第15回統計地震学セミナー
- 日時
- 2011年1月4日(水) 14:00〜15:00
- 場所
- 統計数理研究所 D312B室
- 講演者
- Tom Parsons (United States Geological Survey)
- 講演題目
- What causes aftershocks?
- 概要
- Despite decades of research devoted to this question,
we still do not know how mainshocks cause aftershocks.
In this presentation I show recent research that
attempts to isolate static and dynamic stressing signals so that
we can learn more about their abilities to trigger other earthquakes.
We hope someday to combine physical models with
statistical models for forecasting,
but I show that the physical models still have problems when used prospectively.