EMPIRICAL BAYES WITH RATES AND BEST RATES
OF CONVERGENCE IN u(x)C(theta)exp(-x/theta)-FAMILY:
ESTIMATION CASE

R. S. SINGH1 AND LAISHENG WEI2

1 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Guelph,
Guelph, Ontario, Canada N1G 2W1

2 Department of Mathematics, University of Science and Technology of China,
Hefei, Anhui, P. R. China

(Received May 30, 1990; revised June 24, 1991)

Abstract.    Let {(Xi,thetai)} be a sequence of independent random vectors where Xi, conditional on thetai, has the probability density of the form f(x | thetai) = u(x)C(thetai)exp(-x/thetai) and the unobservable thetai are i.i.d. according to an unknown G in some class \cal G of prior distributions on Theta, a subset of {theta > 0 | C(theta) = \big( \int u(x)exp(-x/theta)dx\big)-1 > 0}. For a \cal S(X1,....,Xn,Xn+1)-measurable function phin, let Rn = E(phin-thetan+1)2 denote the Bayes risk of phin and let R(G) denote the infimum Bayes risk with respect to G. For each integer s > 1 we exhibit a class of \cal S(X1,....,Xn,Xn+1)-measurable functions phin such that for delta in [s-1,1], c0n-2s/(1+2s) < Rn(phin,G)-R(G)< c1n-2(sdelta-1)/(1+2s) under certain conditions on u and G. No assumptions on the form or smoothness of u is made, however. Examples of functions u, including one with infinitely many discontinuities, are given for which our conditions reduce to some moment conditions on G. When Theta is bounded, for each integer s > 1 \cal S(X1,....,Xn,Xn+1)-measurable functions phin are exhibited such that for delta in [2/s,1], c'0n-2s/(1+2s) < R(phin,G)-R(G) < c'1n-2sdelta/(1+2s). Examples of functions u and class \cal G are given where the above lower and upper bounds are achieved.

Key words and phrases:    Exponential family, empirical Bayes, estimation, asymptotic optimality, rates and best rates.

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