第65回統計地震学セミナー / The 65th Statistical Seismology Seminar

Date&Time
2017年6月13日(火)
/ 13 June, 2017 (Tue) 16:00 – 17:00

Admission Free,No Booking Necessary

Place
統計数理研究所 セミナー室6 (A508)
/ Seminar room 6 (A508) @ The Institute of Statistical Mathematics
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Speaker
Jann-Yenq (Tiger) Liu
(Institute of Space Science, National Central University, TAIWAN)
Title
Statistical Analyses on seismo-ionospheric disturbances and precursors of the 11 March 2011 M9.0 Tohoku Earthquake
Abstract
Ground-based observations of the GPS TEC (total electron content) and satellite probing of radio occultation (RO) of FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC (F3/C) are employed to study the co-seismic disturbances and precursors of the 11 March 2011 M9.0 Tohoku earthquake. It is for the first time the tsunami origin observed. The horizontal propagation of seismo-traveling ionospheric disturbances (STIDs) induced by tsunami and seismic waves of the Tohoku earthquake are observed by the GPS TEC, while the associated vertical propagation is probed by multi ground-based observations and F3/C RO sounding. The raytracing and beamforming techniques are used to find the propagation and origin of the STIDs triggered by the seismic and tsunami waves. Meanwhile, z test and the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve are employed to find the characteristic of the temporal SIPs (seismo-ionospheric precursor) of the GIM (global ionosphere map) TEC associated with earthquakes in Japan during 1998-2014. It is found that anomalies appearing 3 days before the Tohoku earthquake well agree with the characteristic, which suggests that the SIPs of the earthquake have been observed. A global study on the distribution of anomalies shows that the SIPs specifically and continuously occur over the epicenter on 8 March 2011, 3 days prior to the Tohoku earthquake. Finally, a physical model of the ionosphere is used to reproduce the observed anomalies and find possible causal of the Tohoku SIPs.
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