology Agency of Japan entiled Earthquake Fracture and Wave Propagation
in Inhomogeneous Structure of the Earth
1993:
Concurrent Lecturer at Geophysics Department,
1993 - 1995:
Concurrent Lecturer at Department of Science and
Engineering,
December 1993:
Visiting Research Scientist, Division of Image
Analysis the Center for Mathematics and Computer Science (CWI),
January 1994:
Visiting Fellow at Division of Mathematics and
Statistic, CSIRO,
October 1994 --
March 1995:
Concurrent Lecturer, Department of Mathematics,
April 1994 -
August 1994:
Concurrent Lecturer at Department of Science and
Engineering,
July 1996:
Visiting Research Fellow at
November 1998:
Visiting Fellow at Department of Statistic,
April 1999 -
September 1999:
Concurrent Lecturer at Graduate School of Information
Science and Engeneering, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan
May 2002 - June
2002:
June 2002: Very Important Visitor,
Education
1964 - 1966:
1967 - 1970:
1971 - 1972:
March 1973:
Master of Science (probability theory, ergodic
theory)Master thesis: Topics on the automorphisms in the probability space,
under the supervision of Professor Gishiro Maruyama
April 1973 -
November 1973:
Tokyo University of Education,
July 1980:
Doctor of Engineering (statistics),
Prize
September 2002:
Editorial positions
1983-95: Associate
Editor,
Proceeding of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (in Japanese)
1987-95: Associate
Editor,
International Statistical Review, the official journal of the International
Statistical Institute (ISI)
1993-2000:
Associate Editor,
BERNOULLI, the official journal of Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics
and Probability
1994-present:
Associate Editor,
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
1995-2002:
Associate Editor,
Journal of Statistical Planning & Inference
2000-2001: Editor,
Probability Statistics and Seismology: A Festschrift
for Professor David Vere-Jones
Professional societies
Domestic
1992:
Member, Organizing committee of US-Japan conference on
Frontiers of Statistical Modeling, University of Kentucky, Knoxville,
USA
1992 - 1993:
Council member, the Statistical Society of Japan
1992 - 93:
Treasurer and secretary of general affairs, the
Statistical Society of Japan
1993:
Member, Organizing committee of international
conference on Bayesian Inference and its Applications,
1994 - 95:
Council member, the Statistical Society of Japan
1996:
Member, External Review Committee for the special
projects in the Reserch Center of Earthquake Prediction and other division of
the National Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Science and
Technology Agency
1996 - 2001:
Member, Committee of the Research Project on
'Prediction of the forth comming Great Earthquake at Nankai Trough' organized
by the Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction, and sponsored
by the Science and Tecnological Agency of Japan
1997 - 1998:
Member, Adhoc Committee for Earthquake Research (Probabilistic
forecast of aftershocks), Administrative Office for Promotion of Earthquake
Researches, The Prime Minister's Office, Japan
1997 - 2001:
Member, Adhoc Committee for Earthquake Research
(Probabilistic forecast of large events on an active fault), Administrative
Office for Promotion of Earthquake Researches, The Prime Minister's Office,
Japan
1998:
Organizer of the special session at the Annual Meating
of the Statistical Society of Japan on "Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods
and Bayesian statistics
2001 - 2008:
Technical Researcher, the Science and Technology
Foresight Center, National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, Ministry
of Education, Culture, Sport, Science and Technology, Japan
2001 - 2009:
Special Member, Coordinating
Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute,
Ministry of Land, Infrastracture and Transport, Japan
2009- 2011:
Member, Coordinating
Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute,
Ministry of Land, Infrastracture and Transport, Japan
International
1990 - 1993:
Member, Committee for Statistics in the Physical
Science of Bernoulli Society
1990 - 1993:
Member, Scientific program committee of Bernoulli
Society for the 49th Session of the ISI at
1992:
Member, Organizing Committee of US-Japan Conference on
Frontiers of Statistical Modeling: An
Informational Approach,
1993:
Member, Organizing Committee of International
Conference on Bayesian Inference and its
Applications,
1993:
Organizer of the invited topic meeting on Statistics
in Earth Sciences for the 49th ISI Session in Firenze, Italy
1993 - 1995:
Member, Publications committee of the ISI
1994 - 1997:
Chairman, Scientific programme comittee of Bernoulli
Society for the 51st Session of the ISI,
1994 - 1997:
Member, Scientific programme coordinating comittee of
the ISI for the 51st Session of the ISI,
1995 - present:
Member, Committee for Statistics in the Physical
Science, Bernoulli Society
1996:
Reviewer of the Belgian National Fund for Scientific
Research
1996 - 1997:
Member of the International Advisory Committee of the
International Conference on Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability(sponsored
by the Indian Statistical Institute and co-sponsored by Bernoulli Society)
1995 - 1997:
Organizer of the conference on Point Processes;
Models and Applications, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
1996 -1997:
Organizer of the session on 'Earthquake Modelling and
Prediction', Conference on Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability,
Indian Statistical Institute,
1997:
Reviewer of Belgian National Fund for Scientific
Research
1997 -1999:
Member, Scientific Programme Committee of Conference
on Statistics in Space, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Athen, Greek
1997 -1999:
Chairman, the Organizing Committee of the 5th
International Symposium of the
1998 -1999:
Member, Scientific Programme Committee of the
international symposium on Probability and Statistics and Their Applications,
June 9-11 1999,
1999 -2001:
Member, Scientific Programme Committee of the
international symposium on Statistics and Applications, June 26-30, 2001,
1999 -2001:
Member, The International Organising Committee, The Second
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Victoria University of
Wellington, New Zealand, 18-19th April, 2001
Session organiser of the Third
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology,
2002 -2004:
Member, Scientific Program Committee of the Bernoulli
Society World Congress and 2004 Meeting of Institute of Mathematical
Statistics,
2004 - :
Member, ISI-Committee for Environmental Statistics
2006 -2007:
Advisory Board of the 5th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology,
2009 -2010:
Program Committee of the AGU Chapman Conference on
Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences,
Recent
conference talks
Ogata, Y. (2010). Significant improvements of the
space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity, “Earthquake Hazards in
Urban Areas” and “Toward Constructing
Forecast Systems of Earthquakes” -The 3rd SCEC-ERI joint workshop-, March 16 (16-17), 2010, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan (invited
lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2010). Researches
on seismicity by statistical models -A review-, Seismology for the blue earth and
the white continent -A symposium on solid earth around Antarctic-, March 9 (8-9),
2010, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan (special
invited lecture).
Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010).
A Bayesian predictor based on prior distributions of BPT model with slip rates,
The 185-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake
Prediction, February 15, 2010, Geographical Survey
Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Kumazawa, T. and
Ogata, Y. (2010). Aseismic slip scenario for transient crustal deformations
around the southern fault before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland earthquake, The
185-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake
Prediction, February 15, 2010, Geographical
Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo ,
Japan
Ogata, Y. (2009). Global
earthquake catalogs and long-range correlation of seismic activity, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 16 (14-18), 2009, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.
(invited
lecture).
Kumazawa, T., Ogata,
Y. and Ｔoda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku
District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), December 18 (14-18),
2009, Moscone Center ,
San Francisco , U.S.A.
Llenos, A.L., McGuire, J.J. and
Ogata, Y. (2009). Detecting Seismicity Rate Transients in the Hokkaido
Corner, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union (AGU), December 14 (14-18), 2009, Moscone
Center , San Francisco , U.S.A.
Ogata, Y. (2009).
Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture
before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay, 2009 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, October 21 (21-23), 2009, Yoshida
Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Ｔoda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku
District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, October 21 (21-23), 2009, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University , Kyoto ,
Japan
Nomura, S., Ogata,
Y., Ｔoda, S. and Komaki, F. (2009).
Prior distributions of BPT distribution in renewal process with slip rates and
comparing their prediction accuracy, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, October 23 (21-23), 2009, Yoshida
Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2009). Bayesian
spatial models for earthquake catalog, The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, September 7 (6-9), 2009, Kyotanabe Campus, Doshisha
University , Kyotanabe City , Japan
Kumazawa, T. and
Ogata, Y. (2009). Analysis of sesimicity anomalies by a point process model,
The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, September 8 (6-9), 2009, Kyotanabe
Campus, Doshisha University ,
Kyotanabe City , Japan
Ogata, Y. (2009). Earthquake
forecast in Japanese Islands based on location-dependent b-values and space-time
ETAS model, The 183-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake
Prediction, August 21, 2009, Geographical Survey
Institute, Kudan , Tokyo , Japan
Ogata, Y. (2009).
Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture
before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay and its aftershock
activity, The 183-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake
Prediction, August 21, 2009, Geographical
Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2009). Modeling for immediate aftershock probability forecasting, The 1st
Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting,, June 29 (June
28-July 1), 2009,
Ogata, Y. (2009). Space-time ETAS model for forecasting
seismicity in and around Japan, International Symposium on Toward Constructing
Earthquake Forecast Systems for Japan, May 27, 2009, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2009). Space-time model for wide
regional and global seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, May 20
(16-21), 2009, Makuhari Messe,
Ogata, Y. (2009). A correction
method of routinely determined hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region
(in Japanese), The 182-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, May 15, 2009, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo,
Japan.
Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009).
Seismicity changes in northern Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi
Nairiku Earthquake (in Japanese), The 182-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, May 15,
2009, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan ,
Ogata, Y. (2009). Location Dependent Space-Time Models for Wide
Regional and Global Seismicity, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology, April 15 (12-16), 2009,
Ogata,
Y. and Umino, N. (2009). Correction of routinely determined hypocenter
coordinates in far offshore region, The 6th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology, April 12-16, 2009,
Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity Rate
Changes Prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake of M7.2 in the
Neighboring Area, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology,
April 12-16, 2009,
Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time model for diagnosis of
wide regional and global seismicity, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 17 (15–19), 2008,
Zhuang, J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y.,
Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K. and
Jackson, D.D. (2008). Simulation studies on the differences between
spontaneous and triggered seismicity and on foreshock probabilities,
2008 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union (AGU), December 17 (15–19), 2008,
Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). The method to estimate
a slip distribution of a large earthquake based on the spatial distribution of
its aftershocks and rate- and state friction law:
Further development, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), December 16 (15–19), 2008,
Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time model for wide regional and global
seismicity, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical
Modeling and Analysis of Space-time
Data, November 27 (27-28), 2008, Okinawaseinenkaikan,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Local
likelihood estimates for point processes with applications in detecting spatial
changes of seismicity in
Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Identification and estimation of
the generalized Neyman-Scott spatial cluster fields, Grant-in-Aid for
Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, November 27 (27-28),
2008, Okinawaseinenkaikan,
Noguchi,
S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Global
Earthquake Catalogs and Long-Range Correlation of Seismic Activity (1), 7th General Assembly of Asian
Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, November 27 (24-27), 2008, Tsukuba
International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba City, Japan.
Ogata, Y. and Noguchi,
S. (2008). Global Earthquake Catalogs and Long-Range Correlation of Seismic
Activity (2), 7th General Assembly
of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, November 27 (24-27), 2008, Tsukuba International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba
City, Japan.
Zhuang,
J., Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Jackson, D.D.
(2008). Model dependent differences between background and triggered
earthquakes and their influences on foreshock probabilities, 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, November 27 (24-27), 2008,
Ogata, Y. (2008). Immediate and updated forecasting of aftershock
hazard (in
Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Large Earthquake and
Forecasting, November 4, 2008,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2008). Anomalies in seismic activity and transient crustal deformation, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing
And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, October 20 (18-23), 2008, Obergurgl
University Centre,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata,
Y. (2008). Using weighted likelihood estimates to detect spatial seismicity
changes, ESF-FWF Conference of
New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale
System, October 18-23, 2008, Obergurgl University Centre,
Iwata,
T., Toda, S., Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 2005
Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and the rate- and
state friction law, ESF-FWF
Conference of New
Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale
System, October 18-23, 2008, Obergurgl University Centre,
Ogata, Y. (2008). Precursory anomalies in seismicity (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics for
precursory phenomena, October 15 (15-16), 2008, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji City, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2008). Searching missing parents: A Bayesian inference of the Neyman-Scott type model (in
Japanese), The 2008 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, September
10 (7-10), 2008,
Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008). On- and off-fault aftershocks of
the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip preceding
the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting earthquake, 2008 Western Pacific
Geophysics Meeting, August 1 (July 29-August 1), 2008, Cairns Convention
Centre, Cairns, Australia.
Ogata,
Y. (2008). Seismicity anomaly and geodetic anomaly (in Japanese), Cooperative
Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and
forecasting, July 17 (17-18), 2008, Earthquake
Research Institute, University
of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008).
On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake
toggled by a slow slip preceding the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting
earthquake (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of
seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, July 17 (17-18), 2008, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial
slip distribution of a large earthquake derived from a spatial distribution of
its aftershocks (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics
of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, July 17 (17-18), 2008, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity
shadows and stress shadows in aftershock activity,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, May 21 (25-30), 2008, Makuhari Messe,
Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial
slip distribution of the 2005 Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from spatial
distribution of the aftershocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, May 30
(25-30), 2008, Makuhari Messe,
Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008).
On- and Off-fault Aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island Subduction Earthquake
Toggled by a Slow Slip Preceding the 2007 Great Outer-rise Normal Faulting
Earthquake (in Japanese), The 177-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, May 19, 2008, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan ,
Ogata,
Y. (2008). Space-time ETAS Model,
CSEP Global Collaboration & Testing Meeting, April 21,
2008, Southern California Earthquake Center,
Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity
anomaly and crustal deformation anomaly, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and
Earthquake Forecasting, February 20 (18-22), 2008, Victoria University of
Wellington, Wellington, NewZealand (invited lecture).
Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K., Christophersen,
A., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Jackson D.D. (UCLA) (2008). Differences
between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes, Evison Symposium on
Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, February 21 (18-22), 2008, Victoria
University of Wellington,
Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata,
Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 1995
Kobe earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and rate-and-state
friction law, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting,
February 19 (18-22), 2008, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington,
NewZealand (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2008). Modeling
of heterogeneous datasets, Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based Models
for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and
Climate Change, January 9 (6-28), 2008, Institute for Mathematical Sciences,
National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore (invited
lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2008). Standard point-process models for prediction
and diagnosis of earthquake activity, Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based
Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography
and Climate Change, January 11 (6-28), 2008, Institute for Mathematical
Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore
(invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2007). Aseismic Slips
Preceding Ruptures Assumed for Anomalous Seismicities and Crustal Deformations,
2007 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union (AGU), December 12 (10–14), 2007,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones,
D. (2007). Stochastic declustering:
visualizing of the family trees in earthquake catalogs with uncertainty, 2007
Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union (AGU), December 10 (10-14), 2007,
Iwata,
T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y.
(2007). Modelling of the spatio-temporal distribution of aftershocks based on
rate- and state friction law, 2007 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), December 10 (10-14), 2007,
Ogata, Y. (2007). A Bayesian MCMC inference for the Neyman-Scott
models (in Japanese), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on
Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time
Data, November 30 (29-December 1), 2007, Okayama International Center, Okayama
City, Japan.
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2007). A solution to the filtering problem on
Neyman-Scott point processes, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, November 30 (29-December 1), 2007, Okayama
International Center, Okayama City, Japan.
Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y.
(2007). Parameter
estimation and model selection of clustering spatial models
(in Japanese), Grant-in-Aid for
Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, November 30
(29-December 1), 2007,
Ogata,
Y. (2007). Bayesian
modeling for nonhomogeneoous datasets (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Seismicity Models and Earthquake
Probabilities, November 8 (8-9), 2007,
Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K.,
Christophersen, A., Vere-Jones D., Ogata Y. and Jackson D.D. (2007). Difference
between background and triggered earthquakes: their influences on foreshock
probabilities, Cooperative Research
meeting on Seismicity Models and Earthquake Probabilities, November 9
(8-9), 2007,
Ogata,
Y. (2007). On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki
earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around
the source, and the feature of the aftershock activity (in Japanese), 2007 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October 26 (24-26), 2007, Sendai International Center, Sendai
City, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2007). Precursory
slips assumed for the quiescence and activation and for the anomalous trend of
the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations (in Japanese), 2007
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October 24 (24-26), 2007, Sendai International Center, Sendai
City, Japan.
Iwata,
T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Modelling
of spatio-temporal distribution of aftershock rate based on rate- and state-dependent
constitutive friction law (in Japanese), 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, October 26 (24-26), 2007, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan.
Zhuang, J., Savage,
M.K., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D.,
Christophersen, A., Jackson, D.D. (2007). Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes, 2007
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October 26 (24-26), 2007,
Zhuang,
J., Ogata, Y. and Jackson, D.D. (2007). Forecasting performance of the ETAS model in
Ogata, Y. (2007). Anomalies of space-time aftershock point patterns relative to the Poisson
process, The 2007 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, September
7 (6-9), 2007,
Zhuang,
J. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Likelihood
based detection of cluster centers for Neyman-Scott processes, The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting,
September 8 (6-9), 2007,
Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Parameter estimation and model selection of clustering spatial models,
The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, September 7
(6-9), 2007, Kobe University, Kobe City, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2007). On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki
earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around
the source, and the normal feature of the aftershock activity (in
Japanese), The 174-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, August 20, 2007, Geographical Survey Institute,
Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2007). Diagnostic
Statistical Analyses to Detect the Seismicity and Geodetic Anomalies Relative to the Normal
Predictions, The 5th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology, June 6 (May 31-June 6), 2007, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for
Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy (tutorial talk).
Iwata,
T., Imoto, M., Horiuchi, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Probabilistic estimation of
earthquake growth to a large one in an earthquake early warning system:
Re-estimation for the Nankai trough region, The 5th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology, May 31-June6, 2007, "Ettore
Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy.
Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2007). Anomalies of seismicity in space
and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, May 19 (19-24), 2007, Makuhari
Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan.
Iwata,
T., Imoto, M., Horiuchi, S., and Ogata, Y. (2007). Probabilistic estimation of
earthquake growth to a catastrophic one for an earthquake early warning system:
Re-estimation for the Nankai Trough region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, May 21 (19-24), 2007, Makuhari
Messe,
Ogata, Y. (2007). Anomalies of seismicity in space and time
measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (in Japanese), The 171-st Meeting
of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, February 19, 2007,
Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2007). Introduction of Short-term prediction experiments, Workshop on
Earthquake Predictability and Time-dependent Forecasting, January 29 (28-31),
2007, Swiss Re Centre for Global Dialogue,
Ogata, Y.
(2006). Detection of precursory slips on a fault by the quiescence and
activation of seismicity relative to the ETAS model and by the anomalous trend
of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations around the fault,
2006 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union (AGU), December 11 (11–15), 2006, Moscone Center, San
Francisco, USA.
Tanaka,
U. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Parameter estimation and model selection for
Neyman-Scott point processes, International workshop, Space-time statistical
analysis; theory and applications, November
13 (13-15), 2006, Sanjo Conference Hall, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2006). Detection of precursory slips on a fault by the
quiescence and activation of seismicity relative to the ETAS model and by the
anomalous trend of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations
around the fault (in Japanese), 2006 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, November 2 (October 31-November 2), 2006, Nagoya Congress Center,
Nagoya City, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2006). Seismicity anomalies
measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, The 2006 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, September 6 (5-8), 2006, Kawauchi Campus of
Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Statistical analysis of clustered point patterns, The 2006 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting,
September 6 (5-8), 2006, Kawauchi Campus of
Ogata,
Y. (2006). Anomalies of seismic activities and geodetic trends preceding the
2004 Chuetsu Earthquake of M6.8 and the 2005 Western Fukuoka-Ken-Oki Earthquake
of M7.0 (in Japanese), The 169-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, August 21, 2006, Geographical Survey
Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Probability distributions
associated foreshocks implied by clustering models for earthquake occurrences, 2006 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting,
July 24 (24-27), 2006,
Zhuang,
J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2006). Statistical
modelling (tests) of the relationship between precursory phenomena and
earthquake ocurrences, 2006 Western
Pacific Geophysics Meeting, July 27 (24-27), 2006,
Ogata, Y. (2006). Seismicity anomaly from the predicted rate by
the ETAS model , Southern California Earthquake Center and Earthquake research
Institute Joint Workshop on Earthquakes in Urban Areas, June 1 (1-3), 2006, Embassy Mandalay Beach Resort,
Ogata,
Y. (2006). Anomalies of aftershock activities in space and time measured by the
ETAS model and relations to stress changes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, May 14 (14-18), 2006, Makuhari
Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2006). Review of the Akaike Information Criterion in the field of Earth Science: Prediction
of seismic activity and knowledge excavation by use of statistical models
(in Japanese), Symposium for the 75th anniversary of the foundation
of the Statistical Society of Japan, May
7 (6-7), 2006,
Ogata,
Y. (2006). Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005
earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Japan, by the ETAS model, 2006
International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor, March 6 (6-7), 2006, National Central University,
Taiwan (invited lecture).
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Background and clustering
seismicity in the
Ogata,
Y. (2006). Contributions of Professor Tokuji Utsu to statistical seismology and
recent developments, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology,
January 10 (9-13), 2006, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies,
Ogata, Y. (2006). Toward urgent forecasting of aftershock hazard:
Simultaneous estimation of b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter's law of the
magnitude frequency and changing detection rates of aftershocks immediately
after the mainshock, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology,
January 10 (9-13), 2006, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies,
Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2006). Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest
aftershock (M5.8) with likely scenarios of precursory slips considered for the
stress-shadow covering the aftershock area, The 4th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology, January 10 (9-13), 2006, The Graduate University for
Advanced Studies,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). The largest event in earthquake clusters
and relationship to foreshocks, 2005 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 8 (5–9), 2005, Moscone Convention Center West,
Ogata,
Y. (2005). Anomalies in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki
earthquake of M8.0 and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity
changes in the eastern Hokkaido inland (in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, October 20 (19-21), 2005, Hokkaido University,
Sapporo City, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2005). Relative quiescence reported before the
occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) in the aftershocks of the 2005
earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Kyusyu, and possible scenarios of
precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area
(in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October
19 (19-21), 2005, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan.
Zhuang,
J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). A study on the discrimination of foreshocks and other
types of earthquakes by using stochastic reconstruction (in Japanese), 2005
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October 19 (19-21), 2005,
Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2005). Toward urgent forecasting of aftershock hazard
– Simultaneous estimation of b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter’s law of the
magnitude frequency and changing detection rates of aftershocks immediately
after the mainshock, The 2005 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, September
13 (12-15), 2005, Hiroshima Prince Hotel, Hiroshima City, Japan.
Tanaka,
U. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Estimation of parameters for the Neyman-Scott spatial
cluster model, The 2005 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, September
13 (12-15), 2005, Hiroshima Prince Hotel,
Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismic activities in and around Tohoku
District, northern Japan, prior to the 16th August 2005 interplate earthquake
of M7.2 off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, and the aftershock activity of the M7.2
earthquake (in Japanese), The 165-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction , August 22, 2005,
Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2005). Aftershock activities of recent conspicuous earthquakes in and near
Ogata, Y. (2005). Prediction and discovery of seismic activity, Meeting of Faculty of Environmental Science
and Technology, Okayama University,
July 27, 2005, Okayama, Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2005). Seismicity changes in western Japan associated with the great
earthquakes near Nankai trough and their contemporary implications, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and
Planetary Science, May 22 (22-26), 2005, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2005). Simultaneous
estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application
to aftershock probability forecasting, 2005
Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, May 23 (22-26),
2005, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall,
Japan.
Ogata,
Y. (2005). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and
Planetary Science, May 26 (22-26), 2005, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan.
Murata, Y. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Surficial density estimation
from gravity data using Delaunay triangular network”, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, May 25
(22-26), 2005, Makuhari Messe, International
Conference Hall, Japan.
Zhuang,
J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Analyzing foreshock features by using stochastic
reconstruction, 2005 Joint Meeting for
Japan Earth and Planetary Science, May 26 (22-26), 2005, Makuhari
Messe,
Ogata, Y. (2005). Relative quiescence reported before the
occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) in the aftershocks of the 2005
earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Kyushu, and possible scenarios of
precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area
(in Japanese), The 164-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction , May 16, 2005, Geographical
Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity
anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (solicited), The
General Assembly 2005 of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), April 25 (24-29), 2005, the Austria
Center Vienna (ACV),
Ogata, Y.
(2005). Seismicity changes in and around Kyushu District before the 2005
earthquake of M7.0 in the western offshore of
Ogata, Y. (2005). Anomalies
in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0 and the
2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the eastern
Hokkaido inland (in Japanese), The 162-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction , February
21, 2005, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y.
(2004). Synchronous seismicity-rate-changes from the predicted
rates by the ETAS model in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003
Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0, 2004 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 14 (13–17), 2004, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA.
Ogata, Y. (2004). Simultaneous estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes
for the application to aftershock probability forecasting, 2004
Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union (AGU), December 14 (13–17), 2004, Moscone Convention
Center West,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Analyzing
earthquake clustering features by stochastic reconstruction -- foreshocks,
2004 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union (AGU), December 14 (13–17), 2004, Moscone Convention
Center West,
Ogata, Y. (2004). On an anomalous aftershock activity of the
2004 Niigata-Ken-Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8, and intermediate-term seismicity
anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region (in Japanese),
The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, November
15, 2004, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2004). On
the aftershock activity of the 2004 earthquake of M7.4 at the southeast off the
coast of the Kii peninsula, and constraints on the fault-rupture models by the
mechanisms and space-time pattern of the aftershocks II (in Japanese), The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, November 15, 2004, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo,
Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2004). Simultaneous
estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application
to aftershock probability forecasting (in Japanese), The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, November
15, 2004, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2004). On
an anomalous aftershock activity of the 2004 niigata-ken-Chuetsu earthquake of
M6.8, and intermediate-tern seismicity anomalies preceding the rupyure around
the focal region (in Japanese), The
160-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, November 4, 2004, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo,
Japan.
Zhuang,
J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Residual analysis of space-time branching processes
for earthquake occurrences, International workshop, Space-time statistical
analysis; theory and applications, November
3-6, 2004,
Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Estimation of parameters for the
Neyman-Scott's spatial cluster model, International workshop, Space-time
statistical analysis; theory and applications, November 3-6, 2004,
Ogata, Y. (2004). On changes of
statistical distribution of focal mechanisms of events prior to the main ruptures
(in Japanese), 2004 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October
10 (9-11), 2004, Kyusyu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Some features of background and
clustering seismicity resolved by using stochastic declustering, 2004 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October 11 (9-11), 2004, Kyusyu
University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2004). On the aftershock
activity of the 2004 earthquake of M7.4 at the southeast off the coast of the
Kii peninsula, and constraints on the fault-rupture models by the mechanisms
and space-time pattern of the aftershocks I (in Japanese), The 159-th Meeting
of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, September
17, 2004, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2004). Synchronous
seismicity changes in and around the northern
Zhuang,
J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Residual analysis of space-time branching processes
for earthquake occurrences, The 2004
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, September 3-6, 2004, Fuji University, Hanamaki City,
Japan.
Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Estimation of parameters for the
Thomas spatial cluster model, The 2004
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, September 3-6, 2004,
Ogata, Y. (2004). Space-time model for
regional seismicity and detection of crustal stress changes, The 6th World
Congress of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability,
and 67th Annual Meeting of the
Ogata, Y. (2004). Seismicity
changes and stress changes in and around the northern Japan relating to the
2003 Tokachi earthquake of M8.0, 2004
Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, May 9-13, 2004,
Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall,
Japan.
Zhuang,
J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Stochastic reconstruction of
clustering features of earthquakes, 2004
Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, May 10 (9-13),
2004, Makuhari Messe,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Diagnostic
analyses of space-time branching processes for earthquakes, International
Conference on Spatial Point Process Modelling and its Applications (SPPA),
April 8 (4-8), 2004, Castellon
Ogata, Y. (2004). Statistical models of
point processes and prediction and discovery in seismic activity (in Japanese),
Spring Meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, March 30, 2004,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Visualizing
goodness-of-fit of point-process models for earthquake clusters, Analysis of
Natural and Social Phenomena: Data Science and System Reduction; an
international workshop of the 21st Century COE Program at Keio University,
March 21 (21-23), 2004, Pan Pacific Hotel, Yokohama, Japan (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2004). Stress changes,
seismicity changes and statistical models, Workshop on Seismic Activity and
Probabilities of Major Earthquakes in the Kanto and Tokai Area, Japan, March
9-11, 2004, Wadati Memorial Hall, Institute for Earth Science and Disaster
Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan (invited presentation).
Ogata, Y. (2004). Static
triggering and statistical modeling (in Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey
Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, February
16, 2004, Japan (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2004). Seismicity changes
and stress changes in and around the northern
Ogata, Y. (2003). Space-Time
Model of Regional Seismicity for Revealing Temporal Anomalies, International
Symposium, Science of Modeling; The 30th Anniversary of the Information
Criterion(AIC), December 15 (14-17), 2003, Pacifico Yokohama (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2003). Detection
of anomalous seismicity as a stress change sensor, 2003 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 10 (8–12), 2003, Moscone Convention Center West,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones D. (2003). Testing of hypotheses associated earthquake clustering
features by using the stochastic reconstruction method, 2003 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 10 (8–12), 2003, Moscone Convention Center West,
Ogata, Y. (2003). Quiescence
of foreshock/aftershock activity in and off the coast of Miyagi prefecture,
northern Japan, and their correlation to the triggered stress-changes (in
Japanese), 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, October 8
(6-8), 2003, Kyoto International Conference Hall, Kyoto, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2003). Statistical
analysis of seismic activities in and around Tohoku District, northern
Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity-change-analysis
by a space-time point-process model (in Japanese), The
2003 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting (71th
annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society), September
5 (2-5), 2003,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y.
(2003). Stochastic reconstruction of characteristic associated with
earthquake clusters, The 2003 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting (71th
annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society), September 5 (2-5), 2003,
Ogata, Y. (2003). Quiescence of the 2003
foreshock/aftershock activities in and off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture,
northern Japan, and their correlation to the triggered stress-changes (in
Japanese), The 153-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, August
18, 2003, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2003). Modeling
of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrence, Point processes--theory and
applications, June 22 (21-26), 2003, the Banff International Research Station
for Mathematical Innovation and Discovery (BIRS),
Ogata, Y. (2003). On
seismicity changes in western
Ogata, Y. (2003). Analysis
of sesimicity changes by a spatiotemporal point process model, 2003 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and
Planetary Science, May 28 (26-29), 2003, Makuhari Messe,
Ogata, Y. (2003). Sesimicity-change-analysis
by a space-time point-process model, Third International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology, May 5 (4-10), 2003, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico
(invited presentation).
Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity
quiescence and activation in western Japan associated with the two great earthquakes
in Nankai Trough, Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, May 5
(4-10), 2003, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico.
Ogata, Y. (2003). A
practival space-time model for regional seismicity, Session on "Scaling, cascades
and self-organized criticality in Earthquakes: Damage mechanics and
Predictabulity, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, April 10 (6-11), 2003,
Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity changes in
western Japan (1995-2001) detected by a statistical space-time model
(in Japanese), The 150-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction , February 17, 2003,
Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2002). A
Practical Space-Time Model for Regional Seismicity, 2002 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 8 (6–10), 2002, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA.
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2002). Statistical confirmtion of a
relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, 2002 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union (AGU), December 6 (6–10), 2002, Moscone Convention Center West,
San Francisco, USA.
Ogata, Y. (2002). Modelling
of regional space-time earthquake occurrences (in Japanese), 2002 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nobember 13 (11-13), 2002,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y.
(2002). Stochastic reconstruction of earthquake clusters and its
application to foreshock studies, 2002 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nobember 12 (11-13), 2002,
Ogata, Y. (2002). Modelling
of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrences and Its residual analysis,
Workshop on Statistical Seismology, September 25-29, 2002,
Ogata, Y. (2002). Visualization
and monitoring of regional seismic activities by the space-time statistical
models (in Japanese), Symposium for planning of the next research project of
the Coordination Committee for Earthquake Prediction Research in Universities,
September 18 (17-18), 2002, Earthquake Research
Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2002). Uncertainty
of probability forecast of large earthquakes and renewal processes dependent of
their marks (in Japanese), The 2002
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, September 10 (7-10), 2002,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan H. (2002). Statistical confirmtion of a relationship between
excitation of precursors and earthquakes, The 2002 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, September 10 (7-10),
2002, Meisei University, Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2002). Analysis
of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA
Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, June 13 (10-14), 2002,
Ogata, Y. (2002). Which
models seem most promising?, IMA
Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, June 10-14, 2002, Institute
of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota,
USA (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM).
Ogata, Y. (2002). Demonstrations
of space-time seismicity analysis, IMA
Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, June 10-14, 2002,
Ogata,
Y. and Toda, S. (2002). A
possible mechanism for the precursory relative quiescence of aftershock
activity, 2002 Joint Meeting for Japan
Earth and Planetary Science, May 31 (27-31), 2002, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2002). Statistical confirmtion of a
relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, M 2002 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and
Planetary Science, May 28 (27-31), 2002, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center,
Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2002). Space-time
analysis of earthquake catalog, Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Spatial
Statistics and Statistical Physics, February 10-16, 2002, Mathematisches
Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Annealing
MCMC integration with application to likelihood computation of Bayesian models,
International Symposium on New Trends in Optimization and Computational
Algorithms (NTOC2001), December 9 (9-13), 2001, Kyodai Kaikan,
Ogata, Y. (2001). When and
where the aftershock activities were depressed (in Japanese), 2001 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, October 25 (24-26), 2001,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time
modeling of seismicity, Session on Statistics for Spatial and Spatial-Temporal
Processes, the 53rd Session of the International Statistical Institute, August
24 (23-29), 2001, Seoul, Republic of Korea (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2001). Modelig of
clustered space-time point ptocesses in seismology, Session on Spatial
Statistics at the 2001 Annual Meeting of Institute of Mathematical Statistics
(IMS), August 8 (5-9), 2001,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Practical
etreme value analyses for seismicity, International Symposium on Extrem Value
Analysis: Theory and Practice, August 6 (5-10), 2001,
Ogata, Y. (2001). The 51st
Symposium on Science of Form,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling
of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Japan-U.S.
Seminar on Statistical Time Series Analysis, June 21 (18-22), 2001,
Shiran-Kaikan,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling
of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and
Planetary Science, June 4 (4-8), 2001, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Ma, L. (2001). Statistical causal relationship between earthquake
occurrences and the ultra-low frequency ground electric signals, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and
Planetary Science, June 6 (4-8), 2001,
Nishimae,
Y., Ogata, Y., Takayama, H. and Matsuoka H. (2001). Epicenter correction of earthquakes in Matsushiro Seismic
Array System by spline function, 2001
Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, June 6 (4-8), 2001,
Ogata, Y., Zhuang,
J. (2001). Statistical examination of
anomalies for the precursor to earth-quakes, and the multi-element prediction
formula: Hazard rate changes of strong earthquakes (M≧4) around Beijing area based on the ultra-low
frequency ground electric observation (1982-1997)
(in Japanese), The 143-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction , May 21, 2001, Geographical
Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y. (2001). Modelling
of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Symposium in
honor of David Vere-Jones, April 15, 2001, Victoria University of Wellington,
New Zealand (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2001). Stochastic
declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences, Second International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology, April 18-21, 2001, Victoria University of
Wellington; New Zealand.
Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time
modeling of earthquake occurrences, Meeting on Stochastic in the Sciences,
March 11-17, 2001, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
Ogata,
Y. (2000). Session on Research Project on 'Prediction of the forth comming Great Earthquake at
Nankai Trough' organized by the Association for the Development of Earthquake
Prediction, and sponsored by the Science and Tecnological Agency of Japan,
December 2000, Association for The Development of Earthquake Prediction, Tokyo,
Japan.
Ogata, Y. and
Jones, L M. (2000). Aftershock
analysis of the 1992 Landers earthquake: Significant quiescence, relative to
the normal aftershock decay, before the 1999 Hector Mine Earthquake, 2000 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union (AGU), December 10–14, 2000, Moscone Convention Center West,
Ogata, Y. (2000). Treatment
of uncertainties in estimating hazard of a large earthquake from a small number
of data (in Japanese), 2000 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
November 20 (20-22), 2000, Tsukuba, Japan.
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones,
D. (2000). A model based method alternative to
declusterig for estimating the background seismisity, 2000 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, November 22 (20-22), 2000,
Ogata, Y. (2000). Some
statistical features of foreshocks, Japan-US Workshop on Foreshocks and
Fracture, October 3-5, 2000, Heian Kaikan,
Ogata, Y. (2000). Theoretical
problems on GIS: Some problems on spatial statistics (in Japanese), The third
Symposium of the Center for Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo,
September 26, 2000, Sanjo Kaikan, University of Tokyo, Japan (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2000). Spatially
heterogeneous space-time modeling for seismic activity and space-time residual
analysis for point processes, Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal
Data, September 11 (11-14), 2000,
Huang, F. and Ogata, Y. (2000).
Generalized Pseudo-Likelihood Estimates for Markov Random Fields on Lattice, Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal
Data, September 11 (11-14), 2000,
Ogata, Y. (2000). Space-time
point-process model and its residual model (in Japanese), 69th annual meeting
of the Japan Statistical Society, July 26 (25-28), 2000,
Ogata, Y. (2000). Evaluation
of high dimensional Bayesian models: Two computational method, Workshop on
Information-Based Induction Science, July 18 (17-18), 2000, Shuzenji,
Ogata, Y. (1999). Statistical
Discrimination of Anomalous Aftershock Sequence Preceding to Large Earthquakes
in the Neighboring Region, 1999 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU),
December 14 (13-17), 1999, San Francisco, USA.
Ogata, Y. (1993). Space-time
modeling of earthquake occurrences, 49th session of
the ISI, September 30 (August 25-Srptember 2), 1993,
Ogata, Y. (1986). Likelihood
Analysis of Spatial Inhomogeneity for Marked Point Patterns, 13th
International Biometric Conference, August 1 (July 27-August 1), 1986,
Invited lectures
19th general assembly of International
Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, August 1987,
Point Process
Models for the Ststistical Analysis of the Seismicity and Assesment of the Time
Varying Hazard, 25th general assembly of International Association of
Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior, August 1989,
Three-Dimensional Spatial
Variation of b-Values of Magnitude Frequency Distribution Beneath the Kanto
District, Japan, Japan-US joint symposium on Fracture, Form and Fractals, September 1989, UCLA Lake
Arrowhead,
Quantative
modelling of Earthquake probabilities and intensities, Session on forecasting earthquake,
August 1992, International Association of Focasting,
Point Process Procedures for
Detecting Anomalous Earthquake Activity, Workshop on Modelling Earthquake Probabilities and
Characteristics Earthquakes,
August 1992, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand (invited lecturer).
Statistocal
features of foreshocks in comparison with other clusters, 27th general assembly
of International Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior,
January 1994, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand (invited speaker
for the special symposium on Earthquake Prediction).
3rd Seismology summer school,
August 1996,
Empirical laws of aftershocks and the ETAS model
(in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Seismicity
and Statistical Seismology, November 6, 1996, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
Open Public Symposium on
"Feasibility of Long-Term Forecasting of Large Earthquakes", March
1997, organized by the Seismological Society of Japan (selected talk).
Session on
"Models and Methods in Seismic Hazard Assessment", April 1998, the
23rd General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society,
International Workshop on
Seismicity Patterns, Their Statistical Significance and Physical Meaning
sponsored by
Workshop organized
by State Seismological Bureau of China on "Statistical Seismology: Methods
and Software", June 1998, Hang-Zhou,
Ogata,
Y. (2000). Some statistical
features of foreshocks, Japan-US Workshop on Foreshocks and Fracture, October
2000, Heian Kaikan,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences,
Second International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, April 18-21, 2001,
Victoria University of Wellington; New Zealand.
Ogata,
Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA
Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics,
June 10-14, 2002,
Ogata, Y. (2002). Which models seem most promising?, IMA
Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, June 10-14, 2002, Institute of Mathematics and its
Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA (tutorial lecture,
and a learder of a FORUM).
Ogata,
Y. (2002). Modelling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrences and Its
residual analysis, Workshop on Statistical Seismology, September 2002,
Ogata, Y. (2003). A practival space-time model for regional seismicity,
Session on "Scaling, cascades and self-organized criticality in
Earthquakes: Damage mechanics and Predictabulity, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint
Assembly, April 6-11, 2003,
Ogata,
Y. (2003). Sesimicity-change-analysis
by a space-time point-process model, Third International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology, May 4-10, 2003, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico (invited
presentation).
Ogata, Y. (2004). Static triggering and statistical modeling (in
Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of Coordinating
Committee for Earthquake Prediction ,
Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, February 16, 2004, Japan (invited
lecture).
Ogata,
Y. (2004). Stress changes,
seismicity changes and statistical models, Workshop on Seismic Activity and
Probabilities of Major Earthquakes in the Kanto and Tokai Area, Japan, March
9-11, 2004, Wadati Memorial Hall, Institute for Earth Science and Disaster
Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan (invited presentation).
Ogata, Y. (2004). Synchronous seismicity changes in and around the
northern
Ogata,
Y. (2005). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes
(solicited), The General Assembly 2005 of the European Geosciences Union (EGU),
April 24-29, 2005, the Austria Center Vienna (ACV),
Ogata, Y. (2005).
Seismicity changes in western
Ogata, Y. (2006). Contributions
of Professor Tokuji Utsu to statistical seismology and recent developments, The
4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, January 9-13, 2006, The
Graduate University for Advanced Studies,
Ogata, Y. (2006).
Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0
at the western
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006).
Background and clustering seismicity in the
Ogata, Y. (2006). Seismicity
anomaly from the predicted rate by the ETAS model , Southern California
Earthquake Center and Earthquake research Institute Joint Workshop on
Earthquakes in Urban Areas, June 1-3, 2006, Embassy Mandalay Beach Resort,
Ogata, Y. (2007). Introduction
of Short-term prediction experiments, Workshop on Earthquake Predictability and
Time-dependent Forecasting, January 28-31, 2007, Swiss Re Centre for Global
Dialogue,
Ogata, Y. (2007). Diagnostic Statistical Analyses to Detect the
Seismicity and Geodetic Anomalies
Relative to the Normal Predictions, The 5th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology, May 31-June6, 2007, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and
Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy (tutorial talk).
Fall meeting of the Mathematical
Society of Japan, October 1976, Tokyo Institute of Technology,
Workshop on
Analysis of Spatial Data, February 1982, Department of Mathematics and
Statistics,
Open lectures at the 37th
anniversary of the founding of the
Likelihood Analysis
of Spatial Point Patterns, 4th Japan-USSR symposium on Probability Theory and
Mathematical Statistics, August 1982,
Public lecture for Yokohama City
Citizens 1983,
Likelihood Analysis
of Point Processes and its Applications to Seismological Data, 44th session of
the ISI, September 1983,
Point Process Model with
Linearly Parameterized Intensity for the Application to Earthquake Data,
Japan-USA Joint seminar on Time Series Analysis, May 1984,
Likelihood Analysis
of Spatial Point Patterns, 12th International Biometric Conference, September
1984,
Likelihood Analysis of Spatial
Point Patterns, First national conference on Time Series Analysis, November
1984,
The Likelihood
Analysis for Spatial Point Patterns, 13th International Biometric Conference,
July 1986,
Fall meeting of the Mathematical
Society of Japan, September 1986,
Some Statistical
Methods for Modelling of Point Process Data, Conference on Stochastic Methods for
Biological Intelligence, October
1986,
Statistical Models for
Earthquake Occurrences and Residual Analysis Point Processes.
Statistical Analysis
of Point Process for Earthquake Prediction, Meeting of the Denmark Sciety of
Theoretical Statistics, April 1988,
Statistical Model for Standard
Seismicity and Detection of Anomalies by Residual Analysis, Conference on Statistics in Space and
Earth Science, August 1989,
Monte Carlo Method
for the Objective Bayesian Procedure (with Tanemura, M.), International symposium on Analysis of Statistical
Information, December 1989,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Likelihood Analysis
of Gibbs Point Processes in One and Two Dimensions (with Tanemura, M.), International symposium on Analysis
of Statistical Information,
December 1989, Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Analysis of Temporal and Spatial
Heterogeneity of Magnitude Frequency Distribution Inferred From Earthquake
Catalogs, Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Geometric Statistics and
Stereology, December 1991, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
Statistical
Inferences of Point Processes Models Applied to Earthquake Data Sets, US-Japan
conference on Frontiers of Statistical Modeling, May 1992,
Lecture series for 10th
anniversary of the founding of
Statistical
Modelling of Earthquake Data, European Meeting of Statisticians, September
1992,
Fall meeting of the Mathematical
Society of Japan, October 1992,
On the Epidemic Type
Aftershock Sequence model, US-Japan joint meeting on Time Series Analysis, January 1993,
Comments on the invited papers
in the session of "Time Series: Application and Theory, 49th session of the ISI, September 1993,
Space-time modeling
of earthquake occurrences, International conference on Bayesian Inference and its
Applications, December
1993,
17th Probability Summer School,
May-June1994, (supported by
Meeting on Mathematische
Stochastik, March 1995,
Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
50th session of ISI, August
1995, Beijin,
13th Australian
Statistical Conference (Sydney International Statistical Congress), July 1996,
Empirical laws of aftershocks and the ETAS model (in Japanese), ISM
Public Lecture, Seismicity and
Statistical Seismology, November 6, 1996, Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
Meeting on Point
processes: models and applications, February 1997, Mathematisches
Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
Meeting on Mathematische
Stochastik, March 1997, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
51th Session of the
ISI in Istanbul, August 1997, Turkey (invited discussant at the two invited
paper meetings organized by the international Astronomical Union and Bernoulli
Society, respectively).
International Summer School of
Graduate University for Advanced Studies, September 1997,
International
Symposium on "Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability",
December 1997, (organized by the Indian Statistical Institute,coorganized by Bernoulli
Society), invited paper on the topic of "Earthquake Modelling and
Prediction".
The Joint Statistical Meetings,
ASA-ENAR-WNAR-IMS-SSC, August 1998, the Session on Modeling and Model Selection
- Theory and Applications,
International
Symposium, on Probability and Statistics and Their Applications, June 9-11,
1999,
Ogata,
Y. (2000). Evaluation of high dimensional Bayesian models: Two computational
method, Workshop on Information-Based Induction Science, July 2000, Shuzenji,
Ogata, Y. (2000). Spatially heterogeneous space-time modeling for seismic activity
and space-time residual analysis for point processes, Research Symposium:
Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, September 2000,
Ogata,
Y. (2000). Theoretical
problems on GIS: Some problems on spatial statistics (in Japanese), The third
Symposium of the Center for Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo,
September 2000, Sanjo Kaikan, University of Tokyo, Japan (invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, Meeting
on Stochastic in the Sciences, March 17-21, 2001, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut
Oberwolfach,
Ogata,
Y. (2001). Modelling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual
analysis, Symposium in honor of David Vere-Jones, April 2001, Victoria
University of Wellington, New Zealand
(invited lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its
residual analysis, Japan-U.S. Seminar on Statistical Time Series Analysis, June
18-22, 2001, Shiran-Kaikan,
Ogata,
Y. (2001). The 51st Symposium on Science of Form,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Practical etreme value analyses for seismicity, International
Symposium on Extrem Value Analysis: Theory and Practice, August 5-10, 2001,
Ogata,
Y. (2001). Modelig of clustered space-time point ptocesses in seismology,
Session on Spatial Statistics at the 2001 Annual Meeting of Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (IMS), August 5-9, 2001,
Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of seismicity, Session on
Statistics for Spatial and Spatial-Temporal Processes, the 53rd Session of the
International Statistical Institute, August 23-29, 2001,
Ogata,
Y. (2001). Annealing MCMC integration with application to likelihood
computation of Bayesian models, International Symposium on New Trends in Optimization
and Computational Algorithms (NTOC2001), December 9-13, 2001, Kyodai Kaikan,
Ogata, Y. (2002). Space-time analysis of earthquake catalog, Meeting on
Stochastic Geometry, Spatial Statistics and Statistical Physics, February
10-16, 2002, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach,
Ogata,
Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA
Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics,
June 10-14, 2002,
Ogata, Y. (2002). Which models seem most promising?, IMA
Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics,
June 10-14, 2002, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of
Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a
FORUM).
Ogata,
Y. (2003). Modeling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrence, Point
processes--theory and applications, June 21-26, 2003, the Banff International
Research Station for Mathematical Innovation and Discovery (BIRS),
Ogata, Y. (2003). Space-Time Model of Regional Seismicity for Revealing
Temporal Anomalies, International Symposium, Science of Modeling; The 30th
Anniversary of the Information Criterion(AIC), December 14-17, 2003, Pacifico
Yokohama (invited lecture).
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and
Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Visualizing goodness-of-fit of point-process models for
earthquake clusters, Analysis of Natural and Social Phenomena: Data Science and
System Reduction; an international workshop of the 21st Century COE Program at
Keio University, March 21-23, 2004, Pan Pacific Hotel, Yokohama, Japan (invited
lecture).
Ogata, Y. (2004). Statistical models of point processes and prediction
and discovery in seismic activity (in Japanese), Spring Meeting of the
Mathematical Society of Japan, March 30, 2004,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and
Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Diagnostic analyses of space-time branching processes
for earthquakes, International Conference on Spatial Point Process Modelling
and its Applications (SPPA), April 4-8, 2004, Castellon
Ogata, Y. (2004). Space-time model for regional seismicity and detection
of crustal stress changes, The 6th World Congress of the Bernoulli Society for
Mathematical Statistics and Probability, and 67th Annual Meeting of the
Ogata, Y. (2006). Review of the Akaike Information Criterion in the field
of Earth Science: Prediction of seismic activity and knowledge excavation by
use of statistical models (in Japanese), Symposium for the 75th
anniversary of the foundation of the Statistical Society of Japan, May 6-7, 2006,
Teaching and postgraduate supervision
Postgraduate supervision
- (joint) F. Komaki, PhD, State-Space Modeling of
Time Series Sampled From Continuous Processes with Pulses, the
- Zenqi Guo, PhD, Statistical Analyses of
Aftershocks for the Relations Between Their Models in Time, Space, and
Magnitude, SOKEN-DAI, 1994 – 1997.
- Fuchun Huang, PhD, Studies in Methods Toward
Likelihood Based Inference for Spatial Statistical Models, SOKEN-DAI, 1995
– 1998.
- Yoshiyuki Ninomiya, PhD, Distribution Theory for
the Maximum of Random Fields and Its Applications to Change-Point Theory
(in Japanese), SOKEN-DAI, 1998 – 2001.
- Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Postdoctral Fellow,
1999.
- Saneyuki Udagawa, Statistical Volocanology,
Postdoctral Fellow, 2001.
- Jessie Wilson, Research Student, 2001 – 2002.
- Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, Some
Applications of Point Process in Seismicity Modeling and Prediction,
SOKEN-DAI, 2000 - 2002, Postdoctral Fellow, 2003.
- Masatsugu Wakaura, PhD, Investigation of the
surface air temperature anomaly, 2002 – 2006.
- Ushio Tanaka, PhD, Parameter estimation
and model selection for Neyman-Scott point processes, 2003 – 2006.
- Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Statistical Seismology, JSPS
Research Fellow, 2003 – 2005.
- Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, JSPS
Research Fellow, 2004 – 2005.
- Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Research Fellow, 2005 –
2008.
- Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Research Fellow,
2006.
- Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, UCLA,
Research Fellow, 2006 – 2007.
- Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Swiss Seismological Service,
Research Fellow, 2006 –
- Ushio Tanaka, Spatial Statistics, Research
Fellow, 2007 –
- Takao Kumazawa, SOKEN-DAI, 2007 –
- Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, ISM, Assistant Professor, 2007 –
- Takaki Iwata, Seismology,
- Shunichi Nomura, SOKEN-DAI, 2009 –
- Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology,
Earthquake Research
Institute, The
External examiner of:
- David Harte, MSc in Mathematics,
- Yasuaki Murata, External examiner of D.Sc. in
Geophysics,
Lecture courses
- 1978:
- 1978:
- 1986 - 1988: University of the Air, time series
analysis (under graduate)
- 1988:
- 1993:
- 1993 - 1995:
- 1994:
- 1997:
- 1998:
- 1999: Tokyo Institute of Technology, Introduction
to statistical point process modelling and Bayesian Statistics (graduate
and undergraduate cources)
- 2000:
- 2003: Statistical analysis of series of events,
- 2008: National
Geophysical Research Institute (
- 2008: National
Geophysical Research Institute (
- 2008: National
Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India),
Introduction to Statistical Seismology (3): Bayesian modeling foｒ nonhomogeneous datasets, August 8, 2008.
- 2008: National
Geophysical Research Institute (
- 2008: National
Geophysical Research Institute (
- 2008: National
Geophysical Research Institute (
- 2008: SOKEN-DAI Lecture, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and
statistical modeling, Modeling
in statistical seismology, September
4 (4-5), 2008.
Software Development
- Ogata, Y. (2006). Fortran programs statistical
analysis of seismicity -updated version (point process data), EPTREN,
LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time Series and Control
Program Package, SASeis2006, Computer
Science Monograph, No. 33, The Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
- Ogata, Y., Katsura, K. and Zhuang, J. (2006).
Fortran programs statistical analysis of series of events (point process
data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time
Series and Control Program Package, TIMSAC-84-SASE Version2, Computer
Science Monograph,
No. 32, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
- Utsu, T. and Ogata, Y. (1997). Computer program
package: Statistical Analysis of point processes for Seismicity, SASeis,
IASPEI Software Library for personal computers, the International
Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior in collaboration
with the American Seismological Society, Vol. 6, pp. 13-94.
- Akaike, H., Ozaki, T., Ishiguro, M., Ogata, Y.,
Kitagawa, G., Tamura, Y., Arahata, E., Katsura, K. and Tamura, R. (1985).
Fortran programs statistical analysis of series of events (point process
data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time
Series and Control Program Package, TIMSAC-84, Computer
Science Monograph,
No. 22/23, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
Hobbies
Listening
to classic musics, Painting, Go game, "Rakugo" performance (classic
commic telling), Swimming.
Updated on 24 February 2010