Curriculum Vitae

Yosihiko Ogata

Updated on 12 July 2010 Japanese

Membership

International Statistical Institute (elected)
Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
American Geophysical Union
the Statistical Society of Japan
the Seismological Society of Japan
the Mathematical Society of Japan
Japan Geoscience Union

Professor, the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (ISM), Tokyo.
Leader, Statistical Seismology Research Group, Prediction and Knowledge Discovery Research Center, the ISM.
Council Member, the ISM (2004-).
Concurrent Professor, Department of Statistical Science, School of Multidisciplinary Sciences, the Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI), Japan.

Previous employment

November 1973 - June 1984: Research Scientist, Institute of Statistical Mathematics (ISM).
July 1984 - March 1985: Principal Research Scientist of ISM.
April 1985 - June 1994: Associate Professor of ISM.
April 1989 - September 1994: Concurrent Associate Professor, Department of Statistics, SOKEN-DAI.
July 1994 - present: Professor of ISM.
October 1994 - present: Concurrent Professor, Department of Statistics, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences (-2004) / School of Multidisciplinary Sciences (2004-), SOKEN-DAI.
April 1998 - March 2000: Director of the Center for Development of Statistical Computing, ISM.
June 1999 - March 2004: Member of the Advisory Council for Research and Management, ISM
April 2000 - March 2002: Director of Department of Statistical Methodology, ISM.
April 2002 - March 2003: Vice Dean, School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, SOKEN-DAI.
April 2002 - March 2004: Council Member, the SOKEN-DAI.
April 2002 - March 2008: Director, Department of Statistical Science, School of Multidisciplinary Sciences, SOUKEN-DAI.
April 2004 - March 2010: Member of the Education and Research Council, SOKEN-DAI.
June 2006 - December 2007: Selection Committee member of the President of the SOKEN-DAI Advanced Studies
April 2008 - March 2010: Dean, School of Multidisciplinary Sciences, SOUKEN-DAI.
June 2008 - March 2010: Selection Committee member of the President of the SOKEN-DAI Advanced Studies.

Adjunct appointments

February 1978 - August 1978:

Visiting Lecturer at Mathematics Department,Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand

August 1978 - November 1978:

Post-Doctoral Research Fellow at Statistics Department, Advanced Institute, Australian National University

December 1981 - February 1982:

Research Fellow, Statistics Department, Advanced Institute, Australian National University

March 1982 - April 1982:

Research Fellow, Institute of Statistics and Operations Research, Victoria University of Wellington

October 1984:

Visiting Fellow at the Geophysical Institute, State Seismological Bureau, Beijing, China

1986 - 1988:

Concurrent Lecturer, University of the Air, Japan

1986:

Concurrent Research Fellow, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo

November 1986 - December 1986:

Visiting Fellow, Seminar fur Statistik, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland

December 1986:

Visiting Fellow, Department of Mathematics, Mining Academy of Freiberg, G.D.R. (East Germany)

1986:

Concurrent Research Fellow, Geological Survey of Japan, Ministry of Commerce and Industry of Japan

1987:

Concurrent Research Fellow, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo

May 1987 - June 1987:

Visiting Research Fellow, Division of Mathematics and Statistics, CSIRO, Australia

March 1988 - May 1988:

Subbatical leave supported by the Ministry of Education, Science and Culture: University of Durham and University of Strathclyde, UK; University of Copenhagen (the Statistical Research Unit and Department of Mathematics) and University of Aarhus, Demmark; University of Gothenberg, Sweden; Naval Postgraduate school at Monterey; US Geological Survery at Menlopark; and Stanford University (Departments of Statistics and Geophysics), USA

1988:

Concurrent Lecturer at Geophysics Department, Graduate School, Kobe University, Japan

October 1988 - March 1990:

Concurrent Research Fellow of the National Disaster Prevention Research Center at Tsukuba, Japan, for the Project of the Science and Technology Agency of Japan entiled Earthquake Fracture and Wave Propagation in Inhomogeneous Structure of the Earth

1993:

Concurrent Lecturer at Geophysics Department, Graduate School, Kyoto University, Japan

1993 - 1995:

Concurrent Lecturer at Department of Science and Engineering, Graduate School, Keio University, Japan

December 1993:

Visiting Research Scientist, Division of Image Analysis the Center for Mathematics and Computer Science (CWI), Amsterdam, the Netherlands

January 1994:

Visiting Fellow at Division of Mathematics and Statistic, CSIRO, Australia

October 1994 -- March 1995:

Concurrent Lecturer, Department of Mathematics, Graduate School, Tsukuba University, Japan

April 1994 - August 1994:

Concurrent Lecturer at Department of Science and Engineering, Graduate School, Keio University, Japan

July 1996:

Visiting Research Fellow at Institute of Statistics and Operations Research, Victoria University of Wellington

November 1998:

Visiting Fellow at Department of Statistic, Seoul National University, Korea

April 1999 - September 1999:

Concurrent Lecturer at Graduate School of Information Science and Engeneering, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan

May 2002 - June 2002:

June 2002: Very Important Visitor, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.

Education

1964 - 1966:

Yamagata-Higashi High School, Yamagata-city, Japan

1967 - 1970:

Shizuoka University (mathematics, probability theory)

1971 - 1972:

Tokyo University of Education, Graduate School, Master Course (Mathematical Sciences)

March 1973:

Master of Science (probability theory, ergodic theory)Master thesis: Topics on the automorphisms in the probability space, under the supervision of Professor Gishiro Maruyama

April 1973 - November 1973:

Tokyo University of Education, Graduate School, Doctor Course (mathematical sciences)

July 1980:

Doctor of Engineering (statistics), Osaka University, Japan. Doctoral Thesis: Contributions to the statistical analysis of series of events by the likelihood procedure

Prize

September 2002: Japan Statistical Society Prize

Editorial positions

1983-95: Associate Editor,

Proceeding of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (in Japanese)

1987-95: Associate Editor,

International Statistical Review, the official journal of the International Statistical Institute (ISI)

1993-2000: Associate Editor,

BERNOULLI, the official journal of Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

1994-present: Associate Editor,

Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

1995-2002: Associate Editor,

Journal of Statistical Planning & Inference

2000-2001: Editor,

Probability Statistics and Seismology: A Festschrift for Professor David Vere-Jones

Professional societies

Domestic

1992:

Member, Organizing committee of US-Japan conference on Frontiers of Statistical Modeling, University of Kentucky, Knoxville, USA

1992 - 1993:

Council member, the Statistical Society of Japan

1992 - 93:

Treasurer and secretary of general affairs, the Statistical Society of Japan

1993:

Member, Organizing committee of international conference on Bayesian Inference and its Applications, Fuji-Yoshida, Japan

1994 - 95:

Council member, the Statistical Society of Japan

1996:

Member, External Review Committee for the special projects in the Reserch Center of Earthquake Prediction and other division of the National Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Science and Technology Agency

1996 - 2001:

Member, Committee of the Research Project on 'Prediction of the forth comming Great Earthquake at Nankai Trough' organized by the Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction, and sponsored by the Science and Tecnological Agency of Japan

1997 - 1998:

Member, Adhoc Committee for Earthquake Research (Probabilistic forecast of aftershocks), Administrative Office for Promotion of Earthquake Researches, The Prime Minister's Office, Japan

1997 - 2001:

Member, Adhoc Committee for Earthquake Research (Probabilistic forecast of large events on an active fault), Administrative Office for Promotion of Earthquake Researches, The Prime Minister's Office, Japan

1998:

Organizer of the special session at the Annual Meating of the Statistical Society of Japan on "Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and Bayesian statistics

2001 - 2008:

Technical Researcher, the Science and Technology Foresight Center, National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sport, Science and Technology, Japan

2001 - 2009:

Special Member, Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Ministry of Land, Infrastracture and Transport, Japan

2009- 2011:

Member, Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Ministry of Land, Infrastracture and Transport, Japan

International

1990 - 1993:

Member, Committee for Statistics in the Physical Science of Bernoulli Society

1990 - 1993:

Member, Scientific program committee of Bernoulli Society for the 49th Session of the ISI at Firenze, Italy

1992:

Member, Organizing Committee of US-Japan Conference on Frontiers of Statistical Modeling: An Informational Approach, University of Kentucky, Knoxville, USA

1993:

Member, Organizing Committee of International Conference on Bayesian Inference and its Applications, Fuji-Yoshida, Japan

1993:

Organizer of the invited topic meeting on Statistics in Earth Sciences for the 49th ISI Session in Firenze, Italy

1993 - 1995:

Member, Publications committee of the ISI

1994 - 1997:

Chairman, Scientific programme comittee of Bernoulli Society for the 51st Session of the ISI, Istanbul, Turkey

1994 - 1997:

Member, Scientific programme coordinating comittee of the ISI for the 51st Session of the ISI, Istanbul, Turkey

1995 - present:

Member, Committee for Statistics in the Physical Science, Bernoulli Society

1996:

Reviewer of the Belgian National Fund for Scientific Research

1996 - 1997:

Member of the International Advisory Committee of the International Conference on Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability(sponsored by the Indian Statistical Institute and co-sponsored by Bernoulli Society)

1995 - 1997:

Organizer of the conference on Point Processes; Models and Applications, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany

1996 -1997:

Organizer of the session on 'Earthquake Modelling and Prediction', Conference on Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability, Indian Statistical Institute, India

1997:

Reviewer of Belgian National Fund for Scientific Research

1997 -1999:

Member, Scientific Programme Committee of Conference on Statistics in Space, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Athen, Greek

1997 -1999:

Chairman, the Organizing Committee of the 5th International Symposium of the Graduate University for Advanced Studies on "Strategies Toward Complex Systems", Shonan Village, Hayama, Japan

1998 -1999:

Member, Scientific Programme Committee of the international symposium on Probability and Statistics and Their Applications, June 9-11 1999, Hanoi, Vietnam

1999 -2001:

Member, Scientific Programme Committee of the international symposium on Statistics and Applications, June 26-30, 2001, Kuala Lumpur" under the auspices of the East Asian and Pacific Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society

1999 -2001:

Member, The International Organising Committee, The Second International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, 18-19th April, 2001

2002 -2003:

Session organiser of the Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Juriquilla, Mexico

2002 -2004:

Member, Scientific Program Committee of the Bernoulli Society World Congress and 2004 Meeting of Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Barcelona, Spain

2004 - :

Member, ISI-Committee for Environmental Statistics

2006 -2007:

Advisory Board of the 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Erice, Italy

2009 -2010:

Program Committee of the AGU Chapman Conference on Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences, Hyderabad, India

Recent conference talks

Ogata, Y. (2010). Space-time heterogeneity in aftershock activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (23-28) May 2010.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (23-28) May 2010.

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian predictor of recurrent earthquakes based on BPT model with slip data, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 (23-28) May 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Modeling of temporal and spatial nonhomogeneity for space - time processes, The Spring Korean Statistical Society Annual Meeting, Statistics Center (Daejeon), Daejeon, Korea, 21 (20-22) May 2010, Keynote lecture (IL-SONG lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2010). Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity, “Earthquake Hazards in Urban Areas” and “Toward Constructing Forecast Systems of Earthquakes” -The 3rd SCEC-ERI joint workshop-, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 (16-17) March 2010 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2010). Researches on seismicity by statistical models -A review-, Seismology for the blue earth and the white continent -A symposium on solid earth around Antarctic-, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 9 (8-9) March 2010 (special invited lecture).

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian predictor based on prior distributions of BPT model with slip rates, The 185-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 February 2010.

Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2010). Aseismic slip scenario for transient crustal deformations around the southern fault before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland earthquake, The 185-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 February 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Global earthquake catalogs and long-range correlation of seismic activity, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 16 (14-18) December 2009 (invited lecture).

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Ｔoda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 (14-18) December 2009.

Llenos, A.L., McGuire, J.J. and Ogata, Y. (2009). Detecting Seismicity Rate Transients in the Hokkaido Corner, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14 (14-18) December 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (21-23) October 2009.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Ｔoda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (21-23) October 2009.

Nomura, S., Ogata, Y., Ｔoda, S. and Komaki, F. (2009). Prior distributions of BPT distribution in renewal process with slip rates and comparing their prediction accuracy, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 23 (21-23) October 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Bayesian spatial models for earthquake catalog, The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyotanabe Campus, Doshisha University, Kyotanabe City, Japan, 7 (6-9) September 2009.

Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2009). Analysis of sesimicity anomalies by a point process model, The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyotanabe Campus, Doshisha University, Kyotanabe City, Japan, 8 (6-9) September 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Earthquake forecast in Japanese Islands based on location-dependent b-values and space-time ETAS model, The 183-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay and its aftershock activity, The 183-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Modeling for immediate aftershock probability forecasting, The 1st Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 29 (June 28-July 1) June 2009 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2009). Space-time ETAS model for forecasting seismicity in and around Japan, International Symposium on Toward Constructing Earthquake Forecast Systems for Japan, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 27 May 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Space-time model for wide regional and global seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 20 (16-21) May 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). A correction method of routinely determined hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region (in Japanese), The 182-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 May 2009.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in northern Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake (in Japanese), The 182-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 May 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Location Dependent Space-Time Models for Wide Regional and Global Seismicity, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, USA, 15 (12-16) April 2009 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. and Umino, N. (2009). Correction of routinely determined hypocenter coordinates in far offshore region, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, USA, 12-16 April 2009.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity Rate Changes Prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake of M7.2 in the Neighboring Area, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, USA, 12-16 April 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time model for diagnosis of wide regional and global seismicity, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 17 (15–19) December 2008.

Zhuang, J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K. and Jackson, D.D. (2008). Simulation studies on the differences between spontaneous and triggered seismicity and on foreshock probabilities, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 17 (15–19) December 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). The method to estimate a slip distribution of a large earthquake based on the spatial distribution of its aftershocks and rate- and state friction law: Further development, 2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 16 (15–19) December 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time model for wide regional and global seismicity, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okinawaseinenkaikan, Naha City, Japan, 27 (27-28) November 2008.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Local likelihood estimates for point processes with applications in detecting spatial changes of seismicity in Japan, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okinawaseinenkaikan, Naha City, Japan, 28 (27-28) November 2008.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Identification and estimation of the generalized Neyman-Scott spatial cluster fields, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okinawaseinenkaikan, Naha City, Japan, 27 (27-28) November 2008.

Noguchi, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Global Earthquake Catalogs and Long-Range Correlation of Seismic Activity (1), 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba City, Japan, 27 (24-27) November 2008.

Ogata, Y. and Noguchi, S. (2008). Global Earthquake Catalogs and Long-Range Correlation of Seismic Activity (2), 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba City, Japan, 27 (24-27) November 2008.

Zhuang, J., Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Jackson, D.D. (2008). Model dependent differences between background and triggered earthquakes and their influences on foreshock probabilities, 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission and 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center (EPOCHAL TSUKUBA), Tsukuba City, Japan, 27 (24-27) November 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Immediate and updated forecasting of aftershock hazard (in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Large Earthquake and Forecasting, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 4 November2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Anomalies in seismic activity and transient crustal deformation, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 20 (18-23) October 2008 (invited lecture).

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2008). Using weighted likelihood estimates to detect spatial seismicity changes, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 18-23 October 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S., Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 2005 Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and the rate- and state friction law, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 18-23 October 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Precursory anomalies in seismicity (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics for precursory phenomena, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji City, Japan, 15 (15-16) October 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Searching missing parents: A Bayesian inference of the Neyman-Scott type model (in Japanese), The 2008 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Keio University, Yokohama City, Japan, 10 (7-10) September 2008.

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008). On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip preceding the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting earthquake, 2008 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, Cairns Convention Centre, Cairns, Australia, 1 (July 29-August 1) August 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity anomaly and geodetic anomaly (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 (17-18) July 2008.

Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip preceding the 2007 great outer-rise normal faulting earthquake (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 (17-18) July 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of a large earthquake derived from a spatial distribution of its aftershocks (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 (17-18) July 2008.

Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity shadows and stress shadows in aftershock activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 21 (25-30) May 2008.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 2005 Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from spatial distribution of the aftershocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 30 (25-30) May 2008.

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008). On- and Off-fault Aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island Subduction Earthquake Toggled by a Slow Slip Preceding the 2007 Great Outer-rise Normal Faulting Earthquake (in Japanese), The 177-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 19 May 2008 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2008). Space-time ETAS Model, CSEP Global Collaboration & Testing Meeting, Southern California Earthquake Center, Los Angeles, USA, 21 April 2008 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2008). Seismicity anomaly and crustal deformation anomaly, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NewZealand, 20 (18-22) February 2008 (invited lecture).

Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K., Christophersen, A., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. and Jackson D.D. (UCLA) (2008). Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NewZealand, 21 (18-22) February 2008 (invited lecture).

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 1995 Kobe earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and rate-and-state friction law, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NewZealand, 19 (18-22) February 2008 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2008). Modeling of heterogeneous datasets, Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and Climate Change, Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 9 (6-28) January 2008 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2008). Standard point-process models for prediction and diagnosis of earthquake activity, Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and Climate Change, Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore, 11 (6-28) January 2008 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2007). Aseismic Slips Preceding Ruptures Assumed for Anomalous Seismicities and Crustal Deformations, 2007 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 12 (10–14) December 2007.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2007). Stochastic declustering: visualizing of the family trees in earthquake catalogs with uncertainty, 2007 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 10 (10-14) December 2007 (invited lecture).

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Modelling of the spatio-temporal distribution of aftershocks based on rate- and state friction law, 2007 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 10 (10-14) December 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). A Bayesian MCMC inference for the Neyman-Scott models (in Japanese), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okayama International Center, Okayama City, Japan, 30 (29-December 1) November 2007.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2007). A solution to the filtering problem on Neyman-Scott point processes, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okayama International Center, Okayama City, Japan, 30 (29-December 1) November 2007.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Parameter estimation and model selection of clustering spatial models (in Japanese), Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Space-time Data, Okayama International Center, Okayama City, Japan, 30 (29-December 1) November 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Bayesian modeling for nonhomogeneoous datasets (in Japanese), Cooperative Research meeting on Seismicity Models and Earthquake Probabilities, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 8 (8-9) November 2007.

Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K., Christophersen, A., Vere-Jones D., Ogata Y. and Jackson D.D. (2007). Difference between background and triggered earthquakes: their influences on foreshock probabilities, Cooperative Research meeting on Seismicity Models and Earthquake Probabilities, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 9 (8-9) November2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around the source, and the feature of the aftershock activity (in Japanese), 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 26 (24-26) October 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Precursory slips assumed for the quiescence and activation and for the anomalous trend of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations (in Japanese), 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 24 (24-26) October 2007.

Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Modelling of spatio-temporal distribution of aftershock rate based on rate- and state-dependent constitutive friction law (in Japanese), 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 26 (24-26) October 2007.

Zhuang, J., Savage, M.K., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Christophersen, A., Jackson, D.D. (2007). Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes, 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 26 (24-26) October 2007.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Jackson, D.D. (2007). Forecasting performance of the ETAS model in Japan and California : A comparison, 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 25 (24-26) October 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Anomalies of space-time aftershock point patterns relative to the Poisson process, The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kobe University, Kobe City, Japan, 7 (6-9) September 2007.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Likelihood based detection of cluster centers for Neyman-Scott processes, The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kobe University, Kobe City, Japan, 8 (6-9) September 2007.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Parameter estimation and model selection of clustering spatial models, The 2007 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kobe University, Kobe City, Japan, 7 (6-9) September 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). On the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki earthquake of M6.8: Preceding anomalous seismicity and crustal changes around the source, and the normal feature of the aftershock activity (in Japanese), The 174-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 20 August 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Diagnostic Statistical Analyses to Detect the Seismicity and Geodetic Anomalies Relative to the Normal Predictions, The 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy, 6 (May 31-June 6) June 2007 (tutorial talk).

Iwata, T., Imoto, M., Horiuchi, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Probabilistic estimation of earthquake growth to a large one in an earthquake early warning system: Re-estimation for the Nankai trough region, The 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy, 31 May - 6 June, 2007.

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2007). Anomalies of seismicity in space and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 19 (19-24) May 2007.

Iwata, T., Imoto, M., Horiuchi, S., and Ogata, Y. (2007). Probabilistic estimation of earthquake growth to a catastrophic one for an earthquake early warning system: Re-estimation for the Nankai Trough region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 21 (19-24) May 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Anomalies of seismicity in space and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (in Japanese), The 171-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 19 February 2007.

Ogata, Y. (2007). Introduction of Short-term prediction experiments, Workshop on Earthquake Predictability and Time-dependent Forecasting, Swiss Re Centre for Global Dialogue, Rüschlikon, Switzerland, 29 (28-31) January 2007 (keynote lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Detection of precursory slips on a fault by the quiescence and activation of seismicity relative to the ETAS model and by the anomalous trend of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations around the fault, 2006 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA, 11 (11–15) December 2006.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Parameter estimation and model selection for Neyman-Scott point processes, International workshop, Space-time statistical analysis; theory and applications, Sanjo Conference Hall, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 13 (13-15) November 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Detection of precursory slips on a fault by the quiescence and activation of seismicity relative to the ETAS model and by the anomalous trend of the geodetic time series of distances between GPS stations around the fault (in Japanese), 2006 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 2 (October 31-November 2) November 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, The 2006 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kawauchi Campus of Tohoku University, Sendai City, Japan, 6 (5-8) September 2006.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Statistical analysis of clustered point patterns, The 2006 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kawauchi Campus of Tohoku University, Sendai City, Japan, 6 (5-8) September 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Anomalies of seismic activities and geodetic trends preceding the 2004 Chuetsu Earthquake of M6.8 and the 2005 Western Fukuoka-Ken-Oki Earthquake of M7.0 (in Japanese), The 169-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2006.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Probability distributions associated foreshocks implied by clustering models for earthquake occurrences, 2006 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 24 (24-27) July 2006.

Zhuang, J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2006). Statistical modelling (tests) of the relationship between precursory phenomena and earthquake ocurrences, 2006 Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 27 (24-27) July 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Seismicity anomaly from the predicted rate by the ETAS model , Southern California Earthquake Center and Earthquake research Institute Joint Workshop on Earthquakes in Urban Areas, Embassy Mandalay Beach Resort, Oxnard, California, USA, 1 (1-3) June 2006 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Anomalies of aftershock activities in space and time measured by the ETAS model and relations to stress changes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 14 (14-18) May 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Review of the Akaike Information Criterion in the field of Earth Science: Prediction of seismic activity and knowledge excavation by use of statistical models (in Japanese), Symposium for the 75^th anniversary of the foundation of the Statistical Society of Japan, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 7 (6-7) May 2006 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Japan, by the ETAS model, 2006 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor, National Central University, Taiwan, 6 (6-7) March 2006 (invited lecture).

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006). Background and clustering seismicity in the Taiwan region, 2006 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor, National Central University, Taiwan, 6 (6-7) March 2006 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Contributions of Professor Tokuji Utsu to statistical seismology and recent developments, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 10 (9-13) January 2006 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2006). Toward urgent forecasting of aftershock hazard: Simultaneous estimation of b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter's law of the magnitude frequency and changing detection rates of aftershocks immediately after the mainshock, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 10 (9-13) January 2006.

Ogata, Y. (2006). Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) with likely scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area, The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 10 (9-13) January 2006.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). The largest event in earthquake clusters and relationship to foreshocks, 2005 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 8 (5–9) December 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Anomalies in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0 and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the eastern Hokkaido inland (in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 20 (19-21) October 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) in the aftershocks of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Kyusyu, and possible scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area (in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 19 (19-21) October 2005.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). A study on the discrimination of foreshocks and other types of earthquakes by using stochastic reconstruction (in Japanese), 2005 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hokkaido University, Sapporo City, Japan, 19 (19-21) October 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Toward urgent forecasting of aftershock hazard – Simultaneous estimation of b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter’s law of the magnitude frequency and changing detection rates of aftershocks immediately after the mainshock, The 2005 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hiroshima Prince Hotel, Hiroshima City, Japan, 13 (12-15) September 2005.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Estimation of parameters for the Neyman-Scott spatial cluster model, The 2005 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Hiroshima Prince Hotel, Hiroshima City, Japan, 13 (12-15) September 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismic activities in and around Tohoku District, northern Japan, prior to the 16th August 2005 interplate earthquake of M7.2 off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, and the aftershock activity of the M7.2 earthquake (in Japanese), The 165-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 22 August 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Aftershock activities of recent conspicuous earthquakes in and near Japan (in Japanese), The 165-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 22 August 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Prediction and discovery of seismic activity, Meeting of Faculty of Environmental Science and Technology, Okayama University, Okayama, Japan, 27 July 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity changes in western Japan associated with the great earthquakes near Nankai trough and their contemporary implications, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 22 (22-26) May 2005 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2005). Simultaneous estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application to aftershock probability forecasting, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 23 (22-26) May 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 26 (22-26) May 2005.

Murata, Y. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Surficial density estimation from gravity data using Delaunay triangular network”, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 25 (22-26) May 2005.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2005). Analyzing foreshock features by using stochastic reconstruction, 2005 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 26 (22-26) May 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Relative quiescence reported before the occurrence of the largest aftershock (M5.8) in the aftershocks of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Kyushu, and possible scenarios of precursory slips considered for the stress-shadow covering the aftershock area (in Japanese), The 164-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 16 May 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (solicited), The General Assembly 2005 of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), the Austria Center Vienna (ACV), Vienna, Austria, 25 (24-29) April 2005 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2005). Seismicity changes in and around Kyushu District before the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 in the western offshore of Fukuoka Prefecture (in Japanese), The 163-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 7 April 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2005). Anomalies in the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquake of M8.0 and the 2004 Kushiro-Oki earthquake of M7.1 and seismicity changes in the eastern Hokkaido inland (in Japanese), The 162-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 21, February 2005.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Synchronous seismicity-rate-changes from the predicted rates by the ETAS model in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0, 2004 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 14 (13–17) December 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Simultaneous estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application to aftershock probability forecasting, 2004 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 14 (13–17) December 2004.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Analyzing earthquake clustering features by stochastic reconstruction -- foreshocks, 2004 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 14 (13–17) December 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On an anomalous aftershock activity of the 2004 Niigata-Ken-Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8, and intermediate-term seismicity anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region (in Japanese), The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On the aftershock activity of the 2004 earthquake of M7.4 at the southeast off the coast of the Kii peninsula, and constraints on the fault-rupture models by the mechanisms and space-time pattern of the aftershocks II (in Japanese), The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Simultaneous estimation of b-values and detection rates of earthquakes for the application to aftershock probability forecasting (in Japanese), The 161-st Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On an anomalous aftershock activity of the 2004 niigata-ken-Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8, and intermediate-tern seismicity anomalies preceding the rupyure around the focal region (in Japanese), The 160-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 4 November 2004.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Residual analysis of space-time branching processes for earthquake occurrences, International workshop, Space-time statistical analysis; theory and applications, Kagoshima, Japan, 3-6 November 2004.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Estimation of parameters for the Neyman-Scott's spatial cluster model, International workshop, Space-time statistical analysis; theory and applications, Kagoshima, Japan, 3-6 November 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On changes of statistical distribution of focal mechanisms of events prior to the main ruptures (in Japanese), 2004 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyusyu University, Fukuoka, Japan, 10 (9-11) October 2004.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Some features of background and clustering seismicity resolved by using stochastic declustering, 2004 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyusyu University, Fukuoka, Japan, 11 (9-11) October 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). On the aftershock activity of the 2004 earthquake of M7.4 at the southeast off the coast of the Kii peninsula, and constraints on the fault-rupture models by the mechanisms and space-time pattern of the aftershocks I (in Japanese), The 159-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 17 September 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Synchronous seismicity changes in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0, International Conference in Commemoration of 5-th Anniversary of the 1999 Chi-Chi Earthquake, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan, 8-9 September 2004 (invited lecture).

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Residual analysis of space-time branching processes for earthquake occurrences, The 2004 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Fuji University, Hanamaki City, Japan, 3-6 September 2004.

Tanaka, U. and Ogata, Y. (2004). Estimation of parameters for the Thomas spatial cluster model, The 2004 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Fuji University, Hanamaki City, Japan, 3-6 September 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2004). Space-time model for regional seismicity and detection of crustal stress changes, The 6th World Congress of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability, and 67th Annual Meeting of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Barcelona, Spain, 25-29 July 2004 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Seismicity changes and stress changes in and around the northern Japan relating to the 2003 Tokachi earthquake of M8.0, 2004 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 9-13 May 2004.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Stochastic reconstruction of clustering features of earthquakes, 2004 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 10 (9-13) May 2004.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Diagnostic analyses of space-time branching processes for earthquakes, International Conference on Spatial Point Process Modelling and its Applications (SPPA), Castellon Spain, 8 (4-8) April 2004 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Statistical models of point processes and prediction and discovery in seismic activity (in Japanese), Spring Meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Tsukuba, Japan, 30 March 2004 (specially organized lecture).

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2004). Visualizing goodness-of-fit of point-process models for earthquake clusters, Analysis of Natural and Social Phenomena: Data Science and System Reduction; an international workshop of the 21st Century COE Program at Keio University, Pan Pacific Hotel, Yokohama, Japan, 21 (21-23) March 2004 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Stress changes, seismicity changes and statistical models, Workshop on Seismic Activity and Probabilities of Major Earthquakes in the Kanto and Tokai Area, Japan, Wadati Memorial Hall, Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan, 9-11 March 2004 (invited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Static triggering and statistical modeling (in Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2004 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Seismicity changes and stress changes in and around the northern Japan relating to the 2003 Tokachi earthquake of M8.0 (in Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2004.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Space-Time Model of Regional Seismicity for Revealing Temporal Anomalies, International Symposium, Science of Modeling; The 30th Anniversary of the Information Criterion(AIC), Pacifico Yokohama, Japan, 15 (14-17) December 2003 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Detection of anomalous seismicity as a stress change sensor, 2003 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 10 (8–12) December 2003.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones D. (2003). Testing of hypotheses associated earthquake clustering features by using the stochastic reconstruction method, 2003 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 10 (8–12) December 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Quiescence of foreshock/aftershock activity in and off the coast of Miyagi prefecture, northern Japan, and their correlation to the triggered stress-changes (in Japanese), 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto International Conference Hall, Kyoto, Japan, 8 (6-8) October2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Statistical analysis of seismic activities in and around Tohoku District, northern Japan, prior to the large interpolate earthquakes off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture (in Japanese), 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto International Conference Hall, Kyoto, Japan, 8 (6-8) October 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity-change-analysis by a space-time point-process model (in Japanese), The 2003 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting (71th annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society), Meijo University, Nagoya, Japan, 5 (2-5) September 2003.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2003). Stochastic reconstruction of characteristic associated with earthquake clusters, The 2003 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting (71th annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society), Meijo University, Nagoya, Japan, 5 (2-5) September 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Quiescence of the 2003 foreshock/aftershock activities in and off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, northern Japan, and their correlation to the triggered stress-changes (in Japanese), The 153-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 18 August 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Modeling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrence, Point processes--theory and applications, the Banff International Research Station for Mathematical Innovation and Discovery (BIRS), Banff, Canada, 22 (21-26) June 2003 (invited).

Ogata, Y. (2003). On seismicity changes in western Japan associated with the two great interpolate earthquakes in Nankai Trough, 2003 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 29 (26-29) May 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Analysis of sesimicity changes by a spatiotemporal point process model, 2003 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, Japan, 28 (26-29) May 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). Sesimicity-change-analysis by a space-time point-process model, Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico, 5 (4-10) May 2003 (invited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity quiescence and activation in western Japan associated with the two great earthquakes in Nankai Trough, Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Julriquilla, Queretaro; Mexico, 5 (4-10) May 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2003). A practival space-time model for regional seismicity, Session on "Scaling, cascades and self-organized criticality in Earthquakes: Damage mechanics and Predictabulity, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 10 (6-11) April 2003 (solicited presentation).

Ogata, Y. (2003). Seismicity changes in western Japan (1995-2001) detected by a statistical space-time model (in Japanese), The 150-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 17 February 2003.

Ogata, Y. (2002). A Practical Space-Time Model for Regional Seismicity, 2002 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 8 (6–10) December 2002.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2002). Statistical confirmtion of a relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, 2002 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 6 (6–10) December 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Modelling of regional space-time earthquake occurrences (in Japanese), 2002 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Japan, 13 (11-13) Nobember 2002.

Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2002). Stochastic reconstruction of earthquake clusters and its application to foreshock studies, 2002 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Pacifico Yokohama, Japan, 12 (11-13) Nobember 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Modelling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrences and Its residual analysis, Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, 25-29 September 2002 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Visualization and monitoring of regional seismic activities by the space-time statistical models (in Japanese), Symposium for planning of the next research project of the Coordination Committee for Earthquake Prediction Research in Universities, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 18 (17-18) September 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Uncertainty of probability forecast of large earthquakes and renewal processes dependent of their marks (in Japanese), The 2002 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Meisei University, Tokyo, Japan, 10 (7-10) September 2002.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan H. (2002). Statistical confirmtion of a relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, The 2002 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Meisei University, Tokyo, Japan, 10 (7-10) September 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 13 (10-14) June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Which models seem most promising?, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Demonstrations of space-time seismicity analysis, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2002). A possible mechanism for the precursory relative quiescence of aftershock activity, 2002 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 31 (27-31) May 2002.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., Vere-Jones, D., Ma, L. and Guan, H. (2002). Statistical confirmtion of a relationship between excitation of precursors and earthquakes, M 2002 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 28 (27-31) May 2002.

Ogata, Y. (2002). Space-time analysis of earthquake catalog, Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Spatial Statistics and Statistical Physics, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, 10-16 February 2002 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Annealing MCMC integration with application to likelihood computation of Bayesian models, International Symposium on New Trends in Optimization and Computational Algorithms (NTOC2001), Kyodai Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 9 (9-13) December 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). When and where the aftershock activities were depressed (in Japanese), 2001 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima, Japan, 25 (24-26) October 2001.

Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of seismicity, Session on Statistics for Spatial and Spatial-Temporal Processes, the 53rd Session of the International Statistical Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 24 (23-29) August 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modelig of clustered space-time point ptocesses in seismology, Session on Spatial Statistics at the 2001 Annual Meeting of Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS), Atlanta, Georgia, USA, 8 (5-9) August 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Practical etreme value analyses for seismicity, International Symposium on Extrem Value Analysis: Theory and Practice, Leuven, Belgium, 6 (5-10) August 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). The 51st Symposium on Science of Form, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 27 (27-28) July 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Japan-U.S. Seminar on Statistical Time Series Analysis, Shiran-Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (18-22) June 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 4 (4-8) June 2001.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Ma, L. (2001). Statistical causal relationship between earthquake occurrences and the ultra-low frequency ground electric signals, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 6 (4-8) June 2001.

Nishimae, Y., Ogata, Y., Takayama, H. and Matsuoka H. (2001). Epicenter correction of earthquakes in Matsushiro Seismic Array System by spline function, 2001 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, National Olympics Memorial Youth Center, Tokyo, Japan, 6 (4-8) June 2001

Ogata, Y., Zhuang, J. (2001). Statistical examination of anomalies for the precursor to earth-quakes, and the multi-element prediction formula: Hazard rate changes of strong earthquakes (M≧4) around Beijing area based on the ultra-low frequency ground electric observation (1982-1997) (in Japanese), The 143-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 21 May 2001.

Ogata, Y. (2001). Modelling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis, Symposium in honor of David Vere-Jones, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, 15 April 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences, Second International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Victoria University of Wellington; New Zealand, 18-21 April 2001.

Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, Meeting on Stochastic in the Sciences, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, 11-17 March 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Session on Research Project on 'Prediction of the forth comming Great Earthquake at Nankai Trough' organized by the Association for the Development of Earthquake Prediction, and sponsored by the Science and Tecnological Agency of Japan, Association for The Development of Earthquake Prediction, Tokyo, Japan, December 2000.

Ogata, Y. and Jones, L M. (2000). Aftershock analysis of the 1992 Landers earthquake: Significant quiescence, relative to the normal aftershock decay, before the 1999 Hector Mine Earthquake, 2000 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, USA, 10–14 December 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Treatment of uncertainties in estimating hazard of a large earthquake from a small number of data (in Japanese), 2000 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba, Japan, 20 (20-22) November 2000.

Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Vere-Jones, D. (2000). A model based method alternative to declusterig for estimating the background seismisity, 2000 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba, Japan, 22 (20-22) November 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Some statistical features of foreshocks, Japan-US Workshop on Foreshocks and Fracture, Heian Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, 3-5 October 2000 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Theoretical problems on GIS: Some problems on spatial statistics (in Japanese), The third Symposium of the Center for Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo, Sanjo Kaikan, University of Tokyo, Japan, 26 September 2000 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Spatially heterogeneous space-time modeling for seismic activity and space-time residual analysis for point processes, Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, 11 (11-14) September 2000 (invited lecture).

Huang, F. and Ogata, Y. (2000). Generalized Pseudo-Likelihood Estimates for Markov Random Fields on Lattice, Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, 11 (11-14) September 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Space-time point-process model and its residual model (in Japanese), 69th annual meeting of the Japan Statistical Society, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, 26 (25-28) July 2000.

Ogata, Y. (2000). Evaluation of high dimensional Bayesian models: Two computational method, Workshop on Information-Based Induction Science, Shuzenji, Shizuoka Prefecture, Japan, 18 (17-18) July 2000 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (1999). Statistical Discrimination of Anomalous Aftershock Sequence Preceding to Large Earthquakes in the Neighboring Region, 1999 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), San Francisco, USA, 14 (13-17) December 1999.

Ogata, Y. (1993). Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, 49th session of the ISI, Firenze, Italy, 30 September (25 August – 2nd Srptember) 1993.

Ogata, Y. (1986). Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Inhomogeneity for Marked Point Patterns, 13th International Biometric Conference, University of Washington, Seattle, USA, 1 August (27 July - 1 August) 1986.

Invited lectures

Seismological Conferences

19th general assembly of International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Vancouver, Canada, August 1987 (invited speaker).

Point Process Models for the Ststistical Analysis of the Seismicity and Assesment of the Time Varying Hazard, 25th general assembly of International Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior, Istanbul, Turkey, August 1989 (invited speaker).

Three-Dimensional Spatial Variation of b-Values of Magnitude Frequency Distribution Beneath the Kanto District, Japan, Japan-US joint symposium on Fracture, Form and Fractals, UCLA Lake Arrowhead, Los Angels, USA, September 1989 (invited speaker).

Quantative modelling of Earthquake probabilities and intensities, Session on forecasting earthquake, International Association of Focasting,Wellington, New Zealand, August 1992 (invited speaker).

Point Process Procedures for Detecting Anomalous Earthquake Activity, Workshop on Modelling Earthquake Probabilities and Characteristics Earthquakes, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, August 1992 (invited lecturer).

Statistocal features of foreshocks in comparison with other clusters, 27th general assembly of International Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, January 1994 (invited speaker for the special symposium on Earthquake Prediction).

3rd Seismology summer school, Kawato Seminar Center for Tohoku area Universities, Miyagi Prefecture, Japan, sponsered by the Seismological Society of Japan, August 1996 (invited lecturer).

Empirical laws of aftershocks and the ETAS model (in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Seismicity and Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 6 November 1996.

Open Public Symposium on "Feasibility of Long-Term Forecasting of Large Earthquakes", organized by the Seismological Society of Japan, March 1997 (selected talk).

Session on "Models and Methods in Seismic Hazard Assessment", the 23rd General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society, Nice, France, April 1998 (invited lecture).

International Workshop on Seismicity Patterns, Their Statistical Significance and Physical Meaning sponsored by International Artic Research Center, the University of Alaska in Fairbanks, Alaska, USA, May 1998 (invited talk and discussion).

Workshop organized by State Seismological Bureau of China on "Statistical Seismology: Methods and Software", Hang-Zhou, China, June 1998 (principal lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2000). Some statistical features of foreshocks, Japan-US Workshop on Foreshocks and Fracture, Heian Kaikan, Kyoto, Japan, October 2000 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM).

Ogata, Y. (2004). Static triggering and statistical modeling (in Japanese), The 156-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction , Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2004 (invited lecture).

Statistical Conferences

Fall meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan, October 1976 (special lecture).

Workshop on Analysis of Spatial Data, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Sydney, CSIRO, Australia, February 1982 (invited speaker).

Open lectures at the 37th anniversary of the founding of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 1982 (invited lecture).

Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns, 4th Japan-USSR symposium on Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Tbilisi, USSR, August 1982 (selected paper).

Public lecture for Yokohama City Citizens, Yokohama City University, Japan, 1983 (invited lecturer).

Likelihood Analysis of Point Processes and its Applications to Seismological Data, 44th session of the ISI, Madrid, Spain, September 1983 (invited speaker).

Point Process Model with Linearly Parameterized Intensity for the Application to Earthquake Data, Japan-USA Joint seminar on Time Series Analysis, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, May 1984 (invited speaker).

Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns, 12th International Biometric Conference, Tokyo, Japan, September 1984 (invited speaker).

Likelihood Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns, First national conference on Time Series Analysis, Beijin, China, November 1984 (invited speaker).

The Likelihood Analysis for Spatial Point Patterns, 13th International Biometric Conference, University of Washington, Seattle, USA, July 1986 (invited speaker).

Fall meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Chiba University, Japan, September 1986 (special lecture).

Some Statistical Methods for Modelling of Point Process Data, Conference on Stochastic Methods for Biological Intelligence, University of Noth Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA, October 1986 (invited speaker).

Statistical Models for Earthquake Occurrences and Residual Analysis Point Processes. Long Range Memory Property of Earthquake Occurrences and Statistical Models for Standard Seismic Activity, Meeting on Statistics of Stochastic Processes at Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, FDR (West Germany), November 1986 (invited speaker).

Statistical Analysis of Point Process for Earthquake Prediction, Meeting of the Denmark Sciety of Theoretical Statistics, Copenhagen, Denmark, April 1988 (invited lecture).

Statistical Model for Standard Seismicity and Detection of Anomalies by Residual Analysis, Conference on Statistics in Space and Earth Science, Leuven, Belgium, August 1989 (invited speaker).

Monte Carlo Method for the Objective Bayesian Procedure (with Tanemura, M.), International symposium on Analysis of Statistical Information, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan , December 1989 (invited speaker).

Likelihood Analysis of Gibbs Point Processes in One and Two Dimensions (with Tanemura, M.), International symposium on Analysis of Statistical Information, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, December 1989 (invited speaker).

Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Heterogeneity of Magnitude Frequency Distribution Inferred From Earthquake Catalogs, Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Geometric Statistics and Stereology, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, December 1991 (invited speaker).

Statistical Inferences of Point Processes Models Applied to Earthquake Data Sets, US-Japan conference on Frontiers of Statistical Modeling, University of Kentucky, Knoxville, USA, May 1992 (invited speaker).

Lecture series for 10th anniversary of the founding of Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei, ROC, June 1992 (invited lectures).

Statistical Modelling of Earthquake Data, European Meeting of Statisticians, University of Bath, UK, September 1992 (special invited lecture).

Fall meeting of the Mathematical Society of Japan, Nagoya University, Japan, October 1992 (invited discussant for the special lecture by T. Hayashi).

On the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence model, US-Japan joint meeting on Time Series Analysis, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA, January 1993 (invited speaker).

Comments on the invited papers in the session of "Time Series: Application and Theory, 49th session of the ISI, Firenze, Italy, September 1993 (invited discussant for invitedtopic meeting on Time Series: Application and Theory) (Brillinger, D., organizer).

Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, International conference on Bayesian Inference and its Applications, Fuji-Yoshida, Japan, December 1993 (invited speaker).

17th Probability Summer School, (supported by Academy of Finland), Lahti, Finland, May-June1994 (invited lecture series).

Meeting on Mathematische Stochastik, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, March 1995 (invited speaker).

50th session of ISI, Beijin, China, August 1995 (invited speaker for the meeting on Markov Fields and Applications).

13th Australian Statistical Conference (Sydney International Statistical Congress), Sydney, Australia, July 1996 (invited speaker for the topic on Spatial Statistics).

Empirical laws of aftershocks and the ETAS model (in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Seismicity and Statistical Seismology, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, November 6, 1996.

Meeting on Point processes: models and applications, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, February 1997 (invited paper).

Meeting on Mathematische Stochastik, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, March 1997 (invited paper).

51th Session of the ISI in Istanbul, Turkey, August 1997 (invited discussant at the two invited paper meetings organized by the international Astronomical Union and Bernoulli Society, respectively).

International Summer School of Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Shonan Village, Hayama, Japan, September 1997 (invited lecture).

International Symposium on "Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability", December 1997, (organized by the Indian Statistical Institute,coorganized by Bernoulli Society), invited paper on the topic of "Earthquake Modelling and Prediction".

The Joint Statistical Meetings, ASA-ENAR-WNAR-IMS-SSC, the Session on Modeling and Model Selection - Theory and Applications, Dallas, Texas, USA, August 1998 (invited lecture).

International Symposium, on Probability and Statistics and Their Applications, Hanoi, Vietnam, June 9-11, 1999 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences, Meeting on Stochastic in the Sciences, Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach, Germany, 17-21 March 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). The 51st Symposium on Science of Form, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 27-28 July 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2001). Practical etreme value analyses for seismicity, International Symposium on Extrem Value Analysis: Theory and Practice, Leuven, Belgium, 5-10 August 2001 (invited lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2002). Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling, IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics, Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, 10-14 June 2002 (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM).

Teaching and postgraduate supervision

Postgraduate supervision

(joint) F. Komaki, PhD, State-Space Modeling of Time Series Sampled From Continuous Processes with Pulses, the Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI), 1985 – 1987.
Zenqi Guo, PhD, Statistical Analyses of Aftershocks for the Relations Between Their Models in Time, Space, and Magnitude, SOKEN-DAI, 1994 – 1997.
Fuchun Huang, PhD, Studies in Methods Toward Likelihood Based Inference for Spatial Statistical Models, SOKEN-DAI, 1995 – 1998.
Yoshiyuki Ninomiya, PhD, Distribution Theory for the Maximum of Random Fields and Its Applications to Change-Point Theory (in Japanese), SOKEN-DAI, 1998 – 2001.
Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Postdoctral Fellow, 1999.
Saneyuki Udagawa, Statistical Volocanology, Postdoctral Fellow, 2001.
Jessie Wilson, Research Student, 2001 – 2002.
Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, Some Applications of Point Process in Seismicity Modeling and Prediction, SOKEN-DAI, 2000 - 2002, Postdoctral Fellow, 2003.
Masatsugu Wakaura, PhD, Investigation of the surface air temperature anomaly, 2002 – 2006.
Ushio Tanaka, PhD, Parameter estimation and model selection for Neyman-Scott point processes, 2003 – 2006.
Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Statistical Seismology, JSPS Research Fellow, 2003 – 2005.
Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, JSPS Research Fellow, 2004 – 2005.
Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Research Fellow, 2005 – 2008.
Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Research Fellow, 2006.
Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, UCLA, Research Fellow, 2006 – 2007.
Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Swiss Seismological Service, Research Fellow, 2006 –
Ushio Tanaka, Spatial Statistics, Research Fellow, 2007 – 2009.
Takao Kumazawa, SOKEN-DAI, 2007 –
Jiancang Zhuang, Statistical Seismology, ISM, Assistant Professor, 2007 –
Takaki Iwata, Seismology, Waseda University, Assistant Professor, 2008 –
Shunichi Nomura, SOKEN-DAI, 2009 –
Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Seismology, Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Assistant Professor, 2009 –

External examiner of:

David Harte, MSc in Mathematics, Victoria University of Wellington New Zealand 1982
Yasuaki Murata, External examiner of D.Sc. in Geophysics, Nagoya University, Japan, 1992

Lecture courses

1978: Victoria University of Wellington, Akaike information statistics (Honours course)
1978: Victoria University of Wellington, introduction to probability theory (2nd year)
1986 - 1988: University of the Air, time series analysis (under graduate)
1988: Kobe University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
1993: Kyoto University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
1993 - 1995: Keio University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
1994: Tsukuba University, statistical seismology (graduate course)
1997: Nagoya University, statistical seismology
1998: Seoul National University, Korea, Introduction to statistical point process modelling, etc.
1999: Tokyo Institute of Technology, Introduction to statistical point process modelling and Bayesian Statistics (graduate and undergraduate cources)
2000: Kyoto University, Statistical modeling of earthquake occurences, Research Center for Earthquake Prediction, Disaster Prevention Research Institute
2003: Statistical analysis of series of events, Hamamatsu Medical College, undergraduate students, September 2, 2003.
2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (1): Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model for prediction and diagnosis of seismic activity, August 5, 2008.
2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (2): Space-time seismicity modelling, August 6, 2008.
2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (3): Bayesian modeling foｒ nonhomogeneous datasets, August 8, 2008.
2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Introduction to Statistical Seismology (4): Earthquake catalog and long-range correlation of seismic activity, August 14, 2008.
2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Statistical Seismology Software Tutorials, August 12-13, 2008.
2008: National Geophysical Research Institute (Hyderabad, Republic of India), Space-time ETAS model and stochastic declustering (Zhuang J and Ogata Y.), August 13, 2008.
2008: SOKEN-DAI Lecture, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and statistical modeling, Modeling in statistical seismology, September 4 (4-5), 2008.

Software Development

Ogata, Y. (2006). Fortran programs statistical analysis of seismicity -updated version (point process data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time Series and Control Program Package, SASeis2006, Computer Science Monograph, No. 33, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
Ogata, Y., Katsura, K. and Zhuang, J. (2006). Fortran programs statistical analysis of series of events (point process data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time Series and Control Program Package, TIMSAC-84-SASE Version2, Computer Science Monograph, No. 32, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.
Utsu, T. and Ogata, Y. (1997). Computer program package: Statistical Analysis of point processes for Seismicity, SASeis, IASPEI Software Library for personal computers, the International Association of Seismology and Physics of Earth's Interior in collaboration with the American Seismological Society, Vol. 6, pp. 13-94.
Akaike, H., Ozaki, T., Ishiguro, M., Ogata, Y., Kitagawa, G., Tamura, Y., Arahata, E., Katsura, K. and Tamura, R. (1985). Fortran programs statistical analysis of series of events (point process data), EPTREN, LINLIN, SIMBVP, LINSIM and PGRAPH in cluded in Time Series and Control Program Package, TIMSAC-84, Computer Science Monograph, No. 22/23, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.

Hobbies

Listening to classic musics, Painting, Go game, "Rakugo" performance (classic commic telling), Swimming.

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Updated on 12 July 2010

Curriculum Vitae

Yosihiko Ogata

Research interests

Membership

Employment

Education

Prize

Editorial positions

Professional societies

Recent conference talks

Ogata, Y. (2010). Space-time heterogeneity in aftershock activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (23-28) May 2010.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (23-28) May 2010.

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian predictor of recurrent earthquakes based on BPT model with slip data, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 (23-28) May 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2010). Modeling of temporal and spatial nonhomogeneity for space - time processes, The Spring Korean Statistical Society Annual Meeting, Statistics Center (Daejeon), Daejeon, Korea, 21 (20-22) May 2010, Keynote lecture (IL-SONG lecture).

Ogata, Y. (2010). Researches on seismicity by statistical models -A review-, Seismology for the blue earth and the white continent -A symposium on solid earth around Antarctic-, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 9 (8-9) March 2010 (special invited lecture).

Nomura, S. and Ogata, Y. (2010). A Bayesian predictor based on prior distributions of BPT model with slip rates, The 185-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 February 2010.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Global earthquake catalogs and long-range correlation of seismic activity, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A, 16 (14-18) December 2009 (invited lecture).

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Ｔoda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 (14-18) December 2009.

Llenos, A.L., McGuire, J.J. and Ogata, Y. (2009). Detecting Seismicity Rate Transients in the Hokkaido Corner, 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14 (14-18) December 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Seismicity changes in the central and western district of Shizuoka Prefecture before the August 2009 Earthquake of M6.5 at Suruga Bay, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (21-23) October 2009.

Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Ｔoda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21 (21-23) October 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Bayesian spatial models for earthquake catalog, The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyotanabe Campus, Doshisha University, Kyotanabe City, Japan, 7 (6-9) September 2009.

Kumazawa, T. and Ogata, Y. (2009). Analysis of sesimicity anomalies by a point process model, The 2009 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kyotanabe Campus, Doshisha University, Kyotanabe City, Japan, 8 (6-9) September 2009.

Ogata, Y. (2009). Earthquake forecast in Japanese Islands based on location-dependent b-values and space-time ETAS model, The 183-rd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 21 August 2009.

Invited lectures

Teaching and postgraduate supervision

Software Development

Hobbies