Updated on 1 August 2011

Research outputs：TODA, Shinji　 Japanese

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Papers (2003〜)

· Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Mw = 6.9 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.115, B10312, doi:10.1029/2010JB007567, 2010.10.

· Richards-Dinger, K., Stain, R.S. and Toda, S. (2010). Decay of aftershock density with distance does not indicate triggering by dynamic stress, Nature, Vol.467, pp.583-586, doi:10.1038/nature09402.

· Nakano, M., Kumagai, H., Toda, S., Ando, R., Yamashina T., Inoue, H. and Sunarjo (2010). Source model of an earthquake doublet that occurred in a pull-apart basin along the Sumatran fault, Indonesia, Geophysical Journal International, Vol.181, pp.141-153, doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2010.04511.x, 2010.8.

· Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Yoshimi, M., Kaneda, H., Awata, Y., Yoshioka, T. and Ando, R. (2010). Surface rupture associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake and its implications to the rupture process and evaluation of active faults (in Japanese), Zisin (Journal of Seismological Society of Japan. 2nd ser.), Vol.62, pp.153-178, 2010.7.

· Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Bridging great earthquake doublets through silent slip: On- and off-fault aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island subduction earthquake toggled by a slow slip on the outer rise normal fault the 2007 great earthquake , Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.115, B06318, doi:10.1029/2009JB006777, 2010.6.

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Yoshimi, M., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y., Kajitani, T., Iwasaki, T., Ishikawa, A. and Yamasaki, M. (2010). Paleoseismological trench investigation of the surface rupture associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake (Mj7.2), NE Japan (in Japanese), Annual Report on Active Fault and Paleoearthquake Researches, Vol.9, pp.19-54, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, 2010.4.

· Toda, S., Omata, M. and Kohriya, Y. (2010). Paleoseismological investigation of central part of the Matsumoto-bonchi-toen faults, northern part of the ltoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line active fault system, central Honshu, Japan (in Japanese), Annual Report on Active Fault and Paleoearthquake Researches, Vol.9, pp.261-277, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, 2010. 4.

· Toda, S. (2010). Active fault research associated with long-term earthquake forecasting since the 1995 Kobe earthquake (in Japanese), J.JSNDS, Vol.25, No.4, pp.299-312, Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science, 2010.4.

· Ikeda, M., Toda, S., Kobayashi, S., Ohno, Y., Nishizaka, N. and Ohno, I. (2009). Tectonic model and fault segmentation of the Median Tectonic Line active fault system on Shikoku, Japan, Tectonics, Vol.28, doi:10.1029/2008TC002349.

· Doser, D. I., Olsen, K.B., Pollitz, F.F., Stein, R.S. and Toda, S. (2009). The 1911 M~6.6 Calaveras earthquake: Source parameters and the role of static, viscoelastic and dynamic Coulomb stress changes imparted by the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, Bulletin of Seismological Society America, Vol.99, pp.1746-1759, doi:10.1785/0120080305.

· Yoshinaga, Y., Haraguchi, T., Toda, S. and Yokota, S. (2009). Development of volcano-tectonic uplift zone and active faults: An example from Shinjima Island nearby the Sakurajima Volcano, southwest Japan (in Japanese), Active Fault Research (Katsudanso Kenkyuu), No.31, pp.11-18, Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies.

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Yoshimi, M. and Omata, M. (2009). Application of airborne LiDAR to mapping surface ruptures and active faults: an example from the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake (Mw6.9) (in Japanese), Active Fault Research (Katsudanso Kenkyuu), No.30, pp.1-12, Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies.

· Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Yoshimi, M., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y. and Yamazaki, M. (2009). Evidence for coseismic slip along a geologic formation-bounding fault associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi-Nairiku earthquake: Exposure along the Ubusume River in Gembi Town, Ichinoseki City, Iwate Prefecture, northeast Japan (in Japanese), Active Fault Research (Katsudanso Kenkyuu), No.30, pp. 47-53, Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies.

· Toda, S., Azuma, T., Omata, M., Koriya, Y. and Iwasaki, T. (2009). Paleoseismological investigation of the Shonai-heiya- toen fault zone, Yamagata Prefecture, northern Honshu, Annual Report on Active Fault and Paleoearthquake Researches, Vol.8, pp.91-118, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology.

· Toda, S. (2008). Coulomb stresses imparted by the 25 March 2007 M_w=6.6 Noto-Hanto, Japan, earthquake explain its 'butterfly' distribution of aftershocks and suggest a heightened seismic hazard, Earth, Planets and Space (EPS), Vol.60, No.10, pp.1041-1046.

· Toda, S. and Awata, Y. (2008). Does the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake reveal a weakness in the Japanese national seismic hazard map that could be remedied with geological data?, Earth, Planets and Space (EPS), Vol.60, No.10, pp.1047-1052.

· Awata, Y., Toda, S., Kaneda, H., Azuma, T., Horikawa, H., Shishikura, M., and Echigo, T. (2008). Coastal deformation associated with the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake, central Japan, estimated from uplifted and subsided intertidal organisms, Earth, Planets and Space (EPS), Vol.60, No.10, pp.1059-1062.

· Toda, S., Yoshioka, T., Omata, M., Koriya, Y. and Iwasaki, T. (2008). Holocene paleoseismic history and possible segmentation on the Yamagata-bonchi fault zone, in northern Honshu, Japan (in Japanese), Active Fault Research (Katsudanso Kenkyuu), No.29, pp.35-57, Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies.

· Yoshimi M., Toda, S. and Maruyama, T. (2008). Maximum 4-7-meter right-lateral slip observed at north of the Aratozawa dam reservior associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake (in Japanese), Active Fault Research (Katsudanso Kenkyuu), No.29, pp.i-ii, Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies.

· Kondo, H., Toda, S., Okumura, K., Takada, K. and Chiba, T. (2008). A fault scarp in an urban area identified by LiDAR survey: A case study on the Itoigawa–Shizuoka Tectonic Line, central Japan, Geomorphology, Vol.101, pp.731-739, doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2008.02.012.

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Kirby, S.H. and Bozkurt, S.B. (2008). A slab fragment wedged under Tokyo and its tectonic and seismic implications, Nature Geoscience, November 2008, Vol.1, No.11, pp.771-776, doi:10.1038/ngeo318.

· Toda, S., Lin, J., Meghraoui, M. and Stein, R. S. (2008), 12 May 2008 M = 7.9 Wenchuan, China, earthquake calculated to increase failure stress and seismicity rate on three major fault systems, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.35, L17305, doi:10.1029/2008GL034903.

· Chen, K. H., Toda, S., and Rau, R. (2008). A leaping, triggered sequence along a segmented fault: the 1951 ML 7.3 Hualien-Taitung earthquake sequence in eastern Taiwan, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.113, B02304, doi:10.1029/2007JB005048.

· Bozkurt, S.B., Stein, R.S. and Toda, S. (2007). Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo from 400 years of intensity observations, Earthquake Spectra, Vol.23, Issue 3, pp.525-546, doi:10.1193/1.2753504.

· Kanaori, Y. and Toda, S. (2007). Origin and Seismicity of the Yamaguchi-Izumo Intra-Plate Seismic Zone Identified in the Western Chugoku District, Southwest Japan, J.JSNDS, Vol.25, No.4, pp.507-523, Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science.

· Nakamura, R., Satake, K., Toda, S., Uetake, T., and Kamiya, S. (2006). Three-dimensional attenuation (Qs) structure beneath the Kanto district, Japan, as inferred from strong motion records, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.33, No.21, L21304, doi:10.1029/2006GL027352.

· Stein, R.S., Toda, S., Parsons, T. and Grunewald, E. (2006). A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo, Proceedings of the Royal Society A - Mathematical Physical and Engineering Science, Vol.364, No.1845, doi:10.1098/rsta.2006.1808.

· Toda, S. and Matsumura, S. (2006). Spatio-temporal stress states estimated from seismicity rate changes in the Tokai region, central Japan, Tectonophysics, Vol.417, pp.53-68, doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2005.08.030.

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Richards-Dinger, K. and Bozkurt, S.B. (2005). Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.110, B05S16, doi:10.1029/2004JB003415.

· Kinishita, H., Nohara, S., Nakata, T., Ikeda, Y., Ito, K., Ohtsuki, K. Sagiya, T., Takada, K. and Toda, S. (2005). A feasibility study on research techniques for subsurface active faults (in Japanese), Active Fault Research (Katsudanso Kenkyuu), No.25, pp.27-37, The Research Group for Active Faults of Japan.

· Fu, B., Ninomiya, Y., Lei, X., Toda, S. and Awata, Y. (2004). Mapping active fault associated with the 2003 Mw 6.6 Bam (SE Iran) earthquake with ASTER 3D images, Remote Sensing of Environment, Vol.92, pp.153-157.

· Kondo, H., Toda, S., Rymer, M. (2005). Preliminary report on 28^th September 2004 Parkfield Earthquake of M6.0, California (in Japanese), News Letter of Sesimological Society of Japan, Vol.16, No.5, pp.34-37.

· Toda, S. (2004). Seismicity changes in inland activity before and after the 2003 Miyagi-Ken-Oki earthquake and its implications (in Japanese), Chikyu Monthly, Vol.27, 1, pp.56-61.

· Toda, S. (2004). Research issues in predicting inland earthquakes, Chikyu Monthly, Vol.46, special issue, pp.108-111.

· Toda, S. (2004). Recent Progress in Earthquake Triggering Study and Possible Applications to Earthquake Prediction, Report of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Vol.72, pp.624-626.

· Toda, S., and Stein, R.S. (2003). Toggling of seismicity by the 1997 Kagoshima earthquake couplet: A demonstration of time-dependent stress transfer, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.108, No.B12, 2567, doi:10.1029/2003JB002527.

· Ogata, Y., Jones, L.M. and Toda, S. (2003). When and where the aftershock activity was depressed: Contrasting decay patterns of the proximate large earthquakes in southern California, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.108, No.B6, 2318, doi:10.1029/2002JB002009.

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Conference talks (2003〜)

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S. and Beroza, G.(2010). A Strong Stress Shadow Effect from the 1992 M=7.3 Landers, California, Earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010.

· Lin, J., Stein, R.S., Sevilgen, V. and Toda, S. (2010). Stress interaction of strike-slip and thrust faults associated with the 2010 M=7.0 Haiti earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2010.

· Stein, R.S., Lin, J., Toda, S. and Barrientos, S.E. (2010). Strong static stress interaction of the 1960 M=9.5 and 2010 M=8.8 Chile earthquakes and their aftershocks, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2010.

· Hirose, S. and Toda, S. (2010). Stress shadow effect found in recent seismic sequences associated with Japan’s large earthquakes, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2010.

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y. and Mori, Y. (2010). Spatiotemporal variability in surface rupturing behavior of thrust fault: Insights from paleoseismology for the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake, 2010 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2010.

· Toda, S. (2010). Physical assessment of distant multiple shocks associated with active faults in central Japan: An example from the 1586 Tensho earthquake (in Japanese), Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies "Symposium on the 1586 Tensho Earthquake", Nagoya University, Nagoya city, Japan, 27 (26-27) November 2010 (invited talk).

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Yoshimi, M., Ando, R., Takada, Y., Saito, E., Lin Z. and Omata M. (2010). Morphological characteristics of the northernmost part of the surface rupture associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake (in Japanese), Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies 2010 Fall Meeting, Nagoya University, Nagoya city, Japan, 26 (26-27) November 2010.

· Toda, S. and Enescu, B. (2010). Updated version of the rate/state Coulomb stress transfer model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast, ERI Workshop on "Earthquake Forecast Systems Based on Seismicity of Japan: Toward Constructing Base-line Models of Earthquake Forecasting", Kyoto University, Uji Campus, Uji Obaku Plaza, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 November 2010.

· Toda, S. and Enescu, B. (2010). Rate/state Coulomb stress transfer model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 28 October 2010.

· Hirose, S. and Toda, S. (2010). Seismicity rate decreases associated with coseismic stress decreases in Japan (in Japanese), 2010 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, International Conference Center Hiroshima, Hiroshima City, Japan, 27 October 2010.

· Toda, S., Enescu, B. and Stein, R.S. (2010). CoulombExpress: Near-realtime forecasts of earthquake-induced stress transfer and seismicity for prospective testing (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 (23-28) May 2010.

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S. and Okumura, K. (2010). Holocene faulting history of the Kamishiro and Eastern Matsumoto Basin faults on the northern ISTL active fault system (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 (23-28) May 2010.

· Omata, M., Toda, S. and Maruyama, T. (2010). Influence of systematic 14C age gap derived from different analyte assayed on paleoseismological study (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 (23-28) May 2010.

· Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2010). Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2010, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 (23-28) May 2010.

· Lin, J., Stein, R.S., Sevilgen,V. and Toda, S. (2010). 2010 M=7.0 Haiti Earthquake Calculated to Increase Failure Stress on Adjacent Segments of the Enriquillo Fault and Adjacent Thrust Systems, European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2010, Austria Center Vienna (ACV), Vienna, Austria, 3 May 2010.

· Toda, S. (2010). CSEP Japan Coulomb model, Meeting of Earthquake Forecast System based on Seismicity of Japan, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 March 2010.

· Toda, S., Enescu, B. and Stein, R.S. (2009). Coulomb Express: Automated near-realtime forecasts of earthquake-induced stress transfer and expected seismicity rate changes, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 15 December 2009 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. and Maruyama, T. (2009). Complexity and unpredictability of surface ruptures associated with reverse faulting earthquake in volcanic region: An example from the 2008 Mw 6.9 Iwate-Miyagi Japan earthquake, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A.. 15 December 2009 (invited talk).

· Bozkurt, S., Stein, R.S. and Toda, S. (2009). Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo from 400 years of intensity observations, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2009 (invited talk).

· Richards-Dinger, K.B., Stein, R.S. and Toda, S. (2009). Tests of the hypothesis that the decay of aftershock density with distance indicates triggering by dynamic stress, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2009.

· Lin, J., Stein, R.S., Meghraoui, M., Toda, S., Ayadi, A., Dorbath, C. and Belabbes, S. (2009). Stress triggering in en echelon thrust ruptures and related tear faults: The 2003 M=6.9 Zemmouri, Algeria, earthquake and fault interactions, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2009.

· Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Inland Earthquake, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 18 December 2009.

· Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Omata, M. and Kohriya, Y. (2009). Cumulative vertical displacement due to the active faulting associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku earthquake revealed by a borehole core sample extracted at Okayama, Genbi-cho, Ichinoseki City, Japan (in Japanese), Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies 2009 Fall Meeting, Toyo University, Tokyo, Japan, 8 November 2009.

· Richards-Dinger, K., Stein, R.S. and Toda, S. (2009). Tests of the hypothesis that all early aftershocks are triggered by dynamic stress (in Japanese), 2009 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Yoshida Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 23 October 2009.

· Toda, S. (2009). How probabilistic seismic forecasting can be improved by incorporating earthquake interaction by stress transfer, French - Japanese International Workshop on Earthquake Source, IPG Paris, BRGM Orléans, Paris, Orléans, France, 8 October 2009 (invited talk).

· Toda, S., and Omata, M., (2009). 断層活動年代推定における１問題点：植物片・木片と土壌バルク14C年代値の系統的ギャップ(in Japanese), 第4回「年代測定と日本文化研究」シンポジウム, Shirakawa City, Hukushima, Japan, 26 September 2009 (invited talk).

· Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Yoshimi, M., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y. and Iwasaki, T. (2009). Paleoseismic trench investigation across the surface rupture associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2009, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 21 May 2009.

· Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Okumura, K., Omata, M., Kohriya, Y. and Iwasaki T. (2009). Paleoseismicity along the Kamanashi-yama fault group in the Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line, central Japan (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2009, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 20 May 2009.

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Yoshimi, M., Omata, M., Koriya, Y. and Nihei, T. and Fukushima, S. (2009). Mapping of surface rupture associated with the Mw 6.9 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake, using ground-based LiDAR (in Japanese), Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2009, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 20 May 2009.

· Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity changes in northern Tohoku District before the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake, The 182-nd Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 15 May 2009.

· Toda, S. (2009). On- and Off-Fault Aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island Subduction Earthquake Toggled by a Slow Slip Preceding the 2007 Great Outer-Rise Normal Faulting Earthquake, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, U.S.A., 14 April 2009 (invited talk).

· Kumazawa, T., Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2009). Seismicity Rate Changes Prior to the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake of M7.2 in the Neighboring Area, The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Granlibakken Conference Center, Lake Tahoe, CA, U.S.A., 12-16 April 2009.

· Toda, S. (2008). Surface rupture associated with the 2008 Iwate- Miyagi Nairiku earthquake, 2009 Hokudan Symposium on Active Fault Research "2008 Wenchuan, China, earthquake and Iwate- Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake", Hokudan Earthquake Memorial Park, Seminar House, Awaji City, Japan, 11 January 2009 (invited talk).

· Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Yoshimi, M., Awata, Y., Kaneda, H., Yoshioka T. and Ando, R. (2008). The Enigmatic 2008 Mw 6.9 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, Earthquake: A Large Shallow Thrust Event with Little Surface Displacement and Scant Evidence for Paleoseismic Slip, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2008.

· Yoshimi, M., Toda, S. and Maruyama, T. (2008). Surface Rupture Connecting Deep-Seated Landslides of the Mw6.9 14 June 2008 Iwate- Miyagi Nairiku, NE Japan, Earthquake, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2008.

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Yoshimi, M., Omata, M., Koriya, Y. and Nihei, T. (2008). Ground-based LiDAR Mapping of Surface Rupture Associated with the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, Earthquake (Mw 6.9), American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 19 December 2008.

· Lin, J., Toda, S., Meghraoui, M. and Stein, R.S. (2008). 12 May 2008 M=7.9 Wenchuan, China, Earthquake Calculated to Increase Failure Stress and Seismicity Rate on Three Major Fault Systems, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 17 December 2008.

· Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). The method to estimate a slip distribution of a large earthquake based on the spatial distribution of its aftershocks and rate- and state friction law: Further development, American Geophysical Union 2008 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2008.

· Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Yoshimi, M., Awata, Y., Kaneda, H., Yoshioka, T. and Ando, R. (2008). Surface Rupture Associated with the Mw 6.9 14 June 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake, 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission, Tsukuba International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan, 25 November 2008.

· Toda, S., Lin, J., Meghraoui, M. and Stein, R.S. (2008). 2008 Wenchuan, China, Earthquake Calculated to Increase Failure Stress and Seismicity Rate on the Major Fault Systems, 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission, Tsukuba International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan, 25 November 2008.

· Maruyama, T., Toda, S., Yoshimi ,M., Omata, M., Koriya, Y. and Nihei, T. (2008). Ground-based LiDAR mapping of surface rupture associated with the Mw 6.9 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake, 7th General Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission, Tsukuba International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan, 25 November 2008.

· Yoshimi, M., Toda, S., Maruyama, T., Kaneda, H., Awata, Y., Ando, R. and Yoshioka, T. (2008). Surface Rupture of the 14 June 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, Earthquake, 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan, 24 November 2008.

· Ishise, M., Miyake, H., Koketsu, K., Iwasaki, T., Ikeda, Y., Ogawa, Y., Obara, K., Hirata, N., Kuwahara, Y., Suzuki, Y., Toda, S., Nishimura, T., Sagiya, T. and Yarai, H. (2008). Source Modeling for Strong Ground Motion Prediction: A case of Scenario Earthquakes for the Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line, 2008 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Tsukuba International Congress Center, Tsukuba City, Japan, 24 November 2008.

· Toda, S., Yoshimi, M., Maruyama, T., Kaneda,H., Awata, Y., Ando, R. and Yoshioka, T. (2008). Surface Rupture of the 14 June 2008 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, Earthquake, Japanese Society for Active Fault Studies 2008 Fall Meeting, Sanjo Conference Hall, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 7 November 2008 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2008). Interaction on earthquake occurrence (in Japanese), ISM Public Lecture, Large Earthquake and Forecasting, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 4 November 2008 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2008). Recent destructive inland earthquakes off major active faults: Implications for future updates of the seismic hazard map in Japan, 7th UJNR Earthquake Researcch Panel Meeting, University of Washington Urban Horticultural Center, Seattle, Washington, U.S.A., 28 October 2008 (invited talk).

· Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 2005 Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and the rate- and state friction law, ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System, Obergurgl University Centre, Obergurgl, Austria, 18-23 October 2008.

· Toda, S., Awata, Y., Kaneda, H., Azuma, T., Horikawa, H., Shishikura, M. and Echigo, T. (2008). Coastal Uplifts Associated with the 2007 Noto Hanto, Japan, earthquake and its repeatability evaluated from late Quaternary deformation, European Seismological Commision 2008, 31st General Assembly, International Conference Center “Creta Maris”, Hersonissos, Crete, Greece, 8 September,2008.

· Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008). On- and Off-fault Aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island Subduction Earthquake Toggled by a Slow Slip Preceding the 2007 Great Outer-rise Normal Faulting Earthquake, Cairns Convention Centre, Cairns, Australia, 1 August 2008.

· Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). On- and Off-fault Aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island Subduction Earthquake Toggled by a Slow Slip Preceding the 2007 Great Outer-rise Normal Faulting Earthquake, Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 July 2008.

· Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of a large earthquake derived from a spatial distribution of its aftershocks, Cooperative Research meeting on Physics of seismicity, statistical modeling and forecasting, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 17 July 2008.

· Enescu B., Hainzl, S., Wang R., Roth, F., Toda, S., Wang L., Woessner, J. and Wiemer, S. (2008). Aftershock forecasting based on Coulomb stress modelling, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2008, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 25 May 2008.

· Nakano, M., Kumagai, H., Inoue,H., Yamashina, T. and Toda, S. (2008). The 2007 Sumatra seismic sequence revealed by a regional seismic network in Indonesia, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2008, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2008.

· Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 2005 Miyagi-oki earthquake derived from spatial distribution of the aftershocks, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2008, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 30 May 2008.

· Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2008). On- and Off-fault Aftershocks of the 2006 Kuril Island Subduction Earthquake Toggled by a Slow Slip Preceding the 2007 Great Outer-rise Normal Faulting Earthquake (in Japanese), The 177-th Meeting of Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan, Tokyo, Japan, 19 May 2008 (invited talk).

· Toda, S., Ross, S., Parsons, T., Bozkurt, S. and Grunewald, E. (2008). A New Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Greater Tokyo, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, 22 February 2008 (invited talk).

· Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2008). A spatial slip distribution of the 1995 Kobe earthquake derived from its aftershock activity and rate-and-state friction law, Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, 19 February 2008.

· Toda, S. (2008). Earthquake Forecasting in Japan, RMS Earthquake Symposium 2008, New York, U.S.A., 23 January 2008 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2007). 2007 Mw=6.6 Niigata Chuetsu-Oki earthquake ruptured on a fault strongly unclamped by the 2004 Mw=6.6 Niigata Chuetsu shock, American Geophysical Union 2007 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2007.

· Lin, J., Stein, R.S., Toda, S., Meghraoui, M. and Dorbath, C. (2007). The 2003 M=6.9 Zemmouri, Algeria, Earthquake Brought Thrust and Strike-Slip Faults Near Algiers Closer to Coulomb Failure, American Geophysical Union 2007 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2007.

· Stein, R.S., Toda, S., Bozkurt, S. B., Kirby, S., Nakajima, J. and Hasegawa, A. (2007). Fragmentation on a grand scale: A slab fragment dislodged from the descending Pacific plate slab wedged beneath Tokyo, American Geophysical Union 2007 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2007.

· Nakano, M., Kumagai, H., Yamashina, T., Inoue, H. and Toda, S. (2007). Earthquake doublet that occurred in a pull-apart basin along the Sumatran fault and its seismotectonic implication, American Geophysical Union 2007 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 11 December 2007.

· Iwata, T., Toda, S. and Ogata, Y. (2007). Modelling of the spatio-temporal distribution of aftershocks based on rate- and state friction law, American Geophysical Union 2007 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). Characteristics of the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake on active fault research and long-term earthquake forecasting, 35th symposium on seismic strong-motion research, Architectural Institute of Japan, Tokyo, Japan, 16 November 2007 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2007). Rate and state dependent friction law on active faulting and seismicity, Cooperative Research meeting on Seismicity Models and Earthquake Probabilities, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, 9 November 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). How many inland destructive earthquakes of Japan produce surface rupture: flaws in the current earthquake probability estimates only counting on major active faults, 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, , Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 25 October 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). Long-term seismic background for the 2007 Niigata-ken-Chuetsu-Oki earthquake: seismotectonics, seismic gap, seismicity rate change, and stress triggering, 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 24 October 2007.

· Nakano, M., Kumagai, H., Yamashina, T., Inoue, H. and Toda, S. (2007). Doublet earthquakes that occurred in a pull-apart basin along the Sumatran fault and their seismotectonic implications, 2007 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 25 October 2007.

· Horikawa, H., Toda, S., Awata, Y. and Maruyama, T. (2007). A fault model of the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki, Japan, earthquake deduced from field survey results and geodetic data, 2007Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 24 October 2007.

· Iwata, T., Toda, S.and Ogata, Y. (2007). Modelling of spatio-temporal distribution of aftershock rate based on rate- and state-dependent constitutive friction law, 2007Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, , Sendai International Center, Sendai City, Japan, 26 October 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). Latent bias in temporal constraints of paleoseismic events in coastal plains: An example from the Shonai-Heiya-Toen fault in northeast Japan, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) 2007 meeting, Perugia, Italy, 10 July 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). Macroscopic review of long-term crustal earthquake forecasting in Japan and newly-proposed fault models, GSJ symposium on long-term earthquake forecasting developed from geological approaches, Tokyo, Japan, 11 June 2007 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2007). Role of Multiple Stress Steps in Earthquake Triggering and Application to Near-Real Time Aftershock Forecasting, 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy, 2 June 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). Coulomb 3.0, an interactive tool for studying earthquake interactions, 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, "Ettore Majorana" Foundation and Centre for Scientific Culture (EMFCSC), Erice, Sicily, Italy, 5 June 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). Seismotectonics in the complex subduction system beneath Tokyo, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2007 (invited talk).

· Shishikura, M., Toda, S., Satake, K., Takeuchi, H. (2007). Assignments of source parameters of the 1703 Genroku Kanto Earthquake and Holocene crustal movement, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2007 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2007). Latent temporal bias in constraints of paleoseismic events and recurrence intervals on an active fault, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2007.

· Okumura, K., Kondo, H., Toda, S., Takada, Keita and Kinoshita, H. (2007). Paleoseismological study of the Kamishiro fault at Kizaki on the Northern Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line Active fault system, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2007.

· Toda, S., Azuma, T., Omata, M., Iwasaki, T. and Kohriya, Y. (2007). Late Quaternary paleoseismic history on the Shonai-heiya-toen fault zone, in northern Honshu, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2007.

· Kondo, H., Toda, S., Okumura, K., Takada, K. and Chiba, T. (2007). A fresh fault scarp identified in an urban district by LiDAR survey: A case study on the ISTL active fault system, central Japan, The 2007 Japan Earth and Planetary Science Joint Meeting, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2007.

· Haraguchi, T., Yoshinaga, Y. and Toda, S. (2007). Subsurface high-resolution fault imaging from the Kamishiro fault in Lake Aoki obtained by acoustic exploration, central Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2007.

· Toda, S. and Awata, Y. (2007). Can we retrospectively forecast the M=6.9 Noto Hanto earthquake of 25 March 2007? How about the other faults nearby?, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 19 May 2007.

· Ogata, Y. and Toda, S. (2007). Anomalies of seismicity in space and time measured by the ETAS model and stress changes, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2007, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 19 May 2007.

· Toda, S. (2007). Quick scientific analyses and speculations with Coulomb 3.0 after a large earthquake: An example from Mj=6.9 March 25, 2007 Noto-Hanto earthquake, Japan, International conference of seismic hazard in northern Algeria, April 28, 2007, Algiers, Algeria, 28 April 2007 (invited talk).

· Toda, S., Lin, J., Sevilgen, V. and Stein, R.S. (2007). Coulomb 3.0, an interactive tool for studying earthquake interactions, 2007 annual meeting of Seismological Society of America, Kona, Hawaii, U.S.A., 12 April 2007.

· Toda, S. and Shishikura, M. (2007). Recurrence-interval implications of Kanto marine terrace data, The Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities Workshop "Time dependent earthquake probabilities: What represents best available science", UCLA's Lake Arrowhead Conference Center, California, U.S.A., 6 March 2007.

· Bozkurt, S.B., Stein, R.S. and Toda, S. (2006). Corroborating a new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo from historical intensity observations, American Geophysical Union 2006 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 11 December 2006.

· Stein, R.S., Toda, S., Parsons, T. and Grunewald, E. (2006). A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo, American Geophysical Union 2006 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2006.

· Okumura, K., Kondo, H., Toda, S., Takada, K. and Kinoshita, H. (2006). New Geologic Data on the Seismic Risks of the Most Dangerous Fault on Shore in Central Japan, the Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line Active Fault System, American Geophysical Union 2006 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2006.

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Bozkurt, S.B., Nakajima, J., Hasegawa, A. and Kirby, S.H. (2006). Active Seismicity Controlled by a Slab Fragment Wedged Beneath Tokyo, American Geophysical Union 2006 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2006.

· Kondo, H., Okumura, K., Toda, S., Takada, K. and Chiba, T. (2006). Tectonic Geomorphic Features in Urban District Revealed by LiDAR: A Case Study on the Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line, Central Japan, American Geophysical Union 2006 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2006.

· Haraguchi, T., Yoshinaga, Y. and Toda, S. (2006). Subsurface 3D high-resolution fault imaging: An example from the Kamishiro fault in Lake Aoki obtained by acoustic exploration, central Japan, American Geophysical Union 2006 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2006.

· Yoshinaga, Y., Haraguchi, T., Toda, S., Miki, D. and Imura, R. (2006). Movement of shallow magmatic sources inferred from volcano-tectonic faults: An example from Shinjima Island nearby Sakurajima volcano, Kyushu, Japan, American Geophysical Union 2006 fall meeting, Moscone Center, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December, 2006.

· Toda, S. (2006). Fault segmentation and diversity of earthquake ruptures, Research Symposium for "Earthquake cycle and its complexity", Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI), Kyoto University, Uji City, Kyoto, Japan, 1 December 2006 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2006). Style of stress release and long-term stress accumulation in northern Kobe-Niigata shear zone, central Japan, 2006 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Nagoya Congress Center, Nagoya City, Japan, 2 November 2006.

· Toda, S. (2006). Rupture nucleation and propagation of a large earthquake reviewed from stress triggering studies, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2006, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 14 May 2006.

· Toda, S., Yoshioka, T., Omata, M., Iwasaki, T., Kohriya, Y. and Komura, H. (2006). Holocene paleoseismic history and possible segmentation on the Yamagata-Bonchi fault zone, in northern Honshu, Japan, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2006, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 15 May 2006.

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Richards-Dinger, K. and Bozkurt, S.B. (2006). Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer, 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 12 January 2006.

· Woessner, J., Wiemer, S. and Toda, S. (2006). Correlating properties of aftershock sequences with earthquake physics, 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Shonan Village campus, Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, 12 January 2006.

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Bozkurt, S.B. and Nakamura, R. (2005). A dislodged tectonic block wedged beneath Tokyo, and implications for the enigmatic 1855 Ansei-Edo Earthquake, American Geophysical Union 2005 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December, 2005.

· Bozkurt, S.B., Stein, R.S. and Toda, S. (2005). Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo based on 400 years of intensity observations, American Geophysical Union 2005 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2005.

· Stein, R.S., Toda, S., Parsons, T. and Bozkurt, S.B. (2005). A 35-40% likelihood of a highly damaging Tokyo earthquake in next 30 years (invited talk), American Geophysical Union 2005 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 6 December 2005.

· Chen, H., Toda, S. and Rau, R. (2005). Earthquake triggering along a segmented creeping fault: 1951 ML7.3 Hualien-Taitung earthquake sequence in eastern Taiwan, American Geophysical Union 2005 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 8 December 2005.

· Toda, S. (2005). Complementary distribution between inland active faults and subducted Philippine Sea plate, The Seismological Society of Japan 2005 fall meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, 20 October 2005.

· Kondo, H., Toda, S., Okumura, T. (2005). Geomorphic features indicating strike-slip movement along the East Matsumoto Basin faults, Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line, central Japan, The Seismological Society of Japan 2005 fall meeting, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, 21 October 2005.

· Toda, S. (2005). Perspective of active fault study from a viewpoint of fault interaction, The 112th Annual Meeting of Geological Society of Japan, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 19 September 2005.

· Toda, S., Nakamura, R., Shishikura, M., Bakun, B. and Stein, R. (2005). Tectonics beneath Kanto Plain and hypocenter of the Ansei-Edo earthquake, The 150^th Anniversary Workshop of the Historical Earthquakes Research Group, Tokyo, Japan, 18 September 2005.

· Toda, S. (2005). Style of stress accumulation and release in northern Honshu Japan: A concept to explain the coexistence of destructive inland earthquakes and interplate thrust earthquakes (invited talk), Spatial and Temporal Fluctuation in the Solid Earth, 21COE International Symposium 2005, Sendai, Japan, 23 July 2005.

· Toda, S., Kondo, H. and Stein, R.S. (2005). Why earthquakes on high-angle reverse faults produce voluminous aftershocks and triggered mainshocks: A presumption from the 2004 Niigata-ken Chuetsu Japan earthquake, Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 2005 annual meeting, Singapore, 21 June 2005.

· Toda, S. (2005). Relationship between subduction zone and inland strain accumulation in northern Honshu Japan, The 2005 Japan Earth and Planetary Science Joint Meeting, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 22 May 2005.

· Toda, S. (2005). A new image of plate configuration of the triple junction beneath the Kanto region, Japan, The 2005 Japan Earth and Planetary Science Joint Meeting, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 26 May 2005.

· Toda, S., Kondo, H. (2005). Why the 2004 M6. 8 Niigata-ken Chuetsu earthquake produced voluminous aftershocks nearby: An inefficient strain release system, The 2005 Japan Earth and Planetary Science Joint Meeting, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 24 May 2005.

· Kondo, H., Toda, S. (2005). Recurrent earthquake model for northern Anatolia Fault−1944 Bolu-Gerede Earthquake Fault, The speculation based on the research of 1999 Izmit Earthquake fault−, The 2005 Japan Earth and Planetary Science Joint Meeting, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 23 May 2005.

· Toda, S., Kondo, H. and Stein, R.S. (2005). Why earthquakes on high-angle reverse faults produce voluminous aftershocks and triggered mainshocks: An inference inspired by the 2004 Niigata-ken Chuetsu Japan earthquake, Seismological Society of America 2005 annual meeting, Nevada, U.S.A., 28 April 2005.

· Weimer, S., Toda, S. and Woessner, J. (2004). The role of stress in causing high b-value regions in aftershock zones, American Geophysical Union 2004 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 13 December 2004 (invited talk).

· Stein, R.S., Toda, S., Richards-Dinger, K. and Bozkurt, S. (2004). Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer (invited talk), American Geophysical Union 2004 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 14 December 2004.

· Toda, S. and Matsumura, S. (2004). Spato-temporal stress states estimated from seismicity rate changes in the Tokai region, central Japan, American Geophysical Union 2004 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 16 December 2004 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2004). A new image of plate configuration of the triple junction beneath the Kanto region, Japan, Memorial Symposium for Prof. Masayuki Kikuchi, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 1 November 2004 (invited talk).

· Shishikura, M., Toda, S., Satake, K. (2004). Two types of the Kanto earthquake, the fault models and recurrence intervals of the 1703 Genroku-type and the 1923 Taisho-type, The 111^th Annual meeting of Geological Society of Japan, Chiba, Japan, 20 September 2004.

· Emre, O., Toda, S., Dogan, A., Awata, Y., Tokay, F. and Ozalp, S. (2004). Paleoseismic behavior of the Karadere fault between Izmit and Duzce ruptures in 1999, north Anatolian fault, Turkey, The 32nd International Geological Congress, Florence, Italy, 26 August 2004.

· Shishikura, M., Toda, S., Kariya, A., Nagai, S., Nikaido, M. and Takase, N. (2004). Variable rupture extent inferred from trenching survey on the fault zone of the western Kiso Range, central Japan, The 32nd International Geological Congress, Florence, Italy, 26 August 2004.

· Toda, S., Matsumura, S. (2004). Spatio-temporal stress states estimated from seismicity rate changes in the Tokai region, 2004 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 11 May 2004.

· Toda, S., Lin, J. and Stein, R.S. (2004). Seismic Responses of Central California Coast Range Thrust Faults to Stress Changes: The 22 December 2003 M6.5 San Simeon Earthquake, Annual Meeting of the Seismological Society of America, Palm Springs, U.S.A., 15 April 2004.

· Toda, S. (2004). Applications of earthquake triggering studies to earthquake prediction, The 156th meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction, Geographical Survey Institute, Kudan , Tokyo, Japan, 16 February 2004 (invited talk).

· Toda, S. (2004). Can we effectively use paleoseismic information on active fault researches for strong motion forecasting ?, 2nd meeting 2004, Committee for strong motion research in Seismological Society of Japan,, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 7 January 2004.

· Toda, S. and Stein, R.S. (2003). A fresh look at the triggering of earthquake Pairs, such as the Landers-Big Bear, Landers-Hector Mine, Izmit-Duzce, and Nenana-Denali, and March-May 1997 Kagoshima events, American Geophysical Union 2003 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 10 December 2003 (invited talk).

· Nakamura, R., Satake, K., Toda, S., Uetake, T. and Kamiya, S. (2003). 3-D attenuation structure beneath the Kanto district, American Geophysical Union 2003 fall meeting, Moscone Convention Center West, San Francisco, U.S.A., 12 December 2003.

· Toda, S., Ali, O., Horikawa, H. (2003). Seismicity rate changes associated with the November 26, 2003 Miyagiken-oki earthquake, 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto International Conference Hall, Kyoto, Japan, 8 October 2003.

· Nakamura, R., Satake, K., Toda, S., Uetake, T. and Kamiya, S. (2003). 3-D Q structure in the Kanto District, 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, 2003 Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Kyoto International Conference Hall, Kyoto, Japan, 8 October 2003.

· Matsumoto, N., Hirotsu, M., Tanaka, K., Toda, S., Tsukai, N. (2003). A case study for coseismic change on ground water behavior from northern Hiroshima Prefecture, Meeting of Geological Society of Japan (Western Japan Branch), 2003.

· Toda, S. and Stein, R.S. (2003). Earthquake triggering by volcano-tectonic events: An example from the 2000 Izu Islands swarm, XXIII Ceneral Assembly of the Internattional Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Sapporo, Japan, 30 June - 11 July 2003 (invited talk).

· Stein, R.S., Toda, S. and Richards-Dinger, K. (2003). Evolution of seimicity in southern California: Animations based on earthquake stress transfer incorporating rate/state friction, XXIII Ceneral Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Sapporo, Japan, 30 June - 11 July 2003.

· Shishikura, M. and Toda, S. (2003). Holocene slip rate of the subduction zone mega-thrusts along the Sagami Trough, central Japan, analyzing the height distribution and ages of emerged shoreline indicators, XXIII Ceneral Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Sapporo, Japan, 30 June - 11 July 2003.

· Shishikura, M., Toda, S., Nagai, S., Nikaido, M., Takase, N. and Tachibana, T. (2003). Trenching study at Oki site across the Agematsu fault, northern part of the Kisosanmyaku-seien fault zone, 2003 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 28 May 2003.

· Toda, S. (2003). Contradiction and consistency between multiple-segment ruptures and fault scaling laws, 2003 Joint Meeting for Japan Earth and Planetary Science, Makuhari Messe International Conference Hall, Chiba City, Japan, 29 May 2003.

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S. and Dieterich, J.H. (2003). Time-dependent earthquake probability controlled by coseismic stress step and loading rate, 3rd International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Juriquilla, Mexico, 5 May 2003.

· Toda, S. (2003). Delayed response of seismicity to a sudden stress step, Workshop on "Earthquake Source Models: Toward dynamic fault modeling from kinematic fault modeling", Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 21 January 2003 (invited talk).

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Softwares

· Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Lin, J. and Sevilgen, V. (2007). Coulomb 3.0, Graphic-rich deformation & stress-change software, http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/research/deformation/modeling/coulomb/index.html, May, 2007.

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