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Presentations：
Updated on
18 March 2020
NEW! 9-13 December 2019 2019 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Jia, K.*, Zhou, S., Jiang, C. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Spatiotemporal
Evolution of Background Seismicity Rate and Stress Changes Inverted from Seismic
Catalog in Changning Shalegas Hydraulic Fracturing Region, Sichuan Basin of
China, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K. (2019). Seismicity prior to the July 2019 M7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake, 2019 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco,
U.S.A., 11 December 2019. (Poster) Rundle, J., Turcotte, D., Crutchfield, J., Donnellan, A. and Nanjo, K.
(2019). Earthquake and Tsunami Nowcasting and Forecasting Using Shannon
Information Theory, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Spatial Heterogeneity of the
Aftershock Productivity of the Kumamoto Earthquake Modeled by the Finite
Source ETAS model, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December 2019. (Poster) Xiong,
Ziyao （Ph.D.
Student of Department of Geophysics, Peking University, China） Xiong, Z.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2019). A Bayesian approach to
estimating the strain rate from GPS Velocity observations and application to
data from Mainland China, 2019 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2019. (Poster)
16-18 September 2019 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kyoto
University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2019). Bayesian
inference for recurrent earthquake sequences with uncertain occurrence times
(in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto
City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki（Associate Prof. Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T.* and Iio, Y. (2019). Estimation of the spatial stress pattern
of San-in region: a preliminary analysis towards estimation with high spatial
resolution
(in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto
City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Poster) Fukahata,
Y.*, Iwata, T. and Yoshida, K. (2019). Comparison of Stress Tensor Inversion
Methods Using Seismological Data (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 16 September 2019. (Oral) Dr. Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project Associate Prof. of Global
Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of Shizuoka Nanjo, K. Z. (2019). Seismicity prior to the July 2019 southern California
M7.1 earthquake (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 16 September
2019. (Oral)
Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Spatial heterogeneity of
aftershock productivity on the Kumamoto earthquake rupture modeled by the
finite source ETAS model, 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 18 September
2019. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2019). High resolution seismicity models using interpolation
with Delaunay triangulation (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto
University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral)
Ogata, Y. (2019). Bayesian modeling and visualization of spatiotemporal
heterogeneity of hypocenter catalogs (in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City, Japan, 17
September 2019. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*, Terakawa, T. and Noda, A. (2019). Metrics for
Aftershock Generation Based on the Energetics of Shear Faulting (in
Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City,
Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral) Terakawa, T.*, Matsu’ura, M. and Noda, A. (2019). A new
energetics-based failure criterion for understanding the spatial pattern of
aftershocks
(in Japanese), 2019 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto
City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Professor of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2019). Characteristics
of seismic activity before and after the 2018 M6.7 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi
Earthquake, 2019 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto City,
Japan, 16 September 2019. (Oral) Xiong, Ziyao （Ph.D. Student of Department of Geophysics,
Peking University, China / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Xiong, Z.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2019). Comparison of Models of
Long-term Seismic Hazard and with An Application to North China, 2019 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Yoshida Campus,
Kyoto City, Japan, 18 September 2019. (Poster)
8-12
September 2019 2019
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Shiga University,
Hikone Campus, Hikone City, Shiga, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.
(2019). A filtering formula for the conditional intensity of the renewal
Hawkes process, 2019 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Shiga University, Hikone Campus, Hikone City, Shiga,
Japan, 9 September 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2019). Path algorithms for clustered Lasso and OSCAR, 2019
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Shiga University, Hikone Campus, Hikone
City, Shiga, Japan, 12 September 2019. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2019). Posterior distribution of number and locations of centers from
coordinates of clustered spatial point patterns, 2019 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, Shiga University, Hikone Campus, Hikone City, Shiga, Japan, 10
September 2019. (Oral)
7 September
2019 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) CSEP(Collaboratory for the
Study of Earthquake Predictability) Workshop, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2019). SCEC CSEP Workshop on
Operational Earthquake Forecasting during the Ridgecrest Sequence and CSEP2
Progress, CSEP Workshop, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7 September 2019. (Invited discussion)
27 August
2019 Workshop on Hawkes
processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2019). A Filtering Formula for the Conditional Intensity of
the Renewal Hawkes Process, Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 27 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2019). Modeling Heterogeneity and Non-stationarity of Recurrent
Earthquakes, Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science, Workshop on Hawkes
processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27
August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y. (2019). Spatial Heterogeneity of Aftershock Productivity on the
Kumamoto Earthquake Rupture Modeled by the Finite Source ETAS Model, Workshop
on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27
August 2019. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2019). 3D seismicity model beneath the Greater Tokyo Area,
Workshop on Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 27 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T. (2019). Characteristics of Seismic Activity before and
after the 2018 M6.7 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake, Workshop on Hawkes
processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27
August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Associate Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo） Omi, T. (2019). Flexible Modeling of Point Processes, Workshop on
Hawkes processes in data science, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 27
August 2019. (Oral)
18-21
August 2019 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Maita, E. (2019). Distributions of focal mechanisms in
background seismicity and earthquake clusters in Japan, 11th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake
Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Oral) Jia, K.*, Zhou, S., Jiang, C. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Satiotemporal
evolution of background seismicity rate and stress changes inverted from
seismic catalog in Changning region, Sichuan Basin of China, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 19 August 2019. (Poster) Han, P.*, Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Hattori, K. (2019). Operational
earthquake forecast incorporating multiple geophysical data, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Chen, S.*, Li, H., Zhuang, J., Zhang, B. and Wang, L. (2019). A
Bayesian approach of network adjustment for campaigned gravity survey:
methodology and model test, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi,
Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Shcherbakov, R.*, Zhuang, J., Zoeller, G. and Ogata, Y. (2019).
Bayesian Inference on the Magnitude of the Largest Expected Earthquake, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Varini, E.*, Peresan, A. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Declustering algorithms
and network theory for the topological inspection of earthquake sequences, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Li, H.*, Zhang, B., Chen, S. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Bayesian
assimilation inversion of gravity anomalies and parameters optimization, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 21 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y. (2019). Spatial Distribution of Coefficients
of Variation for Recurrence Intervals of Paleoearthquakes in Japan, 11th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince
Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*, Shimojo, K., Opris, A., Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2019).
Remote triggering of earthquakes as a potential stress-meter: the case of the
2016 M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake in Japan, 11th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 19 August 2019. (Oral) Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. Department of Life Sciences,
Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, Prefectural University of
Hiroshima Iwata, T.* and Iio, Y. (2019). An Application of a Bayesian estimation
of spatial stress pattern to San-in region, Japan, 11th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake
Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Dr. Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project Associate Prof. of Global
Center for Asian and Regional Research, University of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.Z.*, Rundle, J.B. and Sakurada, T. (2019). Development of the earthquake
nowcasting method with application to Japan, 11th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 19 August 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Extended versions of the
space-time ETAS model and application to the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake
sequence, 11th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11),
The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August
2019. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y. (2019). High resolution seismicity models using interpolation
with Delaunay triangulation, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi,
Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Oral) Ogata, Y. (2019). Modeling, visualizing and calibrating heterogeneous
hypocenter catalog, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi,
Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Omi, T.*, Ogata, Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara,
K. (2019). Results for real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan during
recent two years, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi,
Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Terakawa, T.*, Matsu’ura, M. and Noda, A. (2019). The change in the
elastic strain energy due to the 1992 Landers earthquake and triggering
mechanisms of aftershock activity, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 19 August 2019. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata, Y., Toda, S. (2019). Anomalies in wide seismicity
before the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake, 11th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko, Hakone-machi,
Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster) Xiong,
Ziyao （Ph.D.
Student of Department of Geophysics, Peking University, China / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Xiong, Z.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2019). Long-term earthquake risk
in North China estimated from a modern catalogue, 11th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology(StatSei11), The Prince Hakone Lake Ashinoko,
Hakone-machi, Kanagawa, Japan, 20 August 2019. (Poster)
18-19 June
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2019). Principles and methods for statistical analysis of
seismicity, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences College of Earth and
Planetary Sciences, Beijing, China, 18 June 2019. (Seminar) Zhuang, J. (2019). History, applications and extensions of the
space-time ETAS model, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences College of
Earth and Planetary Sciences, Beijing, China, 19 June 2019. (Seminar)
26-30 May
2019 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari
Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Maita, E. (2019). Distributions of focal mechanisms in background seismicity and
earthquake clusters in Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari
Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Poster)
Xiong, Z.,
Zhuang, J.* and Zhou, S. (2019). Long-term earthquake risk in North China
estimated from a modern catalogue, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019,
Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019.
(Poster) Hirata, N.*,
Tsuruoka, H., Schorlemmer, D. and Zhuang, J. (2019). CSEP Japan results and
future developments, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Oral) Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. and Hattori, K. (2019). Earthquake probability forecast
incorporating non-seismic data, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo
Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Oral) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Jordan, T., Marzocchi, W.,
Savran, W., Werner, M., Wiemer, S., Beutin, T., Jackson, D. D., Maechling,
P., Mak, S., Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H., Weatherill, G.,
and Zhuang, J. (2019). Increasing Earthquake Forecast Testability - CSEP
Future Developments, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2019). Bayesian Inference and Forecast on Renewal Processes for
Recurrent Earthquakes with Uncertain Occurrence Times, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2019. (Oral)
Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2019). Focal mechanisms of the aftershocks of the 2000 Western Tottori
Earthquake inferred from P wave first-motion data and spatial stress pattern,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.*,
Miyaoka, K. and Yoshida, A. (2019). Assessment for a large earthquake occurrence
on the northern side of the focal region of the 2011 off-Tohoku mega-thrust
earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2019. (Oral) Nanjo, K.
(2019). An investigation into slow-slip detection capability of the Tokai
Strainmenter Network, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2019. (Poster) Nanjo, K.*,
Rundle, J. and Sakurada, T. (2019). Earthquake nowcasting: further development
and application to Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2019. (Poster) Nanjo, K.*,
Izutsu, J., Orihara, Y., Kamogawa, M. and Nagao, T. (2019). Seismicity and
crustal deformation following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 28 May 2019. (Poster) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Extended versions of the space-time ETAS
model and application to the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27
May 2019. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2019). High resolution space-time
models forecasting 3D seismicity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27
May 2019. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.
(2019). The seismic moment, stress drop, and strain energy release for the
rupture of asperities, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2019. (Oral) Terakawa, T.*,
Matsu’ura, M. and Noda, A. (2019). The change in the elastic strain energy
due to the 1992 Landers earthquake and triggering mechanisms of aftershock
activity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2019, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba
City, Japan, 29 May 2019. (Oral)
15 May
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). Identifying the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors using a
2D hidden Markov model, Academia Sinica, Institute of Statistical Sciences,
Taipei City, Taiwan, 15 May 2019. (Seminar)
14-17 May
2019 2019 Taiwan
Geosciences Assembly(TGA), Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei
City, Taiwan. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). Data missing in the Chichi earthquake sequence and stochastic
replenishment, 2019 Taiwan Geosciences Assembly(TGA), Taipei Nangang
Exhibition Center, Taipei City, Taiwan., 14 May 2019. (Oral)
13 May
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2019).
Identifying the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors using a 2D hidden
Markov model, Academia Sinica, Institute of Earth Sciences, Taipei City,
Taiwan, 13 May 2019. (Seminar)
10 May
2019 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). Detection and replenishment of missing data in earthquake catalogs,
National Central University, Department of Earth Sciences, Taoyuan City,
Taiwan, 10 May 2019. (Seminar)
7-12 April
2019 European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna,
Austria. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Peresan, A.*,
Varini, E. and Zhuang, J. (2019). Capturing the complexity of earthquake
sequences by different methods, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General
Assembly 2019, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 8 April 2019.
(Oral) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M.,
Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D., Maechling, P., Mak, S.,
Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y., Rhoades, D., Strader, A., Tsuruoka, H., Weatherill, G.,
Zhuang, J. and Savran, W. (2019). Increasing Earthquake Forecast Testability
- CSEP Future Developments, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly
2019, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 8 April 2019. (Invited
Lecture) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of Geophysics,
Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate Prof. of
ISM） Borleanu, F.*,
Petrescu, L., Enescu, B., Popa, M. and Radulian, M. (2019). Use of Double
Difference seismic tomography to reveal seismicity and crustal structure
patterns across the Eastern Carpathians, Romania, European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna,
Austria, 9 April 2019. (Poster) Gulia, L.*,
Tormann, T., Rinaldi, A.P., Vannucci., G., Enescu, B. and Wiemer, S. (2019).
The effect of a mainshock on the size distribution of the aftershocks,
European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2019, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 11 April 2019. (Poster)
11-13
February 2019 International
Conference on "Data
Science, Time Series Modeling and Applications"(ICMMA2018), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2019). A Semi-parametric Spatiotemporal Hawkes-type Point Process Model with
Periodic Background for Crime Data, International Conference on "Data
Science, Time Series Modeling and Applications"(ICMMA2018), Meiji
University, Nakano Campus, Nakano-ku, Tokyo, Japan., 13 February 2019.
10-14
December 2018 2018 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Han, P. and Ogata, Y. (2018). Statistical testing of earthquake precursors
and modelling strategies, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union
(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 10
December 2018. (Invited lecture) Peng, Z.*,
Neves, M., Daniels, C., Zhu, L., McClellan, J-H. and, Zhuang, J. (2018). Seismic
Detection of Very Early Aftershocks Following the 2004 M6.0 Parkfield
Earthquake, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter
E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 10 December 2018.
(Poster) Zhou, P.*, Yang,
H., Wang, B. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Seismological investigations of
potentially induced earthquakes near the Hutubi underground gas storage, 2018
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington
Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 12 December 2018. (Poster) Jia, K.*, Zhou,
S., Zhuang, J., Jiang, C. and Guo, Y. (2018). Did the 2008 Mw 7.9 Wenchuan
earthquake trigger the occurrence of the 2017 Mw 6.5 Jiuzhaigou earthquake in
Sichuan, China?, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 13 December
2018. (Poster) Shcherbakov,
R.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2018). Bayesian Framework for Constraining the
Magnitude of Extreme Aftershocks, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington,DC, U.S.A., 14 December 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Bayesian estimation and forecast for recurrence intervals
of uncertain occurrence times from paleoearthquakes, 2018 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington,DC, U.S.A., 10 December 2018. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*, Shimojo,
K., Opris, A., Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Triggering and Decay
Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Japan, 2018 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington
Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 11 December 2018. (Oral) Borleanu, F.,
Enescu, B.*, Petrescu, L. Popa, M. and Radulian, M. (2018). Crustal structure
of the Eastern Carpathians (Romania) region as revealed by double-difference
seismic tomography, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 12 December
2018. (Poster) Peng, H.*,
Enescu, B., Lin, A. and Shiomi, K. (2018). Investigating the Seismicity
Before and After the 2018 M6.1 Osaka Earthquake, Japan, 2018 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington,DC, U.S.A., 13 December 2018. (Poster) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J., Hirata, N. and Zhou, S. (2018). Heterogeneity of Direct
Aftershock Productivity of the Mainshock Rupture, 2018 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington,DC, U.S.A., 14 December 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Modeling and visualizing space-time heterogeneities of hypocenter
catalogs, 2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E.
Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 10 December 2018.
(Invited (Poster)) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). 3D ETAS based model for
predicting seismicity beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 2018 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington,DC, U.S.A., 10 December 2018. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2018). Real-time
operational aftershock forecasting in Japan, 2018 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E. Washington Convention Center,
Washington,DC, U.S.A., 12 December 2018. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Noda, A.*,
Saito, T., Fukuyama, E., Terakawa, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2018). Estimation of
gradual stress changes before the 2016 Mw7.0 Kumamoto, Japan, earthquake,
2018 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Walter E.
Washington Convention Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 11 December 2018. (Oral)
Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)）
Zhuang, J.* and
Maita, E. (2018). Combining focal mechanisms into the ETAS model, 2018 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU) Walter E. Washington Convention
Center, Washington,DC, U.S.A., 13 December 2018. (Poster)
18 October
2018 Center for Data
Science and Service Research, Tohoku University, Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Hawkes models in social and natural sciences: estimation,
diagnostics, and extensions, Data Science Workshop, Center for Data Science
and Service Research, Tohoku University, Sendai City, Japan, 18 October 2018.
(Invited Seminar)
9-11
October 2018 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City,
Fukushima, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Bayesian Forecast with the BPT Model for Japanese
Paleoseismic Catalog and its Predictive Performance Based on Numerical
Experiences (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 10 October
2018. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2018). Estimation of focal mechanisms on the basis of the spatial stress
pattern inferred from P-wave first
motion data (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 10 October
2018. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Statistical Seismology and Physics of Seismic activity (in Japanese),
2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Big Palette
Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 10 October 2018. (Invited
lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2018). Real -time
aftershock forecasting after the 2018 Northern Osaka earthquake (in
Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Big
Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 9 October 2018. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A. and Terakawa, T. (2018). Theoretical Background of the Wallace-Bott
Hypothesis (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 11 October
2018. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Saito, T., Fukuyama, E., Terakawa, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2018). Interseismic
stress accumulation and release estimated from elastic/inelastic strain
analysis in Beppu-Shimabara graben (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City,
Fukushima, Japan, 11 October 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Professor of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*, Ogata,
Y., and Toda, S. (2018). Anomalies in wide seismicity before the 2011 Tohoku
Earthquake (in Japanese), 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 9 October
2018. (Oral) Zhang,
Shengfeng （Ph.D.
Student of Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, China /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Zhang, S.*,
Zhuang, J. and Jiang C. (2018). Next one-day aftershock forecasting generated
by ETAS model and R-J model, 2018 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, Big Palette Fukushima, Koriyama City, Fukushima, Japan, 9 October
2018. (Oral)
25-28
September 2018 10th
ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Science)
International Workshop, Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.
(2018). History of ACES Activity, 10th ACES(APEC Cooperation
for Earthquake Science) International Workshop, Hotel &
Resorts MINAMIAWAJI, Minamiawaji City, Hyogo, Japan, 25 September 2018.
(Oral) Matsu’ura, M. (2018).
Two Different Representations of Moment Tensor and the Energetics of Shear
Faulting, 10th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Science)
International Workshop, Hotel & Resorts MINAMIAWAJI, Minamiawaji City,
Hyogo, Japan, 26 September 2018. (Oral)
21-23
September 2018 International
Joint Workshop on Slow Earthquakes 2018(SlowEQ2018), ACROS Fukuoka, Fukuoka City, Japan. Buckby,
Jodie
（PhD Student of Otago Univeristy
(Department of Mathematics and Statistics), New Zealand） Buckby, J.*,
Wang, T., Zhuang, J., Obara, K. and Takeo, A. (2018). Classification of
non-volcanic tremor observations, International Joint Workshop on Slow
Earthquakes 2018, ACROS Fukuoka, Fukuoka City, Japan, 21-23 September 2018.
(Poster)
9-13
September 2018 2018
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University,
Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.* and
Mateu, J. (2018). A semi-parametric spatiotemporal Hawkes-type point process
model with periodic background for crime data, 2018 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo,
Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2018). Automatic segmentation of rating classes via the generalized fused
lasso, 2018 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen
Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 12 September 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y. (2018).
Modelling and forecasting three-dimensional-hypocentre seismicity in the
Kanto region, 2018 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University,
Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquake, 2018 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku,
Tokyo, Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral) Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Maita, E.
(2018). Extension of ETS model with focal mechanism, 2018 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Chuo University, Korakuen Campus, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo,
Japan, 13 September 2018. (Oral)
8-12
September 2018 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM）
Zhuang, J.
(2018). Perspectives from CSEP Japan, SCEC Workshop on Predictive Skill
Across Tectonic Settings and Planning CSEP 2.0, CSEP Workshop, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 8 September 2018. (Invited talk) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2018).
SCEC Workshop on Predictive Skill Across Tectonic Settings and Planning CSEP
2.0, CSEP Workshop, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 8
September 2018. (Invited discussion) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). 3D models of seismicity
beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 8-12 September 2018. (Poster)
2-7 September
2018 The European Seismological
Commission 36th General Assembly, Mediterranean
Conference Center(MCC), Valletta, Malta. Schorlemmer, D.*, Werner,
M., Marzocchi, W., Jordan, T., Ogata, Y., Jackson, D., Mak, S., Rhoades, D.,
Gerstenberger, M., Hirata, N., Strader, A., Taroni, M., Wiemer, S., Zechar,
J. and Zhuang, J. (2018).
10 August
2018 Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project
Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo）
Ogata, Y.
(2018). Studies of Seismic Activity and Forecasting based on the ETAS models,
RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project, RIKEN Kansai Branch at
Advanced Telecommunications Research Institute International(ATR),
Soraku-gun, Kyoto, Japan, 10 August 2018. (Invited lecture)
16 July
2018 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Critical zone of the branching crack model for earthquakes: inherent
randomness, earthquake predictability, and precursor modeling, National
Central University, Department of Earth Sciences, Taoyuan City, Taiwan, 16
July 2018. (Seminar)
26-29 June
2018 5th Institute of
Mathematical Statistics(IMS), Asia Pacific Rim Meeting(IMS-APRM 2018), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point
processes, 5th Institute of Mathematical Statistics(IMS), Asia Pacific Rim
Meeting(IMS-APRM 2018), National University of Singapore, Singapore, 26 June
2018. (Oral)
19-21 June
2018 2nd International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2018), City University
of Hong Kong, Hong Kong. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Clustering models for earthquake occurrences and extensions, 2nd
International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2018), City
University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 21 June 2018. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Wu, S.*, Liu,
Y., Ng, M. and Tanaka, M. (2018). Application of multi-domain clustering to
C. elegans neural network analysis, 2nd International Conference on
Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2018), City University of Hong Kong, Hong
Kong, 20 June 2018. (Invited lecture)
3-8 June
2018 15th Annual Meeting
Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Hawaii Convention Centre, Honolulu,
Hawaii, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ishibe, T.*,
Miyazawa, M., Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2018). Seismicity rate
change in Japan following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, 15th Annual Meeting
Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Hawaii Convention Centre, Honolulu, Hawaii,
U.S.A., 7 June 2018. (Poster)
25-27 May
2018 International Symposium
on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation
Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba
University (Nishi-Chiba Campus), Chiba City, Japan. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Matsu’ura, M. and Han, P. (2018). Critical zone of the branching crack model
for earthquakes: inherent randomness, earthquake predictability, and
precursor modelling, International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th
International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation,
Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2018. (Invited lecture) Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2018). On the precursory information in ULF
seismo-electromagnetic phenomena, International Symposium on Earthquake
Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process
~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2018. (Invited lecture) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Bebbington, M. and Kato, T. (2018). Precursory signals from GPS
data for short-term earthquake forecasts: signal processing and assessment,
International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop
on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Statistical features and cluster-based discrimination of
foreshocks, International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th
International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation,
Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City,
Japan, 26 May 2018. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.
(2018). A global model of earthquake forecasting using spatiotemporal
variation of b-value, International
Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake
Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5),
Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2018).
Probability forecasts of a large earthquake by combination of statistical
characteristics and anomalies of seismic activity, International Symposium on
Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation
Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2018. (Invited lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2018). Real-time
short-term earthquake forecasting after a large earthquake in Japan,
International Symposium on Earthquake Forecast / 5th International Workshop
on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation, Modeling,
Forecasting~(ISEF-IWEP5), Chiba University, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2018.
(Poster)
20-24 May
2018 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari
Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Hirata, N. and Tsuruoka, H. (2018). A 3D-hypocentral ETAS model for the
Japan CSEP project and initial results, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018,
Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018.
(Poster) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M.,
Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D.D., Mak, S., Nanjo, K., Ogata,
Y., Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Increasing Testability,
Expanding Possibilities. Some CSEP Future Developments, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2018). Foreshock Discrimination and Short-Term Mainshock Forecast
Based on Magnitude Differences and Spatio–Temporal Distances, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21
May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Wu, Stephen （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Yamada, M.*,
Saito, J., Hayashimoto N. and Wu, S. (2018). How to improve earthquake early warning
for multiple simultaneous earthquakes: example of January 5 2018 event, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23
May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.,
Enescu, B.*, Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2018). Triggering and Decay
Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Southwest Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23
May 2018. (Oral) Shimojo, K.,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y.* and Takeda, T. (2018). Nucleation Process of the 2011 Mw 6.2 Northern Nagano earthquake,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Poster) Matsukawa, H.,
Yagi, Y.*, Kasahara, A. and Enescu, B. (2018). Stress Release and Rebuilding
Processes of Mega-thrust Earthquake and Periodic Slowslip Detected by Focal
Mechanism Patterns, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2018). Stress rotation found in the aftershock area of the 2000 Western
Tottori Earthquake and its temporal variation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2018). b-value analysis
for low-frequency earthquakes beneath Mt. Fuji, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral) Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2018). A b-value map
based on seismicity of the Nankai Trough subduction zone, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2018.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2018). Wide seismic anomalies before the 2011 Tohoku
Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2018. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Guo, Y.*, Zhuang,
J. and Hirata, N. (2018). Heterogeneity of direct aftershock productivity of
the main shock rupture, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Makuhari Messe
International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2018). Exploring Magnitude
Forecasting of the Next Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018,
Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A. and Terakawa, T. (2018). Reconsideration of moment tensor: two different
representations and their physical meanings, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2018. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Saito, T., Fukuyama, E. and Matsu’ura, M. (2018). Crustal stress accumulation
and release estimated from elastic/inelastic strain analysis: the 2016
Kumamoto earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2018. (Oral) Maita,
Eri
（Ph.D. Student of The Graduate
University for Advanced Studies (SOKEN-DAI)） Maita, E.* and
Zhuang, J. (2018). Incorporating focal mechanisms into the ETAS model, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23
May 2018. (Oral) Zhang,
Shengfeng （PhD Student
of Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, China / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Zhang, S.*,
Zhuang, J., and Jiang, C. (2018). One-day forecasts generated by the ETAS and
Reasenberg-Jones models for the aftershocks following the 2017 Linzhi, Tibet,
MS6.9 earthquake, China,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 21 May 2018. (Oral)
16 May
2018 Workshop on the Challenges
of the Continental Earthquake Science Experiments(CESES): Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.
(2018). Earthquake triggering and interaction, based on study-cases in Japan,
Workshop on the Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science
Experiments(CESES): Science, Technology and Coordination, Institute of
Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 16
May 2018. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2018)
Toward probability forecasting of large earthquakes, Workshop on the
Challenges of the Continental Earthquake Science Experiments(CESES): Science,
Technology and Coordination, Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China
Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, 16 May 2018. (Invited lecture)
12-14 May
2018 International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th
International Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu
Century City New International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu,
Sichuan, China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2018). Critical zone of the branching crack model for earthquakes: inherent
randomness, earthquake predictability, and precursor modelling, International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th
International Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New
International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 12
May 2018. (Invited lecture) Zhuang, J.
(2018). Data missing of the Wenchuan aftershock sequence in the catalog and
stochastic replenishment, International Conference for the Decade Memory of
the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International Conference on Continental
Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New International Convention and Exhibition
Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13 May 2018. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.
(2018). Background rates of swarm earthquakes that are synchronized with
volumetric strain changes, International Conference for the Decade Memory of
the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th International Conference on Continental
Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New International Convention and Exhibition
Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13 May 2018. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2018). On recent ETAS research progress for seismicity, International
Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake with the 4th
International Conference on Continental Earthquakes, Chengdu Century City New
International Convention and Exhibition Center, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 13
May 2018. (Invited lecture)
22 March
2018 ISM Symposium on
Environmental Statistics 2018, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2018). Spatial distribution of coefficients of variation for earthquake
recurrence intervals in Japan, ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics
2018, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22
March 2018. (Invited lecture)
5-6 March
2018 32nd
Information-Based Induction Sciences and Machine Learning(IBISML), Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Watanabe, M. and Oguma, Y. (2018). Classification of Intra-Week and Intra-Day
Walking Patterns and Their Effect on Body-Composition Changes Using A
Hierarchical Model, 32nd Information-Based Induction Sciences and Machine
Learning(IBISML), Nishijin Plaza, Kyushu University, Fukuoka City, Japan, 5
March 2018. (Oral)
22
February 2018 International
Symposium on Risk Analysis and Random Fields, Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2018). Modeling heterogeneity and non-stationarity of earthquake recurrence cycles,
International Symposium on Risk Analysis and Random Fields, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 February 2018.
(Invited lecture)
11-15 December
2017 2017 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Tinti, E. (2017). Heterogeneity of direct
aftershock productivity in the focal zones of large earthquakes and other
clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial
Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 13 December 2017. (Oral) Wang, D.*,
Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J.J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X.
(2017). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Length of Large
Earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), New
Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 15 December
2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida, A. (2017). A systematic investigation into b values prior to coming
large earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, U.S.A., 14
December 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Assistant
Prof. of Department of Earth and
Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and Technology, China /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Assessment of precursory information in
seismo-electromagnetic phenomena, 2017 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans,
U.S.A., 12 December 2017. (Poster)
30
November - 1 December 2017 ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference Tokyo 2017, Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial Pattern of Coefficients of Variation and Bayesian
Forecasts for Recurrence Intervals of Earthquakes in Japan, ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference Tokyo 2017, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa
City, Tokyo, Japan, 30 November 2017. (Oral)
27
November - 1 December 2017 Workshop
on Frontiers in Studies of Earthquakes and Faults, Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Stress field in the aftershock area of the 2000 Western Tottori
Earthquake estimated by a Bayesian stress inversion analyzing P-wave first
motion data, Workshop on Frontiers in Studies of Earthquakes and Faults,
Southern University of Science and Technology(SUSTech), Shenzhen, Guangdong,
China, 30 November, 2017. (Poster)
25-27
October 2017 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Taroni, M. (2017). An extensive study of
clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens
Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral) Wang, D.*,
Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X.
(2017). Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Length of Large
Earthquakes, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26
October 2017. (Oral) Schorlemmer,
D.*, Hirata, N., Cotton, F., Gerstenberger, M., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M.,
Wiemer, S., Jordan, T., Beutin, T., Jackson, D., Nanjo, K., Ogata, Y.,
Rhoades, D., Tsuruoka, H., Yu, J. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Increasing
Testability - Expanding Possibilities: Some CSEP future developments, 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural
Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). CSEP次世代プロジェクトの一展望 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2017). Forecasting
aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural
Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.,
Enescu, B.*, Yagi, Y. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Triggering and Decay
Characteristics of Dynamically Activated Seismicity in Southwest Japan, 2017
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural
Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster) Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). 2011年長野県北部の地震(Mw
6.2)の核形成過程 (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan,
26 October 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof.
of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). P波初動データに基づく応力場の空間パターン推定：応力比推定の試み (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017.
(Oral) Cho, I.* and
Iwata, T. (2017). 微動アレイデータを用いた浅部速度構造のベイズインバージョン法の開発 (in Japanese),
2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 25 October 2017.
(Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). 日本の活断層カタログに対するBPTモデルの適切な推定と予測について (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). 2016年熊本地震発生前後の九州地方地震活動の点過程モデルによる解析 (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 26 October 2017.
(Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Miyauchi, T. and Sato, T. (2017). 完新世海成段丘の成因と地震発生時期予測可能モデル (in
Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kagoshima
Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima City, Japan, 27 October 2017.
(Oral) Dr.
Nanjo, Kazuyoshi （Project
Associate Prof. of Global Center for Asian and Regional Research, University
of Shizuoka / Visiting Researcher of ISM）
Nanjo, K.* and
Yoshida A. (2017). Forecasting aftershocks using the Hi-net real time
hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 27 October 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Guo, Yicun （Post-doctoral
fellow of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Guo, Y.*,
Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Modeling and forecasting seismicity in the
Kanto region by using a 3D ETAS model, 2017 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kagoshima Prefectural Citizens Exchange Center, Kagoshima
City, Japan, 26 October 2017. (Poster)
23-25 October 2017 Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Extensions of the self-exciting model and causality analysis for
seismicity, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda
Campus, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 24 October 2017. (Invited lecture)
15-17 October 2017 2017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy
during 2005 to 2016, 2017 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience Union(CGU),
Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 16 October 2017.
(Invited lecture)
9-13
September 2017 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G. and Tinti, E. (2017). Clustering features of
seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton
Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). 3D spatial models for seismicity beneath greater Tokyo region, CSEP
Workshop: Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited
lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2017). Exploring magnitude forecasts of the next earthquakes, CSEP Workshop:
Informing Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2017). On secular spatial seismicity, 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S. (2017).
Short-term forecasts by foreshock discrimination, CSEP Workshop: Informing
Earthquake Debates with CSEP Results, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 9 September 2017. (Invited lecture)
3-6
September 2017 2017
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University,
Nagoya City, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Delaunay triangulation for smoothing seismicity models, 2017 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September
2017. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term earthquake forecast model using foreshock
discrimination and aftershock decay, 2017 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting,
Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2017). Monitoring of the Seismicity before and after the 2016
Kumamoto Earthquake with Point Process Models, 2017 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Nanzan University, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 September 2017.
(Oral)
8-10
August 2017 2017
Conference of the International Federation of Classification Societies(IFCS
2017),
Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.,
Watanabe, M. and Oguma, Y. (2017). Classification of in-week and -day
patterns in ambulatory activity and body composition change, The 2017
Conference of the International Federation of Classification Societies(IFCS-2017),
Tokai University, Takanawa Campus, Minato-ku Tokyo, Japan, 8 August 2017.
(Oral)
30 July –
4 August 2017
Joint Scientific
Assembly of the International Association of Geodesy(IAG) and the
International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth’s
Interior(IASPEI) (IAG-IASPEI 2017), Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Opris, A.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Investigation of remote earthquake triggering
after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2 August 2017.
(Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). The spatial distribution of the stress ratio in the aftershock area
of the 2000 Western Tottori Earthquake, IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1-2 August 2017. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Nomura, S., Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2017). Reciprocal relationship between
seismically estimated slip rates and geodetically estimated slip-deficit
rates at plate interfaces: Physical interpretation and logical consequence,
IAG-IASPEI 2017, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1
August 2017. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu’ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of plate interfaces inferred from
numerical simulations of stress fields for oceanic plates: Application to the
North American-Pacific plate interface off northeast Japan, IAG-IASPEI 2017,
Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 1 August 2017. (Oral)
16-21 July
2017 61st International
Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Modelling earthquake clustering and stochastic reconstruction, 61st
International Statistical Institute(ISI) World Statistics Congress(ISI2017),
Mansour Eddahbi Hotel & Palais des Congrès, Marrakech, Kingdom of
Morocco, 19 July 2017. (Invited lecture)
15-17 June
2017 1st International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Mateu, J. (2017). Semi-parametric estimates of long-term background trend,
periodicity, and clustering effect for a Hawkes point process, 1st
International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Hong
Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited
lecture) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Spatial distribution of coefficients of variation and
Bayesian forecasts for recurrence intervals of earthquakes, 1st International
Conference on Econometrics and Statistics(EcoSta 2017), Hong Kong University
of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, 17 June 2017. (Invited lecture)
26-27 May
2017 4th International
Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process ~Observation, Validation,
Modeling, Forecasting~ Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Evaluation Methods of Earthquake Forecasts and earthquake predictions,
4th International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017
-Observation, Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba
University, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K., Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical modeling of
earthquake temporal occurrences incorporating seismo-magnetic data, 4th
International Workshop on Earthquake Preparation Process 2017 -Observation,
Validation, Modeling, Forecasting- (IWEP4 2017), Chiba University, Chiba
City, Japan, 27 May 2017. (Oral)
22-26 May
2017 JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting
2017,
Makuhari Messe, International Conference Hall, International Exhibition Hall
/ Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and Console, R. (2017). An extensive
study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016,
JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24
May 2017. (Oral) Guo, Y.*,
Hirata, N. and Zhuang, J. (2017). Statistical characteristics of seismicity
in the Kanto region detected by the 3D-ETAS model, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting
2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2017). Remote triggering of earthquakes
as a possible stress-meter: the case of the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto mainshock,
JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25
May 2017. (Oral) Tormann, T.*,
Gulia, L., Staudenmaier, N., Petruccelli, A., Enescu, B. and Wiemer, S.
(2017). Current frontiers in spatio-temporal b-value analysis, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2017.
(Invited lecture) Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2017). Nucleation Process of the 2011
Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay
Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). HIST-ETAS models - revisited with emphasis on background seismicity,
JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24
May 2017. (Oral) Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Short-term forecast by foreshock discrimination models
using magnitude frequency and spatio-temporal features of seismic clusters,
JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of Community
Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion data: an application to a real dataset, JpGU-AGU Joint
Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and Fukahata, Y. (2016). Nucleation Process of the
2011 Mw6.2 Northern Nagano Earthquake, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu’ura, M. (2017). Frictional strength of the plate interface off
northeast Japainferred from the simulation of oceanic plate stress, JpGU-AGU
Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Earthquake modeling
incorporating non-seismic data, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Tokyo Bay
Makuhari Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral) Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2017). Assessing the potential earthquake
precursory information in ULF magnetic data recorded in Kanto, Japan during
2000 – 2010, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2017. (Oral)
23-28
April 2017 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y., Murru, M., Falcone, G., Taroni, M. and Console, R. (2017). An
extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to
2016, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, Austria Center
Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 25 April 2017. (Oral) Chen, S.*, Liao,
X., Ma, H., Zhou, L., Wang, X. and Zhuang, J. (2017). The network adjustment
aimed for the campaigned gravity survey using a Bayesian approach:
methodology and model test, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly
2017, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna, Austria, 26 April 2017. (Poster)
21 April
2017 Dr. Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2017). Replenishment of missing data in the observation of earthquake
sequences, Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing,
China, 21 April 2017. (Seminar)
27 February - 1 March
2017 Waseda International
Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku-ku,
Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Forecasting of a large earthquake – An outlook of the research,
Waseda International Symposium, Waseda University, Nishi-Waseda Campus,
Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 28 February 2017. (Invited lecture)
20-24
February 2017 10th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum
of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Wang, T. (2017). On the biased estimate of earthquake clustering parameters
caused by short-term aftershock missing, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa,
Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J. Obara, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Buckby, J. (2017). A 2D hidden Markov
model for the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hirata, N. (2017). Aftershock productivity imaging on main
shock fault plane by seismicity triggering modelling, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Yin, F.*,
Zhuang, J. Jia, K., Jiang, C. and Han, L. (2017). A Study on Seismicity in
the Yunnan Region by Using Multidimental Stress Release Model, 10th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New
Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017.
(Poster) Shcherbakov,
R.*, Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2017). The Magnitude of the Extreme
Aftershock, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.*,
Wiemer, S., Enescu, B. and Woessner, J. (2017). Evolution of earthquake
rupture potential along active faults, inferred from seismicity rates and
size distributions, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 22 February 2017. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2017). Towards the implementation of the probability forecast of large
earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2017). Predicting seismic activity
beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, 10th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington,
New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2017). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: XETAS,
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of
New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017.
(Poster) Strader, A.*,
Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2017). Resolving
Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Aftershock
Forecast, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10),
Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February
2017. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2017). Mixture of a rate- and state-dependent seismicity and the ETAS models
and its application to earthquake swarms, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa,
Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2017). Statistical Monitoring of the Seismicity
before and after the Kumamoto Earthquakes, 10th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa,
Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2017). Preliminary study of earthquake
models incorporating seismo-electromagnetic data, 10th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2017). Statistical Discrimination of Foreshocks and Real-time
Mainshock Forecasting, 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa Tongarewa, Wellington, New
Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki K. and Aihara, K. (2017). Feasibility of
automatic real-time aftershock forecasting in Japan, 10th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10), Museum of New Zealand Te Papa
Tongarewa, Wellington, New Zealand, 21 February 2017. (Oral)
19-22
December 2016 2016 The
10th ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in
the 21st Century, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Nonparametric Modelling of Spatiotemporal Crime Data, 2016 The 10th ICSA
International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st
Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December 2016.
(Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.
(2016). Modeling Earthquake Anomalies: Application of ETAS (Epidemic-Type
Aftershock Sequence) Model and Its Improvement, 2016 The 10th ICSA
International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st
Century, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, 19 December 2016.
(Invited lecture)
12-17 December 2016 2016
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). Probability forecasts based on multiple seismicity anomalies: Case of
the M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake of 2016, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2016. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Yagi, Y.*, Okuwaki,
R., Enescu, B., Kasahara, A., Miyakawa, A. and Otsubo, M. (2016). Rupture
process of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in relation with the thermal
structure around Aso volcano, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). A Bayesian Approach to Estimate a Spatial Stress Pattern from P-wave
First Motion Polarities, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2016. (Poster)
Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016).
Statistical Monitoring of the Seismic Activities before and after the
Kumamoto Earthquakes, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2016. (Poster)
Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J., Hattori, K. and Ogata, Y. (2016). An interdisciplinary approach
for earthquake modelling and forecasting, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and Ogata, Y.
(2016). Real-time Mainshock Forecast by Statistical Discrimination of Foreshock
Clusters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2016. (Poster)
24-26 October 2016 Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). Models for seismic activity
beneath the Greater Tokyo Area, Waseda International Symposium, Waseda
University, Nishi-Waseda Campus, Shinjuku Tokyo, Japan, 25 October 2016.
(Invited lecture)
15-18 October 2016 2016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Guo, Y. and Zhou, S. (2016). On the extensions of the Epidemic-Type
Aftershock Sequence model, 2016 Annual Meeting of Chinese Geoscience
Union(CGU), Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing, China, 18
October 2016. (Invited lecture)
5-7 October 2016 2016
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya
Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Data completeness of the Kumamoto sequence in the JMA catalog and its
influence to estimation of ETAS parameters, 2016 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6
October 2016. (Oral) Wang, D.*,
Kawakatsu, H., Zhuang, J., Mori, J., Maeda, T., Tsuruoka, H. and Zhao, X. (2016).
Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Extent of Large Earthquakes,
2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress
Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Shimojo, K., Opris, A. and Yagi, Y. (2016). Remote triggering of seismicity
at Japanese volcanoes following the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake, 2016 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya
City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2016). Nucleation Proccss of the 2011
Mw6.2 Northem Nagano Earthquake (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5
October 2016. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). Probability forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto M7.3 earthquake (in
Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya
Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016. (Oral) Ishibe, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Correlation between the
co-seismic Coulomb stress changes and seismicity rate changes for three
megathrust earthquakes (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016.
(Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Spatial pattern of stress tensor inferred from P-wave first motion data (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 7 October 2016.
(Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2016). Interplate frictional strength in subduction zones:
Theoretical constraint (in Japanese), 2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 6 October 2016.
(Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kato, A. and Tsuruoka, H. (2016). Statistical Analysis of the
Earthquake Swarms following the Mie offshore Earthquake (M6.1) (in Japanese),
2016 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress
Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Possible coupling of multiple
pre-earthquake phenomena of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0), 2016 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya
City, Japan, 7 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2016). Main Shock Probability Forecast of the 2016 Kumamoto
Earthquake by Foreshock Discrimination Models (in Japanese), 2016 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya
City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Forecasting
aftershocks using the Hi-net real time hypocenter catalog (in Japanese), 2016
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center,
Nagoya City, Japan, 5 October 2016. (Poster)
4-7
September 2016 2016
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa
University, Kanazawa City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point
processes, 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2016). 2016年熊本地震(M7.3)に関する確率予測問題(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa
City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). ３次元空間の地震活動モデル(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of Transdisciplinary Research Integration
Center, ROIS） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2016). 熊本地震前後の九州地方地震活動の点過程モデルによる解析(in Japanese),
2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan,
5 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Zhuang, J. and Hattori, K. (2016). Statistical investigations of
electromagnetic phenomena associated with earthquakes, 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa City, Japan, 6 September 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y., Uchida, N. and Matsu’ura, M. (2016). 局所不連続スプラインを用いた太平洋プレート沈み込み速度の時空間分布の推定(in
Japanese), 2016 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Kanazawa University,
Kanazawa City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)
30 July – 4 August 2016 2016 Joint
Statistical Meetings(JSM), McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Mateau,
J. (2016). Semiparametric Estimates of the Long-Term Background Trend,
Periodictiy, and Clustering Effect in Crime Data, 2016 Joint Statistical
Meetings(JSM), McCormick Place, Chicago, U.S.A., 1 August 2016. (Oral)
20-23 July
2016 2016 International Workshop on
Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2016),
Institute
of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Mateau, J.
(2016). Semi-parametric estimates of the long-term background trend,
periodicity, and clustering effect in crime data, 2016 International Workshop
on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 July 2016. (Invited lecture) Prof. Zhou, Shiyong （Prof. of School of Earth and
Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Zhou, S. (2016).
Description of The Earthquake Hazard Insurance Frame in China, 2016
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2016), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 21 July 2016. (Invited
lecture)
19-22 July
2016 International Symposium: Crustal Dynamics
2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic Processes at Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). A Statistical approach to estimate a spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion polarity data : its development and a numerical
simulation, Crustal Dynamics 2016: Unified Understanding of Geodynamic
Processes at Different Time and Length Scales, Takayama City Cultural Hall,
Takayama City, Japan, 22 July 2016. (Poster)
22-26 May
2016 Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari
Messe, International Conference Hall, Internationlal Exhibition Hall / APA
Hotel & Resort Tokyo bay Makuhari, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and Wang,
T. (2016). Correcting biases in the estimates of earthquake clustering
parameters caused by short-term missing of aftershocks, Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster) Segkou, M.* and
Zhuang, J. (2016). Optimized physics-based earthquake forecasts for inland
Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu, Bogdan （Associate Prof. Department of
Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University / Visiting Associate
Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.,
Wiemer, S., Enescu, B.* and Woessner, J. (2016). Evolution of earthquake
rupture potential along the Pacific Plate off Japan, inferred from
seismicity, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Yamagami, Y.,
Enescu, B.* and Yagi, Y. (2016). Investigating the relationship between
slow-slip events and tremor in the Shikoku region, Southwest Japan, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.*,
Katsura, K., Tsuruoka, H. and Hirata, N. (2016). 3D spatial models for seismicity
beneath Kanto region, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Invited
lecture) Ishibe, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Tsuruoka, H. and Satake, K. (2016). Testing the Coulomb stress triggering
hypothesis for great subduction earthquakes using abundant focal mechanisms,
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Strader, A.E.*,
Ogata, Y., Hirata, N., Tsuruoka, H. and Schorlemmer, D. (2016). Resolving
Stress Singularities: a Retrospective Japan Rate-and-State Earthquake
Forecast, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Development of a method to estimate spatial stress pattern from
P-wave first motion data: a preliminary numerical simulation, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2016. (Poster) Iwata, T.
(2016). Change in b-values following the three M6 or 7-class earthquakes in
the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016,
Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.
(Poster) Cho, I.* and
Iwata, T. (2016). An examination of the relation between the distribution of
microtremor Horizontal-to-Vertical spectral ratios and the F distribution (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Exhibition Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2016). Deformation rates of island-arc crust
estimated from seismic, geodetic, and geomorphic data, Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Assistant Prof. of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Some development on
predicting earthquake swarms using volumetric strain records, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Exhibition Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Poster) Kato, A.*, Fukuda, J., Kumazawa, T. and
Nakagawa, S. (2016). Accelerated nucleation of the 2014 Iquique, Chile Mw 8.2
Earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Huang Q. (2015). Spatiotemporal characteristics of the geomagnetic
diurnal variation anomalies prior to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference
Hall, Chiba City, Japan,25 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2016). Assessment and optimization of the
potential earthquake precursory information in ULF magnetic data registered
at Kanto, Japan during 2000 – 2010, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2016,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016.
(Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2016). A Bayesian prediction for active faults using spatial similarity
of variation of recurence intervals (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 23 May 2016. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2016). Impact of
automatic catalog quality on real-time aftershock forecasting, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2016, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2016. (Oral)
16-17 May 2016 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake
Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2016).
Testing Significance of Non-Seismicity Precursors Against Earthquake
Clustering Models Instead of Against Complete Randomness, 2016 International
Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center, Taipei,
Taiwan, 17 May 2016. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Project
Researcher of ISM） Han, P. (2016).
On the Feasibility of Short-Term Earthquake Prediction Based on ULF Magnetic
Data, 2016 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursors, Taipei Nangang
Exhibition Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 16 May 2016. (Invited lecture)
28 April
2016 RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS Joint Symposium on New Horizon of
Mathematical Sciences, Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Project
Assistant Prof. of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo /
Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T. (2016).
Probabilistic aftershock forecasting: A Bayesian statistical approach (in
Japanese), RIKEN iTHES - Tohoku AIMR - Tokyo IIS Joint Symposium on New
Horizon of Mathematical Sciences, RIKEN Wako campus, Suzuki Umetaro Hall,
Wako City, Saitama, 28 April 2016. (Invited lecture)
20-22
April 2016 2016
Seismological Society of America(SSA) Annual Meeting,
Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A. Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2016). Improved estimation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability
with time-dependent smoothness constraint, 2016 Seismological Society of
America(SSA) Annual Meeting, Peppermill, Reno, Nevada, U.S.A., 21 April 2016.
(Poster)
17-22
April 2016 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center Vienna(ACV),
Vienna, Austria. Dr. Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of
Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM）
Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2016). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation and
Bayesian Forecast for the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2016, Austria Center Vienna(ACV), Vienna,
Austria, 19 April 2016. (Oral)
31 January - 2
February 2016 ISI-ISM-ISSAS
2016 Joint Conference, Institute of Statistical Science Academia
Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan. Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda K. and Kobayashi, A. (2016). Analysis of
earthquake occurrence rates modulated by volcanic activities, ISI-ISM-ISSAS
Joint Conference 2016, Institute of Statistical Science Academia Sinica,
Taipei, Taiwan, 31 January 2016. (Invited(Poster))
15 January 2016 ISM Symposium on Environmental Statistics
2016,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2016). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes and application in
detecting spatial variations of seismicity clustering characteristics, ISM Symposium
on Environmental Statistics 2016, Institute of Statistical Mathematics,
Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 January 2016. (Oral)
14-18 December 2015 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, T., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Identifying spatiotemporal
migration patterns of non-volcanic tremors using hidden Markov models, 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2015. (Poster) Guo, Y.*, Zhuang,
J., Zhou, S. and Gao, Y. (2015). An improved space-time ETAS model for
inverting the rupture geometry from seismicity triggering, 2015 Fall Meeting
of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco,
U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Chu, A.* and
Zhuang, J. (2015). Multiple linear regression models to fit magnitude using
rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacemen, 2015
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Saade,M.*,
Montagner, J-P., Roux, P., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B. and Wang, Q. (2015).
Monitoring of Seismic Anisotropy at the Time of the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi
Earthquake, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Mixture of a seismicity model based on the rate-and-state friction
and ETAS model, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Noda, A.*,
Takahama, T., Ohba, T., Ito, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of
crustal deformation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake by the combined
effect of afterslip and viscoelastic stresss relaxation, 2015 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
15 December 2015. (Poster) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Formation of island arc-trench system due to plate
subduction on the basis of elastic dislocation theory, 2015 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
16 December 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Analysis of
Changing Swarm Rate using Volumetric Strain, 2015 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14
December 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation for
the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang J. (2015). ULF Seismo-electromagnetic Studies in
Kanto, Japan: Progress and Challenges, 2015 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2015. (Invited lecture)
26-28 October 2015 2015
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering characteristics
via weighted likelihood estimates, 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26
October 2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Anomalies in space-time aftershock activity and their interpretations
(in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis Tool: XETAS (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Shimojo, K.*, Enescu,
B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2015). Foreshocks of the 2011 Mw6.2 Northern
Nagano earthquake (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26
October 2015. (Poster) Opris, A.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y., Tanaka, S. and Shiomi, K. (2015). The 2011 M6.4
Shizuoka earthquake sequence: triggering process investigation (in Japanese),
2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Yamagami, Y.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2015). Investigating the relationship between
slow-slip events and seismicity in the Hyuga-nada region, SW Japan (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Improvement of a seismicity model based on rate-and-state friction
law: mixture with the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe
City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A. and Fukahata, Y. (2015). Crustal deformation cycles associated with
the occurrence of megathrust earthquakes in subduction zones (in Japanese),
2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Sato, T.*,
Higuchi, H., Miyauchi, T., Endo, K., Tsumura, N., Ito, T., Noda, A. and
Matsu’ura, M. (2015). The source model of the 1703 Genroku Earthquake and the
recurrence interval of large earthquakes along the Sagami Trough (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Interpretation of seafloor geodetic observations after
the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake by afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation (in
Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Takahama, T., Ohba, M., Ito, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Afterslip
distribution of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake inferred from the sequential
inversion of GPS data using a viscoelastic model (in Japanese), 2015 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference
Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Poster) Fukahata, Y.*,
Nishimura, T. and Matsu’ura, M. (2015). Characteristics of far-field crustal
deformation following a megathrust earthquake due to viscoelastic stress
relaxation (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kobe International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Earthquake Swarms
Rates in Izu East Region modulated by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Oral) Kato, A.*,
Nakagawa, S., Igarashi, T., Kumazawa, T. and Hirata, N. (2015). New insights
into spatial-temporal evolution of seismicity provided from matched filter
technique, 2015 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe
International Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 28 October 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Foreshock Discrimination with Probability Density Ratio
Estimation and its Implementation for Short-term Forecast (in Japanese), 2015
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International
Conference Center, Kobe City, Japan, 27 October 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecasting
aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog 2 (in Japanese), 2015 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, Kobe International Conference Center,
Kobe City, Japan, 26 October 2015. (Poster)
12-16
September 2015 2015
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs,
Palm Springs, California, U.S.A. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2015 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs,
California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster) Strader, A.E.*,
Tsuruoka, H., Hirata, N., Ogata, Y., Schorlemmer, D. and Jackson, D.D. (2015). Resolving Stress
Singularities: a Rate-and-State Japan Earthquake Forecast, 2015 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Aftershock
forecasting by using the Hi-net automatic hypocenter catalog in Japan, 2015
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm
Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 13-15 September 2015. (Poster)
6-9
September 2015 2015
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Okayama University,
Okayama City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detection of spatial varations of earthquake clustering
characteristics via weighted likelihood estimators, 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September
2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Project
Researcher of Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo / Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Long-term earthquake prediction in and around Japan by a hierarchical
Bayesian space-time point process model (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 8 September
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura,
K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting the Earthquake Swarms
Rates in Izu Region by Volumetric Strain (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 9 September
2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Short-term earthquake forecast model with logistic
discrimation of foreshocks (in Japanese), 2015 Japanese Joint Statistical
Meeting, Okayama University, Okayama City, Japan, 7 September 2015. (Oral)
10-16
August 2015 9th
ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Features of the earthquake source process simulated by Vere-Jones'
branching crack model, 9th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation)
International Workshop, Sofis Jinyuan Hotel, Chengdu, Sichuan, China, 10
August 2015. (Oral)
2-7 August
2015 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre, Singapore. Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Evaluation of temporal variation in earthquake detectability with
time-dependent smoothness constraint, Asia Oceania Geoscience Society(AOGS)
12th Annual Meeting, Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre,
Singapore, 7 Aug 2015. (Poster)
13-17 July
2015 2015 International Workshop on
Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling
and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2015), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, 2015
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on
Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2015),
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July
2015. (Invited lecture) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Point process modelling: Tutorial with some topics in statistical
seismology, 2015 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from
Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and
Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data
(CSM2015), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 15 July 2015. (Invited lecture) Prof. Zhou, Shiyong （Prof. of School of Earth and
Space Sciences, Peking University / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Zhou, S. (2015).
Earthquake hazard prediction based on seismicity smulation, 2015
International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical,
Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2015) and Workshop on
Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big data(CSM2015),
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 15 July
2015. (Invited lecture)
14-18 June 2015 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am
Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via
maximum weighted likelihoods estimates, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany,
15 June 2015. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Obara, K. and Tsuruoka, H. (2015). Hidden Markov Modeling of
Sparse Time Series from Non-volcanic Tremor observations, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Guo, Y.*,
Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2015). An improved ETAS model for inverting the
rupture geometry from seismicity triggerring, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam,
Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster) Zechar, J.D.*,
Rierola, M. and Zhuang, J. (2015). A parimutuel gambling perspective to
compare probabilistic seismicity forecasts and deterministic eartquake
predictions, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9),
Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster) Falcone, G.*,
Murru, M., Console, R., Marzocchi. W. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Retrospective
forecast of ETAS model with daily parameters estimate, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Reviews on the pre- and post-seismicity of the Tohoku-Oki
mega-earthquake, and future long-term forecasts, 9th International Workshop
on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam,
Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2015). Development of Seismicity Analysis software: TSEIS –
ETAS module implementation, 9th International Workshop on Statistical
Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 17 June
2015. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Development of a Bayesian method to estimate a fault slip
distribution of a large earthquake from the spatial aftershock distribution
and rate- and state friction law: inclusion of information on magnitude as a
prior distribution, 9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015.
(Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting
changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain changes, 9th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am
Havelufer, Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Wang, Min-Zhen （Project
Researcher of ISM） Wang, M.* and
Zhuang, J. (2015). On the focal mechanism distributions of background
seismicity and triggered seismicity in the Japan region, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 15 June 2015. (Poster)
Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Enescu, B., Sawazaki, K. and Aihara, K. (2015). Toward
automatic aftershock forecasting in Japan, 9th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer, Potsdam,
Germany, 17 June 2015. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term
earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data, 9th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9), Arcona Hotel am Havelufer,
Potsdam, Germany, 17 June 2015. (Poster)
9-12 June 2015 Spatial Statistics:
Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes, Spatial
Statistics: Emerging Patterns, University of Avignon, Avignon, France, 12
June 2015. (Oral)
24-28 May 2015 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2015). Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via
maximum weighted likelihoods estimates, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari
Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Tormann, T.,
Enescu, B.*, Woessner, J. and Wiemer, S. (2015). Randomness of megathrust
earthquakes implied by rapid stress recovery after the 2011 Tohoku-oki
earthquake, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2015. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Forecasting seismicity after the Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Inference of a slip distribution from aftershock data and friction
law: a Bayesian model with a
prior of magnitude (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2015.
(Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.
(2015). Interpretation of multiple earthquake cycles based on the slip- and
time-dependent fault constitutive law (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City,
Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral) Noda, A.*,
Miyauchi, T., Sato, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Modeling and simulation for
the development of Holocene marine terraces in the Boso peninsula (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2015. (Oral) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu'ura, M. (2015). Characteristics of island arc deformation due to
steady plate subduction (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 27 May 2015.
(Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2015). Predicting
changing rates of swarm activity by volumetric strain (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2015). Real-time Classifier of Foreshocks Using Probability Density Ratio
Estimation, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2015). Forecast uncertainty in aftershock
forecasting, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2015, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2015. (Oral) Dr.
Han, Peng （Post-Doctoral
Research Fellow of Chiba University / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Assessment of optimal short-term
earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data, Han, P.*,
Hattori, K. and Zhuang, J. (2015). Statistical Analysis of ULF
Seismo-Magnetic Phenomena in Kanto, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2015, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan,26 May
2015. (Oral)
24 March
2015 Dr. Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting
Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2015). Statistical models to describe the spatio-temporal patterns of
earthquakes: Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model and related
models, School/Workshop on Fluctuations, Slow Dynamics and Internal Time in
Complex Critical Systems, Geibunkan, Kurashiki City, Okayama, 24 March 2015
(Invited lecture).
17 March
2015 Workshop on
simulation visualization in data assimilation, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2015). Visualization of seismic activity through statistical models (in
Japanese), Workshop on simulation visualization in data assimilation,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March
2015. (Invited lecture)
13-14
March 2015 2015 Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied
Statistics, Shiran
Kaikan Inamori Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan. Dr.
Wang, Min-Zhen （Project
Researcher of ISM） Wang, M.*,
Zhuang, J., Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2015). Determining actual nodal planes
and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake angles, 2015
Annual Meeting of Japanese Society of Applied Statistics, Shiran Kaikan
Inamori Hall, Kyoto University, Kyoto City, Japan, 14 January 2015.
(Poster)
13-15
January 2015 Hokudan 2015 International
Symposium on Active Faulting,
Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2015). Spatial variation on earthquake interevent time
distribution in Japan, Hokudan 2015 International Symposium on Active
Faulting, Awaji Yumebutai International Conference Center, Awaji City, Japan,
15 January 2015. (Invited lecture)
15-19 December 2014 2014
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Foreshock probabilities and the Båth law under the ETAS model, 2014
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Oral) Falcone, G.*,
Murru, M., Zhuang, J. and Console, R. (2014). Short-term earthquake
probabilities during the L' Aquila earthquake sequence in central Italy,
2009, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2014. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Comparing foreshock characteristics and foreshock forecasting in
observed and simulated earthquake catalogs, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2014. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2014). Real-time foreshock probability forecasting experiments in Japan,
Southern California and whole globe, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December
2014. (Poster). Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Yagi, Y.*,
Okuwaki, R., Enescu, B. and Hirano, S. (2014). Rupture process of the 2014
Iquique Chile Earthquake in relation with the foreshock activity, 2014 Fall
Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San
Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2014). Estimation of completeness magnitude with a Bayesian modeling of
daily and weekly variations in earthquake detectability, 2014 Fall Meeting of
the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
19 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting
offshore swarm rate changes by volumetric strain changes in Izu Peninsula,
Japan, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal model for repeating
earthquakes and slow slip before and after the major earthquakes in the
northeastern Japan subduction zone, 2014 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December
2014. (Poster) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Can we forecast 1-month span aftershock
activity from the first day data after the main shock?, 2014 Fall Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16
December 2014. (Poster)
2-5 December 2014 5th Symposium on Polar Science, National
Institute of Polar Research(NIPR), Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate Prof. of College of
Community Development, Tokiwa University / Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.* and
Kanao, M. (2014). The annual variation in teleseismic detection capability at
Syowa Station, Antarctica: a statistical analysis including the effect of air
temperature, National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 3 December 2014. (Oral)
24-26 November 2014 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, D. and Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching
crack model and earthquake source process, 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 26 November 2014. (Oral) Wang, M.,
Zhuang, J.*, Enescu, B. and Wang, D. (2014). Determining the actual nodal
plane and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rake, 2014
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata
Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster) Guo, Y.*, Zhuang, J. and Zhou, S. (2014).
Inverting rupture geometry from triggering, 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), 2014 Fall
Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention
Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral) Tsuruoka, H.*
and Ogata, Y. (2014). Implementation of ETAS functions to Tools for
Seismicity (TSEIS) (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan,
25 November 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2014). Fluid-driven seismicity
activation in Northern Nagano Region after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-oki
Earthquake (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 25 November
2014. (Oral) Okada, C.*,
Enescu, B. and Yagi, Y. (2014). Remotely triggered seismicity in Kyushu
Region, Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24 November
2014. (Poster) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Associate
Prof. of College of Community Development, Tokiwa University /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2014). Weekly variation in earthquake detection capability and completeness
magnitude in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata
City, Japan, 24 November 2014. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu’ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2014). Tectonics of the south Kanto region and potential
interplate earthquakes (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan,
24 November 2014. (Oral) Fukahata, Y.*
and Matsu’ura, M. (2014). Essential causes of island arc deformation due to
steady plate subduction (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan,
24 November 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Prediction of the
background seismicity rate for the earthquake swarm activities
in Izu region (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society
of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 24
November 2014. (Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2014). Space-time renewal process model for
repeating earthquakes and slow slip in the northeastern Japan subduction zone
(in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI
MESSE Niigata Convention Center, Niigata City, Japan, 26 November 2014.
(Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Shiomi, K., Sawazaki, K., Aihara, K. and Enescu, B. (2014). Forecasting
aftershocks based on the Hi-net catalog (in Japanese), 2014 Fall Meeting of
the Seismological Society of Japan, TOKI MESSE Niigata Convention Center,
Niigata City, Japan, 25 November 2014. (Oral)
20-23
October 2014 2014 Annual Meeting of Chainese Union of
GeoScience, Beijing International Convention Center, Beijing,
China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wang, D. and Matsuura, M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching
cracking model and the earthquake source process, 2014 Annual Meeting of
Chainese Union of GeoScience, Beijing International Convention Center,
Beijing, China, 21 October 2014. (Invited lecture)
13-16
September 2014 2014
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University of
Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J. (2014).
Semi-critical mode of marked Hawkes processes, 2014 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 16 September 2014.
(Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.* and
Tanaka, U. (2014). Searching for locations of parents from superposed
clusters (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, University
of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura,
K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating background seismicity by a
regression model from crustal deformation: Forecasting earthquake swarms in
volcanic regions (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting,
University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September 2014. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2014). Estimation of spatial distribution for aperiodicity of
recurrence intervals on active faults in Japan (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese
Joint Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 14 September
2014. (Oral) Dr.
Omi,
Takahiro （Research
Fellowship of Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian approach for probabilistic
forecasting of aftershock activity (in Japanese), 2014 Japanese Joint
Statistical Meeting, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 15 September 2014.
(Oral)
7-10
September 2014 2014
SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A.. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Wan, D. and Matsuura M. (2014). Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching crack
model and earthquake source process, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake
Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California,
U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM / Project
Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo）
Ogata, Y.
(2014). Foreshock probability forecasting, 2014 SCEC(Southern California
Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California,
U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Tsuruoka, H. and
Ogata, Y.* (2014). OEF and CSEP in Japan, SCEC CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next
Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models
(by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual
Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September
2014. (Invited lecture) Ogata, Y.
(2014). Panel Discussion for ComCat Overview and Real-Time DATA, SCEC
CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake
Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Panel Discussion) Dr. Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, Y., Maeda, K., and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Predicting
Offshore Swarm Rate Changes by Volumetric Strain Changes in Izu Peninsula,
Japan, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting,
Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.
(Poster) Dr. Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant Prof. of Tokyo Institute of
Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2014). Space-time Renewal Model for Repeating Earthquakes and Slip-rate
History in the Northeastern Japan Subduction Zone, 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014. (Poster) Dr. Omi, Takahiro （Research Fellowship of Institute of
Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Bayesian forecasting of aftershocks by
ETAS model, 2014 SCEC(Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting,
Hilton Palm Springs, Palm Springs, California, U.S.A., 7-10 September 2014.
(Poster) Omi, T. (2014).
Immediate aftershock forecasting after a strong earthquake, SCEC
CSEP/USGS/GEM Workshop: Next Steps for Testing Operational Earthquake
Forecasts and Seismic Hazard Models (by invitation only), 2014 SCEC(Southern
California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting, Hilton Palm Springs, Palm
Springs, California, U.S.A., 6 September 2014. (Invited lecture)
1
September 2014 Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y.
(2014). A prospect of earthquake prediction research (in Japanese), ERI
Seismic Activity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo,
Tokyo, Japan, 1 September 2014. (Seminar)
24-29
August 2014 Second
European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Varini*, E. and
Ogata, Y. (2014). Statistical modelling for identificaion of earthquake
clusters, Second European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and
Seismology, Istanbul Convention & Exhibition Centre, Istanbul, Turkey,
24-29 August 2014. (Poster)
28-31 July
2014 2014 International Workshop
on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and
Engineering perspectives(STM2014) and Workshop on Complex systems Modeling
and Estimation Challenges in big data (CSM2014), Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM / Project Researcher of ERI, University of Tokyo） Ogata, Y. (2014).
Modeling of temporal and spatial non-homogeneity for space-time earthquake
databases, 2014 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from
Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives(STM2014) and
Workshop on Complex systems Modeling and Estimation Challenges in big
data(CSM2014), Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo,
Japan, 29 July 2014. (Invited lecture)
28 July – 1
August 2014 Asia
Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo Hotel,
Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan. Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.
(2014). Real-time classifier of foreshocks using kernel logistic regression,
Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 11th Annual Meeting, Royton Sapporo
Hotel, Sapporo City, Hokkaido, Japan, 30 July 2014. (Invited lecture)
8-11 June
2014 Varenna Workshop on
Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making, Villa
Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy. Dr. Zhuang,
Jiancang （Associate
Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Evaluating earthquake predictions by using the gambling score,
Varenna Workshop on Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making,
Villa Monastero, Varenna, Varenna L.C., Italy, 8-11 June 2014. (Poster)
28 April-2 May 2014 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA,
Yokohama City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.* and
Zhou, S. (2014). Modelling the effect of fault geometry on earthquake
triggering, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama
City, Japan, 2 May 2014. (Oral) Guo, Y, Zhuang,
J.* and Wang, D. (2014). Similar Characteristics between the earthquake
source process and Vere-Jones' Branching model, Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 28 April 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2014). Foreshocks and short-term forecasting: comparisons between real
seismicity and synthetic catalogs, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO
YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 2 May 2014. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*,
Ogata, Y., Kimura, K., Maeda, K. and Kobayashi, A. (2014). Estimating
earthquake swarms in volcanic regions (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 1 May 2014. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM) Matsu’ura, M.*,
Noda, A., Terakawa, T. and
Fukahata, Y. (2014). Tectonic stress fields in subduction zones governed by
frictional strength of plate interfaces (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union
Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2013. (Oral) Noda, A.* and
Matsu'ura, M. (2014). Sequential inversion of GPS time series data to
estimate spatiotemporal change in interplate coupling (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30
April 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Visiting Researcher of ISM） Iwata, T. and
Kanao, M. (2014). The annual variation in the teleseismic detection
capability at Syowa Station, Antarctica, (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience
Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan, 30 April 2014.
(Poster) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.* and
Ogata, Y. (2014). Spatial Variation on Recurrence-time Distribution of
Paleoearthquakes and Its Influence for Long-term Forecast (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2014, PACIFICO YOKOHAMA, Yokohama City, Japan,
29 April 2014. (Oral)
27 April-2
May 2014 European
Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center
Vienna, Vienna, Austria. Dr. Omi, Takahiro （Research Fellowship of Institute of
Industrial Science, University of Tokyo / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2014). Adaptive forecasting of aftershock
activity after the main shock, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General
Assembly 2014, Austria Center Vienna,
Vienna, Austria, 28 April 2014. (Oral)
17-19
March 2014 統計数理研究所研究会,
神経科学と統計科学の対話4,
Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2014). Statistical inference and simulations for temporal point processes,
“Dialogue Between Neuroscience and Statistical Science 4”, Institute of
Statistical Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March 2014. (Invited
lecture)
9-13 December 2013 2013
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Separating triggered and
stress-change induced seismcity, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December
2013. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Enescu, B.*,
Chao, K., Obara, K., Peng, Z., Matsuzawa, T. and Yagi, Y. (2013). Remote Love
Wave Triggering of Tremor in the Nankai Subduction Zone: New Observations and
Dynamic Stress Modeling, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical
Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). Synchronous b-value change and crustal deformation following
the 2007 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japan, 2013 Fall Meeting of the American
Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 9 December
2013. (Poster)
12-15
November 2013 3rd
International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical Modelling, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time foreshock forecasts and their evaluations, poster
presentation, The 3rd International Symposium on Innovative Mathematical
Modelling, Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo,
Japan, 12-15 November 2013. (Poster)
8-10
November 2013 Ishigaki
International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices, and
Education in the 21st Century, Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Criticality and Branching Ratios of a Type of Branching Models,
Ishigaki International Conference on Modern Statistics Theories, Practices,
and Education in the 21st Century, ANA InterContinental Ishigaki Resort,
Ishigaki-Shi, Okinawa, Japan, 9 November 2013. (Oral)
7-9
October 2013 2013
Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa
Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time probability discrimination of foreshock-type earthquakes
(in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8
October 2013. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Forecasting aftershocks after the main
shock by using the ETAS model (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade
Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). The temporal variation in the b-value of the aftershock sequence of
the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade
Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*,
Noda, A and Terakawa, T. (2013). Strength of plate interfaces and tectonic
stress fields in subduction zones (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the
Seismological Society of Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade
Center, Yokohama City, Japan, 8 October 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Non-stationary ETAS models for nonstandard earthquake
occurrences (in Japanese), 2013 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Kanagawa Kenmin Hall and Industry & Trade Center, Yokohama City,
Japan, 9 October 2013. (Poster)
19
September 2013 Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Foreshock phenomena and the Båth law implied by generic earthquake
clustering, ERI Seismicity Seminar, Earthquake Research Institute, University
of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 19 September 2013. (Seminar)
8-11
September 2013 2013
Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University
Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Criticality of a continuous-type branching process: application to
earthquake clustering models, 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Foreshocks forecasting by statistical discrimination of earthquake
clusters (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). A state-space modeling for forecasting
early aftershock probability from incompletely detected real-time occurrence
data (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University
Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A Bayesian analysis of temporal variation in earthquake detection capability
(in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University
Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). The non-stationary ETAS model and its application to
the seismicity anomalies induced by the Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in Japanese),
2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka University Toyonaka Campus,
Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. and Uchida, N. (2013). Non-stationary renewal model for repeating
earthquakes (in Japanese), 2013 Japanese Joint Statistical Meeting, Osaka
University Toyonaka Campus, Toyonaka City, Japan, 11 September 2013. (Oral)
11-15 August 2013 8th
International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2013). Test seismicity anomalies by using the ETAS model as null hypothesis,
8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Wang, T.*,
Zhuang, J., Kato, T. and Bebbington, M. (2013). Assessing the potential
improvement in short-term earthquake forecasts from incorporation of GPS
data, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13August 2013. (Oral) Jia, K.*, Zhou,
S., Zhuang, J. and Jiang, C. (2013). Is the 2013 Lushan Ms 7.0 earthquake an
aftershock of the 2008 Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake on Longmenshan fault,
Sichuan, China?, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Zöller, G.*,
Holschneider, M., Hainzl, S. and Zhuang, J. (2013). What can be learned from
earthquake catalogs about the largest expected magnitudes?, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 14 August 2013. (Invited lecture) Zechar, J.D.*,
Hardebeck, J.L., Michael, A.J., Naylor, M., Steacy, S., Wiemer, S. and Zhuang, J. (2013). Community
Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 14 August 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 10 August 2013. (Pre-Workshop Tutorial) Ogata, Y.
(2013). Real-time foreshock discrimination, 8th International Workshop on
Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 13
August 2013. (Invited lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating the statistical models of
earthquake occurrences from the data of incompletely detected earthquakes,
8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking
University, Beijing, China, 13 August 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A Bayesian approach to estimate the periodic change in earthquake
detection capability and its applications to JMA catalogue, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 13 August 2013. (Invited lecture) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, 8th International
Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing,
China, 12 August 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Assistant
Prof. of Tokyo Institute of Technology / Visiting Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating
earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on the upper surface of the subducting
Pacific Plate, 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology
(StatSei8), Peking University, Beijing, China, 12 August 2013. (Oral)
19-24 May 2013 Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe
International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.*,
Console, R., Murru, M. and Falcone, G. (2013). Short-term earthquake
forecasting experiment before and during the L'Aquila seismic sequence of
April 2009, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Enescu,
Bogdan （Associate
Prof. of Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba /
Visiting Associate Prof. of ISM） Sawazaki, K.*
and Enescu, B. (2013). High-frequency seismogram envelope synthesis of early
aftershock sequences (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013.
(Oral) Shimojo, K.*,
Enescu, B., Yagi, Y. and Takeda, T. (2013). Triggered seismicity in Northern
Nagano region at short times after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). Research towards practical earthquake forecasting (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Invited lecture) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2013). Estimating statistical models of
seismicity under incomplete detection of earthquakes (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2013). A numerical simulation of an aftershock activity with the
rate-and-state friction model and secondary aftershock effect (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2013. (Poster) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2013). Geological meaning of residual velocity fields in GPS
strain data inversion (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013,
Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2013.
(Oral) Noda, A.*,
Sagiya, T. and Matsu'ura, M. (2013). A direct method for estimating the rigid
body motion of crustal blocks from GPS velocity data (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2013. (Poster) Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models (in Japanese), Japan
Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall,
Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Dr.
Nomura, Shunichi （Visiting
Researcher of ISM） Nomura, S.*,
Ogata, Y. Nadeau, R.M. and Uchida, N. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model
for repeating earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries (in
Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International
Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Oral) Nomura, S.*,
Uchida, N. and Ogata, Y. (2013). Spatio-temporal renewal model for repeating
earthquakes and analysis of slip rate on plate boundaries (in Japanese),
Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari Messe International Conference
Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2013. (Poster)
7-8 May
2013 SCEC/CSEP Workshop on
Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Prof. Ogata, Yosihiko （Emeritus Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2013). History-dependent
magnitude forecast by statistical discrimination of foreshocks, SCEC/CSEP
Workshop on Testing External Forecasts and Predictions, Davidson Conference Center,
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, U.S.A., 7 May 2013.
(Invited lecture)
7-12 April
2013 European Geosciences
Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center Vienna, Vienna,
Austria. Dr. Kumazawa, Takao （Project Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.*
and Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011
Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, European Geosciences Union(EGU) General Assembly 2013, Austria Center
Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 9 April 2013. (Oral)
22-25
January 2013 Second International
CORSSA(the Community Online Resource for Statistical
Seismicity Analysis) Workshop,
Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM）
Ogata, Y. (2013). A prospect of
earthquake prediction research, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T. (2013).
Daily and seasonal variations in earthquake detection capability:
quantitative evaluation through Bayesian approach, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 22 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
Dr.
Kumazawa, Takao （Project
Researcher of ISM） Kumazawa, T.* and
Ogata, Y. (2013). Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki
earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models, Second International CORSSA Workshop, Institute of Statistical
Mathematics, Tachikawa City, Tokyo, Japan, 24 January 2013. (Invited lecture)
3-7 December 2012 2012
Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU), Moscone
Center, San Francisco, U.S.A. Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Toda, S.*,
Meghraoui, M., Tsutsumi, H., Ferry, M., Haraguchi, T., Mechernich, S. and
Okumura, K. (2012). The 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake, its seismic cycle,
and postseismic hazard viewed from onshore geologic and geomorphic
investigations, 2012 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU),
Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 7 December 2012. (Invited lecture)
16-19 October 2012 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City,
Japan. Dr.
Zhuang, Jiancang （Associate Prof. of ISM） Zhuang, J.
(2012). Testing significance of earthquake precursors against earthquake
clustering models, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Ting Wang*,
Zhuang, J., Kato, T. (2012). Exploratory analysis of earthquake precursory
information in GPS measurements, 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 18 October
2012. (Oral) Prof.
Ogata,
Yosihiko （Emeritus
Prof. of ISM） Ogata, Y.
(2012). Prospective forecasts and retrospective analysis of triggered
seismicity (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of
Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Omi, T.*, Ogata,
Y., Hirata, Y. and Aihara, K. (2012). Real-time estimation of the detection
rate of earthquakes, and its application to forecasting of aftershock hazard
(in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan,
Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October 2012. (Oral) Dr.
Iwata, Takaki （Project Associate
Prof. of ISM） Iwata, T.
(2012). The seasonal variation in detection capability
of earthquakes in the JMA catalogue (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City,
Japan, 18 October 2012. (Poster) Dr.
Toda,
Shinji （Visiting
Prof. of ISM / Associate Prof. of The Research Center for Earthquake
Prediction (RCEP), Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University） Maeda, S. * and
Toda, S. (2012). Relationship between high background seismicity and geologic
structure in the northwestern Kii Peninsula (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting
of the Seismological Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City,
Japan, 19 October 2012. (Oral) Prof.
Matsu’ura, Mitsuhiro (Visiting Researcher of ISM） Matsu'ura, M.*
and Noda, A. (2012). Representation of displacement fields in the path
integral of strains (in Japanese), 2012 Fall Meeting of the Seismological
Society of Japan, Hakodate shimin kaikan, Hakodate City, Japan, 17 October
2012. (Oral) | |||
